DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 8-12)
High pressure sits centered over the St. Lawrence Valley / Upstate NY to start this week off, and this will provide our region with fair weather and a cooling north to northeast air flow today, and a rather cool night tonight as the high center crests overhead. As it slips off to the south Tuesday, a return flow from the west will warm us up off a cool start – so we’ll see about a 30-degree diurnal on average in much of the region (from 50s to 80s in general), though parts of the South Coast and Cape Cod will be cooler due to wind partially off the ocean water. We also get to enjoy another day of abundant sun and low humidity. After this, things change heading into late week. High pressure remains anchored to our south, just off the Mid Atlantic Coast, during midweek. This will increase our humidity and keep it quite warm. Meanwhile, a weak trough will approach from the west, bringing shower and thunderstorm chances to the region starting Wednesday afternoon and continuing through Thursday. This is not to say we end up with a day and a half of rain – far from it, in fact. During this time, two or three rounds of showers and storms are possible with the majority many hours free of any rainfall. If you have outdoor plans, you will want to keep track of what’s going on. This trough departs the region Thursday night. During Friday, while we have drier weather in place, a little push of high pressure extending from Atlantic Canada will cool coastal areas down while it is notably warmer over inland locations. This is a day 5 expectation, so check updates during the week just in case anything changes with this part of the outlook.
TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 67-74 I-95 belt / coast, 74-81 interior. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH, gusts up to 20 MPH especially east-facing shores.
TONIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog lower elevation locations. Lows 50-57. Wind calm.
TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 80-87 except 73-80 South Coats. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 57-64. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Sun followed by clouds. A shower and thunderstorm chance in the afternoon and evening. Highs 81-88. Dew point climbs over 60. Wind SW to S around 10 MPH, could gusts to 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. An isolated shower possible. Fog patches favoring interior lower elevations. Lows 63-70. Dew point 60+.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. Highs 83-90 except cooler South Coast / Cape Cod. Dew point in 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Patchy fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point near 60. Wind W under 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Sun and fair-weather clouds. Highs 75-82 coast, 83-90 inland. Wind variable to E 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 13-17)
High pressure to the south becomes more dominant for the June 13-14 weekend while a weak trough passes through the region June 13 with the slight chance of a few isolated showers and thunderstorms, then a more notable cold front approaches later June 14 with a better shower / thunderstorm chance. Briefly fair after that, but unsettled weather chances increase with an approaching trough toward the middle of next week.
DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 18-22)
There’s some uncertainty remaining out this far in the prognostication attempt where we’ve seen mixed pattern signals and inconsistent guidance. In a general sense, I lean toward unsettled weather chances highest at start of and end of period with fair weather between. There may be a little bit of heat to say goodbye to astronomical spring and welcome the “official” start of summer over the June 20-21 weekend. The summer solstice occurs at 4:24 a.m. EDT on June 21.
https://stormhq.blog/2026/06/08/weekly-outlook-june-8-14-2026/
Thanks TK !
Another Whew !!
What a beautiful looking weather week ahead.
joining you in The caboose.
Good morning and thank you TK.
62 up from 56
Ocean: 55
Wordle: 6. Totally lost, almost a big fat FAIL! Phew!!!
PLEASE, No STINKEN 90s this week!!!!
Even yesterday, still needed AC in the kitchen to prepare dinner. Just one burner on the
Gas stove heats up the kitchen!! Crazy!!
Thank you, TK. We are up to 55 from
A delightful overnight of 50
I second JPD. No stinkin 90 s and low 80s would be lovely
Hmmmm I thought I’d be alone in the caboose.
Good to get this one, Tom and JPD. I was totally lost on this too.
Wordle 6 PHEW
3 on the caboose already. Strange. I Actually thought I had it in 3, but wordle said, sorry no Sorry on 4 and sorry on 5. 🙂
Ugh. I thought I had on 5. I was trying different letters for 3 and 5 positions for guess 5 and a word I don’t think I ever heard was accepted.
I had 2 of those!!! 🙂 🙂
Today begins the earliest sunrise (5:07) 🙂
Then starting tomorrow we go back the other way… 🙁
Fine by me. 🙂
Thanks TK
Gee almost feeling. Good about a 5! Stayed out of the caboose!
I feel lucky that I got Wordle in 5 today.
Great job to you both. I don’t think it’s a hard word but just not one that comes to mind.
Also many possibilities for spots three and five
I echo that sentiment!!
Me too !
Logan 70
70 here as well.
Thank you TK!
Wordle: 4
Nice Sue. Lowest number I’ve seen so far
Awesome, Sue !
Excellent!
72/54
72/50 here
Another beautiful day – nice to see storms and clouds move along swiftly last two nights.
How was your school’s graduation, Jimmy B?
Excellent – a nice late afternoon seabreeze kept it quite comfortable.
Thanks, TK!
73, dp 49
BEAUTIFUL!!!!!!
Can’t complain about a day like this!!!!!! No Way!!!!
Top 10, probably top 5
74/49
Thanks, TK.
80/57. That’s good. Let’s top there. It’s a lovely day
75/50 here.
Dropped to 73 here.
Perfect
JPD. I’m Watching ep 2 of five o. I like it I have the feeling I’ve seen before. Maybe when it first came out. Long enough that I barely remember.
Have you watched The Rookie? My granddaughter got me interested in that. I really like it because the cast is really great together
No, not yet.
Watching Patience now then The Widow
Sounds good.
Thanks TK! Hope all are well here!
It will be heavily dependent on the timing and evolution of multiple upstream disturbances and convective complexes, but Thursday is potentially a high end severe weather day in the general Northeast/mid-Atlantic vicinity. Most likely west-southwest of the Boston area and into the mid-Atlantic. The high instability in a west-northwest flow regime could favor intense bowing segments and a potentially high-end damaging wind threat if one of the upstream disturbances or a remnant MCS/MCV can propagate through during the peak heating hours.
Basically it’s a “ring of fire” type pattern that can occasionally bring intense MCS/derecho events to the East Coast. However, these setups are frequently foiled by unfavorable timing and/or upstream convective debris. The severe wind threat also usually ends up being further south than initially expected by the time convection reaches the East Coast. So my concerns for most of SNE are pretty minimal at the moment. Still, it’ll be a day to keep an eye on til things become more clear.
Interestingly, the medium range guidance had wanted to bring back an omega with trough right over us, and then it trended more to a ridge nearby (axis to the west) with that NW flow you mentioned, and this is the pattern we’re seeming to go into now.
This is a pattern that doesn’t bring a whole lot of help for the drought, but it does bring those severe weather potentials from time to time.
I’ve noticed today that the trend has been for more moisture available for weekend disturbance #1 (Friday night far west, Saturday morning east), but that timing would not maximize coverage or severe threat.
It’s also trended to less moisture to work with for the Sunday threat I had mentioned, and that day may end up with a whole lot of nothing, which would be great news for someone I know who has an outdoor birthday party!
Either way, I don’t think the media should have any cause to declare the upcoming weekend “rainy”, because it won’t be.
Thanks for checking in, as always!
🙂
Agree on all! Friday-Saturday is definitely the more “typical” Northeast severe weather setup but yeah the timing looks terrible for eastern areas. Thursday is more of a wildcard with several failure modes for the severe threat.
I’ll be outside all afternoon and evening in Mansfield MA on Friday so I’m hoping for ZIPPO in terms of any shower & storm threat. 🙂
78/52 here
Warmed up nicely with this “cool” air mass.
Top 5 driest starts to the calendar year (through June 8) for Boston…
#5: 12.29 inches in 1911
#4: 11.88 inches in 1944
#3: 11.54 inches in 1927
#2: 11.25 inches in 1985
#1: 10.72 inches in 2026
It must be noted, however, that I have discussed with a few colleagues who all agree with me that it seems like for many of the events this year, Logan’s precipitation amount seems lower than what it should have been, so there may be some doubt to this year ranking #1.
One example is that their total precipitation for the sizeable winter storm in February 2026, the precipitation was CONSIDERABLY lower than all surrounding stations and did not fit into the data set in any way whatsoever. So while this is “officially” the driest start to a year based on the available information, I have my doubts about its validity.
70/59
74/ 52
67 🙂 😉
The same here!
🙂
🙂
New post…