Thursday Forecast

75 Comments

7:43AM

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 23-27)
A southwesterly air flow will bring anomalous warmth to the region today, though this air coming off the waters just south of New England will keep the South Coast a little cloudier and cooler than areas further to the north. Then, a weak cold front drops down from the north tonight into Friday and cools the warmest areas off some, along with introducing more cloudiness and perhaps a few rain showers. During this time a low pressure area will be moving into the Great Lakes and a weaker low will be drifting northeastward in the water south to southeast of New England. This complex cast of characters will combine to create a cloudy Friday night and mainly cloudy Saturday. Another push of very mild air will take place ahead of the cold front trailing the Great Lakes low, which will bring a band of rain and possible thunderstorms west to east across the region Saturday night. Before that happens, areas of drizzle and patchy light rain will prevail Friday night and Saturday morning. Behind the cold front, Sunday will be blustery and colder day with dry weather. Another system may approach the Great Lakes Monday returning some clouds to the region.
TODAY: Fog patches vanish early and sun dominates but low clouds at times near the South Coast. Highs 50-58 South Coast, 58-67 elsewhere though a couple locations may approach 70. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 45-53. Wind SW 5-15 MPH becoming light variable.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Isolated rain showers. Highs 50-58 but may fall into the 40s southeastern NH and northeastern MA. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of drizzle and fog. Chance of light rain. Lows 40-48. Wind light SE.
SATURDAY: Cloudy. Areas of drizzle and fog with a chance of light rain morning and midday. Numerous rain showers and possible thunderstorms west to east end of day into the night. Highs 52-57 South Coast, 58-65 elsewhere but may not occur until late. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH morning, S to SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts afternoon.
SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Windy. Temperatures fall through 40s.
MONDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Lows 22-30. Highs 38-45.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 28-MARCH 4)
Colder, a couple periods of precipitation should be minor.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 5-9)
Chilly pattern some unsettled weather which may include snow/ice. Low confidence forecast.

75 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

  5. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Already off to the races in the temperature dept.

    51 here and climbing rapidly. 😀

          1. Good you are staying home. It takes a surprising amount out of you. Had a dozing on and off night but not much coughing so was happy. This morning, even with Motrin, have fever so maybe not so good. Mostly I am bored. 🙂

            Can’t wait to open windows

  7. Hope you feel better JP maybe winter his holding off until you can enjoy it.When it comes to people getting sick, in this society we are taught in school by how they treat it and even in college that unless you need to go to the doctor you should be able to work. In college you tend to have 2 absences allowed before it counts towards your grade these are unexcused absences. After that you need a note from a doctor. In high school had 3 day in which a parent note would do. Then needed a note from a doctor if absent or you get a detention. With someone with allergies I was knocked out so many times and then a cold usually makes it worse. My point is that people can not always rest up. I can’t tell you how many times I was as sick as can be and I went to class.

    1. Push come to shove I surely could have gone to work, but I have a zillion sick hours that go unused. Why push it and give this to others. We provide services to the elderly. Our staff can’t afford to get sick. So I stayed home. I have done
      some work from here. In fact, I am logged onto my work computer right now. 😀

    1. I hate this thermometer divergence. The Acurite in the sun is reading 64 and the Oregon Scientific well in the shade is reading 58.8 and is always notoriously low.
      Suspect something in the middle like 60 or 61.

      What you reading in Woburn and/or Reading?

      1. at 10 Am ONLY 53 at the airport with South Wind.
        That’s just not representative of most of the City. It’s just NOT!
        I PROTEST!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  9. I’m sure some of you have seen it, but the link below is a great page for keeping tabs on temperature records, of which there will be many again today. Some daily high temperature records already set this morning!

    http://coolwx.com/record/

  10. Logan i sup to 60 at 11AM. Getting there, but wind has too much of a Southerly component. Probably not allowing Logan to break the record of 65 today.

    My 2 thermometers are reading: 68 and 61

    quite a divergence there. Acurite “supposedly” have taken care of being in the sun
    with their solar powered fan. yeah right! When the sun is shining on it, it reads high, sometimes as much as 3 or 4 degrees. That is my one disappointment with that unit.

    I still have my Oregon Scientific thermometer in the shade out back, But that has
    always been notoriously low. So I can’t win for nothing.

    When it is sunny, I tend to average the 2 to get a reasonable idea of the true temperature. Let’s see 68 + 61= 129 / 2 = 64.5 Yup sounds about right to me.

  12. Thermometer #1 just registered 70, but it probably has 3 or 4 degrees to go yet.

    Other thermometer still at 62.2

  15. It’s nice outside. I admit. But, it never feels `comfortable’ to me when it’s been so mild so often during the winter months. On my morning run I spotted a red-winged blackbird – first of the season – chirping away. Somewhat on the early side.

    94 mph wind gusts were recorded on the British coast as `Doris’ slammed the Isles and is hitting the Low countries as I write this. Major storm, obviously.

    JP Dave and Vicki, take care.

  17. Thank you TK! It is a beauty out there for sure. Did all I could not to just drive to the Plymouth Waterfront instead of coming to the office.

  18. looking at long range models, they are showing below normal temperatures at the end of next week/ second week of March probably not as cold as they are showing but at least more normal temperatures.

  21. 62(!!!) degrees here in Plymouth, NH. We even still have snow on the ground. What an air mass! As SSK said, record broken in Boston… and pretty much everywhere else.

  22. Once we get towards the back end of winter and then a day like this comes along, it makes the return to average even harder to swallow for me.

    In some backwards psychological way, that’s the craziness of 2 February’s ago. Hitting 40F then was victory. 40F this year is depressing.

  23. it sucks that the ski areas are getting poor conditions. I care somewhat of the amount, but I care more about the quality. This overly warm crap in February is pissing me off I am wearing freaking shorts and went biking. I should not be able to do what I have done today.

    1. My dad taught us to ski. End of sentence. Not to ski in only good conditions. But to ski in all conditions. It is the nature of the sport 🙂 That said, I talked to my brother last night who is just a year out from his second hip replacement. He said he is working on new techniques to compensate for conditions due to warmth. This from a man in his 70s who is an exceptional skier…..almost as good as our dad 🙂

  24. I am heading up to VT this weekend and skiing on Stratton on Sunday (weekend trip was planned over a month ago). I expect the trails will be a skating rink on Sunday after the heavy rain Sat night and flash freeze right after. That said, as of 7AM this AM, Stratton was still 100% open with 97 of 97 trails and an average base depth of 34″. The ski areas got a lot of snow so far this month. They’ll take a hit the next few days but will get through it OK.

    1. I can hear my dad telling me to use both of my edges and I seem to recall moving forward in my boots….I think I heard the words I was uttering under my breath more clearly but he got me there…..have fun.

  26. 2Pm, 67 at the airport. Making a run at 70. Wind SW at 20, which will help, I suppose.

    My thermometers are reading 73 and 65.5. The actual is between them somewhere around 68 or 69.

    I can’t stand it that I can’t get an accurate temperature reading!!

  27. Wonder how Saturday’s numbers will compare with today’s?

    I’ve been taking a look at convective parameters for Saturday. An outbreak of severe weather, mainly damaging winds with a few tornadoes, is possible across Indiana, Ohio, and portions of adjacent areas tomorrow. By Saturday there could be some pretty strong storms across New York, possibly getting into western New England late day, but they should start to run out of gas as they move through SNE, and I concur with TK’s thinking of numerous showers with embedded thunder possible.

  28. Not a fan of warmth in the winter–did mean that I could comfortably wear the same outfit on my flight from West Palm Beach to Boston today.

  30. We had an overnight episode of strong and severe storms last Feb. 24th. This time we may get thunderstorms but they don’t look as potent here in SNE as the overnight event last year.

  31. Now I am at 69 and 65.8

    Airport at 3PM was 68. Nice!!

    I think we SMASHED the record! Crap, if it’s going to be warm, best to break the high
    temperature record while we are at it. No?

  32. Not for nothing, but I have been watching the dew point creep upwards.
    It is up to 50 now. What will it get to Saturday, ahead of the big bad front???

    1. Thanks. That was pretty early on as well.

      Pretty balmy today, no matter what thermometer one goes by. 😀

      1. Unless you are on Cape Cod and the immediate South Coast, where it is low overcast, areas of fog, and 40s/50s. But we here at WHW had that in the forecast too for down there. 😉

  34. The wind today was mostly S or SSW, I don’t think it was 225 degrees too often and the temps still achieved what they did. Impressive, though this was one of the sunniest warm sectors you’ll see.

    1. I hope so. All the storms were spotty last year. Very isolated. However I got caught in a nice storm in revere last year with pea size hail. That was my storm of the season

    1. enjoying the fire pit, music, drinks etc gotta take a load off lol I should not be able to wear shorts in Febuary

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