Thursday August 18 2022 Forecast (7:48AM)

58 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 18-22)

Low pressure’s greatest impact on our region yesterday was clouds and wind, and not the beneficial rain we were looking for. In fact, most of the WHW forecast area received traces to feeble measurable amounts (0.01 inch at Boston, for example). This provided no help in reducing the drought, which will now build further as we enter another stretch of dry weather. First, a few very light showers are crossing northern MA and southern NH to start the day today, around the circulation of the departing low pressure area, a pretty strong storm for this time of year despite having failed us on rain. We’ll see a clearing trend which has already worked across the South Coast continue to expand northward, though as the storm’s clouds depart, some fair-weather clouds will likely pop up in response to the sun’s return and the cool air aloft, so we may not really see complete clearing until tonight, when high pressure starts to build in. This high will provide us with a fair and much warmer day Friday, with lower humidity, and the high will continue to keep us fair through the weekend. Saturday will feature the brightest sun and still-manageable humidity. Sunday you’ll notice some cloudiness filtering the sun in response to low pressure to our west and south, and also an up-tick in humidity as the high center will be offshore. By Monday, the door will be open for the chance of showers and noticeably humid air, though this time the temperatures will be kept in check and we won’t heat up like our recent hot stretch.

TODAY: Stray light showers early morning southern NH and northern MA, otherwise a cloud/sun mix. Highs 76-83. Dew point 50s. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts this morning, diminishing slightly during this afternoon.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 54-61. Dew point near 50. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 81-88. Dew point below 60. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 63-70. Dew point below 60. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 83-90. Dew point near 60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 63-70. Dew point near 60. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 82-89 except cooler South Coast. Dew point 60s. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 65-72, warmest urban areas. Dew point 60s. Wind SSE 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and possible thunderstorms. Highs 80-87 except 70s coast. Dew point 60s. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 23-27)

Higher humidity along with a shower and thunderstorm chance early next week then a trend toward seasonably warm and dry weather thereafter.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 28 – SEPTEMBER 1)

The final days of August and the start of September should feature near to above normal temperatures and below normal rainfall with high pressure in control most of the time.

58 thoughts on “Thursday August 18 2022 Forecast (7:48AM)”

  1. Very long-lasting morning rainbow here during this past hour. I got many photos. I’ll send one here when I can.

  2. Good morning and thank you TK.

    I can’t believe we are fast approaching September. Where does the time go?

    2. I said that a few weeks ago. To think the trees will be leafless in 8 weeks is crazy. I only say 8 weeks bc in a drought the leafs fall earlier?

      1. Thanks North. At least Maine and most of NH are done with their droughts with yesterday’s rain. Next weeks map should reflect that.

        1. I’m not sure how much they received, but if it was a large amount in a short time, it may not make a dent. Stressing the word may. When Ashland had a good dumping, the Sudbury filled for a couple of days and then went right back to mud

    1. Are the northern lights visible from SNE even if skies are totally clear? Or are we too far south?

  14. Beautiful photo. I saw half a rainbow looking west (toward Woburn) this morning. You got a great shot over the pond!

    (TK – I had a typo in the previous email field – you can ignore that one)

  15. One sign you are in a drought:
    Taking note that you have to clear the spider webs off your lawn mower before its next use. 😀

    2. I’m hoping you were careful to transport the sliders carefully to their new home

      ALTHOUGH….since killing a spider means it will rain……..

  16. TK what is the significance of the Name “Horn” Pound?

    Is it shaped like a horn?
    Does it emit a sound resembling a horn?
    Is it teaming with horn pout?

    Just seems like an odd name for a pond, so I am most curious.

    1. The real name is Lake Innitou. Horn Pond is more of a nickname, basically because of the shape, yes.

  17. For what it’s worth my rain gauge said 0.4 inch last night. It was a brief downpour followed by some light rain for a bit. So, more than Logan, but only a drop in the bucket.

    1. Assuming your decimals are in the right place, you did well Joshua, all things considered. My rainfall barely moistened the ground.

  19. My Weekend Outlook will be up this evening.

    31 years ago at this moment, Hurricane Warnings were issued for Southern New England as far north as Plymouth, including Cape Cod Bay. Hurricane Watches were issued from Plymouth to Eastport, Maine. Bob had 100 mph winds, and was centered about 200 miles south-southwest of Cape Hatteras, NC. It would pass just east of Cape Hatteras that night as it peak in intensity with winds of 115 mph. Landfall in Block Island was less than 18 hours away at this point.

    1. Other than driving home from WSC at 4:30 a.m. in super dense fog, my greatest memory from that storm is the NW wind howling on the back side as it was moving away. That’s when most of the damage occurred in my area – many trees with limbs down and a fair amount of uprooted trees. I’ve still seen worse local damage in Gloria (because it had been a longer time and a lot of willows went) and the Brockton downburst in May of 1996.

      1. I was in the WeatherLab at Lowell (with Gary Gray) for the entire storm after leaving WSC early Sunday afternoon. We had a funnel cloud pass right by Olney Hall during the height of the storm. We had a reporter from the Lowell Sun up there writing an article about us, and they documented the funnel. Since we never actually saw it touch down, it never made it into an NWS reports.

        As for that backlash. Once we *thought* it was done, we took a walk down to the University Ave bridge, and were on it when a wind gust to 60mph came through from the NW. We literally had to crawl back across the bridge to get back to safety.

        1. That backlash was vicious. Classic example of the expanding wind field on a transitioning system.

  20. Small brush fire ….small because several towns responded… about 1/4 of a mile from here. The number of fire trucks was impressive. They are clearly taking everything very seriously. We are surrounded by woods.

    1. With today’s breeze, quick work is urgent. Hopefully they get it knocked down quickly.

  21. Dp in nearby Savannah, GA is 74F. I know we had this only a week and a half ago, but down here, it feels more oppressive than our mid 70F dew points. Maybe it’s the higher sun angle and/or the wind off the 85F ocean ??

    Wish we could send some of this rain home. Pouring and the radar is filling in for a lot of rain the next hour in the Savannah-Tybee Island area.

    1. Well most of our DP’s up here were 70-72 when they were over 70, so even that couple degree difference with a slightly higher sun angle can feel much worse.

        1. Savannah is a beautiful town. If you ever get a chance to visit in March or April, do so. It’s wonderful there, while it can be pretty miserable here.

          1. April school vacation 🙂

            The trek out to Tybee took us through one part of Savannah and we got to see the beautiful trees.

            I’d love to come back to both Savannah and Tybee Island.

  22. Gosh, I made a huuuuge mistake.
    I meant to say 0.04 and not 0.4 inch.
    I’m sorry about the confusion. I just noticed it as I read Philip’s and Vicki’s comments.
    That’s a bad typo, because unlike many typos it has implications.

    1. It was not a mistake. It was wishful thinking. And no one can fault that.

      Credit to Philip though. I read as 0.04 until he mentioned it and I went back

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