Saturday June 12 2021 Forecast (8:09AM)

22 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 12-16)

The first half of Saturday morning and Sunday evening / night will be the wettest parts of the weekend which will otherwise feature mostly dry weather, below normal temperatures today and a warm-up for Sunday. A vigorous disturbance is moving rapidly southeastward through the region early this morning with numerous showers, but as I write this, the showers have already exited southern NH and northern MA and will be making their way out of the remainder of the WHW forecast area into mid morning. After that, it’s a dry day, but clouds will be a little stubborn to give up for a while as it takes some time for drier air to work into the region from north to south. With a light and variable wind, as we get the subtle solar heating we do end up with, a light sea breeze will develop in most coastal areas. So, outdoor plans today are best executed from late morning on with a light jacket or sweatshirt handy. If you have Saturday evening plans, a jacket or sweatshirt is recommended for outdoor time as it will be on the cool side, but dry. A small area of high pressure to the east of the region on Sunday will help warm up up with a south to southwest air flow. An approaching and weakening cold front from the west will hold off its arrival until sometime in the evening or at night, when a round of numerous showers and possibly a few embedded thunderstorms will move into the region. This activity may linger into early Monday before it exits with the passage of the weakening front, but a stronger cold front will approach later Monday and trigger another round of at least scattered to possibly a broken line of showers and potential thunderstorms. The intensity of this activity will be determined by the amount of daytime heating that can occur before it, and this will be a function of how much sun occurs during the day. I expect a variable amount of cloudiness so if there is limited sunshine Monday this can limit the potency of showers and storms heading in from the west. That stronger front will move offshore later Monday night, ending that threat, but a pool of cold air above still has to move across the region Tuesday, and this will be a set-up for pop up instability showers and perhaps a thunderstorm that afternoon, but this activity will be more isolated. By Wednesday, the lingering cool pool aloft should be weaker so that we just see some clouds popping up, but no shower activity here, with any of that likely confined to the mountains north and west of the WHW forecast area.

TODAY: Cloudy start with numerous showers ending from northwest to southeast into mid morning. Clouds eventually break for sun north to south. Highs 67-74, coolest coast. Dew point lower 50s. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Areas of fog especially lower elevations. Lows 52-59. Dew point lower 50s. Wind SE under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 76-83. Dew point middle 50s. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm late evening and overnight. Areas of fog. Lows 56-63. Dew point middle to upper 50s. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers most likely early morning. Chance of showers and thunderstorms west to east late-day. Highs 70-77. Dew point near 60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms evening. Partly cloudy with patches of fog forming overnight. Lows 52-59. Dew point falling to lower 50s. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Isolated afternoon showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Highs 71-78. Dew point 50s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy ground fog forming. Lows 51-58. Dew point lower 50s. Wind W under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 74-81 but may turn cooler in some coastal areas. Wind W up to 10 MPH but possible coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 17-21)

Overall pattern features a low pressure trough in southeastern Canada and a mostly west-to-east air flow over New England. Temperatures near to slightly below normal but will spike briefly around June 18 possibly into June 19. The greatest risk of showers and thunderstorms will occur around June 19 when a frontal system is expected to move through the region from west to east. The summer solstice occurs late evening of June 20.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 22-26)

The west-to-east (zonal) flow pattern should continue to start this period with a shower/thunderstorm threat with a frontal passage June 22 or 23. Later in the period we may start to transition to a warmer/hotter set-up, but sometimes this is indicated by guidance earlier than it actually takes place, so this is a low confidence mention at this point.

22 thoughts on “Saturday June 12 2021 Forecast (8:09AM)”

  8. Promise this is my last non-weather related post for the day. I love sports, often just for the sake of enjoying the sport, athleticism, and drama I’m watching. I also love it when the local teams do well. But, I am SO tired of the talking heads on sports radio and the media with their all or nothing takes on the status of each team. In my view, if a team is competitive that’s mostly what I care about. Winning it all is gravy and great. So sure, I’m disappointed about the Bruins. But I don’t view their season as a “failure.” I just don’t share the all or nothing viewpoint.

    2. I really hate talk radio in general, but sports talk is right up there as a dislike with politics (obviously if you know me).

      These people are all the best coaches. They always know better. And unless the Bruins win every game by shutout and never make a single mistake, they “suck”. No, ’tis the sports talk folks that suck. 😉 Once upon a time, it used to be a good form of radio. Those days are long gone.

      The Bruins had a very good season. They were one of the best. They suffered some failures in the series against the NYI, who clearly outplayed them, and the better team is moving on. But that doesn’t mean the Bruins entire season was a failure. Not even close.

      We saw this with Pats games during the height of the Brady days. My goodness if they didn’t win by 3 touchdowns … “OMG what’s wrong?! It was a close game!” Even if they still won. I’ll never understand it. A lot of people I know are “all or nothing” and I think it just makes them look and sound foolish.

        1. I used to enjoy listening at work. I always preferred music but I’d listen to one of the shows on WEEI on weekdays for a few hours and it was nice. They talked mostly about sports and a few other things. Yes they expressed opinions but they didn’t seem to come across as know-it-all’s, and my goodness people were actually allowed to DISAGREE with them without being made to feel like they were morons or pretty much just bullied by the hosts. A lot of those hosts remind me of the bullies I dealt with in school. I just can’t be bothered to give them my ear. They speak words that are worth little or nothing.

          (Although a video of you yelling at the radio would be amusing.. haha! My mother does that sometimes.) 😀

          1. I was introduced to and understood the idiocy of sports talking heads/media at a young age. Like you, I used to listen to one radio show…93.7? 97.3? Do not recall the call letters. But that eventually got to me

            I have been know to use some less than acceptable language when yelling. It would not be a pretty video 🙂

  9. It’s summer so on a weekend afternoon as I aimlessly meander on youtube I obsess a bit about cold places, and in particular regions of the world I’d like to visit. One of them is Nuuk, Greenland. I found a description of the weather there which would probably not feature prominently in a travel brochure:

    “In Nuuk, the summers are cold; the winters are long, freezing, snowy, and windy; and it is overcast year round. Over the course of the year, the temperature typically varies from 11°F to 50°F and is rarely below -1°F or above 55°F. ”

    But then I came across this short video from the newly installed U.S. Consul General in Nuuk (first U.S. Consul since 1953), Sung Choi. What an earnest person. An interesting job, too, albeit there’s probably lots of down time.
    https://dk.usembassy.gov/embassy-consulate/nuuk/consul/

  11. Joshua, please feel free to post non-weather related topics ANY time as many times per blog! 🙂

    As for sports talk radio, 30 minutes for me is usually more than enough.

    2. Well, don’t want to violate TK’s policy. He’s been gracious enough to provide a platform for C-19 talk. So, if I do non-weather related topics I’ll announce it ahead of time and keep it non-political.

Comments are closed.