Weekend Update

9:14PM

SUMMARY…
The rain part of the weekend storm is over, having exited to the east on Saturday evening. Low as low pressure exits, an inverted surface trough develops as a mid and upper level low comes across the region Sunday. This means showers, starting as rain or a mix in many areas Sunday morning but transitioning to snow showers as it turns colder. It’s unclear on how persistent these will be, but they may deliver some minor snow accumulation to eastern MA and southern NH before ending during the evening. Monday starts cold and dry then turns milder with advancing clouds ahead of a low pressure area from the Great Lakes which will pass north of the region early Tuesday, dragging an Arctic cold front through. This system will produce rain showers ending as snow showers. The Wednesday through Friday period look cold and dry though a few additional snow showers may be isolated around the region on Wednesday as a secondary trough moves through. By the very end of next week and the start of the weekend, we may be dealing with a messy weather situation as Astronomical Spring arrives. This is far from a certainty as not all medium range guidance is in agreement about this potential system so far in advance. For now, just something to watch.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
OVERNIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Scattered to isolated rain showers. Temperatures steady 35-40 southern NH and northern MA and 40-45 southern MA and RI. Wind variable to NW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers of rain and mix becoming all snow from north to south during the afternoon. Possible snow accumulation of a coating to 1 inch from northern RI north and east except possibly 1-2 inches in a few locations from Boston northward. Temperatures falling slowly through the 30s. Wind N to NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with scattered snow showers early, then clearing. Lows around 20. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.
MONDAY: Sunny morning. Increasing clouds afternoon. Highs 40-45. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Rain showers changing to snow showers morning. Temperatures fall through 30s. Becoming windy.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated snow showers. Windy. Low 15. High 30.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 15. High 35.
FRIDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of snow/mix at night. Low 20. High 40.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain/mix/snow. Low 30. High 40.

378 thoughts on “Weekend Update”

  1. m sorry and yes i know i have not been around as long as many on here πŸ˜› but to say that climate change is not happening at all or that humans are not making climate change happen faster than it would if we were not burning pollution just means your blind … Parts of the rockies have had drought since 2000, it has just look at the charts. The increase fracking in the rockies as well are leading to the drought. (worse possible kind of drilling) Overall global temperatures are on the rise in general… There are more extremes happening. There are more orange on the map and less blue but where the blues and purples do happen they are very extreme.Sorry but people can not say that these extremes happen all the time the way they do.. current ocean temps
    Climate change is happening. More extremes will happen. The jet streams are moving further north and the polar jet is generally getting weaker. The gulf stream in the atlantic is getting weaker. (gulf stream getting weaker will actually make our water off the coast colder for a while.)

    We are all ready to late to stop sea level rise, its all ready happening. several island nations are being evacuated this year.
    If we stop burning all the fossil fuels today and go green the ice in antartica and the artic will continue to melt and for 100 years, sea levels will wise.
    Florida gone, cape cod gone. south shore gone. I would have beach front property here in billerica.
    If people can open their eyes, we can minimize the effects that will happen and we can prevent it from getting even worse than that.
    Its our choice
    sorry for the harsh words, but its making me mad to no end that there are still people that think climate change is not really and that we are not responsible for climate change, yes its a natural process but we are making something that should take many many years and making it happen much quicker than it should.
    and to see goverment with a snowball saying this is why global warming is not true makes me wonder, why i could not all ready do his dam job for him

    1. Matt I hear many say the younger generation doesn’t have a clue. But you do. And my kids honestly believe you will turn things around. Never stop fighting for what you believe.

    2. Couldn’t disagree more. If the earth can’t deal with 100 or so years of human industry in what was a very small part of the planet it couldnt have survived the 4 billion years of space bombardment, earthquakes, volcanoes, etc. We humans think we are so important and it is beyond vain to think we could have that dramatic effect on weather and climate that fast. We have what…a few hundred years of weather data? In the scheme of the earths age that is statistically useless. We may as well have none. Greenland was once lush and green and now it is under ice and all this before people had any useful industry. The earth is a entity and strives for balance and will achieve it at some point. We know the earth was once much warmer than what we call hot…then ice ages comes and go. Balance. Car exhaust and plastic cups are laughable if the earth could do such a thing.

        1. Do you really think such a small window of industry can affect this planet? We are right now insignificant in the scheme of things. At some point our time will be up and the earth will start over as it always has. It’s no different than a climate cycle. The earth cannot be that sensitive given the violence of conditions it lives in naturally. We have no concept of true weather and climate patterns and nothing we see and experience now can safely be labeled as normal or not.

          1. YES! we are burning dead animals and plants that are not suppose to be in the atmosphere, stop kidding your self, i thought you were smarter than this

            1. So smart means believing in something that has little to no evidence? No thanks. Climate change is the new religion and is being manipated. The very “founder” of this used a computer model that was making predictions centuries in advance…and he we are still unsure about what snow there might be tomorrow. Furthermore when this model was fed accurate data from past forecasts it failed to predict the weather. If you care that much stop your blog as every upload and visit creates a carbon emmison from the server it is hosted on.

              1. Btw Matt I am not trying to be a jerk…I have no problem with you or your opinion even though I don’t agree with it at all.

      1. WW. This is how fast

        https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ysa5OBhXz-Q

        And in only 50 years we have managed to spread PCBs to oceans throughout our planet….including both poles

        Is it all man? Nope. Does man play a part? Yep. Do we have definite answers? Nope. Does it hurt to stop our pollution? Nope but it may very well hurt if we do not.

        Just my opinion.

  2. Flowers may start blooming in Minneapolis. What a stretch they’ve been on and continue to experience. Flower power 60s for days.

    1. Its 34F in Churchill, Canada ….. around 60N latitude, halfway up Hudson Bay’s west shoreline.

      Part of a tremendous surge of warmth into central Canada, where its currently in the 40s and 50s.

    1. We did that on contest page. And I don’t care but if it important to my friends I’m right there with you

  3. Matt, Thanks for your post. I’m not as alarmed by the phenomenon as you. For example, I’m not sure I concur with your statement on Cape Cod. Cape Cod is a highly dynamic peninsula that has changed quite a bit in my lifetime, and not due to climate change but simply natural erosion and displacement. However, admittedly I know less about the topic than I should. And less than you. What I have read is that climate change is real, has been cyclical over time, and appears to be trending in a warm direction. This has led to significant ice loss in the Arctic. Notably, there appears to be some positive news on this front in that the ice loss slowed considerably in 2013 (perhaps even stopped). We don’t know about the degree to which mankind is causing change. However, it stands to reason that mankind is partly responsible for changes in the climate. I’m a person who likes to read both sides of a debate and try and inform myself. Last year I posted a link on this blog to an interesting article by a global warming skeptic. The piece was in the Wall Street Journal. Here, I’m going to reference an article I just read in Harper’s Magazine: Gretel Ehrlich. Rotten Ice: Traveling by dogsled in the melting Arctic. It gives the other view, the one you (Matt) share.

    1. Good comments from you as well. Cyclical is a given IMHO. And only opinion. But man has to be a large contributor as well.

      I know the ice in Antarctica slowed melting. I think arctic ice is still melting at a worrisome rate. I am not sure about the cape and your comment is accurate that it is always in flux. But I also believe oceans in the northeast have risen more than other areas. I believe in a very recent two year period the ocean rose close to 4 inches

    2. that positive news is rubbish it was a temporary pause and it has since started up again, also there has been an increase in precipitation at the poles hint the increased snow and ice build up.

  4. I think the climate change debate will be easier to have when politics are left out of it.

    And both sides are equally guilty, which is another reason I DESPISE political parties.

    As far as being proactive, I’m all for it. It can’t hurt.

  5. Tom, thanks for letting me know about the temp at Churchill. That’s incredible. The forecast doesn’t look cold either. This applies to Minneapolis, too. Unusual to say the least. However, Yellowknife is quite cold, and Eastern Canada is very cold.

  6. Ocean levels have increased drastically around the northeast coasts do to ice melt in greenland.

      1. thought is not totally the ocean, the land is actually sinking do to the type of rock in the mid atlantic and southeast

  7. Being good stewards of the earth should not be empty rhetoric. At home, it implies continued conservation and expansion of state and federal park lands designated for non-commercial purposes. It means universal recycling that is not locale-dependent. Energy efficient manufacturing. Enforced regulations of industries that emit pollution. Overseas, more concerted efforts need to be made by the Chinese and Indian governments in particular to rein in pollution. Pollution data tampering (and in some cases excising of data from official records) by the Chinese Communist Party is rampant and an affront to the population the government is supposedly serving.

  8. Don’t look now but our Boston teams are on some good winning ways. Celtics only 1/2 game out of the playoffs!

  9. I have spent 2 weeks camping up in the mostly undisturbed Adirondacks of far northern NY State.

    Locally, I have spent countless weeks camping in Myles Standish Forest.

    We’ve had opportunity to spend time in other wooded, undisturbed areas.

    Usually of course, in the heart of summer.

    I can tell you that in those areas, there’s one kind of weather and that includes temperature. Its the earth at its most natural and its an airmass at its most unaffected.

    Then, you come out into the developed world.

    Cement, dark pavement, heat absorbing buildings. (not complaining about these things, I’m thankful for them).

    I have done some same day treks between these two worlds.

    Its not always a north-south latitude drive either.

    There is a difference. And when spread out over the whole of the earth and modified by so much, its a very small difference. But trust me, there is a difference. And we are having a small impact on things. Hopefully, it continues that way. πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚

  10. The NAM and the GFS have both backed off on snow for tomorrow.
    Oh well, bound to happen, I guess.

    However, the RGEM has ramped it up just a bit. Now has Boston in the jack pot
    area for 3 inches .

    So I guess we just let tomorrow come, enjoy the day, and see what happens.

  11. I guess it’s going to be a sort of an ugly day. Cloudy, rain & maybe snow squalls. Then colder later in the week. Oh well, it’s never going to warm up. πŸ™

  12. Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    What is a line connecting equal points of pressure?

    A. An Isobar
    B. An Isallobar
    C. An Isotach
    D. An Isotherm

    Answer later today.

  13. Today’s 2nd AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    What is the average date of the last freeze in Boston? (Not the best phrased question)

    A. March 28
    B. April 1
    C. April11
    D. April 20

    Answer later today.

    1. This is the closest we get to a broken record today! :)http://yotrailmix.deviantart.com/art/A-broken-record-5000-181578103

  14. Matt, you certainly have a lot of passion but I would be careful with absolutes. It is the most intelligent person who knows what they don’t know. Power corrupts and I think this issue is more about power and money than anything else. Look at all the money to made on carbon credits and the other green schemes being proposed. The earth was flat 500 years ago and just a few years ago “global warming” became “climate change”. The earth is so dynamic that one volcanic eruption can have the same effect as 100 years of humans running cars so it’s hard to say we have much of an impact compared to the awesome power nature wields. We could both go on and on with points and counter points which tells me it’s still a debate and not an absolute as you suggest.

    1. scientists have always used climate change, its only in politics that its called global warming which is very deceiving

    1. I was going to go with C, too. But, then thought about planting season – Then again, I think I missed the key word “average” so C is probably the correct answer πŸ™‚

  15. vicki,

    real simple answer to your question on why politicians get involved.

    They get involved wherever they see an opportunity to shake down for money. And there’s plenty to be made in “climate change”

    1. I agree. But there are a whole lot more than politicians involved. Greed in good part has created the destruction of has caused of our planet and continues to do so.

      In my very humble opinion, the best comment here was Joshua’s. “Being good stewards of the earth should not be empty rhetoric. “.

      1. And what strikes me as even more odd is that among Americans it is split by party lines. I’d be willing to bet a good portion who do not subscribe to our harming the atmosphere run right while the converse is true for those who do subscribe.

        1. They’re split by party lines because they’re taking money from two opposing points of view. By in large, they really don’t care about an issue in the end. Just so long as the money is coming in.

          Pollution and stewardship should be taught as a moral issue, not political or even scientific issue IMO. We’d make more progress in that case.

          Profit incentive has what’s gotten us out of being cave dwellers. It just needs to be kept in check with some morality and good old fashioned values, not rules put in place by whoever donated the most.

  16. NWS over-so-slightly bumped up their forecast snow totals in eastern MA, more like expanded the 1-2 inch area and added a few tenths to the top end on the “potential for this much” map (which I still don’t care for).

  17. Good morning!!! 38.7 degrees, our local ponds and rivers are very close to flood stage, a matter of fact the lake level has risen above the ice by 3-4 inches, and the streams are right at flood stage. Looking like a nice week ahead. It will be our 1st full week performing visits and lime apps. Good day everyone πŸ™‚

  18. Yesterday in Churchill, Canada (according to weather underground), the high temp was 37F……… The avg high for the date is 3F.

    You might wonder if this heat the daily record high ?

    Yup. By 14F. It was originally 23F in 1998.

    It hasn’t cooled off overnight.

    Currently it is 37F. Overnight avg low is -9F. Yup, only running 46F above normal. Can anyone find me a place on the planet running 46F below normal?

    This, in the short term, is also why all of a sudden, tomorrow locally, is headed for close to 50F, because nearly every weather model underestimated this quick, but amazingly intense surge of warmth into central Canada.

  19. Tom, that is disturbing temperature data from Churchill, particularly given the persistence in warmth all week and into next. That’s polar bear country. They’re not going to like that kind of warmth.By the way, it’s been above-normal warm almost everywhere in the Northern Hemisphere, except Eastern Canada.

    1. Yes.

      The good news is ….. The 7 and 10 day outlooks for Churchill show a return to average temps. Near 0F by day and below at night.

      I do though, think, this 2 day Churchill example helps to explain why every month we seem to get the monthly temperature summarization for the whole planet and it usually reads something to the effect of …..

      “this month was the 2nd warmest in the last 30 years, with a temp .52F above the 30 year average, etc.”

  20. Here’s an idea….don’t respond to Charlie’s provacative statements and he’ll stop making them.

    1. If this is true and I certainly agree with an overall cooler than average pattern the next 10 days at least, we probably wont have many 60F days. πŸ™‚

      30s, 40s and low 50s while we are below average, then straight to 70F (inland especially) in later April and May, if the pattern flips to above average.

      Straight from heat to A/C. πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚

    2. By the way, my guess is we lost more like 1/4 of our snow cover yesterday in Marshfield.

      I had guessed 1/3 to perhaps even 1/2.

      How about where you are Coastal ?

      1. It’s rather tough to judge here. My entire front lawn has received snow from my snow thrower and from the towns road widening equipment. But if I go to my FB page and see the picture I posted with my wife a children next to the snow bank., the snow bank is over my wife’s Pom Pom on her hat. The pile of snow is now roughly 24″. So that area lost about 3′ of snow. Another gauge I use is my children’s swing set. I would say some areas have lost of 50% and some just under. At the road it’s still at mail box height.

        1. I think we, ask a region should be very grateful with the rate of melt so far and let’s hope it continues at the same rate.

        2. I was amazed yesterday that more didnt go.

          From 2pm til about 6pm, it poured and it was close to 45F with almost that dewpoint and it didnt seem to make a huge dent.

          I guess this stuff is going to go very slowly.

    1. It worked. And although I appreciate the link, I only watched 2 minutes. Does he stop blaming people for wanting to undo what we have done? There is a huge difference between natural and manmade elimination. He sees we have done enough already so is halfway there. If you say he gets to that I can watch the rest. If not I am not in the market for a new iPad and mac already said I should stop yelling at. I think he’s afraid I’ll throw it πŸ˜† πŸ˜‰

  21. Combo of breaks in west-central Mass per visible satellite, while ….. radar echos seem to be growing in south central NH.

  22. On another note with the continuing saga of the on again off again snow storm for
    the 21st. Well it’s sort of off again, not due to the storm going poof, but rather to it
    being suppressed just enough for a miss or graze depending on model of choice.
    Still 6 days away, so we’ll just continue to watch. πŸ˜€

      1. Mesoscale models predict the main precipitation to come
        later this afternoon, starting around 2-5 PM or thereabouts.

  23. Still Raining lightly here with tremendous dynamic cooling. We’ve gone from
    39.2 all the way down to 39.0! πŸ˜€ πŸ˜€ πŸ˜€

  24. I don’t think it goes to snow that quickly in Boston. Have to wait for reinforcements in precipitation from the NNW, probably after 1PM sometime.

    1. I saw that as the precip lightened and then went poof. Need heavier
      precip. The cold is above us for sure!

      1. Next batch seems to be holding together better and seems
        to be intensifying. We shall see. πŸ˜€

      1. My Davis weather station is reading the outside temp of 40 with a dew of 34. The dew has dropped 2 in the last 30 min. What’s interesting is that it now shows a snow flake on the top……

  25. Just NOT cutting it. Getting WAY to Mild.

    41.7 Here now with wee bit of light rain.

    More echoes heading in. Just not potent enough to do anything with the boundary
    layer. I expected it to stay under 40. NOT SO!

    It better come down in buckets, else no snow/no accumulation. πŸ˜€

    1. Don’t forget, not only will be bringing cold air down from above but also advecting it in from the north at the same time. This can happen very quickly.

  26. 12Z GFS now has a SNOW event for th 21st. Not a Huge storm but something like
    3-6 inches or so. Maps to follow.

  27. It’s crazy that I’m saying this but if it does snow, it will only be on grassy surfaces, lots of bare spots πŸ™‚

    1. And existing snowcover.

      Pavement down your way will only slush up if you get a few moderate snow showers this evening. Most of that activity should stay northeast of you.

    2. The only bare spots are under the warmest areas- cesspool tanks here in Mansfield…. Charlie it is the same for you

    3. Charlie, I live on the same town as you and ALL parts of my yard that I did not shovel are completely covered. If you only have patchy snow and grass everywhere else then post a picture for us to see. It would be nice for all of us to see what the grass looks like again :).

      1. I would love too I just have a iPhone camera, here we are mostly bare, if your not bare, you both will be bare ground soon enough πŸ™‚

          1. Thanks Hadi. I’m curious too. Then we can see Charlie’s snow that is gone and ours that isn’t πŸ™‚

  28. I know it’s temporary but it has been getting lighter where I am…very bright out but no sun.

    1. Wow super bright…hard to describe. About as bright out as it can get without direct sunlight.

  29. It is 39 with on and off light rain. 0.02. And the sun behind the clouds is reflecting off of the car windshield I was thinking the same that WW expressed.

  30. The bright areas today, expected. The forecast is for mostly cloudy, not overcast. We have a somewhat cellular setup to the cloudiness and shower activity, rain and snow. A few episodes of sun will occur this afternoon.

    1. Has a surreal feel to it…bright enough that you expect to see the sun but when you realize there is none it is wierd.

  31. WOW! 43.5 and still climbing. GEEZ WAY MILDER than expected.

    No rain. No Snow. Nothing going on. Very bright.

      1. Yup, IMO, KISS any snow any chance of snow for
        Boston GOOD-BYE! SEE YA!

        Now up to 44.1 here and still climbing.

        1. Never looked good to begin with. Now let’s all enjoy some sun as we kickback on Sunday.

      2. The forecast was for a coating to 1 inch with the POTENTIAL for 1-2 inches from Boston north.

  32. Snow’s not coming to Boston today. I blew the call, again. Even if it does snow it’s too warm. We’ll see about later this week. Plenty of chances ahead, but it seems that the snow Gods are no longer targeting Boston.

    1. I love the contrast. I was just looking at a similar photo I took here while I looked at the same spot now.

      1. Oh and we have a butt on the reindeer on the front lawn. About a foot gone this past week I’d say

  33. NWS Boston ‏@NWSBoston 51m51 minutes ago
    Will Boston break the all time (resent recorded history) season snow fall record today? Probably just short, more likely next weekend!

      1. About 2 inches. AND yes these maps don’t allow a range
        so those 2 inches are included for next weekend’s event.

  34. Just took some trash out and the rain has a whitish look/feel to it.
    Temp down to 42.3. Hmmm

  35. Portland, ME ….. Portsmouth, NH, that general vicinity …….

    All have northerly surface winds and are much colder than most other areas.

    Generally upper 20s to near 32F.

    I dont know if there’s a subtle little “back door” boundary about to work into easternmost Mass ……..

    1. Inverted trough line. That is what I was referring to earlier when I said not to forget how quickly things can happen.

    2. Even Beverly, Mass’ temp of 33F kind of sticks out as being quite colder than Logan and the rest.

      1. When we get up to southern Maine, we try as often as we can to get to Kennebunkport. Great coastal town.

  36. The way the trough line seems to want to place itself, Boston’s main threat for snow will be 5PM to 8PM.

    1. And considering that timeframe is with a lower sun angle or having set outright, that may be more opportunistic for snow accumulating than if that came through now.

      1. Very much true in this case since you are relying on a less-than-solid overcast and precipitation area to do it.

    1. Yes…definitely more rain than snow at the moment but flakes are in the air. Down the street a few miles it is just rain.

    1. Lawrence has an 010 wind and is down to 34F.

      Marshfield came around to 030 and just dropped from 43F to 37F.

      I find this kind of interesting.

        1. Ok, changing quickly !

          Its cold !!

          Much less bright skies ……. with light snow, ice pellets, and graupel.

  37. Taking a look at gfs for late week and it has 1.17 QPF and all snow in Boston. Maps I am looking at 10:1 ratio are all showing 12+ plus. 850 temps are cold enough and surface temps are all around 32-33 degrees. Now let’s have some run to run consistency.

  38. Snowing moderately here and has been for over an hour….pavement starating to get covered

  39. Brief burst of wind and wind driven rain/sleet/snow. I can see sun behind clouds again. Still 36. Was 40 before burst

  40. Visibility down …. In steady snow !!!

    North wind is gusty.

    Starting to accumulate on existing snow cover.

  41. Logan, 34F ….. 1.25 miles in light snow, NE wind.

    The radar too ….. This could get interesting !!

  42. Beverly, heavy snow.

    Lawrence, moderate snow.

    Nowcasting, Logan has a shot at 107.6 tonight.

    The cold is here, there’s some precip, lets see what happens.

    1. Same happened here Tom. I could hear rain slamming window. Wind was whistling. Then poof and brightened. Some flurries and a bit more wind now

  43. I was just in Boston and just cleared the bridge on 93n… Doing nothing in this area but a super light mist.

    1. This is what I love about weather …..

      I’m further south, by a good 30 miles and a bit east, and I’m sitting in a colder airmass thats producing accumulating snow.

  44. If this were May, on an early warm season hot day, it would be 90F most everywhere ….. except along the immediate shoreline, where the wind turned, the temp fell 30F in 10 minutes and its foggy.

    I will never forget being at Ogunquit in April 2002. It was an early season hot day, about 90F. The wind turned NE and I promise I’m not exaggerating that it was 45F to 50F within 30 minutes.

    My wife and I ran from the beach into the still hot car to warm up.

  45. I was just out to W. Roxbury. Rain.

    When I was done, driving home in Rain. 1/2 mile from house I see flakes.
    A few moments later it was all snow literally raining snow. Then it flipped to a mix
    and it’s been back and forth for about 20 minutes. It can’t make up its mind.
    Down to 36.9 and dropping.

  46. Went outside to play with the kids. It was 43 degrees and raining when we went out. Someone’s shoe fell off so we had to put it back on, when finished it was snowing heavily. It happened that quick! Temp now is at 34.

  47. Snowing here at pretty good clip. Come on baby let’s do this so we don’t have pressure this weekend.

  48. On the radar, I believe this inverted trof is able to be seen.

    Its pushing through the interior south shore.

    There is a thin line of yellow echos on the radar (possible the change from rain to snow with the front).

  49. What are the conditions at Logan? If it’s anything like here then the record is in hep jepordy tonight. Then if we get nailed next weekend then the record will be smashed.

    1. Logan’s temp, since trof passage, has been running around 34F.

      They’ve had visibilities btwn 1.25 and 4 miles, so I cant imagine they have seen more than .1 or .2 inches of snow.

      However, it is 30F in Portland, ME and Portsmouth, NH, so, as the next 1-4 hrs go by, Logan’s temp should fall slowly.

      Nowcasting the radar, I think TK is spot on about 5 to 8 pm for snow at Logan.

      1.5 inches in 3 hrs is moderate snow, I believe, so, I’d hedge that it will fall a bit short, but, one heavy burst of snow and then, it has a chance.

  50. Charlie, about the current snow cover in ur area, are u basing some of ur reports on the snow along the highway? Much less snow along 95 and in the median in ur area but that is not an accurate representation of current snow cover in the neighborhoods where actual people live. My mom in Attleboro has an average of 8-10″ of snow in her yard.

  51. Last 2 special obs at Logan, show moderate snow and 32F.

    LOL ………. Logan could get the record the next 4 hrs and 15 miles west on the Mass Pike, folks might be saying ……. Really ????

  52. Had somewhat of a lull, but its picked up in intensity again.

    Existing snowcover, trees and cars have perhaps 1/4 to 1/2 inch of wet snow on them.

    Walkway and driveway are thinly coated.

    The street is still dark pavement.

  53. Answer to today’s 1st AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    What is a line connecting equal points of pressure?
    A. An Isobar
    B. An Isallobar
    C. An Isotach
    D. An Isotherm

    The answer is A.

    Answer to today’s 2nd AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    What is the average date of the last freeze in Boston?
    A. March 28
    B. April 1
    C. April11
    D. April 20

    The answer is C.

    1. I believe the Taunton NWS office has a case study event (today), ……… for one of their presentations at a future weather conference.

    1. ok, as if on queue it starts snowing lightly

      welcome back snow, I missed you… nice to have you back without arctic air

      1. Oh you are as hooked and sad as I am…and I say that with tremendous respect. I couldn’t figure how, after all the snow we’ve had, I got really excited to see it start to fall. It is beautiful. And the air feels and smells great. I have the window open in the room I’m in.

        1. Yup, Stockholm Syndrome or something.. snow is my captor no matter how poorly it has treated me in the past.

  54. Logan ….. 1/4 mile in heavy snow !! 31F.

    I believe it, thats what I’m seeing and I’ve got about 1 inch of new snow.

  55. Went out in the backyard today and measured snow base, here in Andover. 17 inches. Was 25 inches last weekend so we lost around 8 this week.

  56. In last hour at temps 31F to 32F with snow falling, Logan has reported .06 melted.

    That has to be .6 inches of new snow so far.

    Radar shows echoes generating and lined up with east Boston.

    I think Logan may get the record the next few hrs.

    I have always said I didnt care if they get the record, but, this sure is interesting watching this play out !!

  57. Just dtove to peabody. Holy crap.
    2 inches. Roads a mess. Vis as low ad 1/16
    Mostly 1/4 mile. Holy shit!!@bad bad bad

  58. This keeps getting more amazing !!

    Its a powdery snow !!

    Its blowing around, on the ground, off the roofs …. My truck thermometer was reading 27F.

    Logan is down to 30F and has another ob of heavy snow.

  59. Actually, an inch-plus on the walkway, but 2.5 inches on the grass where there were a couple bare spots. Which one would be the official measurement?

      1. But if driveway is wet, then it melts as it falls and that isn’t accurate either. Good question.

  60. Tim Janis A Winters Eve followed by his A Thousand Summers is on the playlist.

    Snow picking up again but not as full of water

  61. I’m sorry, but are you all playing with my head? Very light snow in Milton–no accumulation anywhere, not on cars, grass, bushes–not even on my snow piles. I’m feeling a little like Charlie right now–because I was just going to stay out of it, but I have to say that I have quite a bit of bare ground in my yard where I didn’t shovel.–southern exposure, I live on the top of a hill (closer to the sun, maybe?)

    1. It is snow blindness. It is really there πŸ˜‰ And we have snow but nothing more than a dusting. Pretty though.

  62. By its own obs, Logan has 5 obs over 1 hr, 33 minutes during which moderate or heavy snow was being reported at a temp of 31 or 32F.

    Additionally, at those temps, they have reported .10 melted.

    So, at 7pm, they have to report at least 1″ new snow from this afternoon or I will file an appeal with whomever the weather world’s version of their supreme court is.

    πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚

    1. Let’s hope Charlie isn’t there taking obs.

      Nothing out here today except a few squalls here and there. No big deal.

  63. Just heard Barry in length on wbz radio. Said this should be winding down shortly probably by 8 if not before. I don’t know where there studio is but he said it was only light snow. Asked if Boston would break the record tonight he said he had no idea. He said sometimes Logan reports less than some of the neighborhoods. Here in Pembroke the snow now is lighter.

  64. Seriously as soon as I say nothing more than a dusting a full fledged blizzard arrives.

    That might be a slight exaggeration but it is snowing like crazy and fun windy too

  65. I guess the snow Gods returned to Boston. I know they’ve long abandoned Attleboro, but they’ve definitely made a cameo appearance in beantown. If the record doesn’t fall tonight it will surely fall with a squall later this week. I actually think there will be more snow chances the coming two weeks than we’ve had the last 10 days or so.

    1. Ya know I am absolutely fine with breaking it a bit at a time.

      After more than a few I know said they wanted the record broken and I pointed out it had the potential to be by a foot just as well as an inch they got a really funny look on their faces πŸ™‚

  66. Looks like it is about over…not much here. Would guess half inch. TK what’s your amount so far? Walkway is covered but can still see bricks below it for example. Roof has thick coating but with 40’s and sun tomorrow it should all be gone.

    1. I had 2.1 inches here, a little less on the west side when I dropped my friend off, but not much less.

          1. Thanks, DS. I just measured here and it’s 1.7, but hey if they say Logan got more I believe it. Let’s toast the Logan observer.

        1. Joshua in your location back bay can you give me an update on road conditions. I suspect your not far from north eastern college yes?

  67. South Shore may once again be in the jackpot zone. Incredible. I think Boston maxes out at an inch and a half, while some South Shore communities will get over 3 inches. My guess is some towns on the South Shore will have gotten over 125 inches of snow this season. Not normally the snow belt of Massachusetts, but this year a different story.

    Record will fall in Boston soon. A squall or sustained snow shower will do it. Could be as early as Tuesday night.

  68. Alright ……

    All set, 108.6 inches #1 !

    When’s it going to be 90F ???

    Best be soon, I think we deserve equal time. πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚

  69. So now do we have to deal with people obsessing over how much more we can break it by??????? Haha. Congrats to you snow people now let’s get sunny.

  70. Weird oldsalty reports 1/2 inch in his section of Boston I think west Roxbury and Logan as Tk said has 3. No call in yet so Roxbury must not be that bad yet.

    1. Very, very tight gradient John. A difference of 5 miles meant something.

      Last Thursday, it was a north-south difference.

      Today, it just happened to be a west-east difference.

    2. Immediate coastline and South Shore did do better, I think. However, I’m a bit surprised, too as I `only’ have 1.7 inches. This said, let’s toast the Logan observer, whoever he or she is.

  71. I get all the hardship, I get all the “tired of it”, I GET all that. I sympathize.

    But as a meteorologist, science nut, weather geek, and climatology fanatic, I AM THRILLED about finally busting this record!!

    Oh and by the way, we’ll be going over 110 inches before the season is over…

    Dinner time, new blog in a while.

  72. It is nice that we broke the record and all, but let’s CRUSH it! Anyone for 120″?

    10 feet of snow just sounds more impressive than 9 feet

    Seriously, if another flake does not fall, I really enjoyed this season and following along here. Happy either way. Go Snow or Go Spring, it is all good.

  73. Finally!
    *** SNOWIEST WINTER ON RECORD FOR BOSTON ***
    AS OF 7 PM…2.9 INCHES HAS BEEN RECORDED AT LOGAN BRINGING THE
    SEASONAL TOTAL TO 108.6 INCHES

  74. It’s a beautiful March snowfall. I think even Charlie would agree if he could see it here in Boston. The snow will be long gone tomorrow afternoon. But, I suspect more snow is on the way in the form of squalls or perhaps even another storm. This winter’s not leaving us without some counter punches.

  75. I support this number at Logan. (today’s snowfall)

    2 reasons ……

    1) it was a north to south moving precip shield and if you look due north and south at snowfall amounts on the north shore and south shore, the snow amounts in those towns are comparable to 2.9

    2) Logan JUST made it into the heavy precip. A line of green echos were over easternmost Boston. I think we’re talking 2-3 miles from having missed.

      1. Wouldn’t be surprised to see some snow here and there until Easter. Looks like a few chances ahead!

    1. Yes he did. A pizza. But then last week he said it would.

      Thanks for complimenting him πŸ˜‰

  76. Kudos to DS for breaking WHW news. Very nice ❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️⛄️⛄️⛄️⛄️⛄️

  77. TK were you measuring snow that fell and melted? I know where I live I usually get more than other parts of Woburn but I just went out and we got maybe a thick coating. Roof has the most but ground has bare spots and snow is pretty tame. I was out during all of this and was amazed at how a mile diffence was big. By the high school roads were much worse than when I left the center. Burlington was mostly snow free when I was there.

  78. Now we can look forward soon and it will be soon some hopefully hot weather after this winter. I’ve heard a lot of reports on a very hot and dry summer. Can’t wait.

    1. I would love to see Logan report 90 degrees on multiple occasions with a few 100 degree days to top it off. That would be a great summer.

  79. I am glad to see Boston broke the record with all the snow they got. I was way off with my .1 to .3 inches of snow I called for earlier.
    I hope I do better with my brackets for the tournament.

    1. I’m doing my first bracket and I have no clue at all. I don’t like basketball at all.

    1. Joshua not sure if you saw my post. Where are you Copley area. What are the road and walkways like there.

      1. Pretty close to Copley. Not sure which post you’re referring to. If it’s the 90F post, I think your wish will be granted. But, I’ll be seeking shade, a fan, and some ice cubes to cool off.

        1. No Joshua I work in your area I’m asking you to give me an update on the roads and walkways. Surprised I’m still here with no call in.

          1. Roads are okay. More wet than slippery though except the sidewalks and side streets. But when it was snowing even the major roads like Beacon were not great.

            Everyone be careful tomorrow morning. Don’t get too excited about the high temp forecast of 45 or so because it’ll be below freezing until mid morning, I think. This means some black ice, slippery sidewalks and even some icy roads.

            Final note before I head to bed (I have a very early telecon w/ Europe tomorrow), I think there will be some heavy snow squalls on Tuesday. The interior will do better than the coast with these. Not looking at a lot of snow, but I think some accumulating snow will fall as the vigorous cold front pulls through.

    2. Now that is laugh out loud funny

      I hope he gets here soon. It seems rather anticlimactic without him

  80. Temp is 31.2 degrees, light snow between 630-8pm, sugar coating on car tops and bare areas.

    How much snow does Boston need? 2 inches?

  81. WeatherWiz .. Yes I accounted for a minor amount of snow that fell before it really started to stick but that was only about 0.1 inch here. I, too was in Burlington, and there was under 1/2 inch there when I already was at about 2 inches here.

  82. Hallelujah! Maybe people will stop sniping at each other now and we can all say we experienced yet another record setting winter?

    The way there was such an efficient fast energy transfer to the 2nd low, I actually thought this was perfect set up for real surprise with some 5″ type totals in parts of eastern MA and further western extension of the accumulating precip. But as has been the theme since February 15th things have under-performed as compared to their maximum potential in my mind.

    Interesting winter. Boston received 89″ of snow in 21 days from January 24th-February 15th and “only” 12″ in the 28 days since. Things have trended from over-performing to under performing or being just a bit too warm.

    Yesterday was so close to being what I thought. 5 degrees to warm and 75 miles too far north. But so much of what I thought about they system turned out true. Most precip South and East, Sharp West and North cutoff of precip amounts (.19″ in Pittsfield MA .30″ in Manchester NH) Faster departure of initial wave. Just not as far south or as cold as I thought a week ago. Of course the modesl are now all clustered around the WTF solution. It is a transitional time and taking any QPF or snow amount from a model even 36 hours out is suspect at best. Remember the GFS just 4 days ago had big snow in Western MA / Central MA, Northern CT, Eastern NY, Southern VT and NH from yesterday’s system.

    The thing I am noting is temps consistently over performing what I thought they would be. It is by no means warm, but the temps are warmer than I thought they would be. In 15 days of March Boston has been above freezing 13 days with 8 days over 40 and 3 day 38-39. I thought we would be about 2-3 degrees lower on average for daytime highs.

    While the GFS has struggled in the medium range during March its MOS temp outputs have been so damn good and its MOS snow tool far better than its graphical output. I keep discounting its MOS temps and they have been right on in many locations in SNE.

    Anyway, those are some rambling Sunday night thoughts.

    1. They can start sniping at me when I’m predicting more snow before the “snow season” is over.

      MJO+QBO(west)=El Nino=Hot Summer and hardly any tropical systems.

      Pattern shift between April 10 and April 20. Yes?

      1. I will go right in the middle at April 15th and I think people might be shocked at suddenly how different the weather will become around that time.

  83. Charlie, you should come up to Boston to see the snow. It’s a short drive from spring to winter, and if the snow’s too much to handle you can drive back to spring in a matter of about 40 minutes.

  84. John I love March Madness. My 12 seed beating a 5 this year is Stephen F. Austin over Utah. A seed 12 usually beats a 12 seed.
    My other upset 13 seed Eastern Washington over Georgetown. I have Kentucky winning it but will be picking more upsets than usual and hoping to get them right since I feel a lot of people in the pool will pick Kentucky.

    1. I have no clue what your talking about. It’s a $10 pool so I said sure I’ll give it a shot. I’m a football guy.

      1. I always find the people who have no clue are the ones that end up winning these pools and do a lot better than the
        people like me who follow college basketball.

  85. I hope OS didn’t fall asleep and miss the fun!

    I’ll predict his reaction:

    “COWABUNGA! The record is GONE and I was FACUCKTA SLEEPING!”

  86. Another notable feature to the systems this winter is the narrow placement of heavy snow bands. What made this winter so notable was the sinking south of the Labrador winter and it truly impacting the areas where most people live in Metro Boston, but not too far south and west this was not much different than typical winter other than a similar clustering of storms in short period, they just tended to be lower accumulations.

    As an example, 90 miles west of Boston we are down to about 5″ of snow on the ground.

      1. No they are at about 115″ for the season and the record is about 133″

        Hartford (BDL) ‘s record is 115″ and it sits at about 60″ for the season.

        Both records were set in 95-96.

        Again that is what makes this winter so notable to me compared to other record years. The narrow placement of the maximum snow amounts and where they were placed!

  87. Miss the fun????? I was out driving through the worst of it.
    Route 1 was a freaking disaster area! I Knew the record was gone.

    I left my house shortly after 4PM and it was snowing here at 35.
    By the time I was at the Tobin Bridge it was like a blizzard and the temp
    dropped to 32. I knew Logan would do it and I knew there was a very tight East to West Gradient. There was a lot of snow in Peabody for sure.

    The ride up Route 1 was in White out conditions at times! Amazing!

    Believe me, I didn’t miss a thing!! I enjoyed it immensely. Mrs. Shoe wasn’t even
    worried. She knows I can drive in the snow, but I have to tell you it was Bad.
    By the time we came home, the salters had been out and it was MUCH easier
    driving home.

    BTW, still a few flakes here.

    And yes, only about 1/2 inch here. I could be off a little, but not much.

    1. Evidence of the banding if you have 0.5ish, and Logan had 2.9, and I had 2.1.

      The roads were briefly very bad in my area with several spin outs, accidents, and a handful of “can’t make it up the hills”. Roads are just wet now.

      1. I was not surprised when I arrived home. I told my wife that
        I expected an inch or less at home. Right on target.

        Not surprised at Logan. I could see on radar before we left
        how it was setting up. They were also closer to the colder
        air from the North and East.

        We came home via rt. 99 and Memorial Drive.
        (too cheap to pay the 3 bucks for the Bridge, plus it was very
        windy)
        Charlestown, Cambridge and Brookline all devoid of snow
        compared to Logan. The cutoff was somewhere in Everett.

  88. Not for nothing and not a surprise, but the 18Z GFS blew up the snow event for
    the 21st and the following one as well and replaced it with a clipper/cutter.

    So what else is new πŸ˜€ πŸ˜€

      1. We got the record, so I don’t care.
        We can have cutters and rain up the gumpy now.
        I don’t give a rat’s ass. πŸ˜€

  89. Well I guess we had the 50-50 shot today after all.

    New England…one never knows.

    I guess it’s not truly over until the Fat Lady Sings. I guess she sang loudly today. πŸ˜€

    1. The chance of this snow happening was still much less than 50%. The width of accumulating snow was very small. It just so happened to work out. The first over achiever in weeks, enjoy it finally.

      1. But an overachiever it was and that is the story of winter 2015 where I suspect 50/50 is not the new normal. Oh how I detest that phrase

      2. I guess when it was all said and done, for Boston the chance was 100%. πŸ˜‰

        Nobody could have predicted that with any confidence though. πŸ™‚

  90. By April 1st then I am ready for spring. I can’t wait for a few months from now to start tracking some thunderstorms.
    Hopefully no tornado touchdowns like we see in Worcester and Revere last year.

    1. Agree JJ! and you are always on top of those summer storms, so I look forward to the “JJ Thunderstorm Prediction Center” went it’s up and running πŸ™‚

  91. Btw, STILL snowing lightly here and probably at the airport.
    I think they add a few tenths to that total. πŸ˜€

  92. Presque Isle, ME : 15.8 inches

    Caribou, ME : 10.1 inches

    The radar was looking impressive up there all day.

  93. Did anyone have a chance to catch Dateline tonight? Amazing recounts from survivors of the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami. I didn’t realize that there were 3 waves.
    So very sad – the enormous loss of lives.

    1. We saw some. It was very emotional. I hadn’t realized a lot of it either

      Also Mac was especially interested in the graphic of the titanium screws and rods. Basically his entire spine was replaced by those last June but we’d never seen pics

  94. Well, the jackpot was right in the right place to put Boston over the top. So the old record is gone, but it’s not done being reset before the end of the season. It’s a work in progress.

    So, while you were sleeping, a new blog was posted. Highlights include…
    -relatively mild Monday/Tuesday will melt the snow that fell Sunday.
    -significant cold Wednesday/Thursday.
    -moderating temps Friday/Saturday, and a weak low may bring a bit of wet weather.

    Go check it out and start a new comment string, but play nice! πŸ˜‰

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