Tuesday July 12 2022 Forecast (7:36AM)

58 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 12-16)

A shot of heat and humidity visits our region today ahead of an approaching cold front. This front will trigger showers and thunderstorms late-day through late-evening from west to east across there region, but we will catch the system after maximum heating and with limited favorable dynamics, so while a few stronger storms are possible, the ability of this front to produce a lot of rainfall and any significant severe weather is very limited, so for the most part it should be an uneventful frontal passage except for those who see a downpour or thunderstorm. The humidity will drop during Wednesday behind this front, although it will be a very warm day. We do cool off a bit more Thursday, but delay the arrival of high pressure by a day as we have to wait for a disturbance to cross the region that will bring some cloudiness and the threat of a shower or thunderstorm. High pressure builds in with fair weather for both Friday and Saturday.

TODAY: Sun/cloud mix. Potential showers/thunderstorms by late-day, favoring north central to northeasternMA and southern NH. Highs 86-93. Dew point rising through 60s. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms this evening anywhere in the region, ending from west to east late evening. Areas of fog. Lows 63-70. Dew point 60s. Wind SW to variable 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Lots of clouds early with a shower possible South Coast, otherwise sun/cloud mix. Highs 85-92. Dew point falling through the 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH early, then NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy fog interior valleys. Lows 57-64. Dew point upper 50s. Wind W under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Highs 78-85. Dew point upper 50s. Wind NW up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes possible.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A shower possible during the evening. Lows 58-65. Dew point middle 50s. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 78-85, coolest coast. Dew point middle 50s. Wind N up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 58-65. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 80-87, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 17-21)

A low pressure area and frontal boundary will move into and slowly across the region later July 17 through July 18 with an opportunity for showers and thunderstorms. Drier and slightly cooler for the middle of the period before a shot of warmer/hotter and more humid air and a chance of showers/thunderstorms appears to end the period, based on current timing.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 22-26)

Higher humidity and opportunity for showers/thunderstorms early period and again late period, with middle few days more likely to be seasonably warm but dry.

58 thoughts on “Tuesday July 12 2022 Forecast (7:36AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK.

    I am wondering if I even see a drop of rain anytime today.

    1. I hear you. I just can’t believe how fast time is ticking by.
      And it gets faster the older one is.

      1. Sunrises getting a bit later and later now. This time next month I’ll probably be leaving for work in the dark again. 🙁

  10. From NWS

    Highlights…

    * Very warm & humid this afternoon

    * A few strong-severe thunderstorms likely after 3-4 pm across
    west/northwest MA with a weakening trend further southeast

    I wonder IF anything survives to the coast. Won’t know until
    it does or does not happen. My lawn is very stressed and is beginning to brown. Will I water it? Nope! Not worth the money as my water bill keeps rising as it is. So, I would like some decent rain to make it to the coast. imho, it will likely NOT make it or if it does, it won’t produce much. HOPE I am dead wrong.

    1. https://r.search.yahoo.com/_ylt=AwrNYs1Fhc1iAkULZUNx.9w4;_ylu=Y29sbwNiZjEEcG9zAzEEdnRpZAMEc2VjA3Ny/RV=2/RE=1657664965/RO=10/RU=https%3a%2f%2fwww.usairnet.com%2fweather%2fmaps%2fcurrent%2fnew-york%2fdew-points%2f/RK=2/RS=wSo9oDFeVR0dV7_9sRuFYxyrfOE-

      When that upper spin (energy) moves over the low level humidity with dps 65-70 in western NY state, that should encourage thunderstorm development, but working against it is the mid level dry air in yellow. I feel like on a Taunton NWS discussion yesterday, they did talk about mid level dry air as being an inhibitor in this particular case.

  13. Further west you go in SNE better chance to see a locally strong to severe storm. Parts of the Mid Atlantic are in an enhanced risk for severe weather today.

  17. I have not seein a mountain lion in CT but a few years ago when I was visiting my mom a bobcat walked through the backyard.

    1. Cool. We have bobcats in Sutton. My son said a mountain lion was killed in the Merritt parkway about 10 years ago. They must like Connecticut

  18. Boston dew point 58 at 1pm.
    Eventually it will get humid there. Not yet. 😉

    TV news (anchor, not meteorologist) spoke of it being brutal in Boston. No. 86/58 is NOT brutal. It just isn’t, not by New England standards.

    1. It has crept up to 65 here with a temp of 85

      Ac on for the first time in quite a while.

  19. Severe thunderstorm watch west of SNE. Curious if one will be issued for western parts of SNE later today.

  22. Keep the cool and wet weather away from Virginia where I will be vacationing next week and no rain a week from Saturday when I am in Baltimore watching the Yankees take on the Orioles.

    1. Love that you are headed on vacation. I hope your weather is perfect and your time even better

  23. Logan “may” have nudged 90 today, depending upon rounding by Meso West data.

    JP made it to 88 (with my sensor now in the shade)

    2. Officially, 89 at Logan,

      CDUS41 KBOX 122119
      CLIBOS

      CLIMATE REPORT
      NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA
      519 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2022

      ……………………………..

      …THE BOSTON MA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 12 2022…
      VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.

      CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
      CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1872 TO 2022

      WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
      VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
      NORMAL
      ………………………………………………………….
      TEMPERATURE (F)
      TODAY
      MAXIMUM 89 1211 PM 97 1908 82 7 71
      MINIMUM 67 516 AM 54 1886 66 1 65
      AVERAGE 78 74 4 68

  26. let alone the other limiting factors, the brisk Southerly wind will kill storms in Eastern sections with a marine influence

    1. It’s falling apart just around us. But Sutton and Millbirynhave trees down just from wind …no storm here yet

  31. Though very early, its probably going to be a very hard late fall/winter to forecast this year. Hard to find any good analog seasons even for the fall season.

  33. It must be the warned storm on the CT/RI border. Nonstop lightning. To the point I’m seeing bolts even this far away

  34. Just picked up another .34” from round two, that makes about a 1/2 “ total for today so far. Will there be a smaller round three in the cards? Here you go Vicki , coming your way, enjoy!

    1. Good amount. I’m hoping this one doesn’t fizzle.

      Daughter just got an amazing lightning shot from the RI storm. She is trying to download from her camera now.

  37. We had an intense storm around 1045 and there were six lightning strikes on the map within a half mile of me! Many loud cracks of thunder!

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