7:15AM
DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 2-6)
The only change to the forecast for this update is slowing the timing of the rain down for later Thursday to early Friday, shortening its duration slightly, and making it lighter. There is a saying used by some meteorologists: “All systems fail in a drought.” Well, we may not be in drought quite yet but if such events become habitual then we’ll be there sooner rather than later. The remainder of the forecast remains generally unchanged, from today’s warm start / chilly finish to the weekend that looks really nice but with 2 very chilly mornings and a risk of some areas seeing frost.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered to general rain showers. Humid. Highs 70-77 morning, then falling afternoon. Wind W 10-20 MPH morning, shifting to N from north to south during the morning and early afternoon.
TONIGHT: Partial clearing. Patchy fog. Lows 46-53. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partial sunshine. Highs 55-62. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Periods of rain. Areas of drizzle and fog. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts near the coast.
FRIDAY: Overcast with rain tapering off early morning. Breaking clouds later morning and afternoon. Highs 55-62. Wind N 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Areas of fog forming. Risk of frost interior lower elevations. Lows 35-40 interior low elevations, 40-45 elsewhere except 45-50 urban centers. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 56-63. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Frost likely away from coastal and urban locations. Lows 30-35 interior lower elevations, 35-40 elsewhere except 40-45 urban centers and immediate shore. Wind calm.
SUNDAY: Sun filtered by high clouds. Highs 60-67. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 7-11)
October 7 looks breezy and mild with late-day or nighttime rain showers as a cold front moves toward the region. October 8 may start wet then clears out, is breezy but cooler as the front moves offshore and high pressure approaches from the west. High pressure then parks over the region October 9-11 with dry weather, chilly mornings and milder afternoons.
DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 12-16)
Wash/rinse/repeat. Early outlook is for a similar set-up, slower-moving, dry weather continuing October 12-13 weekend, a quick warm-up followed by shower threat, then drying with a cool-down by the end of the period.