Sunday April 3 2022 Forecast (8:14AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 3-7)

A typical early spring pattern is what we are experiencing at this time. Today’s weather will be a result of low pressure moving eastward out of the southern Great Lakes and into New York and Pennsylvania, which will then redevelop south of Long Island later today then move northeast passing southeast of New England tonight. As clouds thicken up today an area of rain will start to move in from the west, but as it does so, the new system taking shape to the south will become dominant and the area of rain will start to dry up just as colder air works in and starts to make it more possible to mix with and change to snow. For the WHW forecast area, this means that rain is most likely in interior southern NH, central MA, and eastern CT into RI, and less likely to the east, and the northern half of the “most likely” region for rain is also most likely to see a mix with or change to snow sometime tonight, with minor accumulation on unpaved surfaces, before it ends. By then, the better chance of rain will have shifted to Cape Cod and the Islands briefly before the new low center scoots to the northeast. Monday, between that departing system and a small area of high pressure approaching, the weather will be dry but we may see quite a few fair weather clouds popping up along with a gusty northwesterly breeze. As high pressure moves over the region later Monday night into Tuesday, we’ll see the wind settle down and end up with a nice day with lighter wind and a little bit of a warm-up for Tuesday, although high clouds will already be arriving and increasing in advance of our next threat of unsettled weather. Midweek looks wet and cool as 2 low pressure systems impact our region, the first moving out just south of the area on Wednesday but close enough for a steady rainfall, which may even end up as mix/snow over interior higher elevations before ending. The second low pressure system will be a larger system, size-wise, and be tracking a little further north than its predecessor, and this will send an occluding frontal system into our region with more rainfall during Thursday.

TODAY: Clouds thicken. Rain chance highest mid-late afternoon eastern CT, central MA, southwestern to south central NH, with lesser chance to the east. Highs 47-54. Wind variable under 10 MPH then E up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy evening with a chance of rain and snow showers southern NH and north central MA, also rain likely eastern MA, heaviest Cape Cod & Islands. Breaking clouds overnight. Lows 33-40. Wind NE shifting to NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusty.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 52-59, coolest South Coast. Wind variable under 10 MPH becoming S 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Lows 38-45. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Overcast. Rain arriving morning and continuing afternoon. Temperatures steady 38-45. Wind E 5-15 MPH interior, 10-20 MPH coast, higher gusts possible.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain tapering off but may end as snow in some interior higher elevations especially southwestern NH / north central MA. Lows 33-40. Wind NE 5-15 MPH early, then variable.

THURSDAY: Cloudy with periods of rain and areas of drizzle/fog. Highs 40-47. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 8-12)

Surface low pressure passing north of the region sends a frontal boundary through the region April 8 with still the threat of some rain showers but milder air. Drier air arrives for the April 9-10 weekend but upper level low pressure crossing the region means daily diurnal clouds and at least a small chance of a few rain showers, temperatures near to slightly below normal. Peeking ahead a bit more – fair April 11, unsettled April 12, but low confidence.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 13-17)

There have been a few pattern hints that we may see a shot of warmer air somewhere in here, but this is always risky to try forecasting too far in advance with any confidence at this time of year with the cold ocean nearby and still plenty of chilly air in Canada. But the overall trend does look at least less unsettled for mid April with plenty of time to sort details.

31 thoughts on “Sunday April 3 2022 Forecast (8:14AM)”

  4. Thanks TK !

    Beautiful day yesterday, had the chance to be outside most of the day yesterday and really enjoyed it.

  5. Thanks, TK.

    Tom’s right. Yesterday was a nice day despite the blustery breeze.

    In early spring, beggars can’t be choosers. Looks like this week we’ll mostly be begging and not really able to choose anything.

    1. There certainly will be no talk of a spring drought ahead with many washout days this week after Tuesday. Oh well.

      1. You would be surprised at how close we actually are to slipping back into drought. Regular rainfall would be very good going forward.

  6. In the Netherlands, they’ve experienced the coldest April 3rd ever recorded. I know that during my time in Holland it never snowed in April, and it rarely got to 32F at night. Well, records are meant to be broken. The temps in parts of Holland went down into the low 20s last night (shattering previous records – and these go way back). To celebrate this they decided to create `natural’ ice rinks for skaters. You can see the video of them skating embedded in this link/article: https://nos.nl/artikel/2423697-koudste-3-april-ooit-schaatsen-op-natuurijs-in-winterswijk

  7. The cold snap isn’t confined to Holland or Britain. It’s widespread. Poland has had several snowstorms in recent days. Not big ones, but certainly enough for a wintry landscape. John Simpson is a veteran BBC reporter, one of the greatest I’ve ever seen. He’s in a class of his own. Simpson is traveling to Ukraine by train through Poland. He sent this tweet earlier today: https://twitter.com/JohnSimpsonNews/status/1510534487322644481

  8. This could very well be one of those teaser systems for the Boston area and northward where it looks like a solid batch of precipitation is coming in only to have it come to a virtual halt and start to dry up and drift to the south in response to a new low pressure area taking shape to the south and east.

  9. Thanks TK

    A low wind day. But we just had an invisible tiny bit of circulation of leaves on top of hill that traveled down the hill. It was very cool

  11. Thanks TK.

    Snowing lightly here at Killington today with temps in the 30s. Mid winter conditions on most of the mountain and only really softening up at the lowest elevations. They did pick up 3” of new snow Friday night. Still 92 trails open.

    2. My brother has said many times that killington strives to be first to open and last to close every year. I love it

  13. Good afternoon and thank you TK,

    Well, I did go fishing and got totally skunked. Not even a nibble.
    I can’t even remember the last time that ever happened to me as it is a very very rare event. I think it is still a bit early in the year.

    Recently the earliest I have caught fish was April 7th. Today, being the 3rd, I thought it would be ok especially since March was relatively mild over all, although we had the few days of really cold weather. Not so.

    For the inquiring mind asking where I fished that IS stocked with rainbow trout (even though not a single one of them were hungry enough to bite) here is a map:

    https://ibb.co/6t54zhL

    The damn on the Charles River, South Natick, right along rt. 16.

    The short black line is the damn itself. Left circle represents prime fishing in a back eddy of the water flowing over the damn. The 2nd circle is the next best spot with water flowing into a pool.

    Fish species generally are:

    Large Mouth Bass
    Trout (brook, brown or Rainbow depending on what is stocked)
    Yellow Perch
    White Perch
    Black Crappie
    Blue Gill
    Pumkin Seed

    I once hooked a sizable Pickerel in the pool circled to the right,
    but it shook the hook.

    Once the water recedes in Late Spring most years, the fish are mostly gone with only an occasional sunfish left. Best fishing is mid-April to Early June depending on how wet the Spring is and how fast the water recedes.

    Best part of the day was viewing a beautiful swan cruising the Charles River in Dover. Sorry, I didn’t stop for a photo.

    1. Thanks for this post. Love that area. Used to live there, as you know.

      You’ll have better luck next time; with the fishing, that is.

      1. Thank you Joshua,

        I just think it was too early, not that the fish are gone.
        I am thinking of waiting until Patriots Day to try again.
        We shall see. 🙂

      2. Yes, I am aware. I was in that neighborhood as well. South Street and Willow Street in Needham by the damn. That stretch of river is also stocked with rainbow trout. 🙂

    3. Ahhh. I know you fish here. And what a darn shame. Sorry 🙁

      We used to picnic there. And we often got food at the Goat ….different name now….across the street. Little Lola’s was in a different store across the street also but I think closed with covid. Great Italian food. Chef had worked at Pier 4.

      1. Thanks. I have had a great run at that spot. Frankly, I don’t know how. It is heavily fished, yet I consistently pulled fish out of there. I don’t know If I have been extremely lucky or just use a different approach than most? I have no clue.
        My plan is to keep going back until I stop catching fish.
        Btw, I always release them, so over the years very likely
        I have caught the same fish 2 or more times. 🙂 🙂

        1. Sounds like a best plan. My son usually does catch and release also unless they are camping. Then they catch and cook!! I recall you do not like fish though

        1. I have not been in year. Thank you. The woman who owned the Goat had to change the name because apparently another business had the same name

        2. Are you on the east coast now? The best advice from my in laws was yo immediately adapt to a time change. Seems you have done just that

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