Sunday July 5 2026 Forecast (8:53AM)

59 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 5-9)

The hot air mass of the last several days has been pushed out of the region by a cold front. We’ll have quite a nice Sunday as high pressure in eastern Canada sends lower humidity our way. There will be more clouds to the south as the front that went by slows down and comes to a stop off the South Coast, but it will be a rain-free day and rather pleasant in comparison to what we went through since midweek. However, now we have to keep an eye on an area of low pressure set to track slowly along that frontal boundary. While we’ll be seeing even cooler air on Monday and Tuesday, we’ll see it becoming rather cloudy with our rain chances increasing, first to the south on Monday while areas to the north stay drier, and then across all of the region on Tuesday, when some beneficial rainfall is expected. The low pressure wave will shift to the east on Wednesday when we’ll see improvement, and then high pressure will build in with the return of fair and seasonably warm July weather by Thursday.

TODAY: Most sun southern NH / northern MA. More limited sun southern MA / eastern CT / RI. Highs 81-88, coolest eastern coastal areas to Cape Cod. Dew point below 60. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 61-68. Dew point nearing 60. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Occasional showers mainly South Coast to I-90 belt. Highs 72-79. Dew point around or just over 60. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog. Showers becoming widespread from south to north. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind SE to E up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Cloudy. Showers likely, some heavy. Areas of fog. Highs 68-75. Dew point 65+. Wind E 5-15 MPH, gusts 20+ MPH possible especially south of I-90.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Showers diminish. Areas of fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. A shower possible especially south of I-90 early. Highs 76-83, coolest coast. Dew point near 60. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 58-65. Dew point in 50s. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 81-88. Dew point in 50s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 10-14)

Brief shot of heat and humidity including the chance of showers and thunderstorms on July 10 as a cold front moves through by nighttime. Fair, lower humidity expected for the July 11-12 weekend. Increasing humidity and shower chances come later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 15-19)

Overall pattern features west to east flow with a few passing disturbances bringing shower and t-storm opportunities, but no prolonged unsettled weather. Temperatures near to above normal.

59 thoughts on “Sunday July 5 2026 Forecast (8:53AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK

    78 up from 74 with dp 57. Ahhhhh!!!!

    Ocean: 72

    Wordle: 5

    1. We missed the convection that caused the Esplanade evacuation. I didn’t see any ligtning on my detector. Was there any? Didn’t rain here until much later when ee got a bit of light rain. Not enough to even close the windows.

      BTW, it looks like Logan picked up 0.16 inch. Bet anything it was more like .25 inch. Who knows. I don’t trust their rain gauge.

      1. There was no CG lightning closer than about the MA/NH border, but with that cell moving right through the area, they had to be cautious with that many people out there.

        Evacuation order was given about 6 p.m. … We were all back in the venue about 1 hour later. The return through security was orderly, and rather quick. The security team, state police, and military police were EXCELLENT. Nothing but praise for every one of them.

        The concert was delayed 1 hour, beginning at 8 instead of 7. Ironically this was the “old” start time. Fireworks were at 10:15 after a 10:00 p.m. drone show, which was epic, as were the fireworks. One of my best July 4th’s in Boston, and this was my 36th. 🙂

        1. Happy everything worked out. We could hear the fireworks from here. Some years we can’t but most years we can.

          When I saw that cell on radar I could see that it was on a bee line to the Esplanade. I felt badly for everyone as I figured an evacuation would be ordered. I knew it would just miss our area. My son took a video from Jamaica Pond and it showed the Prudential tower getting enveloped in a rain shield while it remained dry here. We did get some outflow from that cell that dropped our temperature from 92 to 79. That was nice.

  3. Thanks TK
    First time last evening getting the alert on my phone for a severe thunderstorm warning with a destructive tag attached to it. Thankfully all I got was heavy rain lightning and thunder. Other places in CT not so lucky as it one point over 100,000 customers were without power. Now that number down around 71,000
    Ryan Hanrahan posting the track of the hail producing thunderstorm.
    https://x.com/ryanhanrahan/status/2073618954338082924

    1. They use stronger wording on days that have more people outside.

  4. Heat update for my location.

    TUE: 89
    WED: 96
    THU: 99
    FRI: 98
    SAT: 96

    Pretty hot spell, the likes of which I would rather NOT see again EVER!!!! let alone this year!!!!!

  9. A couple of Movies:

    Watched The Devil Wears Prada 2 last night. Rented it for
    $24.95, I don’t think it was worth it. A $5.99 rental fine, but $24.95 I don’t think so. It was OK, but not a block Buster. I jumped from one scene to the next like it was choppy editing.
    Also, the actors talked too much and way too fast. It was hard to follow.

    The other day, watched a new Amazon Movie called
    Project Hail Mary I don’t want to spoil anything, so I won’t say much, but I thought it was OUTSTANDING!!! Ryan Gosling was other worldly excellent. Very interesting movie.
    I guess one would call it SCI-Fi, so If you like Sci-Fi and movies about Space, then this is your cup of tea. If not, then perhaps not so much, but it is really really good and a bit different.

    1. Thank you. I’m not a huge sci fi fan but a granddaughter is. I’ll let her know.

    1. What an absolutely wonderful 250th birthday celebration and I was so happy to be a part of it. 🙂

      There are so many great interactions I had with people I’ve never met – because we’re all friends for the day and evening. I just love being there. 🙂

  15. Dew points are creeping upward again.

    61 here, 58 Norwood and 64 at Logan. What gives? Is the front edging its way Northward a little bit and more than expected?

    Does this mean MORE rain in the Boston Area?

    Interesting. Feels pretty sticky here!!!!

      1. Going for a quick swim & it’s grill time with steaks & lobsters tonight

  16. Beautiful day out there today. 🙂

    Kind of disappointed in a lot of people on social media again today (what else is new?) with the amounts of complaints I see about fireworks displays that were not “up to par” or whatever.

    Entitled, ignorant people, who have NO idea whatsoever what goes into the process of securing funding, planning, and executing an event, when multiple things can go wrong, from weather to staffing to security to technical issues. It’s amazing how many people just think someone opens a box, pulls out a few bottle rockets, and light a fuse or two.

    There was a significant technical glitch at Hampton Beach which did not have a short term solution, forcing the team to start 35 min late and then only fire about 75% of the display. People are livid without having any understanding that something actually went wrong and they did the best they could.

    My favorite part is watching people complain about their tax money being wasted, when in fact their tax money isn’t used for that display.

    People are also complaining about fireworks at Old Orchard Beach, a postponement at Wakefield, and even Boston’s “lackluster display”. Apparently for Boston, people were not watching the same display the rest of us were. It was spectacular.

    The amount of stuff people take for granted is insane. If these people consider this their worst problem, they have it pretty damn good. 😉 Happy Birthday USA!!!

      1. It was one shooting. Self-inflicted fatal shot after he shot someone else. It occurred there. The people were not FROM there.

        Everybody keeps talking about Hampton being a cesspool now. They’re completely wrong. It’s like everything else, magnify every little thing that happens because well .. that’s the “thing to do”. Let’s target one thing or one place.

        Like meteors: Have a couple fireballs and all of a sudden “WHAT’S HAPPENING?!” … It’s called passing through debris.

        Or earthquakes: Have a cluster, which are COMMON, and everyone freaks out. “What’s going on?!” .. It’s called plate shifting. Been happening for .. a long, long … long time. Educate yourself.

        Or anything basically…

        Society in general lacks logical and critical thinking skills.

        “A heatwave?! In JULY?! OMG we’re all gonna die!” I have news: It gets hot in the summer. While that was going on, it was snowing in the mountains of the West. Who talked about that?

        The hyper-focus is hyper-annoying. 😛

        1. Tk I think delaying folks going in yesterday was a joke . I’m almost 55 & society today is brutal . It’s to hot close everything down , it’s to cold close everything down , my goodness what wimps . Growing up in the 80’ you did not have this crap . If it’s to hot or cold stay home as you are not forced & some folks like heat & some like cold

  17. Thanks TK.

    We ended up picking up about 1″ of rain yesterday in Coventry from the storms and now have about 1.5″ for the first 5 days of July. And now, a Flood Watch in effect for all of CT and RI through Tuesday for 1-3″ of rain with some 4-6″ banding possible. Where the heaviest banding happens differs depending on what model you look. Wouldn’t be surprised if those Watches are further expanded into portions of SE MA. Quite the turnaround from the drought conditions we have been experiencing.

    Missed out on the storms here yesterday as we were driving back from PA (via Upstate NY where we had to stop at my mother’s to pick up our dog). Couldn’t believe the swath of damage they left along with 3″ diameter hail and 100k power outages.

    We did time our drive right last night coming back and was able to pull off the road and catch the end of the fireworks display at the Empire State Plaza in Downtown Albany. Unfortunately the shows in CT last night were wiped out by the storms.

    1. A.J. Mastrangelo
      @AJ_Mast_WX
      4h

      RAIN AHEAD: Potential for very heavy rainfall with the system tomorrow into Tuesday. A good 1-2″+ soaking for Eastern MA likely at this point, amounts tapering north into NH. Model consensus for 2-4″+ appears to be SW of Boston. Plenty of uncertainty still remains…

      https://x.com/AJ_Mast_WX/status/2073798250579075433?s=20

      1. Thank you, Mark. I sent to my son in RI. I believe I mentioned that the blackstone river canal behind his house is down to mud.

      2. 3 of the 4 models he shows have 5-7″ of rain in Hartford tonight through Tuesday. And the ground is already saturated from yesterdays rains. And those 5″+ rain areas are pretty widespread. These are the amounts you would typically see in a landfalling tropical system. We need more rain but that would be bad news.

  20. So glad I was there for all three days of this (NOT!!)

    NWS Mount Holly
    @NWS_MountHolly
    23h

    With Philadelphia hitting 101° today, that marks three straight days of 101° or higher. That is the first time that has ever happened with records going back to 1873. #PAwx

  21. Yikes.

    Brady Harris
    @StormCat5_
    1h

    A disastrous scenario is unfolding in the Pacific today as the island of Rota is about to take a direct hit from Category 5 Super Typhoon #BAVI

    The estimated Winds on BAVI are sitting at an astounding 155 knots (around 180 mph), which is enough to completely devastate the island.

    We are witnessing an unbelievable Superstorm which is pushing the very limits of what nature will allow it to achieve.

    Praying for Guam and the island of Rota, which is about to see the worst of this deadly Super Typhoon.

    https://x.com/StormCat5_/status/2073835763964252174?s=20

    CIMSS_Satellite
    @CIMSS_Satellite
    41m

    2.5-minute Himawari-9 Infrared images show that the eye of 155-knot Category 5 Super Typhoon #Bavi is on track to pass very near the island of Rota, between Saipan and Guam.

    https://x.com/CIMSS_Satellite/status/2073854375827546148?s=20

    1. Yep. They are somewhat rare there, but they do happen.

      More are documented now than a long time ago because…
      -There are more ways to observe and capture them.
      -They were not looked at statistically there until the 1950s.

  23. I have significant doubts about the 3 to 7 inch rain totals on much of the guidance for parts of SNE.

    1-3 I can see. Isolated heavier I can see.

    But as is typical a lot of X posts will come out quoting the guidance like it’s an auto-lock. It’s not an auto-lock.

    1. At least it should help a lot with the drought, especially for eastern sections.

  24. I’m not usually into these young musicians nowadays but that “Trombone Shorty”was really good last night! I actually enjoyed him! 🙂

    As for those on social media complaining about the fireworks, they seemed fine to me. I also liked that AI showcase of various objects above the city. Or was that some other technology?

    I also noticed that there were no local tv news “hosts” (anchors)during the concert like with Boston Marathon coverage. I guess that worked ok. 🙂

    1. I thought the broadcast was good! I “heard” most of it there, but I have not watched it back yet.

      I liked all the musicians. I am a fan of T.S., L.W., and Chance The Rapper.

      Rap may or may not be your thing, but it’s an art form, despite what people think. “It’s not music”. Whatever. Define it how you want. Rap is a very distinctive art form born in the 1960s. It’s rhythm and poetry. I mean .. that’s what “RAP” stands for, after all. 😉

      I’m a fan. Not a huge fan of vulgar rap, although I do like honest hard-hitting rap that tells you a story. Daveed Diggs is one of the best at this with his rap group “Clipping”. Otherwise, my favorite rap would fall under the old school (Run D.M.C. style) stuff, and some of the things that Will Smith has done. I also like when rap is utilized by artists not traditionally considered rap artists. Todd Rundgren has done this. Lastly, I love the rap / hard rock combination, such as what Linkin Park has done.

  25. 18z GFS appears to be significantly backing off on rain totals for SNE.

  26. JP Dave… The Coney Island “sandstorm” was on Friday July 3 and focused at Brighton Beach. Result of a strong gust front ahead of a t-storm. Wind gusts reached 55-60 MPH. Nothing super out of the ordinary, TBH. It was most notable because it hit a very busy beach at the end of a very hot day. If nobody was there, we’d barely have heard about it. But that’s the nature of these things. We live in nature’s way, and when she wants to come through, she comes through.

  27. Super Typhoon Bavi is about to hit Rota in the Pacific. Many social media posts have talked about how this island will never be the same, basically obliterated. What they don’t realize is that Rota is literally built to largely withstand a category 5 tropical cyclone. They’ll be back to normal within a few days.

    I forecast this area for years. Trust me, myself (and colleagues like SAK) know far more about the impacts than any of those posting about it.

    Beware of falsified posts on the storm. They’ll be out there.

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