DAYS 1-5 (JULY 8-12)
High pressure builds in today with fair weather and pleasantly dry air moving in. The high will sink to the south and allow it to heat up a little more on Thursday, but not to the levels of last week’s heat. While Thursday features mainly fair weather, I can’t rule out a stray thunderstorm wandering into areas mainly well west and north of Boston toward evening in response to a disturbance approaching from the west. This disturbance passes through at night, but with the loss of sunshine, fuel to sustain any storms will be lacking and I expect anything that did make it into the area to dissipate. On Friday, however, a cold front will move through the region during the afternoon and evening, with higher humidity in place ahead of it. This provides a better chance for a more widespread shower and thunderstorm occurrence. The front does sweep through Friday evening and night, and introduce fair weather and lower humidity for the weekend. As a high pressure ridge builds to our west, we may contend with some “spill-over” cloud cover by later on Sunday, otherwise it looks like abundant sun and a few fair weather clouds both weekend days.
TODAY: Early clouds mainly Cape Cod / South Coast, otherwise sunshine. Highs 80-87. Dew point falls under 60. Wind up to 10 MPH starts out N, shifts to E, then ends up S by day’s end.
TONIGHT: Clear. Fog patches interior low elevations. Lows 60-67. Dew point near 60. Wind S shifts to W under 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. A stray evening thunderstorm is possible in central MA and southern NH. Highs 77-84 South Coast, 85-92 elsewhere. Dew point near 60. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 65-72. Dew point 60+. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 82-89 except 75-82 South Coast. Dew point rises toward 70. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance of an evening shower. Lows 61-68. Dew point falls below 60. Wind shifting to NW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 78-85. Dew point in 50s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 58-65. Dew point in 50s. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Lots of sun, maybe more clouds late. Highs 80-87. Dew point in 50s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JULY 13-17)
Watching the period from later July 13 to early July 15 for some higher humidity including shower and t-storm chances as low pressure passes north of the region. Fair weather returns later in the period. Temperatures slightly variable, averaging around normal.
DAYS 11-15 (JULY 18-22)
Overall pattern fairly seasonable but a little temperature variability with one or two shower / t-storm chances with passing fronts from the west. No sustained high heat indicated.
Thanks Tk
Good morning and thank you TK
65 up from low of 61
Ocean: 64
Wordle: 5
See you at the 5 car 🙂
All aboard! Welcome. I’ll put the coffee on.
Nice word, but I went down a rabbit hole with my 1st 2 guesses. Luckily I pulled one out of my hat!!!!
Great 5s to you both
Jumping aboard as well
Yay!!
Thanks TK !
During an 8 hr period yesterday, Marshfield airport recorded 2.34 inches of rain. It was a consistent, thick, steady rain that fell all day.
Similar up here, but not quite as much. From what I can tell from the 2 day history on the NWS XML feeds, Logan came in with
1.57 inches. I think we had a bit more here, but I have no way of telling as my rain gauge is kaput plus I have moved the equipment so it would not capture accurate readings even if I fixed the rain gauge.
We got 2″ of rain yesterday.
Wordle in 4 today
Nice 4!!
Very nice 4
I’m hopping aboard your 4 car. JPDs coffee smells great, though, so may wander to the 5 car for a cup if that is all right
Of course! ALL are Welcome!!!
excellent 4.
🙂
Thank you, TK. 65/61 with a 58 low.
We had 2.30 here yesterday and 0.20 Monday. It ranged for soft to moderate which hopefully helped the drought some.
2.10 here for rain as the final tally.
Thanks TK
So nice to see the sun today.
Thank you TK!
Wordle: 4 but also may need to sneak back for a cup of Joe to get this day going.
Great 4. C’mon down, fresh coffee available and a box of donuts as well.
Great 4, Sue!
Large hail stone from the thunderstorms that went through parts of CT 4th of July evening. This is north of where I am.
https://x.com/ryanhanrahan/status/2074860330702761993
Thanks TK.
I like the “table setter” analogy on the recent rains. A hugely beneficial, badly needed soaking rain event.
However, while the table is set, I don’t know that SNE will actually be eating, at least any more than it has already. I see a lot of northwest flow with strong Central/Western US ridging. Should promote a lot of relatively dry air masses with brief moisture surges along fronts/shortwaves, which tend to be pretty fast moving and not the most reliable rain producers. Any troughing influences look too shallow and too far east to scoop up better moisture from the south. And of course, the Atlantic tropics are completely dead and will remain that way for the balance of the season, so no help there.
So with the recent rains, things are gonna be in decent shape for awhile, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see sizable negative precip anomalies for SNE over the next 2-3 weeks at least.
Agree as well on not a lot of high heat, or humidity. Honestly looks like a somewhat fall-like synoptic pattern, but will of course feel warmer than that given the time of year. Occasional severe weather threats as well in the northwest flow, even if the overall pattern is drier…
Thank you WxWatcher
Thanks TK.
2.72” the final total here in Coventry CT as I posted at the end of the last blog and now up to 4.23” for the first 7 days of July.
Rain totals from the NWS:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&highlight=off&glossary=1
This is footage from that storm that moved through CT Saturday night. Wild!
Max Velocity
@MaxVelocityWX
Jul 6
INSANE footage out of Waterbury, Connecticut, Saturday night, as 80+ mph winds swept through a backyard Fourth of July celebration, downing multiple trees in seconds! WOW!
Thank you to Joseph for sending this in to us!
https://x.com/JimCantore/status/2074406148870975897?s=20
Oh my heavens. That’s terrifying
Happy birthday to Captain. Hopefully, I have the correct day
Indeed! Thanks, Vicki! 🙂
Yay. Hope your day is extra extra special. ❤️
Happy birthday Captain!
Ty WxW for the comment above!
CSU came out with an update today and dropped all the #’s again. Each update has shaved a bit more from the previous (April, June, July). I suspect the #’s might come in lower than even what they have now.
Yes, pattern upcoming has an autumn look to it, but it’s really just a summer version of it. We’ll have plenty ‘o warm weather. What we will lack (for now anyway) is sustained heat. Doesn’t mean we can’t sneak 1 or 2 days in the 88-95 range for highs ahead of short waves that will deliver the cold fronts to knock it back down again. All comes down to timing on each of those and the other synoptic specifics that determine how much we can heat up on a given day.
I’m off to kitty-sitting duty for a while this afternoon, before I head up to Hampton Beach NH for their Wed night fireworks show, which promises to be quite a good one tonight. I’ll be making a visit to the launch zone to say hello to the pyrotechs before they load up all the shells and I head back to the safe zone. 😉 Weather is perfect for a pyro show tonight!
Don’t forget the cola drink & backwards hat there Tk
Quick review of 12z info. No changes to ongoing forecast!
Thanks, TK.
Happy birthday Captain
We drive by this beautiful farm about once a week. Today it was a very sad site.
https://www.wmur.com/article/nh-mason-fire-07022026/71804857
It so sad.
So tragic.
Not sure if this was posted I apologize if it was
3” hailstone in CT sets record
https://ibb.co/RFBTJkD
Thank you all for your birthday wishes on the occasion of the 45th anniversary of my 21st birthday! I am grateful for your kindness!!! 🙂
❤️
Are you 66 Captain? 😉
Yup!
New post…