Change On The Way!

4:26PM

Slow-moving low pressure sent yet more bands of showers into the region last night and today, and as most of you know, a heavy rain band with thunderstorms set up just north of Boston and caused flooding in parts of northeastern MA, especially around Peabody and Swampscott, and parts of Salem, Beverly, and Marblehead, where 3 to 6 inches of rain fell, much of it in a 2 to 3 hour period.

This low is finally accelerating eastward, south of New England, and is pulling the remains of the heavy rain band through eastern MA as of mid afternoon. We’ll see the shower activity taper off from north to south as we move into the evening hours. Plenty of clouds may linger and there could be a couple leftover showers as well into the nighttime hours.

High pressure will build eastward in the coming days, but with low pressure still not that far offshore, we’ll see clouds linger into a portion of Wednesday along with gusty winds. Much cooler air will also dive into the region Wednesday and linger into Friday. Later Friday, you’ll notice it starting to feel milder, and this will set us up for a fantastic Columbus Day Weekend with lots of sunshine and above normal temperatures. In fact, a few record high temperatures may be challenged on Sunday (Boston’s record for October 9 is 82).

Detailed forecast for Boston Area…

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with lingering showers. Low 48-53. Wind N-NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy start then clearing leading to a mostly sunny finish. High 60-65. Wind N increasing to 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy frost in valley areas. Low 38-43 except slightly colder in valleys. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. High 55-60. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Widespread frost. Low 32-37 except 38-43 coast and urban areas. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny. High 62-67. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sunny. Low 46. High 75.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Low 54. High 80.

MONDAY – COLUMBUS DAY: Mostly sunny. Low 56. High 73.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 49. High 64.

8 thoughts on “Change On The Way!”

  1. Thanks TK for the update! Those thunderstorms early this morning were really “rolling” here in Boston around 3:30 am…very strong for early October. I left my house just after 8:00 am and those storms were still sitting over Essex County. It looks very good for Columbus Day weekend, but I wish we could get out of this summer-type pattern. Hopefully that frost can kill much of the mosquito population. I have been finishing up yardwork and they are just as fierce as ever. They are buzzing all over the place. It is a wonder that there aren’t more cases of EEE. I live in Boston so I guess it will take until the end of the month or even early November before any hint of frost/freeze.

  2. TK, Henry Margusity made a couple of interesting points in his morning blog:

    1. Tropical moisture near Florida could develop a storm and send it northward into our area bringing more heavy rain.

    2. A major snowstorm for us come November!

    Can you give your thoughts on these items? Thanks. 🙂

    1. What was the time frame he was talking about for a possible storm rooted out of tropical moisture near Florida? It’s going to be hard to get anything up here the next several days once we get the trough to the east and the ridge building in from the west. The ridge would have to sit further north and leave the bottomside unprotected.

      Major snow in November? It’s happened in the past. And there are signs of an early/often snow early in the season. If I were to bet on it though, I’d go with the first week of December for the first of 2 to 4 major snowstorms that month.

      1. TK, the timeframe for that developing system is for Florida and the SE late in the weekend, then I guess sometime next week for the northeast. Henry wasn’t too specific, but is quite concerned for more flooding here. Maybe it won’t materialize.

      2. It feels as though when I was a kid in the late 70’s and early 80’s the trees were bare by Halloween, and now it seems the trees aren’t bare until the 2nd week of Nov, just something I’ve noticed.

  3. I just read the discussion from Henry Margusity and he thinks a snowstorm for the Applachians and Northeast in Novmeber. I would love for what snow day predicted happens and just click on the previous blog to see what they have to say. Its a good read and really explains a lot.

  4. Thanks, TK for the update.

    It looks like we will be getting a taste of fall then back to summer for awhile. I am looking forward to sunny, dry days!

  5. I would bet rain in Nov, 86% of our snow falls in Dec,Jan, and Feb, and the last few years it’s been up around 95%. have a great night everyone 🙂

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