12:26PM
This is just a quick forecast update for the remainder of the New Year’s Weekend, which runs through Monday for some people, and for the work week following, or the final few days of Christmas for others (through January 6). A discussion of the week ahead and updated forecast will be posted this evening. Happy New Year all!
TODAY: Mostly sunny. High 46-51. Wind S under 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Isolated rain showers before midnight. Numerous rain showers after midnight. Low 33-38. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY: Intervals of sun and clouds. Chance of rain showers during the morning hours. Slight chance of snow showers in the afternoon. High 40-45 in the morning then cooling into the 30s. Wind W 15-25 MPH gusting around 30 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Isolated to scattered snow showers. Low 15-20. Wind NW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts. Wind chill near to below 10 at times.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. High 24-29. Wind NW 10-20 MPH gusting to 30 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 5. High 22.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Low 15. High 33.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 22. High 44.
Based on what I have seen from today’s NAO, I actually agree with WeatherWizard’s post over on Barry’s WBZ blog. We just may be dealing with an actual real snow opportunity sooner than expected. Hopefully, we can squeeze out at least a few inches with much more to come in February.
Barry on his New Year’s Eve blog predicted 20-24″ for Boston this winter. We will have to take what we can get.
I agree I think you and I nail it with the MLK weekend snow that we predicted. There is no way at all January goes snowless.
Coastal has WW or BM contacted you.
Above normal temps and below normal snowfall for January. There will be measurable snow at some point in January and could be a lot more if for some miracle the Old Farmers’ ALmanac is right calling for a blizzard between the 30-31st.
Another slow start for the Patriots and can’t do that in the playoffs. They were fortunate to win against the Dolphins last week but you can’t start like they are today against the Ravens or Steelers.
I’m afraid the Pats are not going anywhere this year. They’re a good team, but have not faced much real competition this year. And, when they have faced playoff-contending competition, have not fared very well (Denver being the exception). Against bad teams, they’ve put themselves in holes and gotten out of them with their impressive offense. In the playoffs you cannot, however, go down 14-0 or 17-0 and expect good things to happen, regardless of whether you have home-field advantage, and in spite of having a masterful QB.
We’re lucky in Boston, however, to have 4 teams that are competitive and have won recent titles. I cannot think of another city with that record.
Well put. Agree.
It really does not feel right outside. I cannot get over how many times I have felt that in the past 6-8 weeks. It is one thing if we get an occasional 50 degree day, but not only are they (too) frequent, they’re also consistent. Every week it seems we hit 50 and most days are well above 40. That pattern is not about to change in a significant way, despite a brief cold snap. Friday we’ll get right back up to at least 45. And, I think we hit 50 again next weekend.
I saw flies outside today. Flies! I’ve been observing nature since I was a kid. It’s what got me interested in weather and weather predictions way back in the early 1970s. I have never in my lifetime seen flies outdoors on New Year’s day. Never! Signs like these, as well as an unusually verdant Boston Public Garden, birds that have barely skipped a beat with their singing this late fall and winter (this is highly unusual, as birds really do tend to quiet down from October on; they have not done so at all this year), hardly any acorn production, and a sense that the sun itself is stronger than normal (this has to do with the prevailing – dominant! – southwesterly wind), have me thinking we could be in for an historic winter. Probably not snowless, but with a bare minimum in terms of persistent cold. I am tossing out my prediction of 48 inches of snow. I think 15-20 would be a stretch at this point, and I do not think Boston gets below 12 all winter.
Boston could go below 12 degrees as early as Wednesday morning!
Joshua, I agree with you on both your points. 21-0 in one quarter, evidently allowing 3 long drives…scary. I missed it thankfully cause I was outside enjoying, as you described, another 50+ day.
Philip, I think your correct ! Already not looking forward to the ice cold car.
Your throwing the flag up way early.Winter is only what two weeks in. With all respect to you ,winter gets going soon. I do not think we make history this winter. If anything this winter will go down as the one that got off to a slow start. I do not think we finish below with regards to snowfall. Yes we may end up having a warm winter, but I think there will be chances that come along and things will come togeather at the right time. I still feel good about the MLK
weekend for a snowstorm, I have plans that weekend and snow will foil my plans, as I will need to work. Hang in there stick to your guns- winter will be here soon, trust me.
If there is any wind it will feel colder. Just as quickly as the colder air moves in its gone.
Weather more like October for the game out there today…
Pats spotted the Bills 21 points on purpose to set up the game the opposite way it was the last time. The Pats will win this game and have either 31 or 38 for their final # of points.
Agree they win. But they have some work to do before playoffs. They seem to be in some sort of funk. As I type how often to they get stopped in the redzone.
They just blew a chance to get ahead.
Yeah that makes my prediction of 31 or 38 harder to get… 😉
Your good now TK !
As they just scored I think you see those points, maybe low 40s.
Well now it’s attainable again thanks to the 2-pt-conv.
It turned into a BIG BLOWOUT 🙂
A very “deceiving” BLOWOUT.
They scored 49 unanswered pts 🙂
But can they play like they have been against good teams. Sorry. The first quarter was horrendous.
As long as there’s 60 min in playoff games we should be fine 🙂
The GFS continues to show a more sustained cold air mass right through mid January, with the exception of 1 or 2 days.
The PNA is my main concern right now, as it is forecast to tank, which is bad news if you want snow.
A note regarding the medium range: While we do see a little less SE ridge (though not completely gone), and the ability to tap a little more cold air from Canada for at least brief shots, we must keep in mind that with Alaska cold and the lack of an amplified ridge for any length of time in western North America, the jet stream entering the USA is flooded with Pacific air. This makes it impossible for sustained below normal temperatures in most of if not all of the US. When you do amplify it’s progressive, cold shots are fleeting, and the dominant pattern is more moderate. I want to believe that warm advection snow is possible later this coming week, but that probably stays north, along with an initial low center, as is typical for weak La Nina / +NAO. Sounds like a broken record.
TK, what are your thoughts about snow just before mid-month? WW suggests January 8-15th.
I can see something around the 8th, but at the moment it doesn’t look serious.
The way this winter is going a 2-4 inch snowfall would be serious, Lol. 🙂
TK, I just remembered…WW was thinking closer to the 12th in particular.
Patriots win!!
I know I was hoping for a big storm at the beach but this is as good as it gets for Jan. Spectacular sunset. Ive now been on the deck for 40 or do minutes. The moon and Jupiter shining down on me. Tom and john and coastal what an incredible area you live in
Vicki, are all children OK?
Longshot you are very nice to ask. Grandson is at beach with us and cough gets much worse when he lies down to sleep so we are all keeping fingers crossed that tonight will be better.
I believe you stay here for a month right? If so you will see snow. I would almost bet on it. I said that for December and was wrong. But there is just no way we go January without snow. A couple of inches or a blockbuster it will happen. It will not be snowless no way at all.
I can’t see how something would happen around the 8th. That would be next Sunday, and as of right now they say next weekend could be in the high 40s to low 50s. Not good for me here as they are to have the grand opening of the skating surface. I know things can change but Mike Wankum from ch5 said he looked out 14days and sees no snow. He also has a mix in his forcast for Friday but said he doubts it will happen.
Some of each weather types would be nice. 🙂
An abc met was just on talking about the two days of cold we have coming up, sub zero conditions. Also said the Buffalo and lakes region will be getting a big snowstorm, some over a foot of snow. That is the big story now guys the very two cold days coming up.I do believe when we get the first storm It will also be a big one like the above. Few storms, but big amounts I think will get us above for snow.
It’ll be just lake-effect snow, very lower water content.
Happy New Year TK. You and I have been kind of thinking alike in regards to this winter. In regards to snowfall do you think we end up with just above for snow, fewer storms but big ones. And I had asked you a question But you did not answer. Would you say your winter prediction on front end snow may come in for second half, I do. Mike W is not thinking we get involved in any mix on Friday, what do you think. But after looking we may be colder to start Friday than I thought. I hope your second year with the blog is as good as the first. Thank’s
for giving us this awesome blog to discuss any and all weather events. A very Happy,Healthy and great year to you and your family.
I think Friday’s precip goes N of us. And it’s going to take a 1969-style 2nd half of winter to have any hope of near to above normal snow this time.
I’m about to committ to a snowless jan or at least under 3 inches for the month, in 4 weeks daylight will be an hr and a half longer than today, we r getting closer and closer to a snowless winter, just got a letter in mail stating if this weather keeps up my lawn guy will be out in just 6-8 weeks, very weird, my grass is green like Sept, have a great day everyone
Two things. One we get snow this month. And Two I would bet my house and everything in It we do not go a snowless winter. Has that even happened before. Just no way It will.
And to boot winter is not even a month old yet. You gota hang tite dude. Winter is coming.
Charlie, if your lawn looks like it did back in September then I think you should get a new lawn guy. Charlie the exaggerator!
January may come in with below normal snow, but by no means will it be snowless.
You know I agree. Has there ever been a snowless winter.
No way we have a snowless January!
I agree with all of you who think January will not be snowless.
I think you used the wrong word Charlie. LOL.
Like I already have said. I think this winter will be remembered as the winter that got off to a slow start, but will finish with a bang. I still call for above snowfall due to two or three big ones.
I thought my sister was a little off when planning her Florida ‘winter get-a-way’ for the end of Feb through March, but now I think she may be on to something.