Monday May 22 2023 Forecast (7:23AM)

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 22-26)

The region had a split weekend, with 1-3 inches of beneficial rain Saturday and a return to dry weather Sunday. If you were paying attention, the sun went red on us just before setting last night as another wildfire smoke plume approached the region from western Canada via the Great Lakes. This smoke will be around to filter our sunshine early this week, but the air will be on the cool side with high pressure centered north of our region. This will create a broad onshore flow for the region and of course the coastal areas will be coolest as a result. By late Tuesday and Wednesday, the high will shift southeastward and set up a milder southerly wind here, but on Wednesday that means the South Coast will be coolest in the region as the wind will come directly off the water there. Our only shot of rain during the next 5 days comes Wednesday afternoon and evening in the form of a band of showers along a sharp cold front. This front will be moving southward out of eastern Canada and pass rather swiftly through the region. High pressure building toward and into the region Thursday-Friday will return dry and cooler weather to the region.

TODAY: Smoke-filtered sunshine. Highs 61-68, coolest eastern coastal areas. Wind N 5-15 MPH shifting to E.

TONIGHT: Smoke aloft otherwise clear. Lows 43-50. Wind E under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Smoke-filtered sun. Highs 64-71, coolest eastern coastal areas. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 43-50. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny start, then clouds advancing northwest to southeast. Showers crossing much of the region northwest to southeast late afternoon and evening, most coverage to the north and west, less to the southeast. Highs 68-75, coolest South Coast. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to NW from northwest to southeast late afternoon on.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 45-52. Wind NW-N 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 58-65. Wind N-NE 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly clear. Lows 42-49. Wind NE under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 63-70, coolest coastal areas. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 27-31)

Memorial Day Weekend (May 27-29) carries some forecast uncertainty. Current thoughts are that low pressure to the south will stay far enough to the south to avoid direct impact, and upper level low pressure will impact areas to our north with diurnal shower chances, leaving our region dry with a slow warming trend, but this is not a high confidence forecast, so check for updates through the week. May 30-31 may carry a shower chance with a trough of low pressure in the region and a disturbance or two passing through.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 1-5)

General pattern dry but one or two brief shower chances with disturbances passing by as a weak upper trough will be the main feature in the region. Temperatures near normal – no heat foreseen.

38 thoughts on “Monday May 22 2023 Forecast (7:23AM)”

  1. If you take the past 25 years, between the Patriots and Red Sox, maybe we are “spoiled” a bit, but as far as the Celtics and Bruins with one championship each (2008, 2011 respectively) I do not consider myself “spoiled” in the least.

    Sorry but the B’s/C’s do NOT deserve a pass! 😉

    1. Stanley Cup Finals appearances, 2002-2022:

      4 Pittsburgh
      3 Boston, Detroit, Chicago, Tampa Bay
      2 New Jersey, Los Angeles, Carolina, Anaheim
      1 Montreal, NY Rangers, Philadelphia, Edmonton, Dallas, St. Louis, Calgary, Vancouver, Colorado, Washington, Ottawa, San Jose, Nashville, Vegas
      0 Toronto, NY Islanders, Buffalo, Florida, Columbus, Minnesota, Winnipeg, Phoenix

      NBA Finals appearances 2002-2022:

      6 Golden State, Cleveland, LA Lakers
      5 Cleveland, San Antonio
      3 Boston
      2 Dallas, Detroit, New Jersey
      1 Milwaukee, Phoenix, Toronto, Oklahoma City, Orlando
      0 Philadelphia, New York, Indiana, Chicago, Atlanta, Washington, Charlotte, Denver, Minnesota, Utah, Portland, Sacramento, LA Clippers, Memphis, New Orleans, Houston

      Nope, not spoiled at all. Our winter sports teams have “only” made it to the Finals more than 80% of the other teams in the league over the past 20 years.

      BTW, the city of New York has 9 sports teams (if you include the Devils). In the past 21 years (since the Pats kicked off the golden era of Boston spots), they have a grand total of 4 titles (2004 Devils, 2007/2011 Giants, 2009 Yankees). Boston has 12. In face, since NY won it’s last title 2001 Giants, Boston has won 6. But yeah, we’re not spoiled at all.

        1. Typos are not the important message. Thanks, SAK.

          As everyone knows I don’t understand writing off a team because it loses. And I truly believe our teams deserve more than we give them. I’ve always believed Boston fans tend to be more fair weather-ish than other sports towns. I could be very wrong. Maybe I have just seen it throughout my lifetime.

      1. I think we need to add Miami to the 6 line (2006, 11-14, 20) and soon to be 7. 🙁 🙁 🙁

        Unless the improbable happens and the Celtics find some heart.

        1. And fan support. 😉

          Sorry. But as you know this is a pet peeve for me.

          But wait. The series isn’t over??

          1. I think there’s a ton of fan support for teams in New England.

            There’s always the small group, who are obnoxious.

            But, I think our region is mostly made up of those who try hard all the time and this version of the Celtics has not and so, they deserve being called out for it.

            Nothing wrong with not winning, so long as your trying. I don’t know how they accept their game 3 performance. Very unprofessional.

            1. I think you are right. Sadly as we are seeing in several other non sports areas. It is those few who make the loudest noise and are then heard over the quiet of the others.

              And some Boston media is historically horrific when it comes to sports.

            2. Trying to understand. Is the team deliberately playing poorly? Is it a slump? I remember being at Teds house in either March 68 or 69. He called Yastrzemski and let into him because he was not rallying his team out if a slump. Yaz was benched shortly thereafter. I have no clue what the outcome was but do remember the team had been in a slump and then let that get it into their heads and basically sucked.

              1. All of the above can happen, however, inquiring minds wonder sometimes about the gambling aspect. Hmmm is all I can say.

                1. That, my friend, entered my mind a while ago. You and I do not differ on that view at all. You just don’t get to this level without being good at what you do…..with exceptions for sure

  2. Made it ALL the way up to 60 here in JP.
    The East wind can go bleep bleep bleep!!!

    btw, A wise man on this site said more than a week ago
    that the ocean temp would return to more average temperatures soon enough.

    Guess what! It did!
    more than a week ago, we had ocean temps up to 58+ degrees.

    Over the past 4 or 5 days it has been down around 53.
    Currently it is 53.78 with average temp near 52.

      1. Ohhhhh thank you. Awesome news. It is not close to the top but seems to do what I’m looking for and costs a whole lot less.

  3. 58 here in JP. I was just out washing the pollen off my porch.
    It still felt most comfortable. I don’t know why, but it did even though it is quite cool out.

  4. MODEL RUN SCORE-CARD for Memorial Day Weekend
    12z Operational runs…

    GFS
    Saturday: Dry. Sunday: Dry. Monday: Dry.

    Canadian
    Saturday: Dry. Sunday: Dry. Monday: Dry.

    Euro
    Saturday: Dry. Sunday: Dry. Monday: Dry.

    Well, that one was easy. 😉

    Yesterday I saw posts from several non-met sites warning about a stormy weekend, based on ONE (bad) GFS run. This remains an issue. Again hard to ignore such a thing when you get messages from people or talk to people saying “I heard it was going to rain all weekend!” and when I ask them where they saw that ………………….. bleh!

    1. I watched channel 10 weather last night and the met had
      rain for the entire weekend, although more showery than steady rain. But raining entire weekend none-the-less.

      Interesting….

      I just looked at the Euro. Far cry from the other day. 🙂

      Bring on the dry weather!!!!

      1. I remain optimistic, but don’t rule out the possibility some showers from upper troughing take place. I highly doubt we’re going to see anything remotely close to what occurred on Saturday.

  5. Panthers were down 3 games to one to the Bruins in the first round, and also down by a goal in Game 7 with under a minute to go. Since the 4th game of that series, they’ve gone an incredible 10 and 1, the goalie Sergei Bobrovsky is in a zone, and the team is well on its way to advance to the Stanley Cup Finals.

    1. Nothing would make me happier this season (what’s left of it) to see that team go all the way.

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