DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 22-26)

High pressure sits atop New England early this week, continuing the very nice weather stretch that we started over the weekend. Once again the coastal areas will be cooler each day due to a sea breeze developing, and each night the inland lower elevations will be colder due to radiational cooling. High pressure partially gives way Wednesday as low pressure passes south of the region and a warm front approaches from the southwest ahead of another low pressure area heading for the Great Lakes, resulting in a general increase in cloudiness and a southeasterly air flow which will keep the region more uniform in temperature, the result being a cooler day for inland areas that won’t be able to warm as efficiently as the next 2 days. The warm front may bring a touch of light rain Wednesday evening as it passes and opens the door to a warmer southwesterly air flow for Thursday. Although this air flow will result in cooler conditions for the South Coast, especially Cape Cod and the Islands. The low heading into the Great Lakes will be passing north of our area Thursday night and Friday, dragging a cold front through when we will see our best chance for rain shower activity. We need rain as we have had a very dry March so far. However, this does not look like it will be a very significant rain producer. What it will do is introduce a cooler air mass later Friday – with the temperatures that day highly dependent on the timing of the cold front. The air behind it will probably be cold enough to allow a mix or snow should any precipitation linger long enough, but at the moment this is not very likely to occur – more of a remote possibility.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 50-57 coast, 58-65 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 50-57 coast, 58-65 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Increasing high clouds. Lows 36-43. Wind SE under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 49-56, coolest coast. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain. Lows 41-48. Wind SE up to 10 MPH shifting to SW.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 48-55 Islands / Cape Cod, 56-63 remainder of South Coast, 64-71 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Highs 57-64, may fall quickly late-day / evening. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW by late-day.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 27-31)

Early call on the last weekend of March (27-28) looks dry/cool Saturday, still on the cool side but watching for the arrival of low pressure from the southwest Sunday. As this system moves through into March 29 we’ll have to watch closely as cold air will be nearby so there is a slight chance we’ll be dealing with a rain/snow line somewhere, but leaning toward a rain event for now. Rain or snow, any precipitation we can get is needed. Dry/chilly ending to March (30-31).

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 1-5)

The trend in the early days of April is for a warm-up that may not really take hold until later in the period as we’ll be near the border of Canadian cold while US Southeast warmth tries to push in. It may be unsettled during the transition.

C-19 Chat Post – March 22 2021

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 21-25)

This first full day of spring will feel like it – sunshine, chilly start, warming up most efficiently inland, warm-up thwarted at the coast by sea breeze. This will repeat tomorrow and Tuesday too as high pressure sits on us. This high pressure area will give way to an approaching warm front on Wednesday when clouds will increase, but it may not be much of a rainfall producer as it comes through that evening / night. What it will likely do is set us up for our warmest day regionwide (except South Coast modification) with a stronger southwesterly air flow on Thursday as we’ll be in a warm sector post warm front and pre cold front (which will be well to our west).

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 48-55 coast, 56-63 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

TONIGHT: Clear. Patchy ground fog interior lower elevations. Lows 33-40. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 48-55 coast, 56-63 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy ground fog interior lower elevations. Lows 33-40. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 49-56 coast, 57-64 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear then increasing high clouds. Patchy ground fog interior lower elevations. Lows 36-43. Wind SE under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain by late-day or evening. Highs 48-55. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain. Lows 41-48. Wind SE up to 10 MPH shifting to SW.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 45-52 Islands / Cape Cod, 53-60 remainder of South Coast, 61-68 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 26-30)

Low pressure passing north of the region drags a cold front through with rain showers likely March 26. Timing of systems becomes difficult out this far but best guess now is we have a mainly dry March 27-28 weekend, starting chilly and ending milder, though some guidance has suggested unsettled weather arriving before the end of the weekend so there is a little uncertainty there. March 29 looks like transition time with unsettled weather, leading to a drier but colder March 30.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 31 – APRIL 4)

(No change from yesterday.) Based on current anticipated timing of systems and being near the border of a mild US Southeast and a cold eastern Canada, expecting a dry but chilly finish to March and a warming trend the first few days of April marked by some unsettled weather during the transition.

C-19 Chat Post – March 21 2021

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 20-24)

The Vernal Equinox occurred at 5:37 a.m. .. Spring is here! You know I always warn about thinking any threat of winter weather is over just because spring arrives. Well, we won’t worry about any winter weather threats right now because even though we know what late March & April can do to us here, we have a nice weather pattern to start off the new season as high pressure moves in today and sits atop New England for several days, through Tuesday in fact. Today’s temperatures will be most uniform across the region due to a westerly air flow. Sunday through Tuesday, warmest weather will be inland during the day while coastal areas are cooler due to sea breeze development. Nights will be chilly due to radiational cooling from the combination of clear sky and light wind, though we may see some ground fog formation in lower elevations each night as the temperature makes a run for the dewpoint during its overnight fall. By Wednesday, an increase in clouds and a more regional southeasterly air flow ahead of a warm front will likely make this a cooler-feeling day, and there may be some light rainfall around later in the day or in the evening as the warm front arrives.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 26-33. Wind W under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55 coast, 56-63 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy ground fog interior lower elevations. Lows 33-40. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 48-55 coast, 56-63 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy ground fog interior lower elevations. Lows 33-40. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 49-56 coast, 57-64 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear then increasing high clouds. Patchy ground fog interior lower elevations. Lows 36-43. Wind SE under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain by late-day or evening. Highs 48-55. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 25-29)

Warmest day except cooler South Coast March 25 ahead of a cold front, the parent low pressure of which passes north of the region late March 25 and early March 26 when a better shot of rain occurs, before it turns breezy, colder, and dry later March 26. High pressure brings mostly fair weather, a cool start then moderating temperatures in the March 27-28 period before the next disturbance brings a chance of unsettled weather by March 29.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 30 – APRIL 3)

Based on current anticipated timing of systems and being near the border of a mild US Southeast and a cold eastern Canada, expecting a drier but chilly finish to March and a warming trend the first few days of April marked by some unsettled weather during the transition.

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C-19 Chat Post – March 20 2021

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 19-23)

When I drew up my “1/2 to 2 inch” snowfall forecast thinking that was conservative enough two days in advance (undercutting many other forecasts), it still was not enough to be accurate. That’s one aspect of trying to predict the future. It just doesn’t always pan out exactly how you think. And even now, so much scrutiny is placed on a forecast involving snowfall amounts, more so than temperature, or wind speed, or any other parameter, that “everybody is watching” and waiting for you to be incorrect. Sure, the forecast deserves criticism as anything is subject to it, as long as it’s fair criticism. The forecast was wrong, because the precipitation outran the cold air overnight, so by the time it was snowing, or almost time to snow, it was drying out. Most of us were off by a couple of hours in arrival of cold air vs. end of precipitation timing. The cold air was just a touch slower getting in than most forecasts, and the precipitation was just a touch quicker existing than most of us guessed. Therefore, most areas just saw a few flakes and basically no accumulation, except closer to the South Coast where some coatings have occurred. Had this been a situation with just rain and now possible switch to snow, nobody would really have noticed. That’s what I mean by higher level of scrutiny due to this odd obsession we have with frozen stuff vs. liquid stuff. Anyway, any remaining snowfall near the South Coast will be ending soon, and probably over by the time most people read this. But regardless, we needed whatever moisture fell as we’ve been dry all month after a minor event on March 1. After one windy and chilly day today, we have a string of nicer days ahead, just in time for the start of spring (Vernal Equinox Saturday at 5:37 a.m.) as high pressure builds in over the weekend and holds into early next week. After somewhat uniformly cool air Saturday, the Sunday-Tuesday period will see inland areas warm up most each day while the coast is cooler.

TODAY: Any South Coast snow ends early, otherwise clouds give way to sun. Highs 36-43. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 23-30. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, diminishing to 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 22-29. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-59, but cooler eastern coastal areas. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 32-39. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 53-60 except cooler coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 55-62 except cooler coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 24-28)

March 24 may turn unsettled as low pressure drifts up from the south and a disturbance arrives from the west, bringing the chance for some rainfall. High pressure should bring dry weather March 25-27 with initially cooler weather then moderating temperatures. Next disturbance may bring the chance for unsettled weather by the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 29 – APRIL 2)

As usual trying to time anything more than 10 days in advance is nearly impossible, but while 1 or 2 disturbances may threaten with some unsettled weather in the final days of March and very start of April, the general pattern is still looking on the drier side with near to above normal temperatures on average, but variations day to day.

C-19 Chat Post – March 19 2021

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 18-22)

A hint of spring, a taste of winter, that’s how we roll here in March, and it will be no different the next few days. We had a nice day yesterday, ending up with plenty of sun and relatively mild air for mid March (very late winter), and today will have its own relative mildness to it despite an overcast and eventual rain moving in. But cold air is not far from us and will be making its way steadily south as low pressure passes south of the region tonight and early Friday on its way to sea. This will flip the rain to snow from north to south, and allow for some generally minor accumulation before the system exits. The “worst” of the snow in the pre-dawn of Friday will be to impact visibility for anybody driving. Heavy enough snow may coat some secondary roadways and walkways for a short while, making them slushy/slippery, but main roads should stay just wet with this one, and most of the 1/2 to 2 inch accumulation should be on grassy surfaces and cold car tops, etc. Is it possible that a couple years may go over 2 inches? Yes, but it would make very little difference in overall impact. By later Friday, we’re dry, breezy, chilly, and clearing out. The vernal equinox at 5:37 a.m. Saturday marks the start of spring, although Saturday morning will definitely still have the chill of winter before the March sun makes the balance of the day quite tolerable despite a gusty breeze. Sunday and Monday will feature a decent temperature moderation, especially if you are away from the shoreline. The trademark “cooler coast” will be in effect as we develop sea breezes both days under the influence of springtime high pressure.

TODAY: Cloudy. Rain arrives west to east this afternoon. Highs 46-54. Wind SW to variable up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Overcast. Rain evening, changing to snow overnight from north to south and accumulating 1/2 to 2 inches before tapering to snow showers. Lows 27-34. Wind variable shifting to N 5-15 MPH evening increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts overnight, strongest near the coast.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Chance of snow showers early. Highs 36-43. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 23-30. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, diminishing to 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 22-29. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-59, but cooler eastern coastal areas. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 32-39. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 52-59 except cooler coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 23-27)

March 23 … high pressure overhead, fair weather, mild inland, cool coast. March 24 … high pressure moves off and a frontal system approaches with a risk of rain showers. March 25-27 … Drier weather returns, cooler initially then moderating.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 28 – APRIL 1)

Overall pattern is dry but temperature forecast is uncertain as we will again be near a boundary between a warmer US Southeast and a colder eastern Canada, which is not unusual at all for early spring in the Northeast.

C-19 Chat Post – March 18 2021

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 17-21)

March will be up to its antics the next few days, but first we have a pleasant St. Patrick’s Day today as high pressure finishes its job of obliterating low pressure that was trying to move into the region. But this high will give way to the next low pressure area which will be more moisture-filled, although not necessarily a strong storm itself. Its large area of moisture will be in the process of stringing itself out and moving rather quickly from west to east while the low pressure elongation passes south of New England early Friday. The moisture associated with it will be expansive enough that we get into it, with mild air in place so it starts as a rain event everywhere. But as previously stated, we were to be near the boundary of much colder air, and that boundary slips to the south and allows the cold air in, turning this to a snow event before it’s over. No, it’s not going to be a big snowstorm, but it will be the type of event that can have some impact more on visibility than actual road conditions as we will flipped over to snow (north to south) in the pre-dawn hours of Friday, and will still be snowing at commute time. With mild air and rain at first, the roads will not be primed to allow accumulating snow, but to fight against it, and with temperatures probably staying just above to right around freezing, road icing will also not be an issue when combined with the “warmer” pavement anyway. Most of our snow accumulation (which will be noted below) will be on unpaved surfaces (grass, dirt, sand, car tops, etc.). And then, just like that, it’s all gone. The precipitation moves out, maybe leaving behind a few lingering flurries as a colder northerly wind strengthens, but we’ll have enough solar radiation even if clouds hang in for a while on Friday to pretty much eliminate any snow that fell by day’s end. After a breezy and cold Friday night, and a continued breezy and chilly but dry Saturday, the back half of the weekend will remain dry with a temperature moderation. With the vernal equinox at 5:37 a.m. Saturday marking the official start of spring, we’ll have quite a nice first weekend of the new season.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy start across south central MA, RI, and eastern CT, otherwise partly to mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 32-39. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Rain developing late-day west to east. Highs 50-57 except 45-50 South Coast. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain, changing to snow from north to south. Lows 25-32. Wind variable becoming NE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with snow tapering to snow showers morning. Total snowfall accumulation of 1/2 to 2 inches, mostly on unpaved surfaces. Mostly cloudy to partly sunny afternoon. Highs 36-43. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 23-30. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 22-29. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-59, but cooler eastern coastal areas. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 22-26)

High pressure parks off to the south of New England with fair and milder weather early in the period. A frontal system comes through mid period with a chance of some rainfall, followed by fair but somewhat colder weather later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 27-31)

Cool start to the period, then moderating temperatures with some unsettled weather during the transition. May turn chilly again right at month’s end as more Canadian cold slips into the Northeast.

C-19 Chat Post – March 17 2021

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 16-20)

We are now at the half-way point of the month of March and in the home stretch of winter, as the Vernal Equinox will occur at 5:37 a.m. Saturday. Now, we all know that just because “spring” arrives on the calendar that we may still see some cold weather and even some frozen precipitation, depending on our pattern, well into springtime, but before that we must determine, among the rest of the sensible weather, if we will see some frozen stuff before we get to Saturday, and the answer is “probably”. We’ll get back to that in a moment. First, we have seen the core of some very cold air pass by and now, while we have a cold but fairly calm start this morning, while today will be a chilly day compared to normal for mid March, the lack of wind will make it feel less so, but we won’t have bright sunshine all day as high clouds are already moving in as of sunrise in advance of low pressure moving in this direction. However, this low is running up against high pressure that is in no hurry to move and is also like a mountain of dry air. This will essentially obliterate the storm system as it comes in, with just some cloudiness, and the remote risk of a brief period of light snow in the CT/RI (maybe far southern MA) areas sometime tonight. High pressure retreats a little on Wednesday but is close enough so that St. Patrick’s Day here in southeastern New England will be a decent day – some clouds, some sun, and a bit milder than today. The modest warm-up continues into Thursday as high pressure slips off to the southeast, but another strong and cold high pressure area will ridge across eastern Canada to our north and then start pressing southward. At the same time, our next storm system will be approaching from the southwest, with its elongating center certain to pass south of our region Thursday night into Friday. This system will have more moisture with it and it is much more likely to bring us a period of precipitation from late-day or evening Thursday through the early to mid morning hours of Friday, while at the same time our mild air gives way to much colder air from north to south. This likely means we’ll be dealing with a rain changing to snow situation. But the question is, how fast does the cold arrive versus the tapering off and departing of the precipitation? While it’s still a few days away and not a situation that a confident solid call can be made yet, my current idea is that we’ll see the cold air arrive soon enough so that most of the region gets a period of snow, and that the snow may accumulate for a while before it ends. But we know that at this time of year it would take pretty heavy snow, which we probably won’t have, to accumulate much, and that it will also be fighting daylight not long after it changes, so that there would be a relatively short window of time for accumulation. Fine-tuning to come… And once we get to later Friday, it’s dry and briefly colder, with a breezy and seasonably cool but fair weather day for the first of spring Saturday, as high pressure moves into the Great Lakes with low pressure off to our east.

TODAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 35-42. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Brief light snow possible mainly south of I-90. Lows 25-32. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 32-37. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Clouding up. Chance of rain late. Highs 48-55. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain, changing to snow from north to south. Lows 25-32. Wind variable becoming NE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with snow tapering to snow showers morning. Mostly cloudy to partly sunny afternoon. Highs 35-42. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 23-30. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 21-25)

High pressure is expected to move overhead then off to the southeast with dry weather and a moderating temperature trend, often cooler coastal areas during the days, March 21-23. A disturbance from the west should bring a now fairly rare chance of rainfall before it dries out and turns colder at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 26-30)

Colder start to the period, then moderating temperatures toward month’s end. Possibly some unsettled weather during the temperature transition, though the overall pattern looks fairly dry.

C-19 Chat Post – March 16 2021

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 15-19)

Beware the Ides of March, that is, beware you don’t freeze out there today! It’s a cold one, with yet another core of arctic air crossing the region. It surely has not been the coldest winter, though we’ve had our cold shots. This latest one, along with its wind, peaks today before easing up. Other than a few spot snow flurries first thing this morning from a touch of instability, it will be a dry day with sunshine and some passing clouds. Our ever-increasing March sun angle and the fact the sun now sets late in the 6 p.m. hour will definitely prevent it from feeling fully like mid winter though, despite the wind and cold. We’ll have a cold but more calm night tonight and Tuesday will still be a chilly day as clouds move in ahead of approaching low pressure. But this low will be running into a wall of dry air and won’t be able to produce much more than a touch of light snow mainly south of I-90 tonight into early Wednesday before falling apart, leaving Wednesday (St. Patrick’s Day) as an ok day. Another low pressure area makes a run at the region later in the week as we see a temperature moderation, so some rain should be moving into the area later Thursday. However, much colder air will be nearby, and will start to work back in Thursday night into Friday, turning whatever moisture is left to fall back into snow, though it should be on the light side before dry air re-takes control later Friday as this system starts to pull away from the region.

TODAY: A few light snow showers around eastern MA early this morning, otherwise sun & passing clouds. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clear evening. Increasing clouds overnight. Lows 11-18. Wind N 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 35-42. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Some light snow possible mainly south of I-90. Lows 25-32. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 42-49. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Clouding up. Chance of rain late. Highs 48-55. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain, changing to snow from north to south. Lows 25-32. Wind variable becoming N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with a chance of snow morning, tapering to snow showers before ending early afternoon. Breaking clouds later. Highs 35-42. Wind N 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 20-24)

Spring Equinox occurs early morning March 20, and high pressure should build in for fair and generally nice weather by March standards for the March 20-21 weekend. Dry weather should continue into early next week before some unsettled weather arrives near the end of the period, but it looks like a mild pattern at that time with colder air staying up in Canada.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 25-29)

Some Canadian cold may try to sneak back down into the region with the help of a couple disturbances, but the overall pattern continues to look drier than average.