Wednesday June 4 2025 Forecast (7:29AM)

47 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 4-8)

Canadian wildfire smoke aloft and variable high clouds together limit the sun at times today which will shine but in very filtered fashion. Our warm-up continues as well with a southwesterly air flow, which persists through Thursday, along with a gradual increase in humidity to “noticeable” levels. While the thickest smoke plume moves out tonight, we can still see varying amounts of it Thursday. We also have to watch for an isolated shower or thunderstorm in a few locations, but the triggers will be limited, so the odds of any one location seeing something are small, and would favor north of I-90 and with the help of orographic lift in hilly terrain. Basically a 1 in 10 shot is what we’re looking at. The outlook remains the same with a frontal boundary settling into the region Friday into the weekend with a couple of weak low pressure waves and an upper pattern preventing a clean frontal passage. This presents the opportunity for a few to several rounds of showers and thunderstorms, with uncertainty as to timing and coverage. Current leaning is greatest chances of activity in the WHW forecast area is Friday morning and midday and again Saturday afternoon and evening. However, don’t make solid plans on that leaning – just have back-up plans if possible. I realize many graduations and other late spring / early summer events take place these days, dependent on weather, and it’s a tricky set-up. Looking ahead to Sunday, I still feel that a push of the frontal boundary to the southeast will be sufficient to clear us out with fair weather returning.

TODAY: Sun filtered through high clouds and high altitude smoke. Highs 78-85 except 70-77 South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: High altitude smoke. Lower elevation fog patches. Lows 57-64. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Smoke aloft may thin somewhat with filtered sunshine, otherwise a sun/cloud mix. Isolated late-day showers and thunderstorms, possible favoring areas north of I-90 if they occur. Highs 85-92 except 77-84 most of South Coast and 70-77 Cape Cod. Dew point 60+. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point 60+. Wind SW to variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms, favoring the morning to early afternoon. Highs 78-85 except 70-77 South Coast. Dew point 60+. Wind SW to variable 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Areas of fog. Lows 62-69. Dew point 60+. Wind variable to SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms, favoring late-day / evening. Highs 75-82. Dew point 60+. Wind SW to variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms early, then partly cloudy. Lows 55-62. Wind shifting to NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 72-79. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 9-13)

Brief fair weather June 9 then a stretch of unsettled weather middle of next week before fair weather returns end of week. Details of the trough and frontal system bringing the unsettled weather not quite known as of yet. Temperatures variable, but not extreme.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 14-18)

Indications are for fair weather early period / unsettled later period. No major temperature extremes indicated.

47 thoughts on “Wednesday June 4 2025 Forecast (7:29AM)”

  7. Good morning and thank you TK

    Currently 72 here with dp 53 after morning low of 58.

    Tom says lower end. I’ll split the difference and say 82 for my location. Who started this? Longshot? I think. Thanks. You have me hooked. šŸ™‚ šŸ™‚ šŸ™‚

      1. šŸ™‚
        Hope you don’t mind me tagging along and doing it for my location? It’s fun.

  9. Thanks TK.

    Golf at 10:40 AM Saturday in Ayer, what we think? Dodging too many showers?

    1. You might not know an answer until Friday and even then the forecast might be a Longshot.

  11. The Quabbin.

    June 1st: 385 billion gallons (93% of capacity)
    May 1st: 367 billion gallons (89% of capacity)

    The last time the Quabbin was over capacity (412 billion gallons) was about a year ago.

  12. Its been running 55F to 59F at the summit of Mt Washington.

    Per the Auto Road, there are no inversions, so the atmosphere is mixed.

    I do understand we are recovering from cool overnight lows, but clearly with a mixed atmosphere and how warm it is on top of Mt Washington and a June sun angle, it should be in the low-mid 80s by now. Smoke having an effect.

  14. Thanks, TK…

    Our principal sent out an email to staff that they are preparing for an indoor graduation ceremony on Saturday with the hopes that, if the weather is looking good/better mid afternoon, they will try to move everything out to the stadium for 6 pm.

  15. What, exactly(!), will the weather conditions be in North Conway, NH Saturday at 5:01 AM?

    I’m sure this is the kind of thing that can be easily predicted. It involves reading tea leaves if I’m not mistaken. šŸ™‚

    Just curious!

  18. In the 80s outside. Pretty warm inside. But I’m shivering from my flu/fever and have a sweater on. Kind of interesting how the body works. I’ve always found the biological process of temperature regulation in humans (and other mammals) to be fascinating.

  20. We just got a an email from our sutton school supt alerting us ICE is in town and steps taken to keep kids safe. One step includes indoor recess. Would this impact graduation decisions?

      1. And that is putting it kindly. Apparently they were all parked not far from here this am. Sutton is a conservative town Iā€™m really glad to see that the schools took ICE presence very seriously. I cannot help but wonder if some graduation ceremonies will move indoors despite weather

  23. Joshua:

    I know you posted a 1981 Stones concert video the other day featuring Ernie Watts on the sax. I can’t remember the song, but I think it was “Just My Imagination.”

    The last show of that tour was in Hampton Roads, VA. It was a national pay-per-view event and simulcasted on FM radio stations. It may have been one of the first pay-per-view shows ever. I do know it was the first PPV concert I ever bought.

    Here’s “Beast of Burden” with Ernie wailing on the sax:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=weiX0SewLOM

    The finale of the show was “Satisfaction.” As the balloons were coming down from the ceiling, a fan got on stage and went after Keith. At 1:38, look to the right and you can see the kid run on the stage. Keith takes off his guitar and takes a swing at the kid with it. Classic. šŸ™‚

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1o9Di5oOswo

    Hope the clips make you feel better, Joshua!

    82 was the max here this afternoon.

  24. Here a photo of a funnel cloud that I took 52 years ago tonight. My Grandma took me (age 12) and my cousin to a Columbus, Ohio suburb for her oldest granddaughter’s high school graduation. While the adults were at the ceremony, my cousins and I stayed home when there was a Tornado Warning. The town’s storm sirens sounded. We headed to the backyard. I grabbed my camera. The funnel cloud went directly overhead. I snapped this photo before heading the cellar. As far as I know, the funnel cloud never touched the ground.

    https://photos.app.goo.gl/nWBcU6hAGmb9tXpu8

  25. 00z HRRR projecting 90-93F in interior Southern New England tomorrow.

    Not a big gradient, so possibly a feeble seabreeze.

    But with 850 mb temps 15-18C, a strong June sun angle and a weak seabreeze at that, it might still be 84-87F at Logan and on coastal roads/beaches.

    1. The best cooling tomorrow probably makes slow progress from the south coast and after 5pm when the sun angle drops off. Most noticeable on the cape/south coast and then, northeastward to the south shore towards evening.

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