Saturday July 4 2026 Forecast (8:16AM)

18 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 4-8)

Happy 250th to the USA! While I think the majority of locations planning fireworks celebrations this evening will get them in without much difficulty, mother nature may try to put on her own fireworks show in some locations. It’ll come down to the details of thunderstorm development and movement of storms as we move through afternoon into evening. I’m still of the opinion that the majority of our region will deal with little or no significant activity, but there can be some scattered heavier showers and storms around, primarily from mid afternoon to very early evening from north to south. Some short range guidance has indicated a couple additional showers and storms can be in the region into early tonight, but I’m leaning away from this information being correct, as I have seen quite a few similar errors in this guidance of late (some of it is still in experimental mode). So I’ll lean optimistic for the evening hours when we start to see an air mass change from the hot and fairly humid one we’ve had into a less hot and less humid one that will make our Sunday quite nice. After that we turn our attention to the front that went by, as it will slow down and come to a stop just south of our region and be the focus for an area of low pressure moving along it early next week. Based on current expectation, I think our greatest chance to see additional rainfall will be south of I-90 on Monday and more widespread in the region for Tuesday. This should taper off with just a few lingering showers Wednesday as the low pressure wave departs. Tomorrow’s blog update will focus a little more on the Monday through Wednesday time frame. In the mean time, stay cool, hydrated, and safe today!

TODAY (INDEPENDENCE DAY): Mostly sunny morning. Variably cloudy afternoon with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, greatest chance being west of I-95 and south of I-90. Highs 88-95 except 80-87 parts of Cape Cod / Islands. Dew point 60s. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH shifts to NW late-day.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy evening with a shower or thunderstorm possible early mainly RI / eastern CT. Clearing overnight. Lows 63-70. Dew point drops to 50s. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 81-88, coolest coastal areas. Dew point sub-60. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 61-68. Dew point sub-60. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Possible showers South Coast. Highs 75-82. Dew point near 60. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Showers possible South Coast evening then anywhere overnight. Lows 62-69. Dew point 60+. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Cloudy. Showers likely. Highs 70-77. Dew point 65+. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Showers diminish. Areas of fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. A shower possible especially south of I-90 early. Highs 76-83, coolest coast. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 9-13)

A warm shot early period then a cold front may cause a thunderstorm and introduce a more seasonable air mass mid period before warmth and humidity and shower / t-storm chances return later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 14-18)

Overall pattern features west to east flow with a few passing disturbances bringing shower and t-storm opportunities, but no prolonged unsettled weather. Temperatures near to above normal.

18 thoughts on “Saturday July 4 2026 Forecast (8:16AM)”

  1. Extreme Heat Warning has been replaced with a Heat Advisory for today. No surprise there.

    Reply

  2. Thanks TK !

    Wordle: 6. Once I saw the word, well, I would have liked to gotten it a little quicker 🙂

    Nice explanation on your thoughts for possible storms later on.

    Hopefully, the Monday, but especially Tuesday time frame for rain can end up beneficial for a large part of the region.

    Reply

    1. How yiu feeling these days?

      You got the word. I’LL probably join yiu in the 6 car. About to give it a whirl now.

      Reply

  4. Knowing that Mark Rosenthal often reads along here, I’d like to wish him a Happy Birthday today!

    Reply

  5. Good morning and thank you TK

    My equipment is reading 90. Same relection problem. Nearby locations are reading 86, so that is about what my temp is. I’ll have valid readings around 10-1030. However I can say low was 79. Logan low was 80 best I could tell.

    Ocean: 71

    Perfect day for swimming in the ocean.

    Wordle; 5. Almost joined you Tom.
    My starting word didn’t give me much to go on.

    RE; 4TH
    sorry as long as the orange menace and his band of idiots are dismantling our democracy, I have no reason to celebrate today. Just can’t do it. If we ger back to normal then let the celebration begin!!!

    Reply

    1. Interesting. They moved the marginal risk to cover our area. Hope for “some” storms?
      Hope so

      Reply

  8. Thanks, TK!

    My sensor also caught the morning sun and hit 90. It’s now reads 86.

    Happy Independence Day on our 250th birthday!

    Hope everyone has a star-spangled day! 🙂

    Reply

    1. Capt, I’ll be happy just to survive today.

      TUES. 89
      WED 96
      THUR 99
      FRI. 98
      SAT. 90+????

      ENOUGH ALREADY!!@

      Most grateful we didn’t lose power, not yet anyway.

      Reply

  10. I’ve thorougly enjoyed this week’s weather as you all know because I’m a fan of summer heat that reminds me of years like 1995, 1988, 1983, 1980, and a few times in the 1970s. But as it prepares to end for this round, I also am a fan of what we’re about to get. Being easy to please is something I’m happy to be. 🙂

    Anyway, plan for today is to head out at noon and the Boston excursion starts with the North End before we end up in the security line for the 4p.m. esplanade opening.

    HAPPY BIRTHDAY USA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Reply

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