DAYS 1-5 (JULY 21-25)
A trough of low pressure will traverse the Northeast between today and early Thursday, with its associated surface low pressure area passing to our north. A warm front will approach the region today with thickening cloudiness and eventually showery weather later today through most of tonight, including some embedded heavier thunderstorms. The greatest opportunity for heavier rainfall appears to be mostly from the I-90 belt southward, but I am not expecting any severe thunderstorms to occur. We’ll see that activity exit off the coast by morning with a mix of sun and clouds and higher humidity Wednesday. As a cold front approaches, we’ll see the opportunity for showers and thunderstorms in one or two clusters or lines in the afternoon, although coverage may not be widespread. The character of the storms will be determined by how much clearing / sunshine there is to help destabilize the atmosphere and fire up the storms. Once the storms form, they can at least partially dictate their own motion through outflow boundaries and such features. I do think the majority of the activity by late afternoon and early evening will be near or east of I-95 as the frontal boundary should advance far enough for that to happen, and then anything that remains should fade rather quickly with the setting sun. However, the front will be slowing and still over southeastern MA / RI into Thursday morning, when additional showers may occur. After that, it pulls offshore. So the trend is for fair weather to return on Thursday then continue into the start of the weekend as high pressure builds in, providing pleasant weather including lower humidity.
TODAY: Clouds thicken. Showers arrive mid to late afternoon from west to east. Highs 75-82. Dew point rises into 60s. Wind S 5-15 MPH, gusts 20+ MPH South Coast.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Showers and thunderstorms likely, tapering off west to east pre-dawn. Lows 62-69. Dew point in 60s. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms lingering into early evening southeastern MA & RI. Highs 78-85. Dew point in 60s. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to W later in the day.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Lots of clouds southeastern MA & RI with a shower chance. Partly cloudy elsewhere. Lower elevation fog patches. Lows 61-68. Dew point lowers to near 60. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Morning clouds with additional showers possible RI and southeastern MA, then clearing. Elsewhere, mostly sunny. Highs 79-86. Dew point in 50s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Interior low elevation fog patches. Lows 57-64. Dew point in 50s. Wind NW under 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85, coolest coast. Dew point in 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 56-63. Dew point near 50. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85, coolest coast. Dew point in 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.
DAYS 6-10 (JULY 26-30)
Shower and thunderstorm chances July 27-28 with a passing trough and again very late in the period. Temperatures near to slightly below normal. No major heat indicated.
DAYS 11-15 (JULY 31 – AUGUST 4)
Shower / t-storm chances early in the period (July 31), then a stretch of mainly fair weather to start August before shower / t-storm chances return late period. Temperatures not too far from normal.
Good morni g and thank yiu TK
67 up from 74
Ocean: 64
Wordle: 3
Last night on ch 10 they were spewing doom and gloom about severe weather for today. I told my wife they were full of shit. This crap has to stop!!!!!
What were they saying exactly?
Here’s the weather team
https://www.nbcboston.com/weather/
The news anchors upon opening the show made it sound like the end of he world was coming. 🙂
PATHETIC!!!!!
We are kind of in marginal risk .. but I don’t think the full potential will be realized.
And the news direction will make the stations focus on even the slightest risk so you’ll hear harder hits on local media. Gotta have something to “alert” for because it gets people to watch.
Again, I don’t agree with the practice either, but that’s why it’s done.
Understanding that the Mets and news teams do not support this either. It’s a mandate from management.
Yep.
The boss says……
Superb 3, JpDave !
Thank you Tom.
Excellent 3
Thank you
Up from 64. Sorry.
Thanks TK
Down in Virginia and a level two out of five for severe weather the next two days.
Have a nice vacation, JJ !
Hope you have a wonderful vacation. And severe weather stays away
Thanks TK! Rain gauge ready
Thanks, TK.
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 4
Nice 4 Tom.
Excellent 4, Tom.
Hopping aboard your car with a 4 also
Welcome 🙂
Nice 4
I’m starting a new streak today. I got it in 4, also.
Very good.
Yay. The 4 car is hopping
Great !
Thanks TK. 62/61. Low of 56
Survived with a 6 today. Just keep flipping the second letter
Welcome aboard !
You made the train!!!
I’ve seen a handful of 6 or fail because of that second letter. You did well to get it
No change in SPC outlook for today:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.png
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1300_torn.png
SPC outlook for tomorrow
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_0600.png
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2probotlk_0600_torn.png
Sure looks like rain, by cracky!
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
I haven’t heard that saying since my nana used it. Huge smile here
When I was dating my wife, she lived in Boston and I lived out in the boonies in Millis.
Anyhow, One evening I was coming to pick her up and she was on the porch with neighbors and one of the neighbors (same age) shouted out to me: LOOKS LIKE RAIN BY CRACKY!
making fun of the fact that I lived out in the country and then
he said STEP ON ANY COW FLAPS? on the way
All in good humor!!! 🙂 🙂 🙂
I’ve only heard that remark on old tv sitcoms or westerns. 😀
What a fun memory. ❤️
Is there room for one more in the Wordle 4-car?
Nice 4. Crowded care today. Looks Like I am still the engineer.
I thought I might have some company.
care = car
Nice !
Always. And yay
Insane dew points NYC Southward. Even 70 in NYC.
Please do NOT let that warm front pass through
WPC surface Map as of 9:30 AM
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif
Good luck. Stopping a warm front (any season) is like stopping the passing of year round DST!
🙁
I think that often times a warm front fails to get through here, most especially in the SPRING.
Thank you, TK.
73 with a very wet feeling 65dp
It’s 72/66 here with light showers just starting.
Quite feisty thunderstorms just north of NYC.
On the warm front, near the truly tropical air. I am sure they are being closely monitored down there for flash flooding and possible rotation.
SPC mentions that in this mesoscale discussion:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1687.html
Thank you TK!
Wordle: 5 (stupid 2nd letter) 🙂 Bring us somewhere good today JPD!
Nice 5. No issues with 2nd letter. It was the 3rd letter that prevented me from getting it in 2. 🙂
Not sure where the rails will take us. How about out to the Berkshires?
Ohhhhhh. Love Berkshires!!
Absolutely stupid second letter. Great 5, Sue!
Looking at radar the initial outbreak of storms seems a bit slightly north and west of what happened Saturday when NYC and Long Island got pounded. Will be interesting to see how this evolves next few hours and will this mean more rain for areas further west and north of South Coast.
That first area is going to largely dry up.
TK – Do you think there’s much of a chance that the Red Sox game will be played this evening?
Here comes the rain.
Few drops here and I don’t expect much more. Moving fast and frying up.
Did someone mention drying up?? Sure did. 0.02 and sun trying to break thru
Thanks, TK!
Trying to type and radar watch with dilated eyes! 🙂
Comprehensive eye exam this afternoon.
Flash Flood Warnings along the Connecticut coast!
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KBDR&hours=72
1.86 inches in one hour in Bridgeport
Yikes. A whopping 0.05 here so far
Me as well.. Damn dilation!!!
Oh my. This must be the day of dilation
You as well? that is 3 of us!!! WOW!!
My report was excellent!!! I don’t need cataract surgery at this time! YAY!
No way, all 3, same day ??
Glad no cataract issues.
Ugh. Looking at a screen is hard when dilated. I hope your report is excellent
Thanks, Vicki! My ophthamologist has been monitoring my eyes for an enlarged optic nerve and possible glaucoma for years. All is well and stable from today’s exam!
Yay
https://weather.us/radar-us/connecticut/reflectivity/KOKX.html#play-0-12-5
Tornado watch up for a good chunk of NY, Eastern PA, and New Jersey and a part of Western and SW ct.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0507.html
It says moderate risk, but looks like they are only expecting
EF0 or EF1 ratings on any that occur. That is a good thing,
I wonder IF this will get extended Eastward. I don’t think so, but will keep an eye on it just in case.
No MDs for our area at this time.
Line coming at us from off the ocean. Should be a good one!
Sure should be, at least wet Some lightning, but not a ton of it at this time.
One day late with this – some weather history for Washington DC.
July 20 1930, Washington DC matched its all time record high of 106F, previously set on August 6 1918.
It has never been reached since.
105F has been hit 3 times: 7/10/1938, 8/17/1997, 7/7/2012
104F has been hit 5 times: 7/21/1926, 7/9/1936, 7/16/1988, 7/29/2011, 6/29/2012
Here we go! Wind gusty and dark skies – some thunder in distance and a few flashes of lightning. Rain coming down but nothing too bad
Now it’s coming down!! Torrential – another house wash!
We’re about ready to get into the same weather!
Solid rain here sadly no thunder and lightning. But we’re up to 0.56.
Call me crazy I’m heading down to Sarasota tomorrow 7:05 flight ✈️ I’m hoping for no weather delays from PVD. Ground crew will not load cargo on the plane if lightning ⚡️ is in the area. Beach conditions will be much better tomorrow and Thursday. Gulf Of Mexico water temperatures around eighty seven. I went for a swim along our south coast yesterday in Narragansett water temperature was about seventy one not too uncomfortable.
My son is in FL right now and will be there for another week.
Got an alert on my phone for torrential rain and street flooding. Let’s see if it actually materializes. Looks to me as if some weakening is beginning to occur.
Some lightning strikes are getting close, around 10 miles out or so.
Rumbling here.
Moderate rain, no torrents, yet.
Humid, but almost a bit cool with the SE breeze. Switching to AC later when the 70F+ dps move in.
Ok, some real heavy stuff came through and the thunder is louder.
Distant rumblings here. S-SE.
0.81″ since about 5 pm
A second round of heavy rain is coming through right now.
Seeing lightning and listening to boomers.
Sox PPD, double-heada tomorrow!
.68 inches in less than an hour with more to come – feels like a drought busting month in this area of state