Indian Summer

24 Comments

11:08PM

No significant changes to the discussion posted yesterday. Timing of systems is still similar. Dry/mild weather dominates through Wednesday. A transition to cooler weather for the end of the week means that a wet day is likely Thursday. How much rain falls is still up in the air (no pun intended). A low pressure area east of the Bahamas may become a tropical system and move northward into a position that it could either throw a band of heavy rain into the region later Thursday, or just as easily keep it offshore, robbing the region of moisture for really heavy rain. If this happens, the front coming in from the west may also lose some of its punch and produce less widespread rain. Based on this, Thursday’s forecast is low confidence and so I will just leave the wording the same for now.

Updated Boston Area Forecast…

OVERNIGHT: Mostly clear. Low ranging from the upper 30s suburban areas to middle 40s coast and Boston. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. High 65-70 but cooling back toward 60 along the coast. Wind W up to 10 MPH becoming variable to E in the afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Low ranging from near 40 inland to near 50 at the coast. Wind light SE.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. High 60-65. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. PM showers. Heavier rain possible at night. Low 50. High 60.

FRIDAY – VETERANS DAY: Variably cloudy. Isolated showers early morning & late day. Gusty winds. Low 44. High 54.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 33. High 53.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 28. High 51.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 36. High 61.

24 thoughts on “Indian Summer”

  1. Although for the moment I haven’t made any wording changes to Thursday’s forecast, I will certainly refine it on the next update. I think that the “kind-of-tropical” low pressure area off the Bahamas will develop and move northward, and one of its outer moisture bands will clip the Cape & Islands with some heavier rain at some point Thursday. But with most of the moisture tied up offshore, I think this lessens the rain potential in much of MA otherwise. We’ll have to wait for the cold front to cross the region at night and early Friday, and this front may also be somewhat moisture starved and rain may be limited from this as well.

  2. wow, what a nice morning. last of snow in the yar should go today 9except for the banks)

    looking forward to getting the leaves up this wekend

  3. Thanks TK and it is a lovely morning.

    Does anyone know where in the sky we should look to see the asteroid as it passes by tonight. I heard that it would be around 6:30 but not the direction to look and I’d love to go out to see it.

    1. Hi, Vicki – I just saw the news on WBZ and according to Melissa Mack, you can’t see the asteroid w/the naked eye – you need a telescope. It is as big as an aircraft carrier.

      Beautiful day outside! It is 66 degrees in Sudbury right now.

      1. Hi rainshine – I just came here to say I’d seen that too. Thank you!! The way Dillon was talking this morning I thought you’d be able to see it. I would have loved that.

  5. Just came back from Lunch. Car thermometer was reading 70 Degrees!!!

    Anyone else reach 70?

    Did Logan Reach it?

    Thanks

  6. Some recent local observations:

    Temp. Heat Index Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website

    Allerton Hill, Hull, MA 69.6 °F – 46 °F 42% WNW at 0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 69 ft 2 min 54 sec ago Normal
    APRSWXNET Lynn MA, Lynn, MA 67 °F – 35 °F 31% SSE at 1 mph 0.00 in / hr 26 ft 13 min 7 sec ago MADIS
    APRSWXNET Swampscott MA , Swampscott, MA 63 °F – 46 °F 53% SE at 1 mph 0.00 in / hr 82 ft 16 min 7 sec ago MADIS
    Arlington Heights – Turkey Hill, ARLINGTON, MA 66.9 °F – 44 °F 43% South at 2.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 292 ft 3 min 2 sec ago Normal
    Bass Point, Nahant, MA 69.5 °F – 50 °F 51% SSE at 4.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 38 ft 1 sec ago Rapid Fire
    Buchanan Circle, Lynn, MA 66.0 °F – 49 °F 54% West at 1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 108 ft 3 min 1 sec ago Normal
    Central Square, Cambridge, MA 68.6 °F – 44 °F 41% SW at 0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 24 ft 3 min 1 sec ago Normal
    Chestnut Hill, Chestnut Hill, MA 67.6 °F – 47 °F 48% North at 1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 210 ft 6 sec ago Normal
    East Arlington 2, Arlington, MA 70.0 °F – 48 °F 46% SSW at 2.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 68 ft 2 min 49 sec ago Normal
    East Arlington, Arlington, MA 68.8 °F – 48 °F 47% ENE at 1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 40 ft 17 min 56 sec ago Normal
    East Side Melrose, Melrose, MA 67.2 °F – 46 °F 47% SW at 0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 115 ft 2 sec ago Rapid Fire
    Emerson St. Across from Police Station, Medford, MA 65.8 °F – 48 °F 53% WSW at 3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 12 ft 1 sec ago Rapid Fire
    Fields Corner, Dorchester, MA 79.1 °F 81 °F 63 °F 59% ENE at 6.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 56 ft 2 min 34 sec ago Normal
    Houghs Neck, Quincy, MA 66.7 °F – 40 °F 36% North at 0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 35 ft 5 sec ago Rapid Fire
    Inman Square, Somerville, MA 73.6 °F 77 °F 47 °F 42% West at 3.8 mph 0.00 in / hr 50 ft 25 sec ago Normal
    Lawrence Estates, Medford, MA 65.1 °F – 47 °F 52% NNW at 0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 53 ft 2 sec ago Rapid Fire
    Malden West, Malden, MA 70.2 °F 75 °F 30 °F 22% SSW at 0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 0 ft 33 min 46 sec ago Normal
    MIT (Green Bld Roof), Cambridge, MA 69.7 °F – 47 °F 45% SSW at 2.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 310 ft 8 min 2 sec ago Normal
    Mount Auburn Cemetery, Watertown, MA 70.2 °F 77 °F 47 °F 43% West at 2.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 57 ft 14 min 54 sec ago Normal
    Near Wyoming Cemetery, Melrose, MA 66.4 °F – 30 °F 25% SSW at 0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 90 ft 2 sec ago Rapid Fire
    Newton Highlands, MA 68.2 °F – 45 °F 45% SW at 1.6 mph 0.00 in / hr 149 ft 5 sec ago Rapid Fire
    Newton Highlands, MA 70.6 °F 77 °F 48 °F 44% NNE at 3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 121 ft 2 min 53 sec ago Normal
    North Cambridge, Cambridge, MA 71.3 °F 77 °F 47 °F 42% WSW at 2.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 26 ft 26 min 33 sec ago Normal
    PAPA’S PLACE, MALDEN, MA 70.7 °F 77 °F 48 °F 45% West at 0.0 mph – / hr 52 ft 2 min 0 sec ago Normal
    Porter Square, Cambridge, MA 68.2 °F – 47 °F 47% North at 0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 47 ft 3 min 20 sec ago Normal
    Quincy, MA 68.9 °F – 44 °F 40% North at 0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 134 ft 2 min 49 sec ago Normal
    Quincy, MA 70.6 °F 77 °F 47 °F 42% WSW at 1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 38 ft 1 sec ago Rapid Fire
    The Great Meadow, Lexington, MA 68.7 °F – 48 °F 48% West at 0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 202 ft 3 min 14 sec ago Normal
    Winthrop Beach, Winthrop, MA 66.9 °F – 50 °F 54% SW at 1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 30 ft 3 min 14 sec ago Normal

  7. No surprise but the latest CPC 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks continue with the above normal temperatures.
    I think those snow chances the Farmers’ Almanac for the 12-15th and 16-19th of the month are going to be off.
    I would love to know what they mean when they say squally conditions. I have never heard that term before.

    1. “Squall” was once a popular and now underused weather word. It refers to a sudden increase in wind (there is a certain level it must increase, by definition, but off the top of my head I can’t remember it). The wind must also remain at it’s new, higher speed for at least 1 minute, if I recall correctly. Squalls are often associated with a shower of rain, or snow, or mixed precip, possibly heavy, but by definition, precipitation does not have to occur, as it is based on the behavior of the wind.

    1. The NAM doesn’t think so. Lol.

      Bermuda can have Sean as far as I am concerned. We don’t need no more
      stinken rain!

  12. It is a spectacular night. I’m on the deck. Pegasus is overhead and the moon is shining in my eyes. How can you beat new England?

    1. You can’t. People will argue things like some tropical island wherever, and I’m sure that’s fantastic, and I’m sure when you’re away from city lights the sky looks even better (though that is possible in New England). But you just cannot beat New England. 🙂

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