7:16AM
DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 19-23)…
Lesson learned (by me): I still can’t forecast inverted trough precipitation very well. Will work on it. Lesson not learned (by media in general): Saying too much about threats that are greater than a few days away will almost always come back to bite you. Not always, but almost always. And it may happen again. Firstly, the well-advertised cold is now here and will remain, accompanied by wind, for 2 more days, and then it will remain cold but with less wind on Thursday. The big question continues to be what happens with the storm potential for the end of the week. You all know my approach is a wait-and-see one, look at the data, ingest it but don’t choke on it, digest it but don’t let it cause you heartburn. It’s just a scientific process. Sometimes it works great, and sometime not so much. Either way, I will employ it. Though we are still 4 to 5 days out from this potential event, I’m starting to see more evidence that the main focus of that storm system will be over the Mid Atlantic, with a lesser impact up here in southeastern New England. The orientation of the steering currents in this continued split flow may end up taking the system more east than north. That does not remove us in southern New England from its threat, but instead of staring down the barrel of the cannon, we may be looking more at the side of it. Will continue to monitor…
TODAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 18-25. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, gusting over 30 MPH. Wind chill often near 0.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 5-10 except 10-15 urban areas and coastline. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty. Wind chill often near 0.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 20-27. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 0-10 valleys, 10s elsewhere. Highs 26-33.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Lows 0-10 valleys, 10s elsewhere. Highs 28-35.
SATURDAY: Cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows in the 10s. Highs 25-32.
DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 24-28)…
Chance of snow showers January 24. Fair January 25. Risk of unsettled weather January 26-27. Improving weather January 28. Variable temperatures, not far from normal.
DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 29-FEBRUARY 2)…
Fair, briefly colder early period then warming trend. Risk of unsettled weather end of period.