DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 6-10)
A preview of the classic summer pattern takes place today, i.e., high pressure off the Atlantic Coast, sending in higher humidity and very warm to hot air as a cold front approaching from the west ups the chance of showers and thunderstorms. However, the latter is not going to take the form of a squall line charging rapidly into the region before day’s end. A brief caveat before I go on about the storm threat. There’s a weak frontal boundary sitting over eastern MA into NH that has coastal areas from the South Shore of MA northward a little cooler, and this will somewhat delay the warming in these locations. Back to the storm threat. There may be an isolated shower or storm, mainly north of I-90, at some point this afternoon on a weak pre-frontal trough, while the main line of showers and thunderstorms, some of which can be severe, forms well to our west. The timing is such that we will be receiving remnants of this line later this evening, west to east across the region first to the north then further south as the line may have a kink in it. If this is the case, the majority of the WHW forecast area would receive a shower or storm after 9:00 p.m. (west) and after 10:00 p.m. (east). While the odds of damaging wind gusts reduce with the storms arriving well after max solar heating, I cannot rule out isolated occurrences of it. Any storms could also produce torrential rain, small hail, and frequent lightning, but again I feel this will be more of an isolated occurrence in one or two remaining cells in a decaying line. If you have evening plans, it’ll be important to stay weather-aware. After a quieter overnight, Sunday starts with some sunshine. While a cooler air mass will be moving in, it will still be a fairly warm day, just not as warm as today. Humidity comes down a bit. However, low pressure passing to our north sends a trough down our way and this can trigger additional showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon to early evening, from northwest to southeast across the region, which will move out of the region later at night. So, while the weekend can be characterized as “unsettled”, any given location will see rain-free conditions for many more hours than rain can occur. Canadian high pressure brings fair and cooler weather Monday, but as this high sinks to the south a warm-up will commence heading toward the middle of next week as dry weather continues. A trough approaching from the west can bring more clouds back later Wednesday, depending on timing.
TODAY: Lots of clouds / limited sun. An isolated shower or thunderstorm possible west and north of Boston after midday. Highs 86-93 except 78-85 South Coast. Dew point climbs into 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A shower or thunderstorm moves across many areas mid through late evening from west to east. Patchy fog forms. Lows 62-69. Dew point 60+. Wind SW under 10 MPH but could be briefly strong and gusty near any showers / storms.
SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. A couple showers and thunderstorms probable, especially afternoon to early evening from northwest to southeast. Highs 76-83. Dew point 60+ then falling below 60. Wind W 5-15 MPH, but can be variable and gusty around any showers or storms.
SUNDAY NIGHT: A shower potential early, followed by clearing. Fog patches form in lower elevations late evening then dissipate overnight. Lows 53-60. Dew point falls through 50s. Wind NW to N up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-75, coolest coast. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog lower elevation locations. Lows 48-55. Wind calm.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85 but may turn cooler coast. Wind SW up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 54-61. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 83-90 except cooler South Coast / Cape Cod. Wind SW up to 15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 11-15)
Passing trough brings a shower and thunderstorm chance June 11 to early June 12, followed by high pressure dominating from later June 12 through the June 13-14 weekend with fair weather expected. Next disturbance and shower potential end of period.
DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 16-20)
There’s been a little shift in the guidance to a more “opened up” pattern with less blocking and more progression, with a weak trough from the Great Lakes to the Northeast. If this trend is correct, our pattern for the final 5 days of astronomical spring would feature some temperatures variability but no major heat, and a couple shower / t-storm chances but no long-lasting periods of wet weather.
Thanks!
Wordle 3 today!
Wow! Great job.
Impressive!!
Thanks, TK.
Good morning and thank you TK.
71 here up from 65
Ocean: 56 (Boston Buoy)
Logan is 64 with East wind already. In fact all up and down the East coast the wind is coming in from the ocean. Portland, ME is 57. Has this front actually moved down along the coast? Or is the gradient really that weak? Pete mentioned this front last night and he expected cooler weather along the NE Mass coast.
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif
Wordle: 4 and this was after a total miss on guess #1, so I’ll take it. 🙂
Btw that map above was issued at 6:20 Am this morning.
Looking at that map, the front shows as stationary, but I’ve lived around here long enough to know that this looks like a classic
Back Door Front Set up. I can’t say for sure that it has slipped down the coast, but my gut is thinking maybe so. Even if not,
hard to imagine the gradient weakened so much overnight? Interesting…..
We shall see. I won’t complain if it is cooler today. I don’t need no stinken 90s!!!! Lousy English purposeful. 🙂
Up to now anyway, our house has remained comfortable with all the windows open and with the DRY air. I have fired up my special ANTI-HUMIDITY device to keep the dew points down.
We’ve only been running the AC in the kitchen as it gets too warm when using the stove.
Awesome 4
Latest from the SPC just issued a few minutes ago:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.png
Tornado
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1300_torn.png
I think TK described the thunderstorm chances FAR better than the above graphic from the SPC.
Thanks TK
I got Wordle in 3 today. It had a pleasant symmetry (no spoiler):
https://ibb.co/Gv7scRgy
Another great Wordle score
Wonderful
Thank you TK. We are 71 up from a muggy 56. DP Is 62 and you can feel it creeping up. My fault. I mentioned yesterday that the DPs hadn’t been bad and Mother Nature decided to prove me wrong
Wordle 5.
My first two words have been very little help the past few days. Apparently, I’m taking up permanent residence in the 5 car.
You made it. 🙂
76, dp 60 here.
Logan 70 with EAST wind.
Thank you TK!
Wordle: 3
Wow! Another great 3
Super Sue
Fun fact: This is the 4th year in a row (2023 through 2026) with potential thunderstorms forecast for June 6. 🙂
This is also the 45th anniversary (Saturday June 6 1981) of an eastern MA tornado watch for evening thunderstorms that turned out to be a fairly widespread dud event, with hardly any thunderstorms making it into the region.
SPC at their finest.
Well, I don’t know how much I can say about that version of SPC in 1981. I just remember there being a tornado watch issued, my girlfriend being terrified and me reassuring her that it wouldn’t be the last time we saw each other (keeping in mind we were barely teenagers yet hahaha). But it was kind of funny, all the neighborhood kids bid farewell to each other like life might never be the same after that night…
…..it was the same the next day and we resumed our shenanigans. 🙂
funny. Doom and gloom. 🙂 🙂
I honestly don’t remember that, so for me, it certainly wasn’t memorable. 🙂
My memory is in the bizarre category.
I’m on the spectrum in a really odd place. I’ve known this for a long time. My eccentric memory is only one aspect of this.
My memory is weird in itself. I remember some odd things and things I should remember I do not.
But tornado watch in 1981, I do not remember.
I do remember one when I was in High school. I was out fishing with some friends some 5 miles from my house (via bicycle). My Mother heard Don Kent come on and she got in the car and found us. (luckily I had let her know where we would be and we were there) Put all the bikes in the car and drove us all home. NOTHING HAPPENED!!!!
Closest action was Schenectady, NY. Go Figure!
It must have been this one, so I had just finished 8th grade and I was 13 almost 14.
https://ibb.co/YF9YnWgJ
Cool facts. Thank you
Local radar
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
It’s after 10:30 AM and Logan STILL has an EAST wind.
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 3
MHS graduation at 2pm. I’m liking these mid/high level clouds to hopefully keep it from full, blazing sun.
Great 3!
The way it looks right know, the forecasted heat will not be realized. We shall see.
The key is what happens later. Boston will surpass 85 today.
I suppose, BUT I’m FINE if it doesn’t happen.
Awesome 3. And fingers crossed for not as high a heat
80 here, 72 at the airport with ENE wind.
SPC outlook. This will be updated in an hour or 2.
https://ibb.co/BVJZYpGn
As depicted, my location is barely on the Eastern Edge of the slight or a wee tiny bit East of the edge of it. Either way, I do NOT
expect any severe weather here. Could there be a surprise? I suppose there is always a chance, but NOT expecting it.
81 here and at Norwood.
73 at the airport with EAST wind.
82 with a whopping 69 DP
Little or NO change in the SPC forecast.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Western areas of SNE best chance of a locally severe thunderstorm this evening
Agree
83 here, dp 65
77 at Logan with ESE wind and dp 63
The humidity is VERY VERY noticeable today!!!! It is Night and day compared to yesterday!!!! Feels like PUKE!!!!
84 with 68 DP. Sure can feel it
The sun has come out where I am and I am noticing an uptick in the humidity. Now waiting this evening to see if anything happens.
I hope this isn’t seen as political on a day in history that touches us all. I apologize if it is
General Eisenhower written June 5 1944 Just prior to the invasion. Thank God it was never needed. Bless our troops
“The troops, the air and the Navy did all that Bravery and devotion to duty could do. If any blame or fault attaches to the attempt it is mine alone.”