Saturday March 26 2022 Forecast (8:44AM)

27 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 26-30)

An upper level low pressure system will be the primary driver of our weather over the next few days. This means that our weekend, while unsettled, won’t be anything near a wash-out (or snow-out), but we can and likely will see the development of showers and even some thunderstorms (with possible hail) later today, and the redevelopment of some rain and possible graupel showers and eventually snow showers later Sunday as a trend to colder weather progresses. That cold will arrive in force Sunday night into early next week. Monday will still feature some instability so that we can see a few snow flurries in the region from passing clouds despite plenty of bright sun, and a wind that will make it feel more like January at times despite March’s high sun angle. The coldest temperatures of this stretch likely occur with Tuesday morning’s lows, with a modest recovery to several degrees over Monday’s highs that day, but with lots of sun and a little less wind helping to make the recovery seem a little greater. By Wednesday, while still in the chilly air, we’ll have lighter wind as the low pressure that had been impacting us forever finally lifts away, but just in time for a warm front to approach with increasing clouds and an evening precipitation threat which may include some of the frozen variety…

TODAY: Partly sunny. Isolated to scattered mid to late afternoon showers and possible thunderstorms, with the potential for brief downpours and even some small hail. Highs 50-57. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy with a lingering rain shower possible early, then partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers midday and afternoon, with late-day showers potentially containing graupel. Highs 45-52. Wind WNW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance of a passing snow shower. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Chance of a snow shower. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 22-29. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of snow/sleet/rain at night. Highs 37-44. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 31 – APRIL 4)

There is a lot of uncertainty in this period and obviously impossible for details this far out, but right now the scenario I see as most likely is low pressure passing northwest of our region March 31 with a warm front struggling to move through, and unsettled weather for the final day of the month, and then starting out unsettled and cool with upper level low pressure in the region April 1-2 (much like our current pattern), with hope for a brief warm-up and fair weather to finish the first weekend of April before we eye more unsettled weather by the end of the period. A lot of fine-tuning will be needed for this forecast in the days ahead.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 5-9)

Forecast confidence remains rather low, but the large scale pattern should support near to below normal temperatures and additional episodes of unsettled weather, including the possibility of some late season frozen precipitation for at least parts of the region, favoring the middle of the period.

27 thoughts on “Saturday March 26 2022 Forecast (8:44AM)”

    1. I was thinking about that. Imagine strolling around the arboretum, for example, in a nice spring snowfall. She’d LOVE it. Now, today’s trend is back to fair weather on the guidance. 😉

    2. My father in Law was top level admin for Goodyear. It is why the company sent him to other countries to improve lower producing facilities. FWIW the all weather tires are all you need. I have not had snow tires for decades and have never had a problem.

  8. Somewhat unique opportunity for a convective shower (or t-storm) to produce snowflakes and hailstones at the same time today, especially in Worcester County. If it occurs it will be isolated. While i don’t have the snowflakes in today’s forecast as I think most of what falls will be rain, we can have a shower that is intense enough to drag down cold air and wet flakes briefly, and the same shower can also be producing hailstones (not sleet).

  10. Thanks TK.

    This morning Sarah W. had an interesting distinction between hail and graupel.

    Hail makes noise when it hits the ground.
    Graupel is soft and falls silently.

    1. For the most part. Graupel is not completely silent. It makes a noise when it hits things, but it’s far quieter than hail or sleet. I have video of a moderate graupel shower from last year in which it was making a very audible noise like styrofoam pellets might make. Very quiet, but definitely there. Almost like a hissing sound.

  12. Looking north the last 2 hrs, it’s been pretty dark. But, it has stayed dark. Seeing moderate rain, wonder if anyone has seen hail, sleet or snow flakes ???

    2. Rain here …a whopping 0.02. But having just chatted with my brother in law in CA….that is like liquid gold

  14. Mike Wankum’s post tonight from his friend, Olga, in Ukraine

    “The weather in Kyiv is a little colder than in Boston this time of year. Many places in Ukraine do not heat have right now as fuel is in short supply and they do not want to draw attention to where they live. Clair asked if she was staying warm, here is Olga’s note:
    ++++++++++++++++++
    Yes, thank you, the house is still warm, we have some firewood left. the temperature outside is higher. but at night we do not heat the stove and it is very cold. especially in the basement. I once bought a red ski suit at a secondhand store. at night I wear it. I skied only once in my life. but now he saves my life.

    Thank you for your help!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!, we managed to buy bread today! it is called “Ukrainian”!!!!))) this is a great success!!!”

Comments are closed.