DAYS 1-5 (JULY 26-30)
High pressure remains in control enough to give us another rain-free and pleasantly low humidity day to finish off the weekend. However, with the high center to our north, a light east to northeasterly flow will persist, and this is carrying just enough maritime moisture in for a deck of broken stratus clouds over Cape Cod. This will limit the sun at times there for at least a portion of the day, and combined with the onshore flow, this area will be your coolest section of the WHW region today. We’ll also see a few high clouds across the western sky on the edge of a weakening disturbance to our west. But overall, a very nice Sunday is today’s weather theme! Moving into the coming week, the guidance has struggled depicting the evolution of the pattern, but I’m starting to see enough consistency for a somewhat clearer picture, and this does lead to an adjustment to my outlook as well, with a more consolidated but still rather drawn out period of unsettled weather upcoming. Before that, we squeak in one more fair weather day Monday, however an increase in high clouds will be noted ahead of a warm front extending from low pressure moving into the Great Lakes. The difference in expectation is now explained: Previously, my favored solution was for unsettled weather focused on Tuesday and again Thursday from two separate systems with a short break between. The trend has been for a slower arrival of the first one and an overall combination of the two disturbed weather areas into more of a single, but drawn-out evolution that centers around initial low pressure in the Great Lakes during Tuesday, then redeveloping over the Mid Atlantic and wheeling its way to a position just south of New England on Wednesday, then lifting through the region while weakening on Thursday. This would result in a 3-day unsettled weather stretch, the wettest on Wednesday when we also have a moderate onshore flow, with the other two days featuring a more showery set-up, including the chance of thunderstorms. There is still quite a bit of refining to do on the details with that system, which will be done over the next few updates of this blog. I also add new thoughts in the comments after each day’s post, so feel free to check those if you don’t typically do so. And since I mentioned it, if you have never commented on the blog before and would like to, all you have to do is choose a name to go by and enter an email address (nobody sees the email, on your username). Your first comment goes into moderation for me to approve. So long as you continue to use the same username and email you can continue to comment. WordPress will send one with any differences in username and/or email back to moderation, as it’s quite picky about that, so if you do change it, be patient as sometimes it takes a while for me to get to the moderation folder during my busy days. 🙂 Now, onto the rest of the forecast…
TODAY: Cape Cod clouds limit the sun at times. Plenty of sun elsewhere. Highs 70-75 Islands / Outer Cape Cod, 76-81 elewhere. Dew point in 50s. Wind E to NE 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 57-64. Dew point in 50s. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 75-82, coolest coast. Dew point in 50s. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 60-67. Dew point heads for 60. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 77-84. Dew point surpasses 60. Wind SE to SW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog. Showers likely. Chance of a thunderstorm. Lows 60-67. Dew point 60+. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Rain likely. Highs 67-74. Dew point near 65. Wind E 5-15 MPH, higher gusts near the coast.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Lingering showers and drizzle. Areas of fog. Lows 58-65. Dew point around 60. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 68-75. Dew point in 60s. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JULY 31 – AUGUST 4)
A pop-up shower or t-storm possible July 31 on the western periphery of departing low pressure, otherwise dry weather returns and persists through the August 1-2 weekend. Higher humidity along with afternoon shower and t-storm chances August 3-4.
DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 5-9)
Shower and t-storm chances early and again late period but overall pattern looks mostly rain-free with generally seasonable temperatures.
Thanks TK !
Cool overnight.
Wordle: 3
Wow!! Awesome.
I got it in 4.
Thanks and very nice 4 !
Thanks. Jusr felt good to get it in a reasonable number of guesses. I’LL accept 4 or less, but bitter disappointment in 5,6 or fail.
Terrific 3 and 4. I don’t think I’ve seen a word with this many choices
Nice job! I had three at first guess and it still took me 5…. Too many options
Good morning and thank you TK
Around 70 here up from 58
My sensorc is still in a reflection period.
Ocean: 64
Wordle: 4. Very common word, but my guesses were not it till 4th guess. I guessed some less common words until it became obvious wordle wanted the very common word.
Sorry, one guess was uncommon, then a common one and another common word to get it
SPOILER ALERT
My wordle today
https://ibb.co/9mZGjJyZ
Thanks, TK!
52 here earlier this morning!
Kind of late Septemberish!
Another beautiful day. Currently 69/52 after an overnight low of 50.
I’m joining Tom with a 3 for Wordle.
Excellent! Good work.
So far, I am the ONLY caboose resident. It was so crowded yesterday, wordle won’t allow any more in today.
Wow. Another great Wordle.
88° 79° dewpoint in my favorite place Sarasota other than Warwick Rhode Island. Heat index 103° already. Had to go back to the car nasty little storm nearby. Looking like we won’t have dewpoints anywhere near like the folks down here experience every summer. Looking like below or average temps through August.
Any thoughts on the rest of the summer through September?
Have a great day everyone.
Thanks Tk . I guess my son should enjoy HB while he can the next two days as not looking good after that .
I think Wednesday is the only “washout” potential at this point.
I’m thinking this is the week that the weekly fireworks show will be utilizing the Friday “rain date”.
Friday they leave it’s goes Friday – Friday for the cottage . He’s doing a concert back home on Tuesday night & wondering if he should even go back
I’d go back. Any time there is good time, IMO.
And if they are Friday to Friday the basically win.
Only one of those days is a complete loss in terms of wet weather.
All the others are either perfect or have rain-free hours. 🙂
Thanks TK! Quite a breezy day here along the coast – I was never fond of these Nova Scotia high pressure areas in the summer because they generally provide a robust northeast seabreeze – great for sleeping weather but not necessarily beach weather. We have family coming in from Midwest and they will be delighted with temps 25 degrees cooler than what they are having out there!
Want a decent suspenseful drama to watch, check out
The Amateur on Amazon Prime. It stars rami malek who put in an outstanding performance.
Trailer: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DCWcK4c-F8Q
Thank you, TK. 71/56
Huge smile. We hit 47 for a low. I had a feeling we’d see a 4
Thank you TK!
Wordle: Well done to all with those low numbers. Clinging onto the caboose for dear life. Too many choices with what my first guesses yielded.
Ditto.
So it is that a 4,5 or 6? 🙂
I have you covered JP Dave
I had four possibles that would work for my fifth guess. Fortunately, I chose the right one
Wordle 5
Strange how Wordle works. You got it!
Sure is strange. I feel lucky getting this one.
Thanks TK
September in July
73/51 here at 1:39 PM. Ahhhhhh
I love it!!! I
I’d take this every day of Summer!!!!
Thanks, TK.
A taste of September this weekend.
I took a walk with my son (he’s gradually doing better, thank goodness) around the beautiful Arboretum. He said, “Dad, it feels a little like early fall.”
As we walked from his place to the Arboretum we cross the Arborway, where there’s an analog clock on what appears to be a tall wooden structure. I told my son that I recalled being in the backseat of my mother’s station wagon in 1971 as we headed from Brookline to the Franklin Park Zoo and seeing that clock. I may be misremembering. But I don’t think I am. I’ve noticed that as I age, I get both nostalgic AND very sharp in some of my childhood memories. It’s almost as if I was in a time warp. Briefly, it was 1971, I was 7, and my Mom was in her 40s.
Human memory is fascinating. Some memories are of course better than others. This was one of the good ones.
Nice….
You were right down the street. 🙂
Wonderful news that your son is improving. What a perfect day for a walk.
The temperature is still going down here. We’re down to 72.7 with dew point of 47. In July!!! Amazing!!! Not saying it never happens, but it does not happen often in July.
Interesting…It’s 82 in Montreal!!!
Pretty stiff wind coming in from the ocean.
Here, NOT Montreal!!!!
Montreal is warmer because they’re on the other side of high pressure that delivers warmer air.
We have the marine flow here.
Makes perfect sense. 🙂
Of course I know that. 🙂 🙂 🙂
Just pointing out the influence of that 64 Degree ocean out there. I Never expected it to be this cool at my location. Logan, yes, but here no. Yet it is. I was out and that East wind is very prominent for sure. One can feel the coolness of the breeze and the heat of the sun at the same time.
Going into this summer I was pretty sure “sustained heat” was not going to be in our pattern.
It hasn’t been. We’ve had some hot stretches no doubt, but the summer as a whole – not going to turn out to go down into the “hot summer” category when it’s over.
And we know that Boston has several 90 degree days on the stat sheet that were in fact NOT 90. But I am afraid nothing will be done about it. If there is one thing I loathe, it’s incorrect statistics that sway the record. I may dislike that more than you hate east winds in April. 😉
I totally and completely agree with you. I am a stickler for that. I insist on accurate numbers!!!
🙂 🙂
Absolutely phenomenal day reminds me of mid August.
Joshua, are you referring to the clock at Forest Hills Station? If so, that was not there in 1971. It was erected once the old “Elevated” Orange Line was torn down in the 1980s.
That clock keeps good time when I’ve passed by that area, even when the clocks change with Standard and DST. I wonder if it’s automatic or manual?
Sunrise now around 5:30 am. Still not particularly noticeable when I awake from my alarm in the morning. 🙂