DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 20-24)
High pressure slides south of our region today and Monday with two nice days, the colder of the two being today (especially this morning) and a milder day for Monday (Presidents Day). Tuesday, low pressure will cut northeastward across the Great Lakes and down the St. Lawrence Valley or across far northern New England, putting us on the warm side, so we’ll see rainfall here. Earlier I thought we may have to deal with a period of freezing rain somewhere inland for the start of this, but right now I think the timing of the rain’s arrival will be late enough Tuesday morning so that we won’t see this take place. A cold front trailing the departing low will swing through here Wednesday and we’ll turn windy and drier, although it will be mild initially before temperatures start to go down. This sets up a fair and seasonably cold day Thursday as high pressure sits over southern Canada but noses into the northeastern US as well.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 21-28. Wind WSW up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY (PRESIDENTS DAY): Partly sunny. Highs 46-53. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clouding over. Lows 30-37. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain late morning on. Highs 40-47. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely Areas of fog. Temperatures steady 40-47. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy start, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 50-57 by midday, then turning cooler. Wind S shifting to W increasing to 10-20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 30-37. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 25 – MARCH 1)
Storm threat February 25, favoring snow/sleet over rain. Fair, seasonably cold weekend February 26-27. Storm threat February 28 and/or March 1.
DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 2-6)
Temperatures below normal, precipitation near to above normal with additional wintry precipitation possible.
Thanks TK.
Thank you, TK.
Yet another bright sunny morning.
Most of the smaller ponds and lakes down here in RI. Near pvd airport have lost all of their ice.
Good morning and thank you TK .
Down to 15 this morning. No big deal.
Models have had Friday system for some time. Trend serms to be more frozen, than not . Time will yell. Latest 6z gfs has about 10 inches for Boston.
That would put Boston over its seasonal average, which clearly would be more than expected before the season started.
Wankum mentioned Friday last night & said somewhere is mass will get 6 inches out of it .
Thanks TK.
The Irish, British, and Dutch are still cleaning up the mess left behind from Eunice. Well, as is often the case with these storms, they tend to come one after another for a while. A few get names. Most do not. The latest storm, which I don’t think has a name, is approaching the Netherlands right now. It will be a gale to severe gale along the coast (`just’ a gale inland), with wind gusts expected of 70mph to 75mph.
Unlike here, in between areas of low pressure there is no sun. In fact, it rained hard much of yesterday in the Netherlands.
Frankly, the weather there in winter is truly dismal. This is why you’ll hear me say so often how blessed we are to have so many sunny days in winter. It’s NOT a given, folks. The Netherlands catches periodic glimpses of the sun between November and March, but that’s usually about it. It’s gray, gray, and a lot more gray.
12Z GFS for next Friday
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2022022012&fh=123
Ends with some sleet in SNE
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2022022012&fh=129
Kuchera Snow
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2022022012&fh=144&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
CMC/GDPS is snow to a sleet fest
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype&rh=2022022012&fh=120&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype&rh=2022022012&fh=126&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Kuchera snow
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=snku_acc&rh=2022022012&fh=144&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Not only is this an awesome time lapse of the snow squall going through the Back Bay area of Boston, but nearly equally interesting is watching the flow of traffic change from before the squall to after. Note that the speed of the time lapse changes near the end, but you can tell before that that the volume is up and speed is down as people had to come to a near stop during it and it takes a while to sort out after. Also note the treatment vehicles moving along the pike with a big backup behind them.
https://twitter.com/sarahwroblewski/status/1495203962416418828?s=21&fbclid=IwAR0jtoUBHJKPtgKLgJZ5sYxm4kKgxur_a_rt7wsj87ONb9Zcm3bjuLMIXwY
Thank you, TK.
Thanks TK.
Guess the source of today’s stupidest weather-related headline:
“Millions of Americans will be forced into an involuntary polar plunge this week”
A) CNN
B) The Weather Channel
C) BBC
D) The Onion
E) Fox News
I saw that and had a good chuckle and did not click on it,
so I did not take note of the source. I really don’t know the source, but I am going to guess:
B. The Weather Channel
I’m tempted to say The Onion only because I’d hope they actually took that concept and ran with it in their satire with some really funny photos. But I sadly bet it’s “real” news from an actual news source, so I’ll go with TWC, as they may as well be run by a class of 7th graders with hormone storms.
I’ll go with E. A is second guess
12Z UKMET 10:1 snow
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmet&p=sn10_acc&rh=2022022012&fh=144&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
12Z EURo also goes to SLEET
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf&rh=2022022012&fh=126&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Here is 10:1, some of which is sleet, so it is not 10 inches, more
like 6-8. 🙂
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sn10_acc&rh=2022022012&fh=144&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Thanks TK.
BOS vs. ORH
BOS = 0.1”
ORH = 1.0”
BOS = 43.4”
ORH = 38.9”
.1 is all they managed yesterday? Wow!
We had a good 1/2 inch here in JP perhaps a tad under, but way more than .1
Worcester could very well overtake boston on the next event.
Does that mean Boston won’t be able to maintain snow for the next event? A changeover scenario would certainly put Worcester ahead, as TK has been hinting.
It is possible. It is also possible it is all snow. Too early yet.
Joshua,
I am happy you liked the Bowie/Reed video.
I had never seen that video before either.
When I saw your post I wanted to listen to Reed’s
I’m waiting for my man which I really like, so I searched
for it on YouTube. It just so happens that the video with
Bowie and Reed performing that tune was the first to show up in the search. I checked it out, loved it and posted it. 🙂
Here is Reed live in Paris, 1974 performing Sweet Jane.
If you don’t want to sit through a lengthy introduction, skip to about 1:54. 🙂
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uc26EFI1_nw
That is really great – I love the intro!
The answer to the “stupidest headline” question above is (A), CNN:
https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/20/weather/weather-central-us-cold-snap-snow-storm/index.html
The article and associated video are by a CNN meteorologist. She doesn’t use the phrase given as the headline in either. The closest she comes is “Many cities will see a sharp polar plunge in a 48-hour span.” I suppose CNN has a large staff of Very Clever People devoted to coming up with such headlines to get people to click.
Thank you.
Thanks. It was fun guessing.
Not surprised either. TWC leads the pack in drama headlines with CNN nearly a photo finish for 2nd. The others lag.
I’d say the tie goes to fox also. Or maybe just not-so-true info is it’s forte
I haven’t seen too many headlines from either of those sources but I tend to get drama from CNN and “what are you trying to say?” from Fox. 😉 Most of the time I don’t pay attention to sources I don’t like. 😉 And they are equally disliked by yours truly. 😀
Yep. BBC was never on my list of choices.
Not long after I posted the quiz, me wife said, “You have to look at the CNN front page. You won’t believe the headline there.” She was a little surprised when I guessed what she was referring to and showed her what I had already posted here!
Hope you said you have magical weather properties 😉
I made an outrageous claim about keeping up with everything on the internet.
Hahahaha. That works also!
Sun angle is getting better for the daily shore walk. Went early this AM and just couldn’t do it with single digit wind chill #s. Went back at 12:30 PM and it was different especially with that sun hitting me. Actually not sure of sun angle today … but thinking mid 30’s.
A wayyyyy off weather question. Does anyone know if two different cars in MA have the same license tag numbers? If different plate type maybe?
They cannot.
I’m reading that MA did issue the same number but for different type plates. RI also. They may have stopped this practice.
Mike changed his wording to likely. I hate that they have to watch every word.
https://twitter.com/metmikewcvb/status/1495563372829495298?s=21
New weather post…