DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 21-25)
High pressure overhead now shifts offshore through Tuesday. Today will feature pleasant air with slightly sub-normal temperatures, and another cool night occurs tonight with light winds. We’ll see the sun filtered by abundant high but fairly thin cloudiness today, streaming up from the south from a system well down the coast, but we won’t be hearing from that one. Fair weather continues Monday and well into Tuesday, but late Tuesday, particularly at night, and into Wednesday, a trough and frontal system from the west delivers higher humidity and our next chance of shower activity. This should push beyond the region with fair weather Thursday, though some clouds may linger, so at “day 5” I am going to lean away from complete clearing then. Autumn begins at 2:19 p.m. EDT Monday with the occurrence of the equinox.
TODAY: Sun & high clouds. Highs 65-72. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: High clouds. Patchy ground fog. Lows 40-47 interior with coolest in lower elevations, 47-54 coast with mildest in urban areas. Wind calm.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 70-77. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 53-60. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 70-77 South Coast, 77-84 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT / WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 60-67. Highs 68-75. Dew point 60+. Wind SW to variable 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT / THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Lows 51-58. Highs 65-72. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 26-30)
As we come down the home stretch of September we watch for a potential wave of low pressure to deliver a period of rain to start out this period, then there’s some uncertainty regarding the September 27-28 weekend, though I lean drier with just a few potential passing showers with a trough and cold front, then drier and cooler weather more likely the last couple days of the month.
DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 1-4)
October starts with some uncertainty in its weather outlook the first several days as we’ll again see a high pressure area in eastern Canada trying to push into the northeastern US while low pressure sits to the south. While some guidance tries to push that low pressure area up here for a rain chance, I have my doubts, as we’ve seen guidance do that several times recently only to have most of those not pan out correctly. Leaning drier over wetter and also a trend to the cooler side of normal again.