Tuesday September 16 2025 Forecast (7:18AM)

92 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 16-20)

An extensive deck of stratus and fog has enveloped much of the region overnight and will persist into this morning before dissipating to reveal sunshine again, which will be filtered at times by high clouds fanning up from low pressure to our south. That low, while not having a hard impact on our region, will pass close enough during midweek to thicken up its cloud shield and toss a few showers into the region later Wednesday to earl Thursday. Unfortunately, we won’t see a widespread, beneficial rain, which is badly needed as the overall dry pattern intensifies developing / existing drought conditions. After that system exits, high pressure regains control of the weather for the remainder of Thursday, through Friday, before being replaced by another one building in from eastern Canada with a cooler air mass to start the weekend. The cold front that introduces the Canadian high will pass by with little fanfare, other than a shift of the wind.

TODAY: Fog & stratus give way to sun & high clouds. Highs 71-78, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with developing coastal sea breezes.

TONIGHT: High clouds increase above lower elevation low cloud / fog patches. Lows 45-52. Wind calm.

WEDNESDAY: Limited sun / lots of cloudiness. Highs 66-73, coolest coast. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH except 10-20 MPH by late day Outer Cape Cod.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Isolated to scattered showers, favoring areas east of I-95 and south of I-90. Lows 51-58. Wind E to NE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Lots of clouds and a chance of a shower – mainly south and east – to start, then breaking / decreasing clouds with more sun as the day goes on. Highs 72-79. Wind variable to SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows 52-59. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 75-82. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, shifting to NW.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 47-54. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind N 5-15 MPH, diminishing late.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 21-25)

High pressure shifts southward with fair weather early period and after a chilly start September 21, a moderation into early next week. Watch for a front middle of next week with maybe a shower threat, then another high pressure area moves in with more fair weather. Autumn begins with the occurrence of the equinox at 2:19 p.m. EDT on September 22.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 26-30)

Guidance inconsistency tosses some uncertainty into the outlook for this period, but for now I lean toward no big changes to the pattern overall, maybe a bit warmer than previously, relative to normal, and a couple shower threats from passing fronts, but the details uncertain and TBD over time as we approach the end of the month.

92 thoughts on “Tuesday September 16 2025 Forecast (7:18AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK

    59 here and that is the overnight low

    Ocean temperature (Boston bouy) 63

      1. 3 for me today. After 1st 2 guesses, I had 4 letters, 1 in the correct position. I stared at it a bit and it came to be rather quickly. Go figure, 6 yesterday and 3 today.

        It all depends upon what the first 2 guesses reveal.

        1. No, That’s no what I mean.

          Flat eathers believe that the word is flat.
          That satellite image CLEARLY shows the earth’s curvature.

          That is what I meant.

  6. They will explain to you that the image is fake!

    From Wikipedia:

    Members of the Flat Earth Society and other flat-Earthers claim that NASA and other government agencies conspire to fabricate evidence that Earth is spherical. According to the most widely spread version of current flat-Earth theory, NASA is guarding the Antarctic ice wall that surrounds Earth. Flat-Earthers argue that NASA manipulates and fabricates its satellite images, based on observations that the color of the oceans changes from image to image and that continents seem to be in different places. The publicly perpetuated image is kept up through a large-scale practice of “compartmentalization”, according to which only a select number of individuals have knowledge about the truth.

    1. I wondered what Flat Earthers call other people. Here are some terms that I found:

      Globe Earthers
      Conspiracy Victims
      The Uninformed
      Insiders
      The Elite

        1. And one of my brothers is one. DUH! What a freaking idiot he is!!!!!!!! There were limited brains distributed in my family. 🙂 🙂 🙂

    2. Did any of these people ever take a long distance flight at say 37,000 feet or so. They can’t see the curvature of the Earth by looking out the freaking window! What kind of morons are these people?

      I’ll bet most , if not all, are MAGA. My brother is! I don’t speak to him.

        1. Which? the 100 days till Christmas
          OR
          Hard to believe.

          I HATE Hallmark movies. Production sucks, acting sucks and story lines are super predictable. I can’t watch one without puking!!!

          1. I am a hallmark movie fan. I am picky about the cast; but in these times, it is awesome to watch a feel good show

  11. I find it unbelievable that there are folks in the 21st century who still believe the earth is flat.

    I thought that was debunked in 1492. 😉

        1. Pretty scary thought, isn’t it?
          Frightening and these people get to vote!!! OMG!!!

          No wonder we’re in the mess we’re in!!

  12. Thanks, TK.

    Saddened to read about Robert Redford’s passing. He was a legendary actor and director. He was also instrumental in forging a path for independent film in the U.S. He founded the Sundance Film Institute in 1981.

    Versatility, amiability, looks. He had it all. May he rest in peace.

  13. I did not watch the game last night, but apparently at one point the Raiders’ QB gene Smith had a stat line that read: 0/10; 0 YARDS; 0 TD; 3 INT … Ouch.

  18. The Red Sox have 12 games remaining including tonight’s opener against the A’s. Can they go 6-6 and still make the playoffs without any help from other teams?

    If they have to go something like 10-2 then they are in a heap of trouble.

    According to the Boston Herald, they will likely be traveling to New York, Seattle or Houston for the playoffs. No Roman Anthony and weak pitching is of great concern.

    1. What they “have to do” depends on what other teams do, so they are best to just go out and give it their all and TRY to win every game. Pretty simple here – the more wins they get in the final ten, the more playoff-secure they become.

        1. Yes indeed. The nature of it with a team that’s not dominant, but is just around good enough to make it. Have to be playing well when it really counts if they are close to the borderline.

          Honestly, they are slightly better than I thought they’d be at this point.

    2. They control their own destiny. They don’t need “help from other teams”. Other teams need help to catch them.

      Their magic number is 9. If they go 9-3, they are in no matter what any other team does. With the next 6 games against the Athletics (who are horrible) and the Rays (who they have dominated this season), they should go at least 4-2.

      They are only 1 game behind the Yankees and they have the tiebreaker. It’s nowhere near a lock that they will be on the road for the wild card round if they make it.

  19. Out and about today I noticed a lot of Brown or rust orange leaves on trees. My young front yard tree is typically a lovely red but is Showing some Brown

    1. Similar here with some trees. Others look more “normal” for this time. I think it’ll be quite the mixed season for foliage.

  20. My brother lives in Norfolk VA. He says that travel there this afternoon is very challenging:

    …FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT THIS
    EVENING FOR THE CITY OF NORFOLK AND THE CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH…

    At 558 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges continues to
    indicate heavy rain falling, with numerous reports of flooding,
    especially across northeastern portions of the city of Virginia
    Beach. Between 4 and 8 inches of rain have fallen with locally
    higher amounts in excess of 8 inches. Additional rainfall amounts of
    1 to 2 inches are possible in the warned area. With high tide
    ongoing, water may have a more difficult time draining.

    HAZARD…Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing
    flash flooding.

    SOURCE…Radar and automated gauges.

    IMPACT…Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
    urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

    2. That is probably a subtropical depression, so to speak.

      I’m kind of surprised, given NHC’s nature to practically name cumulus clouds, that they ignored this completely.

      1. Too bad its moisture can’t quite make it up to at least SNE. We could sure use that rain.

        If this was winter, it would be quite the Mid-Atlantic snowstorm and we would be completely missing out. ❄️

        Hopefully this doesn’t continue to be a habit this upcoming winter. I don’t like this dry pattern continuing too deep into the fall.

      2. Actually he’ll have issued that about 5 times by October 1.

        That’s probably about as bad as it gets for “weather pages / youtube channels” … absolutely terrible, and the person behind it has ZERO training. Zero.

        Yet, major news sources are pulling the info and using it in stories. It shows you how out of touch these outlets are with reality, and how lost this profession is getting to the pure bullshit on the internet.

        1. He is a 23 year old “enthusiast”. I did watch the whole video and he does have some limited science behind it, talking about Pacific Ocean temps and ENSO.

          Temp outlook looks somewhat reasonable the way things look early on with above normal west and below normal much of the central/eastern US. But the precip forecast? Not buying it at this stage of the game.

          I am just surprised that Powder magazine and MSN picked up on something like this. Usually they only link articles written by meteorologists and weather consulting outlets.

          1. In their defense, they did post the official CPC temp and precip outlet issued in August for Dec-Jan-Feb which looks nothing like the Direct Weather maps. And they did say “In short, no one, not even the best forecaster in the world, can tell you exactly how much it’s going to snow in January 2026. ”

            Sorry to get you riled up again 🙂

            1. My profession does not deserve what has happened / is happening to it.

              The only science he uses is science he rewords from professional discussions he gets from the internet.

              I’ve been following this “enthusiast”‘s antics for a while. He’s a fraud out for clicks and shares. That channel should be shut down, along with all the others like it.

  23. One of the biggest and most puzzling problems with the Red Sox is the inability to play fundamentally (and mentally) sound baseball. So many baserunning mistakes, defensive lapses. We’ve seen this for awhile now. Several years, in fact.

    Likable team, but frustrating at times.

    1. The are actually able to do it, they just don’t do it every game. But then again, no team does it every game. Some just do it less often than others. 😉

      Go Sox!

  24. Sox lost tonight’s game in the 3rd inning.

    Got the bases loaded with no one out and then Cedanne struck out and Romy hit into a double play.

    Had to do some damage there.

    The kid pitched 5 and 1/3 innings and left having not giving up a run.

    I think going on the road for 6 games, the next 2 vs the A’s are must wins, even though technically they are not.

      1. Well, you treat them as must-wins. Go by the magic number. They technically don’t need to win every game. SAK explained it above.

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