Sunday Forecast Update

108 Comments

1:28PM

This is only an update to the forecast for southeastern New England. A full discussion and new forecast will be posted later tonight.

THIS AFTERNOON: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms initially favoring east central MA but possible anywhere as time goes. Highs 70s coast, 80-85 inland. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Additional scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog. Lows 65-70.  Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY- LABOR DAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered to numerous showers/thunderstorms. Highs middle 70s to lower 80s. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers/thunderstorms. Low 63. High 83.

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers/thunderstorms. Low 64. High 84.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Low 60. High 80.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 58. High 78.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 57. High 80.

108 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast Update”

  3. The hurricane season this year seems to be defying every forecast. It was supposed to be a busy season, but that has fortunately not happened. And second each individual wave seems to defy its own forecast … troughs that are pronounced DOA make it across the Atlantic and those that are forecast to develop, just don’t.

    Right now Invest area 97L in the Caribbean seems to be more of a threat when it was given zero chance 2 days ago.

  5. What a fascinating day. Left here at 9:45 to head to Stow for 4 yr old granddaughters first riding lesson. Foolishly thought storms had passed. Woman we were meeting came from needham and almost turned and went home due to flooding. It rained, the sun cam out, it poured, the sun came out again, it poured while the sun was out, it thundered. And on and on it went. Framingham to south has considerably flooding but it was not bad to the north where I was driving.

    Tom I read your description and then TK yours to everyone at barn and they were more than interested

    As an aside, a barn is always a fun place to be in torrential rain and mud :).

    1. 12Z Euro and 12Z GFS, NOTHING in this time frame. GFS has something
      way out towards end of run. 😀

      1. Are these in addition to system Canadian had on 8 Nd 9th?

        I can’t remember where the dry area was on the map al rocker showed

        If storms come up under it to its west so that it doesn’t influence their development, could they simply be steered up the US coast on its west side. Or did I just make that up?

        1. Vivki,
          These are the same ones.

          Also, this is to the West of the dry air.
          Plenty of moist air with which to work. 😀

    1. They expanded east and then contracted and lost strength. Still sitting over and dumping rain between 495 and just west of here

      1. Just started raining here We had just under an inch earlier. I think other locations had a lot more than that

          1. I thought of you today

            I asked Siri to do something. She asked “is this what you mean” and I said yes. Her comment

            I thought that’s what you meant to say

            Nothing like getting flack from a voice on a phone.

            1. Yea she is a riot. For some reason here though when I hit reply it bumps me up to an earlier post, weird. I picked up my wife’s 4s today.

  10. I’m sure it was not much unusual for those here (most) familiar with weather patterns, but IMHO just watching the radar today was fascinating. Even just tonight. I know there are technical terms but the expanding and contracting cycle seemed to be throughout the day

        1. A little better. Thanks for asking. She will most likely be in most of not all of this week. My Dad is spending every day there too. He was looking very tired today.

          2. I just too a deep, knowing breath. I’d sure does take a toll on everyone. It is, I am positive, a tremendous relief that they have your support.

            1. I am an hour away, but I try to call twice a day and get down there at least on one weekday after work in addition to the weekend. Hopefully she is out soon.

  11. Hope everyone is having a good Labor Day weekend!

    Well, although weather is not an important item in the overall grand scheme of things, I do say good riddance to the summer of 2013. I’m sorry to be such a grump, but the weather this weekend, the last days of May, latter half of June, all of July, and bits of August (thankfully, August wasn’t nearly as brutal; in fact, we had a very nice stretch in August) has been somewhat gross. Yesterday and today were like living in a swamp. No relief from rain. If anything, the summer of 2013 has been notorious for rains bringing in more humidity and clamminess, not less. You cannot imagine how thrilled I’ll be later this week when a genuine cool front brings in a NW airflow. Nothing chilly, but at least a cool, dry air mass. I feel sticky, irritable, and unable to do anything outdoors without turning into a puddle. Oh well, enough griping … I apologize for venting.

    1. Suburbs are in trouble without trying to bring jobs to the suburbs and more housing, bc without younger families getting injected into the suburbs it will just be a slow death, again with a low inventory on housing statewide if we don’t build, then housing will continue to go up grow older and the younger generation will continue to flux south.

  14. I guess thereis a flash flood warning for central and eastern MA. It might include CT and RI. I think the warning may last all day.

  15. We were on Rexhame Beach last evening. It was like the 4th of July with the surprise bonus of fire works going off looking towards Brant Rock and Humarock. The ones in Humarock were a full show with a grand finale.

    Every once in a while, the wind would change just enough to come off the water and when it happened, it was like a large freezer door had been opened. I’m guessing the temp would drop 10F+ , but then it would instantly rise that much as soon as the wind changed again.

    1. I wonder if they were the same individuals a few houses up from where we stayed. They had several great shows while we were there

      And I’m soooo jealous. I have missed being at the beach since we left

  16. Pretty good swath of showers covering the south shore right now. Thought I heard the rumble of Thunder about 20 minutes ago but T Storms right now. Not raining all that hard either.

      1. There’s a storm going west of Marshfield, I think it may be heading towards you. Its definitely producing thunder !

    1. Looks as if she’s almost there. I am a baby when it comes to not knowing what’s under me when I’m in the ocean. I sure give her a tremendous amount of credit

  19. The biggest threat once again will be the heavy rainfall with these storms today.
    Threat Level Index
    Flooding – Elevated
    Wind – Low
    Hail – Very Low
    Tornado – Very Low

  20. Our Tropical threat in the caribbean has diminished.

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

    But checking models for future, we have:

    NHS mode: GFDL

    http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2013090200-invest97l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=126hr

    85 mph

    HWRF:

    http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2.cgi?time=2013090200-invest97l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=126hr

    97 mph

    Canadian:

    http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=gemglb&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=gemglb&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=168&fixhh=1&hh=156

    Category 3

      1. Frankly, I am very surprised that the NHC reduced the chances
        of development from 40% last evening down to 20% this morning.

        Those model runs were initiated at 8Pm last night, so I wonder
        how much they will change with this morning’s runs????

        We shall see. 😀

  21. FLOOD WATCH
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
    828 AM EDT MON SEP 2 2013

    http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/png/box.png

    ..TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WITH A RISK OF FLASH FLOODING TODAY…

    .WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED INTO THE EVENING. WITH ANY STORMS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME…POSSIBLY RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SHIFT EASTWARD AND OFFSHORE THIS EVENING…PROVIDING A BIT OF A LULL IN THE ACTIVITY BEFORE ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REDEVELOP TUESDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

    1. TK’s forecast is up top.

      Here is TWC’s forecast:

      Chance of rain:
      40%

      Wind:
      SW at 11 mph

      Humidity:
      78%

      UV Index:
      7 – High

      Sunrise:
      6:12 am

      Moonset:
      6:01 pm

      Moonphase:
      Waning Crescent

      Variable clouds with scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon. High 79F. Winds SW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

      Collapse Details

      Night
      Partly Cloudy

      60°Low

      Partly Cloudy

      Chance of rain:
      20%

      Wind:
      W at 7 mph

      Humidity:
      80%

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  27. The Caribbean storm is facing tough conditions for further development in the short run, but could be a storm that re-develops if it holds on for a couple of days. I am thinking it will die a timely death.

    1. As I always say when ever there is a storm on the east coast it needs to be watched. Hopefully a front will come through and
      keep it offshore. That model depiction doesn’t look good for Bermuda.

  31. Am I loosing it, OR are the Showers and Thunderstorms diminishing in area and
    intensity??? Looks like not much of anything is going to happen around here. 😀 😀

    2. Not losing it all as the cluster to the WSW is shrinking in size and intensity. There is however a batch to the SSW that is pretty robust and holding together.

      1. That line is directly over 95 throughout the whole state of Rhode Island. Wow. Will keep you posted if I get clocked by it.

  32. It was amazing to watch a line to develop southwest of providence and move up 95, only to get shunted east by the line coming in from the west, which has now weakened somewhat.

    1. No sooner had I said that the line to SSW looked robust and then it started to weaken and shift tot ESE.

    1. You’ll note that on both of these runs, there is another system to the East., although not very impressive.

      We’ll have to watch that as well. 😀

  39. Hi all!

    Got home a bit late last night after a very fun Hampton Beach outing and was out of it enough that I feared trying to update the blog may cause anything from me being shut down due to drunk blogging or I would end up forecasting a blizzard this week. 😀

    Anyway, updating now and the late edition of The Week Ahead will be posted soon. In the mean time I’ll be catching up on some site admin and all your comments.

    Happy Labor Day!

    1. NOTE: I was not drunk. I didn’t even consume a drop of alcohol. I was just so out of it my typing would have made me look as if I had consumed way too much. 😀

    1. Had heavy rain and thunder. Mac is watching TPC recorded but I thought I just saw real time they called play. I couldn’t see why on radar

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