DAYS 1-5 (MAY 16-20)
A very nice mid May weekend is here and while much of the forecast area missed out on beneficial rain from our last visit by low pressure, you now get the chance to enjoy very nice weather, courtesy of a high pressure area moving off the Mid Atlantic Coast. This will bring dry and warmer weather to us this weekend. If you were up early this morning, it was most definitely on the cool side and some areas started the day with fog patches from yesterday’s moisture condensing in a temp / dewpoint matched layer of air near the ground, but that quickly dissipates as the sun rises and the temp quickly climbs up and away from the dew point. The only interruption, if you will, comes in the form of a band of clouds and possibly a couple passing showers tonight as a quick-moving trough swings through the region from northwest to southeast, but this is gone other than a few clouds lingering in eastern and southern areas at dawn on Sunday, and we’re back to fair weather for the day. Monday also holds fair weather for us, but in classic New England fashion, a bubble of high pressure passing to our north will send a back-door front through the region with a temporary Atlantic breeze cooling it down for that day. This Canadian high will then join its southern cousin to our south by Tuesday and Wednesday when we see a preview of summer warmth. We will have to watch for shower and thunderstorm chances both days though. Tuesday, it’s from a trough approaching from the northwest that triggers them well north and west of our area but sends them in our direction. Right now I do believe most of them (if not all of them) don’t survive the trip, but since these can sometimes accelerate and create their own life support, so to speak, I can’t rule a couple out of making it into at least the northwestern reaches of the WHW forecast area later Tuesday. The better chance of showers and storms comes Wednesday as a cold front crosses the region. Currently, timing on this looks late day or evening, but at day 5 there is some uncertainty with that detail.
TODAY: Lingering stratus / fog patches dissipate by mid morning, otherwise sunshine and a few high clouds. Highs 63-70 South Coast, 71-78 elsewhere. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a passing shower. Lows 51-58. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Highs 68-75 South Coast, 76-83 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 62-69 coast, 70-77 inland. Wind shifting to NE 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 52-59. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Slight chance of a late-day shower or thunderstorm favoring central MA and southern NH. Highs 75-82 South Coast, 83-90 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 55-62. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Afternoon and evening shower and thunderstorm chance. Highs 73-80 South Coast, 81-88 elsewhere. Wind SW increasing to 10-20 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (MAY 21-25)
Fair weather with temperatures returning to more seasonable levels May 21-22. May 23-25 is Memorial Day Weekend and I am watching for the potential for a wave of low pressure to bring a period of wet weather, not for the entire weekend, but somewhere around the middle to latter portion of it. This is far from a certainty, just something to keep in mind for now if you have outdoor plans for any of those days.
DAYS 11-15 (MAY 26-30)
A couple shower chances and alternating mild and cooler days in a variable, more progressive pattern.
Thanks TK
A great mid-May weekend on tap!
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 5
Nice
Thanks !
Very nice 5
Thank you TK!
Wordle: 6 too many choices for me
Welcome to the caboose. Nice to have such great company.
Me too – me too! 🙂
Wow, you and Sue. I don’t feel so badly now. 🙂
Exactly Sue, lots of choices !!
Door to the 5 car is open to all, come on up 🙂
63 and going up rapidly. Nice to see
It sure is !
65 here and the ocean has ticked back up to 51. 🙂
Joining the caboose today….
Wow!!! welcome aboard. Who would have thought that there would be 4 of us residing in the caboose. 🙂
Pete was pretty confident about 90s for Tue and Wed and he also mentioned humidity with dps in mid – upper 60s.
hmmm
I reserve all judgement until that time. We’ll find out then.
I sincerely hope that TK is correct and Pete is overdoing the numbers.
my new AC arrives today. With this one and the other 2 I have will generate 20,300 btus of cooling. Retiring an older one.
Pete was correct last time when he saw k temps a week ahead before others saw it. He’s earned an oops. I don’t mind at all if he’s too high this time.
I left the door open for a 90 on Tuesday. I don’t think it happens Wednesday though.
Also the non-met media is going to act like once we get those temps that they’ll be around “for the summer”. Nope. Never happens like that. Never has. Never will.
This is the time to pay attention to the mets and not anchors that read scripts. 🙂
Nice Wordle scores to all. So many choices.
I missed the train
Wordle FAIL
Oh, so sorry, I guess the word was much tougher than I realized.
I thought I was Micky The Dunce by getting it in 6 and now
there are 4 with 6 and a fail and Tom is the engineer with a 5.
I think this might be the 1st time someone was the engineer with a 5. 🙂
Agree. We came close a few days ago to havjng 5 drive the train but IIRC ended with one higher than 5
Yes, a 3 !!!!
Thank you, TK. 61 up from 41
Holding steady at 65 here. A very nice day in store. Love it!!!
Older daughter and SIL are celebrating their 19th anniversary (5/12) by heading to an area of RI I’m not familiar with called Rome point. Perfect day for them.
Nice. I see where that is on a map. Looks beautiful.
I was just reading about it. Sure looks fun.
AI….John H Chaffee Nature Reserve – Activities in New England for …
Rome Point is a scenic, 230-acre undeveloped nature preserve located in North Kingstown (Saunderstown), Rhode Island. It is famous for its 2.5-mile easy hiking trail that leads out to Narragansett Bay, where visitors can watch local wildlife, including harbor seals in the cooler months
68 here
Walked the shore early AM and to wear a sweatshirt. Now 71F.
Nice!!!
69 here. 🙂
86° 69° dewpoint here on Lido Key Sarasota. I’m sending the warm weather north. Lol!
Nice.
Two February’s ago, my wife had a friend and we visited her just north of Sarasota, maybe it was Anna Maria Island. Anyhow, that whole area of the gulf coast is awesome ! Enjoy !!
Totally agree Tom. They are building condos houses and apartment buildings everywhere it’s unbelievable. And of course the weather.
70
Low 70s, welcome back spring !!!!!
You can stay here right til Columbus Day weekend. You don’t have to leave. You can welcome your cousin, summer, to come visit too anytime the next 4 months.
Tell sprinter, autumn and winter they are not welcomed back anytime soon. 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
The 12z GFS has a full on, sprinter Memorial Day weekend.
High pressure in the Gulf of Maine, ESE winds and some periodic rain. Low to mid 50s for highs. Gross.
Of course !!!!!!
Those highs are probably exaggerated but everything else is spot on. Most 3-day weekends are all part of Murphy’s Law. 😉
We should be in a period now where highs are at least around 60-65F minimum.
Don’t be so sure. Around here, we can have highs in. The 50s in June.
Cone of Uncertainty … A little bit more certain.
The NWS has been trying to upgrade the Cone of Uncertainty. For a period of time, they were using an Experimental Version which I believe has been moved to the “Official Version. ”
The image below is the new Cone replicated for Hurricane Milton (2024).
https://imgur.com/a/t3Nojbc
What has changed? Looks the same to me. Of course, I don’t have the actual one in front of me of comparison. 🙂
It is color coded which did exist previously as an experimental version only. The update was announced in this pdf.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/2026NHCNewProductsAndServices.pdf
(You might have to copy and paste)
Cool thanks. Link worked fine!
Ok, I see it now. I like it. Thanks
76 now. WOW!!!! What a day!!! I am out and about. Absolutely gorgeous out!!!! I rate it an 11!!!!!
Just back from ice cream with my granddaughters and a really good lime Rickey for me.
79
That’s so nice and sounds like fun.
Agreed JpDave !! That sounds fun, Vicki !!
Thank you both. It was a real treat.
77.5 here. Just got back. WOW!!! WOW!!! and WOW!!!
What a day!!!!!!
It’s awesome !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Love this day
79 here now. Yummy, but it needn’t go any higher. The higher it goes, the more I worry about tomorrow. At least the DP is nice and low so it is very nice.
Re: The cone.
There really isn’t any more certainty to that forecast based on that product.
The only two things that were done to change it…
– extended the cone inland
– change the status from experimental to official
Low/high today. 41/80
47. 79
49/80 at Logan.
46/78 here
32/49 at Mt. Washington’s summit
What an amazing evening. On the deck in a short sleeve tee with a fire, music, crickets and the Big Dipper directly overhead
https://ibb.co/QvGBwq2K
https://ibb.co/cSyYxrNW
Still 62 at 10:30