Friday January 23 2026 Forecast (7:24AM)

265 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 23-27)

Cold front #1 went by last night and will knock us back about 10 degrees off yesterday’s relatively mild high temps. An arctic cold front will move through by this evening and knock double that amount and even a bit more off our high temp expectations for Saturday – the coldest day of the winter so far. Other than the potential for a snow shower or squall with the passage of the arctic boundary, we’ll have dry weather through Saturday, but more wind, which leads to especially low wind chill values on Saturday before winds ease up later in the day. We’ll have a mix of sun and “mostly” fair weather clouds today, other than the ones that would produce the snow showers later. Saturday we’ll see sun eventually filtered by high clouds in advance of the winter storm that is going to impact our region Sunday into Monday. Since my last update, I’ve been watching guidance trends on this system, and have noted a slight northward trend still, enough to introduce the chance of some sleet mixing into the South Coast region during the second half of the storm and a little mid level dry slot cutting off or diminishing the precipitation a few hours earlier than a track slightly further south. So far this only has a fairly minor impact on the expectations for snowfall, but is still obviously worth monitoring as we continue to get closer to the event. I still expect elongated low pressure to pass relatively close to the “benchmark” (40N/70W) to our south Sunday night and early Monday. As it moves away, lingering snow or snow showers can last through a good portion of Monday, but the bulk of the snowfall accumulation should occur between early evening the very early morning hours of Monday, based on current timing. Post-storm, we can expect a blustery, cold, but dry day on Tuesday in a northwesterly air flow between departing low pressure and approaching high pressure.

TODAY: Partly cloudy. A late-day snow shower or snow squall possible. Highs 30-37. Wind W 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a potential snow shower or snow squall early, then clear. Lows 2-9. Wind WNW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chills below zero.

SATURDAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 13-20. Wind WNW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chills below 10.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 3-10. Wind N 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

SUNDAY: Overcast. Snow arrives southwest to northeast between mid morning and early afternoon. Temperatures slowly rise to 18-25. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH except 15-25 MPH Cape Cod by late-day.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Snow, heavy at times through midnight, tapering off in intensity overnight. Snow may mix with or change to sleet near the South Coast especially Cape Cod. Temperatures steady 18-25 but can rise to 26-33 South Coast / Cape Cod and potentially as far north as the MA South Shore. Wind NE 15-25 MPH Cape Cod / Islands, NE to N 5-15 MPH elsewhere.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Lingering snow or flurries. Total storm accumulation expectation is 10 to 16 inches, but pockets of 16 to 22 inches are possible, and areas of under 10 inches are possible mainly Cape Cod / Islands, pending the impact of potential sleet. Temperatures remain generally steady or fall slightly. Wind N to NW 10-20 MPH, a few higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. A lingering snow flurry possible. Lows 12-18. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 22-29. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 28 – FEBRUARY 1)

A passing disturbance may bring a few snow showers January 28. Watching for the next potential storm in the January 30 to February 1 time frame. Temperatures below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 2-6)

Another potential winter weather threat around February 5 in a still active and cold weather pattern.

265 thoughts on “Friday January 23 2026 Forecast (7:24AM)”

  1. Thanks TK !

    I didn’t miss the Wordle train today: 4

    Straight to the 850 mb maps on the 12z model runs for me.

    Happy Friday !

  2. Good morning and thank yiou TK.

    25 here.

    Ocean; for some reason, the bouys did not report water temperature. I Assume it is still 41. May drop to 40 prior to storm.

    Wordle; 5
    I think the words are getting harder. Or I am playing lousy.

    RE: storm
    My snow estimate is 15-20 inches. But I think 2 feet is not out of the question depending on how things set up. Will be most interesting to see. Can’t wait.

  5. On my way to work, I was listening to WBZ and within a span of ten minutes, they gave three different accumulation ranges for Boston.

    Ha!

    1. I heard 6-10” and 1-2 feet.

      6-10” from the meteorologist and 1-2 feet from the newscaster.

  6. 6z ICON is closer to the GFS 850 mb track and would have a nice 2nd half into Monday. Very, very significant snow totals.

  7. 6z euro has 1.25 to 1.5 inch melted. If ratio is 15:1 then 18 to 20 inches
    At 20:1 that would be
    25-30 inches.
    Wonder what the ratio will really be?

    2. If at 700 mb, say approaching mid evening, the temp at that level is -2C to 0C, as the milder (aloft) models show, then it could be 10F at the sfc and -8C at 850 mb and we’re still going to see some denser snow at the time that will probably be closer to 10:1

      From noon up to 8pm, yes, 15:1, 18:1 probably.

  9. Do we have a better handle on start time? We have a basketball game in Dartmouth at 1 PM. My guess they cxl bc no is wants to drive back from Dartmouth

  11. I’M Going to have to break out my laptop as my desktop just won’t boot up this morning.
    Time for a new one as this one is now about 10 years old. 🙂

  12. Thanks, TK.

    Whatever happens Sunday/Monday: 1. It looks like the streak will end at 1,429; 2. A protective layer of snow will help vegetation and trees, particularly during the periods of cold; 3. As with a solid rain event, substantial snows will help ease drought concerns as we head toward brushfire season.

    1. Actually the streak “should” end at 1,430 on Sunday…or 1,431 on Monday.

      For some reason, it takes a lot of energy in the atmosphere during a snow event to produce “6 inches” of snow in Boston compared to other locations. A mystery best left to meteorologists like TK. After all, it took all of 4 years. 😉

      Btw, Quincy here got its 6 inches last year. Only 3 years. 🙂

  13. Where does this fall under the area of Melrose Ma? ( 10 to 16 inches, but pockets of 16 to 22 inches are possible,) Or will it change before the date?

    1. Melrose is in the potential 16+ area pending the location of a coastal front.

      It’s hard to tell exactly where that boundary will set up until the storm starts to get underway. Those boundaries can sometimes focus, heavier snowfall amounts just to their west.

  14. With the possibility of sleet now mixing in , is the south shore out of the bullseye? Also do we think these numbers as we get closer to the storm go down more as it seems like the numbers have come way down from yesterday . I’m really excited for this but honestly after all of this hype I don’t want this thing to fizzle as that would be a bummer , I’m definitely waiting & ready for a big event here .

    1. There already starting to say on the news south shore & cape probably will need adjusting with the mix , go figure.

      1. There’s a big snowfall coming for the south shore, even if we mix or end as a little sleet prior to midnight Sunday night.

        We’re still getting a front end 8-12″ front end thump.

        The unknown is what happens midnight Sunday to Monday evening. Is it only 1-3″ after a lull or is it up to another 8-12″ in part 2 without much sleet at all.

        At least, if you go by the differences in the 850 mb low track, I don’t see how anyone can know which one it is for the 2nd half. Both are on the table. I suppose if the 850 mb low track splits the difference, then we get 3-6″ on the 2nd half.

        But, that’s unanswerable right now until we get model concensus on part 2 and there is absolutely NOT model concensus on that part.

        1. And that’s not way down 8-12 ?? I don’t know I’m just starting to get a feeling & I hope I’m wrong .

  15. WBZ is struggling on this one. IMHO, this is because Eric was absent from the station all week at a weather conference in CO. I believe he is on his way back with the intent of making the 6 PM news tonight and will produce maps.

    To TK’s point that the station gave 3 different amounts … I wonder if Eric did not want maps or estimates produced until he got back. I noticed his weather team struggling all week with this. I suspect more than I am saying but will leave it at that.

  16. SSK I really don’t think it ends up mixing anywhere except maybe the Cape and Islands, we have seen this many times. I am not saying it won’t a slightly wetter snow but 12+ inches a great bet region wide. That should make and keep us all happy! You will do very well!

  17. Basically a very deep snowpack for hundreds of miles to the west and south of us. So when it warms up will any warm up be tempered? Unless another lake cutter brings the warmer air off the ocean.

  18. Thanks TK! These have been great discussions – I wish I wasn’t working so I could study them more. NWS snow map issued at 1am had south coast and eastern mass in the 18-24 inches range up substantially from yesterday.

  19. SSK… Mixing with sleet is technically on the table as far north as the MA/NH border Monday at the precipitation winds down…

    ***** HOWEVER *****

    The odds of sleet getting involved are highest on the South Coast by far.

  20. 12z NAM is improved, a bit to some, compared to its 00z run for part 2.

    If part 2 comes through, then, I am of the belief the snow projections are underdone, even the big amts

    That is why I have harped and harped on part 2 and the 850 mb low track.

    I am encouraged by the 12z NAM more than its 00z run, but I
    ‘d still like to see that 850 mb low track just a little further south yet, not a ton, but a little.

  23. Thank you TK and happy Friday to all. Shaping up to be an exciting weekend between the Pats and the weather.

    Wordle: 4

  25. Thanks, TK!

    Seat belt buckled! Keep your hands inside the car at all times! 🙂

    Looking forward to a fun ride for the next 72 hours! 🙂

    2. Fairly similar to 00z run, but ever so slightly shifted south on part 2.

      Feeling better on part 2 so far after the 12z stuff that has run, compared to how I felt after the 00z run.

      I want part 2 to work out, because the amts will be massive.

  28. NWS new event total snow map took about 2 inches off the previous.

    In a larger event like this it’s basically negligible.

    2. Thank you! We are leaving shortly for Bretton Woods, NH and doing some cross country skiing tomorrow in the Arctic ice box of the White Mountains. Planning on coming back late Sunday AM now to avoid as much driving in the snow as we can.

  30. SSK – Welcome aboard the snow train! You usually root for any snow to change to rain ASAP, lol.

    Is this sudden love for snow permanent or just for this one event? Just curious. 🙂

    Anyway, I hope your wife has a speedy recovery! 🙂

    1. Not really , I usually like to give a gut opinion but I realize sometimes that may come across the wrong way which I don’t want . So being home & not needing to go anywhere I’m all on board the snow train . Regarding my wife I appreciate that .

  32. https://pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=850wh&rh=2026012312&fh=75&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    GFS continues to be really good !!

    Look at this inflow on the backside.

    https://pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2026012312&fh=75&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2026012312&fh=78&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    Heavy bands of snow here and there thru 1 pm Monday.

    A healthy part 2. Skies the limit on accumulations if this verifies.

  33. I went to the supermarket early this AM. UNBELIEVABLE!

    I made some observations and incorporated them with historical data and now I have developed the Longshot AI Snowstorm Supermarket Forecast Model. As far as crowds at the supermarket, here is my early 12Z run.

    Today: The Surge
    Saturday: The Panic
    Sunday: Aisle Warfare

    Yes, this will verify! If you dispute my forecast and it then verifies, you must agree to live in Yakustak for the month of February.

    1. Thanks for that update and forecast Longshot 🙂 I’ll be going to either Market Basket or S&S later today….can’t wait!

          1. Thank you both….I’ve been lurking for the past few months and with this event I thought I would pop in!

    2. Market Basket in Woburn will be deserted Sunday morning.

      Despite the cold, everybody will have gone on Saturday because since their weather app just has a bunch of snowflakes for Sunday, they’re going to assume they can’t get anywhere and they need everything before the big game.

      1. Sunday morning might be a good plan. We are going to be in Scituate (the Salt Caves) and might go to the Cohasset S&S as it always seems to be empty.

          1. And a huge treat seeing your name too, Keith. It might just be the best part of big storms. We see wonderfully familiar names

      2. I just got back from Market Basket in Fitchburg. The narrow aisles were crowded, but everyone was polite and in a good mood. They had so many checkouts open that there was hardy any wait.

        It sounds like the store will be closing early Sunday but the time has yet to be determined. I think that’s the right thing to do.

    4. Ordered Instacart from Hannaford. It’s on its way. Big tip for my shopper …..love Instacart

  36. My grandson has a photo with bright highlighter blue lightning and asked what would cause to be blue. I told him I’d ask here. Thank you.

  41. 12z suite making me more feel more confident of much less of a lull, sleet confined closer to the south coast and several inches of additional snow after part 1.

  43. Just got back from Stop & Shop and I lucked out and grabbed the last 2 cartons of orange juice. Bottles gone too.

    Who would have thought the orange juice shelves would be empty prior to a major snowstorm and the milk shelves still relatively full? Go figure.

    Having said all that, I would think those shelves will be restocked soon.

  44. Hi all!
    Hope everyone is well.
    Very excited here in Weymouth!
    Always appreciate the maps and excellent discussions. Thank you!

  45. My Instacart shopper was working with her husband. The store was so crowded that she shopped and he delivered.

  46. What do you see for snow in Natick? Is that in the 10-16 zone or maybe the special high accumulation zone? I assume it will all be light and fluffy?? Thanks

      1. I have the deck slider to my left where I sit and a window to my right. I will be glancing back and forth too

      1. It looks okay except that many of the TV snow maps are trying to carve out small geographies where higher amounts will fall based on the position of the front. the channel 7 map is one of them.

  53. 18Z Shows SLEET almost up to Boston and a BIG DRY SLOT APPROACHING to cut the snow off at the pass.

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2026012318&fh=57&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2026012318&fh=60&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    SLEET compliments of the temperature at or near 700MB

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=700th&rh=2026012318&fh=60&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    BUMMER!!!!

    Dry gets to Boston or very very near to it.

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2026012318&fh=63&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    Kuchera Snow to that point

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026
    012318&fh=63&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    We’ll see what if any snow falls after that.

  55. Oh one comment about snow – I hate the stuff, I make sure everyone knows it even though I follow it. But today I root for the snow because the alternative… what some of the people south to us are getting? I’m good… I don’t need that. I’ll take light fluffy snow.

  56. I give a 2 thumbs down to the NAM. Yes, even after delivering 15 inches as it could have been more. 🙂 🙂 🙂

        1. I think it is.

          It’s awful in all seasons.

          It will project a 78F DP in the summer, when every other model is at 72F.

  58. Re: broncos game

    I am seeing a high tempersture of 18 for Sunday. BRRRRR
    Hope Mr. Maye is up for that. Not sure how that will affect his throwing. So much for the app that said it would be 50 at game time!!!!!!

    1. The warm up is delayed by one day. The forecast for 40s was made 6 days ago.

      The high will be about 25, and there is the chance of a snow flurry, otherwise it will be dry with fairly light wind (top gusts around 15 MPH).

      It will be easier weather conditions to play in than the game at Foxboro one week prior.

      1. I wish that the pats had gotten the one seed because that would be one epic snow bowl game.

        1. They have enough to deal with so personally I’m glad they are playing where they are. But yes, it would have been pretty epic if a home game.

          If they are meant to win by playing good enough to win, then they will win.

          If not, they STILL exceeded everybody’s expectations significantly this season and it will be a very successful season. That part is a lock.

  59. The good old dry slot has been the kiss of death for some of our snowstorms in the past. Wouldn’t surprise me one bit if I looked out the window at midnight, 2 am, 4 am, and 6 am only to see the stars shining brightly time after time. There’s usually something that prevents full potential from being realized.

  63. 18Z RDPS keeps the snow going till after 7PM Monday. Not as intense as other models, but much longer duration. 925 flow is ok, 850 yuck.

  64. I wonder if Logan gets to 25F? 30F? during the event?

    I kind of think btwn 25 and 30F for a bit.

    Marshfield, briefly get to 32F?

    Or are the models overdoing the coastal front?

    1. Early idea of the coastal front location is just east of I-95 in northeastern parts of my forecast area, right through or just west of Boston, and down to just east of Narragansett Bay.

      There’s a lot of margin for error in these. They can be erratic and unpredictable.

      I think Boston can achieve 30 during the storm but that’s more likely to happen during the early part of the wind-down phase Monday morning. Sometime during the first part of Monday afternoon the wind will shift to NW there and the temperature will begin a decline.

  65. Some how I think this storm will NOT play out exactly as modeled. Something will happen unexpectedly.

      1. Don’t know. Wish I did. Hey, Perhaps it plays out exactly. What concerns me is that although all models have a signifcant snow, they all vary in intensity and duration.
        So something is not going to go right. Something will have to give. One model will bust and another will have nailed it.
        Each model can’t nail it if they are all different.

    2. No storm ever plays out exactly as modeled, by any model, so you will be correct. 🙂

  67. We are now under 48 hours from onset, and this is the time to start paying more attention to the higher resolution guidance, and also keeping in mind that these are simulations. The models do not dictate the weather, but simulate the atmosphere and resultant weather based on information input.

    Keeping this in mind, a realistic expectation is more likely, and knowing shortcomings and potential errors in the guidance will be of great benefit. This will be a nice test for the new RRFS, as it hasn’t really dealt with a system like this one so far. This is the NAM’s replacement, so it’s rather important.

    1. I agree. Here’s hoping it does a great job because I like what I see from it. Will be fun watching this play out.

      I do hope we see genuine heavy snow. Most storms never go truly heavy. Some do, but most don’t.

  68. NWS has issued and re-issued their snow map several times today and at times there have been 2 versions with 2 different sets of numbers out at the same time. I’m not really that pleased with this method. Remember when they used to issue an update about every 6 hours? Yeah, they need to go back to doing that.

    More is not always better. Streamline. Simplify. People receive better data and retain it better. This way does nothing but cause confusion.

    1. Example: They issued one at 2:15 that had Boston at 17″.
      They just issued another one that has Boston at 14″.

      A few hours ago they had Boston at 10″. And these were all EVENT totals, not totals through 7 a.m. Monday. I made sure to verify that.

        1. I’ve got to be totally honest. This simplification or reorganization that they have been talking about, in my opinion, has been very disappointing.

          I think the products are lower quality and the focus on many of them is all off.

          This is not likely due to any of the meteorologists, but coming from above that.

  71. What could be different than modeled?

    hmmm

    #1 More or less snow than modeled.
    #2 Sleet moves farther North than modeled.
    #3 Freezing rain is introduced.
    #4 plain rain is introduced
    #5 Dry slot kills the snow sooner than modeled.
    #6 Backside is more potent than modeled.
    #7 Snow is more or less intense than modeled, similar to #1.

    That’s enough for now.

    1. You forgot a few…

      #8 Giant asteroid knocks earth out of orbit and on a collision course with the sun, eliminating any chance of frozen precipitation……………..

      #9 Giant asteroid knocks earth out of orbit and the solar system in which case the next ice age will begin a LOT sooner than expected………………………………………………….

      …except we wouldn’t survive long enough to observe the results of either.

      1. 10) And a certain meteorologist tells you the Siberian snow pack is not strong enough to support the event.

  72. I believe Eric walked into the studio after jumping off a plane and i think he did not have time to change the the snow map. He presented the same map they used all week. I suspect that will change.

  73. There is some emerging disagreement among the local media on snow totals.

    I just saw Channel’s 4 & 10.

    The former has the most snow near the coast and less inland.
    The latter has it completely the opposite.

      1. Petey B. & Dominic Brown.

        You can make a case for either forecast being ok. I was just finding it interesting they were two rather different scenarios. Either could happen.

    2. In terms of this storm, I am annoyed with the BZ TV station, the BZ radio station, and a specific meteorologist. Yes, I am ranting!

      2. Something changed there recently, and I suspect management.

        There has been a huge uptick in drama-filled social media posts and sensationalism, not just weather, but sports, regular news, etc.

        It’s really bad. I pay very little attention to that station now for anything news-related other than what comes across my feed on social media.

  74. If we get 10-12 inches in Boston I’ll be very happy. Anything more is gravy at this point. We haven’t had a proper snowstorm in a while, so I’m content with just getting one. I’m not paying much attention to the TV mets and all the various snow maps. I like them all and am sure they’re doing the best they can.

    I am prepared. Got my provisions. Won’t venture out much this weekend except for a morning run tomorrow. And then on Monday it’s shoveling time, which isn’t really that much. But because the landscapers come quite late after storms, I wind up shoveling the sidewalks, steps, and courtyard. We have some elderly folks in the building.

    2. Joshua, once the storm ends, near 20ish for highs all work week.

      If Boston clears the sidewalks, with all the snow and cold temps, you should have an opportunity at some great running weather next week.

  75. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KADS&hours=72

    It’s 39F in Dallas, DP 36F, both lows thus far for the day.

    But, I’m guessing it’s about 100 miles north, in south central OK, the temp is 21F, get this, the DP is -5F.

    That shallow low level cold, dry air is going to develop a lot of freezing rain in northern TX the next several hours.

    I take note of the Denver change in the temp for Sunday.

    A testament to how big and strong and dense the cold airmass is.

    A week ago, the models didn’t think it would spread out as far west or probably south as it clearly has and will be doing.

    2. I flew out of there today at 11:30 and it was 51 and raining. When I landed at Logan all flights to Dallas were cancelled. If I had a later flight I probably would have been stuck there and missed this storm.

  76. One more thing on this storm….
    Ratios are not likely to be as high as previously thought. At least I don’t think so and looking at ther QPF and snow maps.

    THE RRFSA model has about 1.60 Inch qpf for boston, but has 22 inches snow kuchera. Overall ratio 13.75 to 1. May be higher in parts of the storm and lower in other parts but the average for the whole storm is ONLY 13.75 to 1. We were expecting 15 to 20:1. Not so. This is one model, but I noticed this similarity on all of them.

    1. The only place the ratios will be down a little is east of any coastal front.

      Nothing has changed.

      Remember that we can’t begin to pick out the finer details until inside 60 hours. We started to do that today.

    2. Yes.

      With not drastic winds, probably could take a cross section off a deck or car later Monday and see the different densities of snow in layers within the snow. Kind of like they do with ice layers in the Arctic.

  77. Minneapolis, MN high temp today is -9F.

    This beats the last couple of winters.

    So often looking at Quebec City and seeing a high of 35F, knowing we had no cold air around and having to seemingly always depend on a dynamic storm to hopefully manufacture enough cold air aloft and combine with heavy precip to offer some wet snow.

    What a different winter this year !!

  78. ECMWF 45-day says below normal temp pattern for the duration of the time frame, which takes us into early March.

      1. I do like when we keep snow cover for a while.

        That’s another thing the last few winters.

        The snow we got, it seemed like it was 45F within 2 days and the snow was gone fast.

        It’s going to be nice to have a solid snow cover for several days.

        1. I really must have a little seasonal disorder.

          Brown earth in winter just gets tiring at looking at for me.

          I do like a lot more a snow covered landscape with bright sun and temps well below freezing. It looks nice, there’s nice bright light. I also like when the trees have snow in them. It’s just a lot less blah to look at.

  79. Temp now at 25 with gusts to 25.

    Dozens of school districts have already called off classes for Monday, including Fall River and New Bedford.

  80. Tom, running next week between the snowbanks on days in the 20s will indeed be pleasant. You do need good sunglasses though.

    1. Backing it up 3 hrs to show where that significant warm air advection and lift will be approaching from.

      If this timing is right, multiple inches per hr snow rates will be on the CT south coast about 5pm and progressing towards Boston nearing 8pm.

      1. Quigley is a great name, but I still maintain naming winter storms is not necessary.

        It’s not the same thing as a tropical cyclone which is a very distinct entity.

        Not all winter weather events, including major ones, are caused by a single entity, such as one low pressure system.

        It can be a high pressure area with a wedge of cold air at the surface and some warm overrunning causing an ice storm with no low pressure system / storm system at all. So you’re basically naming high pressure and warm advection. Nope. Doesn’t work.

        I strongly hold this position on the matter and won’t be changing my mind on it. 😉

        Besides, TWC only did this as a marketing stunt.

  85. There is a small broken line of snow showers (oriented west-to-east) in southern NH from Jaffrey to Nashua as of 9:45 p.m. and it’s dropping southeastward. If it survives, it will be moving into Boston’s NW suburbs prior to 11 p.m.

    2. You ready for it Tk , please tell Mother Nature to bury pembroke , I’m ready with food , wood & a plow .

  86. https://x.com/Souza101Matt/status/2014856725845676204 Up at Stowe VT, it was probably one of the coldest I have gone skiing. Temperatures were in the 10s but with wind chills already around 0 or below today. Tomorrow Actual temperatures -18 summit, -8 base, wind chills down to -35. Some of our favorite areas are already going to be close tomorrow but they could delay the opening for several others. So not sure if I will be back on the slope tomorrow or not, I have the layers and my entire body covered.

    1. Matt where in Australia do you go? My daughter is currently in Bussleton – south of Perth and it’s been delightfully warm there during their summer

      1. Thats in southern western Australia its amazing over there from what i hear. Im in the southeast part of Australia in a town called Warrnambool about 3 hours west of melbourne.

  87. -1F where I am right now in Bretton Woods NH heading for a low of -17 F tonight. Hit some heavy snowshowers driving up 93 on the way here near Lincoln and through Franconia Notch. It is deep, deep winter up here.

  89. JR has now moved the mix line to much of the South Shore but not quite into my area or Boston. Too close for comfort though. He also no longer has the “ocean enhancement” zone along the coastline and the greater snow amounts are now well to the north into NH.

    Boston area: 11-13”

    I also noticed that the dry slot is much more pronounced! Hardly any real snowfall during the day really from what I can tell. More like the typical “festive flakes”.

    The track has changed and it is now just inside the benchmark which will introduce warm air causing much more mixing. That’s the way JR explained it if I understand correctly.

    I bet before long this is going to be a typical SLOP FEST!!! Then everything frozen up all next week.

    Not liking the new trends at all.

    1. I will take back my “SLOP FEST” comment as JR emphasized that no rain would be introduced. The mix zone is “snow/sleet” but I am still wondering about the outcome in the end…

    2. And no slop fest as there is no rain mixed in.

      TV folks shouldn’t be changing forecasts that quickly IMHO

  90. Nah I don’t agree. The sleet line will down on the south coast as far as I am concerned. People jumping on the NAM and Canadian short range. TK and others consistently say not to trust.

    Still 12-18 and 18-24 pockets.

  94. I am sorry to say in today’s environment I trust very little anymore on our local news as I have no idea who own these stations. Any news has to be taken with a grain of salt so I come here and other places.

    1. I think you’re right about local media. There is one and maybe two TV mets relying on the Canadian.

      1. Just posted the Canadian short range and sleet doesn’t make it much further than the south coast.

  95. Just saw Jacob Wycoff on CBS and he was good. No changes in my thinking except I still think we overachieve.

    1. Jacob has played this one right, agreed. I think BZ had some issues early on with this storm and reporting a mix of snowfall amounts. A couple of times the words coming out of the met’s mouth didn’t match the graphic.

  99. GFS has that nice flow of moisture off the Atlantic and that’s hard thing to capture from past storms where those bands set up. There is no doubt a wild card.

    Also let’s just keep in mind for those who like snow this is a massive storm. Maybe not top 10 of all time but impressive nonetheless.

  100. Also quick and easy way to see how NAM and others are handling this event is to look at the current observations vs. what was showing and we can see the bias emerging. Clearly it’s a different beast as it becomes a Miller B here, but idea remains the same.

  101. I have a hard time sleeping well in anticipation of a storm. Been like this since childhood, I can’t be the only crazy one. I know Retrac gets excited big time as well.

  103. I think we all sit here in sheets spit for a snowstorm. 12,15,18 in the end it’s a lot compared to what we have seen. So let’s enjoy and have some good football.

    I am happy for Vrabel and Maye, what a breath of fresh air for the Pats and their fans after the last group here. Vrabel is generally a class act. I have Pats vs. Hawks for Super Bowl and Hawkes winning. Pats look good long term as their free agent spending really paid off in a big way. My Commanders need a lot of help again lol what’s new.

  104. I also have Patriots and Seahawks in the Super Bowl.
    My Cowboys need big time help on the defensive side of the ball. Defense better be the priority in the offseason and draft.

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