DAYS 1-5 (JULY 22-26)
A humid air mass has invaded our region as a warm front passed through late yesterday to early today with widespread rainfall including some heavier thunderstorms. That activity has now exited, and as low pressure passes to our north today, its cold front has to cross the region. While available moisture is there at the surface and solar heating will be present as the warm frontal clouds and areas of fog clear out, a push of drier air at mid levels will limit shower and thunderstorm coverage to generally isolated to scattered along a line pushing eastward through the region during the afternoon to early evening hours. An additional batch of showers may visit RI and southeastern MA later tonight / early Thursday morning as the front slows while exiting the region. After that, high pressure builds toward the region with a drier northwesterly breeze and nice summer weather on Thursday. High pressure then sits over our area from Friday through the weekend with stellar late July weather – lots of sun, low humidity, and daily coastal sea breezes.
TODAY: A first-thing-in-the-morning shower over Outer Cape Cod, otherwise lots of clouds and areas of fog give way to a sun/cloud mix. A shower or thunderstorm possible from west to east this afternoon to early evening. Highs 80-87 but a bit cooler South Coast. Dew point in 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible especially around any showers and storms.
TONIGHT: Lots of clouds southeastern MA & RI with a shower chance. Partly cloudy elsewhere. Lower elevation fog patches. Lows 61-68. Dew point lowers to near 60. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 79-86. Dew point in 50s. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Interior low elevation fog patches. Lows 57-64. Dew point in 50s. Wind NW under 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85, coolest coast. Dew point in 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 56-63. Dew point near 50. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Dew point in 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 56-63. Dew point near 50. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Dew point in 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.
DAYS 6-10 (JULY 27-31)
Shower and thunderstorm chances July 27-28 and July 30-31 with troughs passing through the region. Much of the time will be rain-free, however. Temperatures near to slightly below normal.
DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 1-5)
Fair weather early to mid period before shower and thunderstorm chances and higher humidity return later in the period. Temperatures near normal.
Last day, first comment, thanks for the accurate forecasts 🙂
This afternoon is key. I have to get in touch with the H.B. Village District & the pyro company toward lunch time. I think they pull it off tonight.
Thanks TK
Good morning and thank you TK
74 up from 71
Ocean: 63
Wordle: lowly 6
Never heard of that word and I was fortunate to get it at all.
From what I can see Logan came in with 0.97 inch yesterday.
Well done to get it. Funny how it’s so up and down but still fun
Welcome aboard, same experience 🙂
My rain monitor held at .99 inch when I went to bed at 10. Forgot to look this morning to see if any additional fell overnight.
I got Wordle in 5. Not to give a clue, but was surprised as I don’t think of that as an American term. I though Wordle only used American English words?
There is already action to the West. What will it be like later when it gets here???
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KENX/standard
Thank you TK. 72/70. Low of 70
I posted late last night that baby horse has a name. My granddaughters younger sister has little interest in horses but is a huge Star Wars fan. I love that baby horses name is a tribute to her sister. He is obi-Wan Kenobi or Kenobi for short.
Great Name!!!!
Wordle was definitely midnight magic.
First guess had one letter in incorrect position and last two letters in correct position. As JPD did, I don’t know the word so kept adding letters.
Wordle 2
Unbelievable!!! How did you do that? Incredible! Great Job!!
It was sheer luck. I figured the letter not in the correct position was second letter so kept adding letters either side of it and hit enter. Even when the word took, I had to look it up
https://postimg.cc/mPhkdw5x
Congratulations Vicki !
Thank you 🙂
Wow!!! That is amazing, to say the least.
Thank you TK!
Wordle: 4, and like JPD and Vicki I have never heard of the word.
Vicki – love the name of the horse, great choice.
Thank you. I like it too. And really like that she went with the name her sister chose
Great 4
Nice, Sue !
Awesome 4, Sue
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 6, I’m content with that 🙂
Great to get it. And Very wise. They keep digging up these little known words
Welcome to the caboose Tom!!! 🙂 I welcome the company as I was pretty lonely.
Heading to you if ok. I love company
Only slight changes for today’s SPC outlook
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.png
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1300_torn.png
The Line of convection to our West seems to be intensifying and expanding as it moves Eastward.
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KENX/standard
Thanks TK! 2.07 inches of rain from the system. We have now had over 10 and a half inches of rain in my area for the month. That is impressive with over a week to go still in July.
76/69 here.
I got Wordle in 5.
I learned that word from the lyrics of a song from 1971. Here’s an interesting orchestral version, featuring the iconic rock instruments accordion and oboe! 🙂
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uAFsfvJM10U
Nice 5. ahh Jethro Tell.
It is possible I heard that word before in a British movie or TV series, but I can’t be sure. As far as Wordle goes, I never heard of it before. NEVER in a million years would I come up with that
word. It was only via letter substitution.
I haven’t heard of Jethro Tell, but there was the infamous 1968 typo of Jethro Toe! 🙂
https://ibb.co/d4dCNJvB
Ok it is Jethro Tull. Sometimes my fingers just do the typing detached from my brain!!!!
Excellent 5. And I’d forgotten the song. Thank you
Impressive 2! 5 here
Nice 5
❤️. Very nice 5
Line from the West suddenly weakened. Not sure what that means. Hitting dry air at mid levels as TK indicated above????
Hopefully no disruptions for Red Sox game #1 this afternoon. Game #2 tonight should play as normal.
They can certainly make history by midnight tonight! 🙂
Another note on the sensors. I never share an individual source without permission. Andy has given me permission. And he added a bit more info. It’s a pleasure chatting with him. He doesn’t know me from Adam and yet has been very helpful throughout the last few years.
“…my head technician also told me that with a switchover to a slightly different temperature/humidity sensor unit in the last few years, the standard protocol is now every 18 months the entire unit is sent back for full recalibration, even if it’s still within tolerance. For Boston, that 18 months comes due in December. The previous temperature and humidity sensors were separate, so if one was out of calibration a simple swap with a working one was all that was needed. The combined unit makes it a little more difficult, because if one is out of tolerance, then the whole unit gets replaced. Hope that makes sense.
Andy Nash
Meteorologist-in-Charge
NOAA/National Weather Service – Boston/Norton MA
508-622-3250 x222 ”
The line of convection headed Eastward almost seems to be pulsing. Stronger/weaker/stronger
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
Thanks, TK!
78/70
2.39″ yesterday for a July total of 5.11″, putting a small dent in the drought.
79/70
77/73
Opened windows for a very short time to just air out. Nasty dp for sure
As of this moment, it looks to me that the line of convection
moving Eastward is likely to pass “just” North of Boston.
Will be monitoring for changes.
Very north of me …sniff
WPC Surface map as of 9:38 this morning. The front is charging Eastward.
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19§or=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
https://www.goes.noaa.gov/sector_band.php?sat=G19§or=can&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
Perhaps destined for more hazy smoky days down the road?
Western third of Canada is completely covered.
Ridge in the western US, trof in the east, some of it will get grabbed and sent eastward, I just don’t know if it’s directed over us, eventually, or kept just south of us ???
The southern end of the line of convection is firing up and extending SouthWestWard
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
Maybe Boston does get it as it now looks.
Now the SOuthern end looks to be fizzling out.
going going and virtually gone!!
We just had a few minutes with a little wind and very little rain. The sun is back now.
In 20 minutes we went from 80/71 to 74/67.
https://weather.us/radar-us/massachusetts/reflectivity/KBOX.html#play-0-12-5
I don’t know if that’s a line of very light showers or the wind shift, but even where there are not heavier showers, like in NH, finding the front is pretty straightforward.
If I’m interpreting correctly, the late mid/long range on the 12z vs 00z GFS is fairly different.
Since we’ve been in a pattern of avg/occasionally below avg temps and fairly troffy in the northeast, I tend to believe the 00z GFS more.
The 12z gfs isn’t showing a major ridge, but it has much higher heights, a trof/closed low to our west and opportunities for a few days of 90F and higher humidity in the long range.
Guess we’ll watch and see what future 00 and 12z runs bring.
Line in SW heading NE. Looks to pass west of me
https://streamable.com/l8f05j
Looks as if there are a few smaller cells down Mark way.
Yup.
Think the initial front has stalled a bit and almost like a little ripple along it, with a concentrated area of showers/storms and a new dp front forming in CT
Sox up 6-2 after 5 innings.
Updates…
Weather/Sports: No changes. Eyeing the frontal boundary as it drifts across the region. Showers & storms are behaving about as expected. Sox game will be “official” before any interruption would arrive, but even one that occurs would be relatively brief. Go Sox! Hope they hold the lead in this first game and at least tie the record. I won’t say anything about the 2nd game until this one is done.
My health update: I had a video visit with cardiologist this morning which went well. He explained by echocardiogram results and why surgical intervention with the mitral valve is the best option. I trust his opinion, and the surgeon agrees. I was then referred to a surgeon who I already heard back from and scheduled an appointment to go over details and a timeline (July 31). At that point we will decide when it will be and schedule it.
My procedure is going to be minimally invasive mitral valve repair, or as my cardiologist called it, “bread & butter surgery” with a minimal incision and a relatively short recovery period.
So now, it’s just a matter of going through the steps and seeing this to its conclusion, which will improve the function of the heart for many years to come and prevent future issues that would have developed much sooner and more seriously without intervention. I love our medical abilities. I wish our medical system was less broken, but at least I have a great team taking care of me. 🙂
Heading up to Hampton soon for a visit / fireworks display. They will be a go this evening as the threat of any showers and storms ends there by the time the pyro company arrives. 🙂