Wednesday March 5 2025 Forecast (7:14AM)

79 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 5-9)

A mild interlude comes along with unsettled weather today into tomorrow, as a large and pretty strong low pressure area cranks through the Great Lakes and into eastern Canada. Its warm front may bring a quick batch of rain to areas mainly north and west of Boston before midday today, but the main batch of precipitation, in the form of widespread rain showers and embedded thunderstorms, will cross the region from west to east tonight. Thursday will be a transition day, starting mild with a few lingering rain showers as the cold front pushes through. A low pressure wave will form east and northeast of our region late Thursday and help draw colder air back into the region Thursday night, along with increasing wind. This will be accompanied by a few snow showers, which can linger into Friday morning. What will last through Friday is the strong and gusty wind, with Friday being a much colder day. Our weekend will turn out mostly dry and chilly. We’ll be in a westerly flow with a large storm in Atlantic Canada. A weak disturbance passing by on Saturday can produce a few snow showers. A storm system passing well south of the region Sunday doesn’t phase with mis-timed energy to its northeast and another area to its northwest, so that moves harmlessly out to sea with fair weather for our region to finish the weekend.

TODAY: Mainly cloudy. Brief light rain mainly north and west of Boston late morning. An isolated rain shower possible mainly west of I-95 afternoon. Highs 48-55, coolest South Coast. Wind S increasing to 10-20 MPH by late day, including higher gusts especially in coastal areas.

TONIGHT: Cloudy with widespread rain showers and a chance of a thunderstorm. Areas of fog. Lows 43-50. Wind S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers. Highs 51-58 by midday, falling to the 40s late-day. Wind W 5-15 MPH, shifting to N.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A few snow showers possible. Icy areas form on untreated surfaces. Lows 23-30. Wind N to NW increasing to 15-25 MPH with gusts 35-45 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. A passing snow flurry possible mainly morning. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, gusts 35-50 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts 30+ MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. A possible snow shower. Highs 30-37. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 18-25. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 37-44. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 10-14)

Three disturbances to watch for precipitation potentials during this period. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 15-19)

Active pattern with variable temperatures – additional unsettled weather chances.

79 thoughts on “Wednesday March 5 2025 Forecast (7:14AM)”

  4. Thank you TK.

    Elongated low seems to stretch from southern Canada to the Gulf waters.

  10. Thanks, TK!

    Ok, girls and boys, it’s time to step into Mr. Peabody’s Wayback Machine back to 10 years ago today. These are photos taken from my first floor classroom. The shots are a little deceiving as the banks in the foreground are piles of snow dumped off the roof of the school building when the custodians shoveled off the roof for fear of a building collapse.

    We certainly were dealing with a lot back on March 5, 2015.

    https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZrtVfDN9ie19w8gb6

    1. Wow. That was quite a year. Nice photos And I love the reference to Mr Peabodys wayback machine.

    2. Yes indeed!

      I remember the fears of flooding when all that snow melted, however…

      1) It was a low water content snowpack.
      2) A cold, dry March allowed a lot of that snow to sublimate, not melt.

      Irony: We lost benefit of water from it, which was a component in triggering the 2016 drought.

  14. I despise moving the clocks forward so that is certainly not something I am exited about. But that is just my opinion.

    1. There is a lot of mixed opinions on that one Sue . I do like it staying light out longer .

      1. I like my sleep. 🙂 Once a couple days goes by after moving ahead I do appreciate the later sunsets.

    2. One thing I do like, I have a little tradition of welcoming the back to 7 a.m. sunrise at the beach. 🙂

          1. Then I stand corrected. I thought it was closer to 7:15 am. Either way I still don’t like DST. Thanks TK.

  15. Welcome to “the warm sector”.
    Too bad we don’t have abundant sun to enjoy it with, but for me I don’t care because I’ve of my favorite “weathers” is a cloudy sky, higher humidity, and a fresh south wind. 🙂

  16. Thanks TK! Thankfully I did not fly to Minneapolis today. I have to fly out there tomorrow. That was quite a snow blitz they had. 8 to as much as 10 inches. They shut down Metro transit this morning and all schools closed. I don’t miss their March “state tournament” snow storms!

  17. The President believes in permanent Standard time. One of the few policies I agree with.

    Regardless I hope this “time change” is resolved this year 2025 once and for all.

  18. There’s going to be a debate of the Daylight Savings Time issue. It’s schedule for March 9, 2025 at 2:30 am EST.

    2. I can take it or leave it. I understand why it is there and for that part, it seems OK. BUT there is another side to it, that’s not so nice. Why disrupt everyone twice a year. The time is what it is
      Leave it alone! I can live with that as well and understand why
      people would feel that way.

      Not taking much of a stand. Sorry. I really don’t give a rat’s ass.
      More important things going on.

      1. That’s the idea, one permanent time year round. It’s DST or Standard. Most don’t want to change clocks anymore. I much prefer Standard myself.

        I don’t understand why Congress is making it so complicated.

        1. And btw, our modern devices automatically change anyway. No more physically changing the hands to a clock, for most. I still have a couple of wall clocks and my wristwatch. No big deal.

          1. I do recall changing the time on my computer, when I owned one. Way back in the day. 😉

    1. Down a couple notches from the “big wind” event a few weeks ago.

  21. My quick observation & commentary on the standard vs. daylight time thing…

    While it’s true daylight saving time is outdated if you look at its true purpose, being a very adaptable person, I don’t really care if we switch to one or keep changing. If we do switch to just one, standard time is probably the best option for the most people.

    We tried the permanent daylight saving time thing in 1974 and it was an immediate, miserable failure. I still remember walking to 2nd grade in the dark, morning twilight, sun just coming to the horizon, car headlights on. Add more population and today’s impatient, angry society (applying to many drivers), the results will be worse.

    So either keep switching, or adopt standard year round. 🙂

      1. My nature is very easy-going.

        I can adapt to a lot of things. I don’t get mad because of traffic. I don’t get mad because of long lines. When you think about it, it’s kind of hypocritical to do either. I once said to somebody complaining about traffic while they were driving (and I was a passenger) “You do realize that YOU are part of the very traffic you’re bitching about, right?” … Sometimes a little harsh truth is needed. 😉

        I’m the person who turns around to walk back to a door to open it for someone who has 2 arms full of stuff.

        I’m the person who walks 20 parking spaces to put the cart in the holding area instead of leaving it between my car in the car next to me. So what if I had a close space? My legs work. Not everybody is that lucky.

        Life’s too short to be pissed off all the time. It could always be worse.

        And I don’t need anybody to thank me for being a nice guy. The nice feeling of doing something for somebody is my reward. I don’t need anything else. But if they do thank me, I always say “You’re welcome, have a great day!”

    2. Agree. I remember sitting at my desk at 8:30 and watching the sunrise. It surely was an immediate failure

  22. I would really miss the post 8pm sunsets in the summer if it stayed on standard. With sunrise at 4:15am in summer how would that affect how certain regions of society does things? Would it change the schedule for other things? I don’t think many people would stay for 11pm news or want to to watch sporting events/concerts with an early sunrise..would it shift events to starting earlier in the evening?

    1. Our latest sunset would be 7:25 for about 2 weeks. That’s still not that bad, when you think about it. I’d miss the 8:00+ PM sunsets too, but I think that’s less of a loss than sending kids to school before sunrise, during rush hour.

      1. I just looked that up too. It really doesn’t seem too bad. Certainly nothing like staying on DST

        I assume AI knew I am in MA and picked what I suspect is a central location

        Wilkinsonville, MA remained on standard time year-round, the latest summer sunset would be around 7:30 p.m., and the earliest sunrise would be around 5:00 a.m.
        Here’s a more detailed breakdown:
        Latest Sunset: On standard time, the sun would set around 7:30 p.m. during the summer months.
        Earliest Sunrise: The earliest sunrise would occur around 5:00 a.m. in the summer.
        No 8 p.m. sunsets: You would not see sunsets after 8 p.m. as you do during daylight saving time.
        Summer sunrise: Summer sunrise would be between 5 a.m. and 5:30 a.m., with the earliest at 5:04 a.m.
        Winter sunrise: Winter sunrise mostly between 7 a.m. and 7:30 a.m.

        1. With those times, I’d be fine remaining on standard. The older I get, the longer it takes to adjust to the time change fall and spring

          1. Totally get it. I know people have varying opinions on it and reasons for those opinions, but I do think Standard would be a greater benefit year-round than Daylight. Anyway, I don’t think we’ll be seeing a change in the very near future. We will see how that goes…

            1. Absolutely. If we can only have one, I’d go with standard. And I won’t mind at all if we go that way.

  23. The 18z HRRR decided to back off a tad on the total rainfall (but still generally 0.50-1.00 inch with locally up to 1.50 inch).

    It’s also flirting with snow closer to the coast from that developing offshore low that I’ve been talking about for a while.

    It has minor measurable snowfall from Cape Ann to Metro Boston in it’s 18z simulation.

    The 3km NAM from 18z does not have this, only some flurries clipping Cape Ann.

    1. Are we still “on” for significant snow for SNE before this month ends TK? I imagine many here are tired of seeing my daily count. ❄️ 🙂

      1. As previously stated, we can’t rule out things that climatology provides solid evidence can occur. And the volatility of the March pattern speaks for itself.

        We are not out of the woods until sometime in April. Although, climatology makes this more difficult with time. That goes without saying. It never changes. I already know this but seem to have people who have the need to remind me about it and how to forecast (not you, just in general). 🙂

        I like watching your snow count. It’s fun. 🙂

  24. Anyone know how to see jet stream speed for flights at 40K feet across the Atlantic to Istanbul Turkey? How to decipher tail wind speed etc.. thx

    1. Perhaps the airline has that for you. Last I flew Jet Blue to Las Vegas they had all of that information. I thought it was awesome!!! I could always see our exact location and what our air speed and ground speed was. I think they also showed the wind and speed. You should check it out

      1. I read that about January and was hoping the same here lol. Istanbul is decently long flight for 12 and 15 year old boys so anything to shorten the flight. Ha

        Thanks for the info

  25. The epic snow season for Vermont just keeps rolling on. Jay Peak is rapidly approaching 400″. They received 3-6″ of heavy wet snow earlier and are expecting another 6-12″ through the weekend. So despite the rain tonight, will still likely be a net gain for them on the week….

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/multiple-vermont-ski-resorts-pass-300-of-total-snowfall/ar-AA1AiCgi?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=59bfbe62a107496a9f1fa3c8c68f5e0c&ei=111

    1. My close friend Melissa (yes, she checks in here as a lurker too) lives up in the Stowe area and she basically told me they’ve had snow at least in the form of flurries and often small to moderate accumulations nearly every day since December.

      This is in the mountains – the place I watched the total solar eclipse from last April. 🙂

        1. Basically 4 out of the last 5 winters when southeastern New England has been below normal, northern New England has been above for snow. One of those years, the above normal was as close by as north central MA.

          So the “snow drought” is not as extensive as many would have you believe. And it’s certainly continuing to pale in comparison to the snow drought years of the end of the 1970s to the start of the 1990s. This is miniscule in comparison, in fact, and it doesn’t even apply to our west and north, since there is no snow drought. 😉

          1. It’s a good that we ski and head up north a lot because the snow drought in my backyard is reaching severe levels!

            2022-2023 – 25.3″
            2023-2024 – 29.5″
            2024-2025 – 24.5″ (so far)

            These are paltry for my house given I live in an interior area at 700′ elevation.

            Last winter I was below 30″ before this was the hideous winter of 2011-2012.

            1. It’s kind of amusing though how consistent those are having been arrives at by 3 different overall patterns. 🙂

                1. Boston: ❄️ 🙁

                  2022-2023 = 12.4”
                  2023-2024 = 9.8”
                  2024-2025 = 28.1” (so far)

    1. I listened to a man who served for 30 years. He retired and started a job at the VA. He was laid off. Repeating ….he served his country for three decades…..And now he is close to being on the street. I dare anyone…..anyone,,,who knows a veteran to say the VA has ever been over staffed.

  27. Three options.
    1. Keep time change because people are worried about winter time darkness in the morning.
    2. Keep the time that you have in the summer. It gives you more light after work and school to be able to enjoy. I do not want to wake up in the morning, see nice day and then get back home during darkness. Or even worst waking up before the sun rises, get to the office, see it nice out, and then leave in darkness. Financially, more light into the evening = less electricity usage.
    Option 3. Put New England in Atlantic Standard time if the country decides to force us to live in Standard time all year long.

    1. Absolutely NO on Option 3! That would be year round DST and our winter mornings would be DARK for hours! There wouldn’t be any light until well after breakfast.

  28. Been pouring here in Coventry for hours. Looks like the last of it is finally about to move through. We are up to 1.5” of rain. 48.4F

    1. The rain should put a good dent into the drought. A 6-12” snow event would do wonders as well.

      1. More like a scratch. The ground is still largely frozen. Most of this runs right off.

  29. I spoke too soon apparently. Rain is still pelting against the window in waves. Up to 1.75”. We just had 0.35” in the last hour.

    1. Wow. I think we had a dry slot but I hear on the windows again

      We went up 2 degrees to 53

  30. TK – How can the ground still be so frozen with multiple days in the 50s? Actually, wouldn’t the heavy rain with these mild temps loosen things up if anything?

    1. It takes up to a few weeks to unfreeze the soil. The top unfreezes first, but go down an inch, two inches, and it’s frozen. This is also why we have a “mud season”. It gets soft on top but is still frozen underneath, or at least partially so, and the top layer being wet squishes and slides around (mud).

      This is part of agricultural meteorology, which was my specialty for years in the private sector.

      Think of a pond with 6 inches of ice. A few days in the 50s, 60s, even 70+ is not going to just make all the ice vanish. It takes time to thaw and melt. This is the same with the soil.

      Head north to northern Maine, and it’s been cold enough this season that their standard 32 inch frost gauge was not deep enough to measure how far down the frost had penetrated. That’s rare.

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