Weekend Update #2

438 Comments

5:23PM

SUMMARY…
This update will be basically the same discussion as the previous with a few tweaks as not much has changed in what was expected. Small snowflake size and a fairly lasting lull in snow for most areas will result in less accumulation than would have been seen if the storm had normal flake size and no lull.

Winter storm warning for the entire WHW forecast area until 1PM Sunday.
Blizzard warning for southeastern NH and eastern MA counties 7PM Saturday to 1PM Sunday.

Clipper system arrived as scheduled this afternoon, getting part 1 of the event underway. Redevelopment is going to take place offshore with rapid intensification. This will lead to the wind part of the system during part 2, along with additional snow and the added aspect of blowing snow due to strong wind for Sunday morning, with blowing snow continuing through Sunday night and even into Monday long after the falling snow is gone.

The next storm threat late Tuesday to early Wednesday will result from a fast-moving low pressure system likely to pass offshore of New England. Leaning toward a light to moderate snow event from this but plenty of time to work out details. More dry and cold weather is expected later next week but quickly moving systems mean that the next threat of snow arrives by Saturday.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TONIGHT: Overcast with widespread snow evening, then a break with only isolated snow showers much of RI and MA as some snow continues across southeastern NH, then snow redevelops all areas toward dawn. Temperatures fall from the 20s to the 10s. Wind light SE to E early then shifting to NE to N and increasing to 15-35 MPH with gusts above 40 MPH inland and above 50 MPH coast by morning.
SUNDAY: Overcast through midday with snow, heaviest in northeastern MA and southeastern NH. Blizzard conditions in the warning area. Snow ending west to east afternoon with thinning clouds and some sun emerging. Total snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches, but areas of greater than 8 inches possible mainly near the coast north of Boston including eastern Essex County MA into southeastern NH. Temperatures falling from the 10s to under 10. Wind N to NW 25-35 MPH with gust 45-55 MPH inland, 25-35 MPH with gusts 55-65 MPH coastal areas. Wind chill frequently below 0.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows -10 to +5, coldest well northwest of Boston, least cold near the coast. Wind NW 15-35 MPH with higher gusts. Blowing snow. Wind chill -10 to -25 at times.
MONDAY – PRESIDENTS DAY: Sunny. Highs around 10. Wind NW 15-30 MPH and gusty. Additional blowing snow. Wind chill below 0, down to -15 at times.
TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Snow at night. Low 0. High 20.
WEDNESDAY: Morning snow. Afternoon clearing. Low 15. High 25.
THURSDAY: Sunny. Low 0. High 20.
FRIDAY: Sunny. Low 0. High 20.
SATURDAY: Cloudy. Chance of snow. Low 10. High 30.

438 thoughts on “Weekend Update #2”

  2. Thanks TK.
    Happy to be back home after an hour 30 minute drive back from New Haven to visit my Uncle at the hospital. The flakes are small for the most part but I did notice some bigger ones driving back.
    From NWS out of Upton, NY. Mark I think this might be what you were talking about earlier today if I remember correctly. Please correct me if I am wrong.
    THE NAM/CMC AND TO A LESSER EXTENT THE ECMWF SUGGEST A PRECIPITATION
    MINIMA WILL DEVELOP OVER CT/FAR EASTERN LONG ISLAND OVERNIGHT…WHILE
    THE GFS/SREF HAVE THE HEAVIEST SNOW OVER THE SAME AREA. MESO-
    SCALE MODELS DO LEAN TOWARDS THE NAM/CMC IN WANTING TO PLACE THE
    TROWAL AND ITS ASSOCIATED SNOW BAND FROM CENTRAL-WESTERN LONG
    ISLAND ON NW INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY/SW
    CT…WHILE THE GFS PLACES IT OVER CT/CENTRAL/EASTERN LONG
    ISLAND…THE ECMWF S OF LONG ISLAND/NYC. NOTING THUNDER OVER
    SW PA/N WV AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW…HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME
    THUNDER SNOW AS WELL

  3. Re-post from previous blog,

    I think everyone got the lower snow amounts memo except BZ, they just expanded their 12-18″ across eastern MA including north shore all the way down to the south shore and all of cape cod

    1. Mentioned on the previous blog that parts of southeastern MA/RI/CT would be immune to the small flakes because of bubbles of warmer air coming in from the SE. Flakes remain tiny here and have been throughout. Going out to measure right now. Steady snow started at 2:15PM in Woburn and we have 1.0 inch as of 5:45PM (now).

      1. We started about 1:20ish. And probably have a big more than you but not a lot. However, at the moment it is heavier and flakes seem to be somewhat bigger

  7. JJ, the Upton discussion was what I was referring to earlier. The models are showing a NW to SE band of heavier snow across NY/LI/CT but they have it in different places. To me it looked like an inverted/norlun trough between the dying clipper and exploding coastal but Upton is referring to it as the trowel snow, or the heavier precip band that wraps around the back side of the storm. Will be interesting to see how this plays out. I would not be surprised if someone in CT or LI ends up with more snow than expected.

  8. Thanks for the more scientific answer on trowel TK. Whenever I hear that I think of an intense band of precip wrapping around the back side of the comma head of the storm.

  9. Where that sets up someone is going to get dumped on but if you are a few miles away your snowfall will be less.
    Going to be interesting as we go through the evening and overnight where that sets up.

  13. I have been some variation of 6-12″ from Worcester East lesser end of that on the west side of that envelope and higher end on the east side with a couple inches more on the NE edge. Going to generally keep that in place but at a narrower range of 5-9″ might have more geographic coverage. These are my favorite kind of storms to forecast. They are not traditional Miller A’s or even B. So many variables. If I am good at anything, it is these. Got plenty of them wrong, but I am going with a blend of NAM/EC/GGEM/LFE to make my forecasts. Sticking with the 25-35 to G50 inland and 35-45 G60 coast for winds.

    I love weather. I did most of my post grad research on diurnal temps swings, cold / heat extremes in valleys, and urban heat islands. I don’t need snow to get excited about weather. This kind of storm is full of unique weather traits for sure and I love it!

  15. Winter depression is starting to settle back in. The last storm was a miss, this storm is underachieving, and the next storm is pathetic. It’s just like it was in January…DEPRESSING!!! Pretty soon it’ll be summer. I hate summer!

  21. 6:25pm update from NWS ….

    Mention of comma head snows and 3-4 in/hr snow rates …… Not that they think this will happen or that they knew where it would occur if it did.

      1. Exactly 🙂 🙂

        Mentioned as a possibility for tomorrow morning due to the comma head. Location and certainty not given.

  22. Its snowing at a very light clip out my window. If your having a candle light dinner for Valentine’s Day its a nice touch with the snow falling. With that said those roads are slippery and I could attest to that driving a few hours ago. If anyone is traveling please take it easy on those roads.
    As I have been saying I am more concerned about wind gusts than I am with snowfall with this storm system.

    1. I dont know if it will get up here, but the cloud tops with the real upper level energy are cooling and the radars in the DC area are filling up with some decent intensity precip.

  24. Reporter on local station asking people how they feel about “blizzard after blizzard” this Winter.

    When did we have the second one? I know we may tomorrow morning if the conditions are verified, but so far there has only been one.

    MISINFORMED.

  25. Maybe I’m wrong, but at least currently, I feel as though this front end snow is at least matching expectation, if not exceeding it a bit.

    Radar from Worcester to the south coast, points east looks pretty good. I wonder howbfast the whole area translates eastward ?

    1. Agreed. I hadn’t expected more than 3 inches anywhere, and it looks like there will be more than that in most spots. I am of course talking about Round 1. Also, points south (eg, Providence) are doing better than I expected.

  28. 2.5″ so far in Coventry CT.

    It is pounding snow right now in the Baltimore/Annapolis/DC area with embedded thunder snow. That area is expanding and looks like it wants to rotate northeast into SNE…

    1. No joke right. Hope it gets up here.

      Dude, how about that band just north of Providence. That sucker means business.

  29. To me this feels like the appetizer. The stuff down in the Baltimore D.C. area will be the main course.
    The question where will those heavier bands setup shop.

  33. The next 12 hours will present one remarkable transformation captured on radar. It will make a neat case-study.

  34. Moderate to heavy snow here in Hingham. Just got back from the Snug in Hingham Square where we had a great dinner and a couple of beers. The snow is good for snowballs and snowmen somewhat wetter than recent events. I’d say about 1-1/2 inches so far. Main roads good…side roads snow covered and getting slick.

    Early in the afternoon I notice that both of my large long wire loop antennas had problems. One of them was down completely and the other disconnected at the distant (NE) end. So yeah I went out waded through waste deep (actually a little higher at some points) snow 150 ft back to fix one antenna. Took me over 5 minutes to get to it. Very hard work…harder than shoveling. Wow I was a little concerned a couple of times about getting stuck. I think I might invest in some snow shoes.

    1. Mac and I snowshoed at his uncles in Stowe before we were married. We spent most of our time laughing and on our arses.

  35. it was a relatively light snow with times of moderate snow, the snow flakes are very fine, just got back from lowell. Roads were snow covered, was at the game and then hung out with my friend, was trying to convince me to stay, longer should have listened to her since, almost hit 3 different people on my way back home.

  38. No stationary echoes anymore. The movement of the back edge of part 1 is steady and fast and will arrive right on schedule. I think the pivot will bring that ending line up to about southern NH just over the border from MA.

    Lot of gamble on how much snow comes in part 2, but I think it’s almost a certainty that parts of southeastern MA and RI westward to CT will have seen more than half their accumulation by the time part 1 is over.

        1. Oh yay another golfer. My husband is a golfer as well as JJ and Ace. Who am I forgetting. Nick? Is a course manager. So nice to have you aboard.

  41. It’s been snowing good here in boston maybe 3 inches. Is there still a lull going to happen in boston. Harvey had over 10 inches last I saw.

    1. Agreed …. but, it will be interesting to see how far north and east of us it gets before it stops and starts pivoting and rotating down back over us.

      One more heavy band to get through, if it maintains its intensity.

  45. love this sight , thank you for all the info, tells me when i am going to get busy.
    need to know about the hill?
    have told several friends to watch this sight for the real deal

  47. This part of the storm has performed as indicated by TK and others. It’s the next part that’s the big question. Wind is coming for sure, but will there be much snow? Still to be determined.

      1. True. And I’d be wrong again. I’d officially be in a serious batting slump. I haven’t hit a ball out of the infield since late December.

  48. Just drove from a hockey rink in Hudson NH to Anfover, super hairy ride… Too many cars still on 93, snow covered lanes, not a good time to be out.

    1. That may be true. And I’d be wrong again. I’d officially be in a serious batting slump. I haven’t hit a ball out of the infield since late December. At 50 the hand-eye coordination is not what it used to be.

  50. At these temps roads get dicey quicker, my .02 is to get off the roads and let the road crews do their thing.

      1. I’m not sure ….. My guess would be that the upper level energy is moving offshore into the ocean.

        That batch of precip down there misses us completely.

        Its …… does the stuff moving through us now …. How far back west into eastern Mass does it reach and for how long, as the precip pivots and rotates back southward tomorrow morning.

  54. 5″.

    Top layer has gotten a bit wetter, temp at airport a mile or so down the street is 32F.

    Trees have some new snow on them, but dont look too bad.

  56. Coastal stations in Massachusetts are mostly reporting near freezing temperatures (between 29 and 32), and above freezing in some towns on the Cape and Islands. SE wind really feels mild. I realize it’s all relative.

  57. 4″, snow intensity just came waay down, almost stopped. Here is the lull and now we wait. Bedtime, way too much wine tonight.

  58. Fun radar watching to come!

    THEREAFTER…EXPECT SNOW TO FILL BACK IN ACROSS THE
    REGION LATE TONIGHT…ESPECIALLY E NEW ENG AS MID LEVEL LOW
    BEGINS TO DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS S OF NEW ENG. ONE WILDCARD LATE
    TONIGHT AND SUN MORNING IS POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE BANDS OF VERY
    HEAVY SNOW TO DEVELOP IN THE COMMA HEAD AS MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
    DECREASE TO 8-9 C/KM. THIS IS REALLY IMPRESSIVE CONVECTIVE
    INSTABILITY. THERE IS NO WAY OF KNOWING WHERE THESE BANDS MAY
    DEVELOP SIMILAR TO FORECASTING LOCATION OF SUMMERTIME CONVECTION
    BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE LOCALIZED 3-4″/HOUR SNOWFALL
    RATES AND THUNDERSNOW UNDER ONE OF THESE BANDS.

    1. I have thought I was seeing thunder snow a couple of times today. One was a kids toy flashing, another was a plow light. I’m hoping third time is a charm and I am not sound asleep

  61. Maybe 5 from 1 which is just about ended. Drip your faucets 🙂 Someone want to wake me up of we have thunder snow please 🙂

  63. Hmmmm ….

    Strange surface winds ….. Martha’s Vineyard, Nantucket! Falmouth 260 degrees (west southwest)

    Boston’s wind went calm

    Marshfield’s is coming around to 170.

    Mini low ?????

  65. Winding down in boston now. I have a hunch round 2 might come in more where we have been saying less .

  66. Getting absolutely pounded on the southern Maine coast. Almost a foot in Old Orchard Beach Maine. Very heavy localized bands for the past 3 1/2 hours.

  69. Is the precipitation down by Eastern nj and south of LI suppose to hit us? Bu the radar movement it looks like it will miss us

  70. Almost done here in North Reading. 5.5 inches, which means for the last three hours we got about an inch per hour. Can’t wait to see what wave two brings.

  72. Just arrived in SC. Saw a flash of lightning along the at tonight. Just after I posted earlier today, we got moderate snow for about an hour of the ride in southern NJ. Many plows and sanders sitting in the median on the highways in MD but no snow and bare ground so they looked to be on standby. Actually saw leaves blowing around in Virginia with very strong winds that actually were blowing the car into the next lane. Was nice to watch the temp rise as we went. 54 was the highest this evening in NC.

  73. Eric Fisher ‏@ericfisher 13m13 minutes ago
    Congrats Boston, you’ve lived through the snowiest month recorded in 124 years…and it took 14 days.

    2. Because they also expected the frequent 35MPH or greater wind gusts to occur in the hills there as well, hence the expansion. This will blow the snow that has already fallen as much as it will blow any snow that is still falling, which will be limited to a couple hours in the morning.

  76. I just got finished reading an article posted by mema updated at 9:51 saying some eastern locations should expect 2′ of snow and up to 18 in other spots also saying somthing like we could get a few inches an hour and that the lull was expected to be much shorter than thought. Is this accurate ?

    1. Not even close to being accurate. The lull got here pretty much on time and is lasting about as long as was expected.

      Love to know where MEMA got that one considering their updates should be right from NWS.

      1. You still there. It was in the marshfield mariner you can google if you want to read it. Could you be kind enough to let me know when this lull is up for Boston longwood medical area. How much would you say this area receives and what time should it be over. Sorry with all the questions. We have a crew going back out at 3:30 and more help at 5am.

  77. Very heavy snow! Visibility is at least quartwr of a mile, radar showing very impressive echoes in Northeastern mass

  78. Very heavy snow in Boston, too. Heaviest I’ve seen thus far. I’m definitely going to be wrong, unless it shuts off in 30 minutes which I doubt. It’s a band that is setting up from just from Newburyport through Boston and it means business.

  81. Maine is going to bust, there is nothing there lol. Boxford ma already reporting 13 inches. At this rate, wouldn’t be surprised if someone hits 20

  82. Good morning. WOW!!

    That was an extrmly HEAVY snow band that came through. Beginning to wind down
    now. Still snowing hard, but not like before. Vis was virtually 0 for an hour.
    Prob 3-4 inches in that hour.

    We got 5 inches from the front end, which featured 2 intense snow bands with BIG flakes.

    Snow flakes now not that small either. Not really big, but not really small either.

    Not sure what happens when this band is done.
    There “looks” to be another rotating down the coast from Southern Maine.
    NOT sure it gets here.

    1. Wind 32o at Logan 18, 010 At Beverly 22.

      360 at Marshfield, 32
      310 at Plymouth, 20

      Tom that Marshfield temp seems wacky

  87. Os if u read nws discussion, they said that they are going to make changes to the snowfall totall, they didn’t say whether they will increase or decrease them. There seems to be a dry spot in essex county, hopefully it will fill soon

  89. Was woken up around 5:30 by thundersnow and LIGHTNING!!!

    I think being on the blog really lowered my expectations of what we are getting so I was not expecting this much…

    White out in Boston.

  90. Re: Blizzard.
    Where is the wind?
    Not all that windy here. The near 0 vis was almost totally due to the SNOW, NOT
    the wind blowing it.

  92. Looking at Nexrad radar, I see the intense band(s) moving NE to SW.
    I also see other echoes Moving S to N coming onto South Coast of MA and RI.

    What up with that? I don’t get that.

    1. Good question ….. Part of that overall vigorous circulation passing Cape Cod at the moment (thats a complete guess :). )

  93. Went to Dinner last night. Had to drive about 14 miles each way to Norwood.
    Dinner was a disaster!!! Won’t even get into that.
    Trip was slow. Some people are too cautious as in 15-20 mph. No clue how to
    drive in snow. Even so, took about 10 minutes longer than normal. Roads were
    awful.

    While in the restaurant (SLOOOOOOOOOOOW SERVICE) 2 INTENSE bands
    came through. TOTALLY quit by the time we left the restaurant.

    Trip home was easier.

    No problems.

    5 inches from front end. Probably another 4-5 inches from this phase.
    So my guess is where somewhere around 9-10 inches so far.

    1. Sorry to hear about the dinner experience OS !

      We received 5″ on part 1.

      As much as its snowed and as heavily as its snowed, thats the lowest visibility I’ve seen all winter (about 10 minutes ago).

      Now, if the snow was that intense and there’s lightning around and I can literally hear the wind ramping up by the minute, I’m suddenly very concerned about the wind.

  94. We are in the heaviest band right now. That light blue circle is over us. Easily 3″ an hour.
    Pulled the contractors off the road. Visibility is zero. Hoping sunrise helps.
    If you are out driving you are risking your life right now.
    Worst conditions Ive seen in 20 years.

    1. I said 15 for Boston. I don’t think we see that, UNLESS more bands generate and rotate in. We’ll keep watching.

        1. It is. We are getting ready for the second leg to Orlando. Hope to be there by 2. Just really worried about all of you at home. This seems to be pretty intense this am. Stay safe and hope you don’t lose power.

  98. 6:07 AM Logan 19, light snow vis .75 mile wind 330 at 13. BIG WOO!!!!

    Hardly ANY wind here at ALL. A few burst of a little blowing some snow and that’s
    about it.

    1. Yeah, I was hearing what TK was saying, but the snowflakes have not been small. In fact, perfectly “normal” and even big at times.

      1. Yup, Agree.
        During last night’s band they were pretty damn big.
        Now 50-50 Small and normal to larger.

  101. Well my guess wasn’t far off at all:

    Pete Bouchard retweeted
    Chris Lambert ‏@clamberton7 2m2 minutes ago
    8.5″ in Boston in Government Center. Fluff factor again. @pbouchardon7 @jreineron7 @BriEggers @NWSBoston

      1. It’s more than I was anticipating. I was very surprised when I went out this morning with the dogs. I wonder if a foot, or a little more is achievable in the Boston area?

  103. I hope I’m wrong, but I dont know how long our power is going to last.

    The wind gusts, each successive one seems a bit stronger than the one before.

    And, in their morning discussion, based on soundings and something they are seeing at 700mb, there is concern for stronger intensification of the low out at sea.

    What is coming with the wind in the next 6 to 8 hrs ………

  105. Old salty your snow forecast I feel will be spot on. I hope some of the “nay Sayers” will give in acknowledge your forecast. Good going

    1. You are very kind. Thank you. Not sure it will verify, but do have a look
      at the Eric Fisher tweet below. 😀

  106. NWS Boston ‏@NWSBoston 5m5 minutes ago
    NWS office in Taunton received just under 3 inches of snow in the past hour.

    Eric Fisher ‏@ericfisher 7m7 minutes ago
    Looks like ULL is stalling out a little bit….expecting some good snowfall to continue this morning for several hours.

  107. Wow, last wind gust over 40, easy !

    The snow is pivoting, but there’s probably a bit of eastward translation as well.

    Though it looks like the light stuff is close by just to the northeast, that may not press in here quickly because of the storms east-northeast movement, which will also translate the whole precip area in that direction.

    1. Indeed, but STILL NOT much in the way of wind.

      So far blizzard warning a BUST, at least in the Boston area.

  112. I’m gonna say it. EFF the nam.

    We had a one night stand, but then I found out it was total liar. NEVER AGAIN!!!

  123. Ok when I went to bed last night in Florence, SC it was 52, current temp is 24. Now that is an artic front for these parts.

  125. Good morning. So what does one do when the windows in the house have snow about 6-12 inches above sill and the doors are blocked.

    Wind is starting to pick up. Far different flakes than yesterday. Can’t get out to measure but cars seem to have about 7-9.

    Tom, is the ocean going up and over again in your area? My heart is aching for folks there and anywhere along the coast.

    1. About a 2 ft storm surge on-going Vicki.

      I’m sure significant splashover at the least, but maybe not to the extent of what happened with the 4+ ft surge two weeks ago.

  127. Eric Fisher ‏@ericfisher 1m1 minute ago
    Think we’re going to stack up PLENTY of snow this morning. ULL really slowing down, radar holding steady if not expanding.

    AND people laughed at Eric Fisher’s holding steady with 12-18 inches.
    I watched him at 11PM and he held firm on 12-18 inches. The only crack in his
    armor was a brief comment of something like this. “IF we get the bands, the numbers will verify, IF we don’t they won’t”.

    I hereby pronounce Eric NEW ENGLAND’s WEATHER GOD!!!!!

    1. Eric Fisher ‏@ericfisher 27s28 seconds ago
      In a season where it’s snowing to beat the band, don’t bet against less snow. Being proven this morning. Most will end up in the 12″+ club.

      1. LOL on the snow ……

        And yet, we’ll find the masses, 10% of the way thru the next event, lowering snow totals, only having to bring them right back up.

    2. I’m looking forward to hearing what JMA has for input too. When I saw his post last night calling for 6-12 still for Worcester, I was wondering what he was seeing to produce that still as others’ totals were being cut back.

  128. As OS would say, HOLY CRAP BATMAN!! It’s snowing harder than I’ve ever seen! Big flakes too (sorry TK). Went to bed with 4″ just woke up to at least 9 or 10″ (insert joke here if u must)

  129. Hey, you are right along with him old salty. Sometimes conservatism can be just as bad as overhyped- probably worse

  130. Hey, you are right along with him old salty. Sometimes conservatism can be just as bad as overhyped- probably worse

  132. When I woke up, I didn’t hear any wind or snow being blown against the windows. I like to listen to the sounds for a bit before looking. There was no sound so I thought maybe..just maybe…it was at least a partial miss. I’m now learning a new sound…wind and snow being muffled by an extreme amount of snow already on the ground.

    The weather part of me is in awe. I have never seen anything like this amount of snow…not in 1978, not in 1969, not in 1996. The rest of me is worried. This is well into the dangerous category on many different levels.

    1. You are so right. Mrs. OS is really worried. It’s been too much.
      Boston is going to approach 90 inches for the season when this one is done
      AND close to 50 inches for the Month of February! UNPRECEDENTED.

      OH and I saw ERIC on the National News last evening. He said IF
      Boston were to receive just 10 inches from this storm, we will have received
      MORE SNOW in 3 weeks than CHICAGO has EVER received in an ENTIRE
      WINTER!!!! Think about that one!!!

      UNPRECEDENTED HISTORICAL EVENTS TAKING PLACE.

      It will go down in HISTORY as the GREAT SNOW BLITZ OF 2015!!!

      1. Some point out that we have seen more snow before. It isn’t the quantity as much as the proximity that we have not seen. And OS I am living Eric but then I always have. He in an amazing met

        1. VICKI your memory is CORRECT.

          NEVER EVER EVER been this much snow in this short
          a period of time. NEVER! and this is the MOST on the GROUND EVER EVER EVER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

          Well since records were kept. The Pilgrims may have seen it? Who knows.

    2. I can’t remember the last time I saw conditions like this. The strong wording used by the NWS yesterday was spot on!

    1. SNOWING INCREDIBLY HARD!!

      Glad I got up. I CAN’T SLEEP when it’s SNOWING Like HELL OUT.

      When I first looked at the band, I though that would be it when it went through.
      OH NO!!! BEEN snowing like this for 3 hours with only a brief interval where
      it was down to ONLY 1 inch per hour snows!!

      REALLY PILING UP!!!

  134. Re the size of the flakes. I didn’t have the sense TK meant they would remain unusually small for part 2 but that they were very small for part 1 ….I’ll wait for TK to verify that

  136. BlueHill Observatory ‏@bhobservatory 9m9 minutes ago
    45 ins on the ground at BHO, unofficially the greatest snow depth on record in 130 years!! 2 rulers needed 2 measure!

  137. Marshfield and PTown at 020 and 030 for winds, inland 360 if not backed further.

    Perhaps adding surface convergence to an already vigorous set of dynamics.

  138. Snowing still very hard in this section of the city. Visibility is just horrendous and the snow is just wipping around .Like I said earlier 3am it was calm, peaceful and than a switch turned at 4am and it’s been cranking since. Tk maybe mema is going to be right .

  139. Any hint of mildness keeps backing up in arrival date on the models ……

    Looks cold the next 10 days ….

    At least, maybe not as stormy.

  141. Eric Fisher ‏@ericfisher 2m2 minutes ago
    Official Boston total up to 10.2″! That’s 89.7″ for the season, the 3rd snowiest EVER RECORDED!

    Pete Bouchard ‏@pbouchardon7 2m2 minutes ago
    10.2″ just measured at Logan. We’re making hay (snow) out there!

    NWS Boston ‏@NWSBoston 4m4 minutes ago
    Boston Logan: 7.0″ since midnight, 10.2″ storm total, 89.7 for the season which is #3 all time……….and still snowing heavily!

    Eric Fisher retweeted
    Dan Gaetani ‏@RealDanGaetani 6m6 minutes ago
    @ericfisher 14″ Dedham ma!

  142. I am not getting the snow here right now as its very light but the wind is cranking and blowing the snow all over the place. Have had gusts to 30 mph this morning and I would not be surprised if that went higher.

  143. Jim Cantore ‏@JimCantore 1m1 minute ago
    Salisbury ma eoc: 19.0″ ipswich ma ema reports 20″ and numerous roads blocked by snow drifts. Via @WX1BOX

    Eric Fisher retweeted
    Deven ‏@Bellhorn12 2m2 minutes ago
    @ericfisher I’m at about 17″ in middleton and it continues to rip snow. no t snow but credit on your map from me coast to ma. nailed it.

  150. Is it Physically possible for it to be SNOWING this HARD???

    OH and here comes the WIND HERE!
    It’s OFFICAL. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS!!!! VIS virtually ZERO!!!!!

  151. Os how do u get to use the composite display? I cant seem to find it, i only have the option for blue or green when the rain snow line is checked off.?

    2. Where it shows Base reflectivity, follow it to the right and there is a down arrow.
      Hit that. There will be a drop down of options. Select Composite reflectivity-
      124NMI range.

      On the rain/snow just make sure box is unchecked it will work fine.
      You probably weren’t seeing the yellow because u didn’t have composite selected.

      Try it out. let me know it you require any more help.

  153. High tide ….

    Reading 12.14 ft water level in Boston Harbor. Not too bad, relatively speaking.

    2 ft storm surge.

  155. Eric Fisher ‏@ericfisher 7m7 minutes ago
    For those asking, the second snowiest season on record is 96.3″. We’ll be close by the time this wraps up.

    Eric Fisher ‏@ericfisher 9m9 minutes ago
    Biggest totals: Ipswich 20″, Salisbury 19″, Newburyport 16″, Framingham 15.5″, East Freetown 13.4″, Boxford 13″, Milton 12.1″

  156. I wish I was up there to experience it everyone but as been the case since the snow blitz started on the 24th of January I could never get into those heavier snow bands. The only exception was back on the 2nd of February when the low was departing and a heavy band rolled across CT.
    Looking ahead there looks to be a chance for SOME more accumulating snow Tuesday Wednesday timeframe.

  157. Good morning all – beautiful winter morning out there with this storm. I am in awe of the amount of snow this 3 week or so period has produced.

    Hope everyone is safe and warm. Hopefully the wind/ocean do not cause significant problems. Will get out to measure a bit later. Looks about 10″-12″ in Sherborn – still snowing hard.

    1. Sounds about right. Certainly in the ball park. About the same here in JP as well.

      Poor HADI is missing this one, being “stuck” in the Berkshires. 😀

  159. Weather advisory: Special Weather Statement
    SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
    733 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

    MAZ004>007-012>022-026-RIZ001>007-151700-
    NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-
    EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
    SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
    NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
    SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-
    NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
    SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
    BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
    INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…BARRE…FITCHBURG…FRAMINGHAM…
    LOWELL…LAWRENCE…GLOUCESTER…MILFORD…WORCESTER…FOXBORO…
    NORWOOD…CAMBRIDGE…BOSTON…QUINCY…TAUNTON…BROCKTON…
    PLYMOUTH…FALL RIVER…NEW BEDFORD…MATTAPOISETT…CHATHAM…
    FALMOUTH…PROVINCETOWN…AYER…FOSTER…SMITHFIELD…
    PROVIDENCE…WEST GREENWICH…WARWICK…BRISTOL…NARRAGANSETT…
    WESTERLY…NEWPORT
    733 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

    …blizzard and very heavy snow continues this morning…

    an intense band of snow with snowfall rates of 2 to 4 inches per
    hour will continue across eastern massachusetts and rhode island
    through mid day.

    expect very low visibility and difficult travel conditions as this
    band moves through. untreated roads become dangerous quickly.

    winds will also increase as this band moves through. expect
    significant blowing and drifting snow.

    this is a dangerous situation, travel is not advised.

      1. The heaviest of the snow probably wont last that long.

        1 more hr of heaviest 128, 2 more hrs Boston, 3 more hrs Cape Ann, SE Mass and Cape.

        These are guesses. 🙂

        2. And at may be an even quicker end than that, to the heavy stuff. Add on a bit extra time for light stuff to end.

  161. @FredCampagna: Congratulations, Boston. You have officially received 7 FEET of snow in the last 22 days. #MAwx #MAweather #BOSnow

  163. Snowing moderately to heavy here in Sudbury. There are some gusts of wind – I can tell by looking at tall trees in distance. I can’t hear wind that much; like Vicki said, too much snow muffling the sound. Husband might go out and take measurements later. No point for me to – drifts and snow taller than me!

    1. Hahaha. Don’t get lost out there rainshine.

      Seriously though. I’m 5’6″ and the drifts are taller than I am too

  165. Wow. OS, Hadi, Go For Snow, and others, great call. Did not expect to see such an impressive radar upon waking up this morning. Don’t doubt the GFS I guess, lol.

  166. We had very heavy snow at 6am, it had tempered somewhat the last 30 minutes and now its back to heavy snow again.

  167. I cant say the snow, on the level, is any deeper than it was at the start of the storm.

    The wind is simply redistributing it all everywhere.

    2. Look at that Unysis map.

      It looks as though this storm has pulled a RARE
      Westward REDEVELOPMENT???

      Strange for sure!

  169. Southeastern mass could get hammered, nws mwmtionef in their discussion about a band stslling there. Norhshore is going to get a break, im guessing this is the last of it? Based on radar i think heavy snow will be over in boston soon

  170. Jim Cantore ‏@JimCantore 5m5 minutes ago
    Hull ma: atlantic ave from town hall to cohasset closed due to coastal flooding…minor street flooding via @WX1BOX

    1. Btw I have little faith folks will and hope I am proven to be wrong as it would restore my faith in human nature

      1. Harvey, 5 minutes ago, said they had a report that a few people were trapped in cars around the New Bedford area.

        2. I’ve said it before. People complain when a travel ban is put in place. Those are the exact same people who go out when they should not and create the need for a travel ban and then scream the loudest when there is one.

  175. Snow impact soon to be easing some ….

    With the low deepening and the high well to the west easing this way, the squeeze play will be on.

    The wind the next several hrs, what will come of it ?

    The best gusts seemed to currently be in SW New England, I’m sure that will be translating eastward as well.

  176. Just looked out my living room window.
    My care is BURIED!!!
    Our street is NOT plowed. Looks like a good 15 inches out there, if not more!
    A CRAP LOAD of snow no matter what!!!

  177. Although snow intensity has backed off just a bit, still SNOWING very hard out there!
    Instead of 3-4 inches an hour, it’s maybe 1-1.5 which is pretty decent snow on its own!

  181. Just woke up (well woke up a few times during the night) and OMG I don’t believe what I’m seeing. Once again the South Shore is getting hammered. Catching up on the blog now.

  183. Today, Monday and 2 days later in the week …. Highs in the teens ….. And low-mid 20s the other days.

    No snow melt, bringing us to Feb 22-23rd.

  184. Wind picking up. I’m thinking snow will end by 10 AM.

    Given predicted cold, wind, and wind chill, I’m not so sure about the T tomorrow. Best news is that it’s a holiday.

  185. Once the snow stops its going to be blowing and drifting all over the place.
    We may not be done with accumulating snow this week as more is POSSIBLE Tuesday Wednesday timeframe.
    I missed out on the big totals but not missing out on the winds.

  187. Visibility is slowing coming up. Snow is beginning to wind down.
    Still accumulating but no where near the rates of earlier.

  190. Eric Fisher retweeted
    Mgorin84 ‏@mgorin84 9m9 minutes ago
    14.0 inches in Norwood at 8:25. @WX1BOX @ericfisher @pbouchardon7 @klemanowicz

    Ace sound about right?

    1. Sounds about right. Heading out to check the furnace and water heater vents, will take some measurements.

  191. I’d have to say no model, even the GFS, truly had the intensity of the snow on this backlash band.

    Saw a few frames of a radar loop and as the band dropped in from the north and northeast around 4-5 am this morning, the quick influx of moisture off the ocean, into the band was staggering and again, was not picked up by any of the models.

    1. I’m guessing ….

      I dont think more bands will regenerate. A continued easing of the snow the next 60-90 minutes, then maybe a rapid shutoff.

  196. I think it is just about OVER North shore down to Boston. Awhile longer South Shore
    to Cape.

    I don’t think there will be anymore bands.

    We’ll keep watching to make sure. 😀

    1. Someone please tell that to this area.

      We have a state snowblower truck doing our street. It is more than interesting to watch. Grandson said it looks like an elephant. The driver turns the shoot away from every driveway so he doesn’t load the driveway. It seems he is preceding the plows and making the streets wider for them.

  197. Crazy, u would think with a storm in that position it would be throwing snow back in bucketfuls, not that it hasn’t from 4am till now but still

    1. I dont think to the extent the models made it seem it would.

      However, a couple miles of the immediate southern Maine coastline got it good from part 1.

      1. NOPE. We are closed. I’m wondering IF we will be open
        On Tuesday, especially with all of the Water damage yesterday
        from the burst sprinkler pipe.

  201. Still snowing hard here in Hingham. Looks like this intense band should last another half hour or so then we get into some lighter stuff. Winds are starting to pick up here a little but seem to be variable right now. Visibility is about 1/4 mile but does seem to be lifting as I type this. Temp at 20.

  202. Eric Fisher ‏@ericfisher 2m2 minutes ago View translation
    Peak snow reports: 20.5″ Salisbury, 20″ Ipswich, 19″ New Bedford, 16″ Hingham, 15.5″ Framingham, 15″ Acton, 14″ Norwood

  205. Did Massachusetts do something wrong? Have we all committed such heinous sins that God is punishing us? Our Puritan forebears would have thought so. They would have also caught the next boat back to England.

    In the cross-hairs again. The bull’s eye zone. Not Maine. Not New Hampshire. Not Labrador. No, it’s Massachusetts, and in particular the South Shore. Who would have thought that the South Shore is now America’s official snow belt.

    My goodness, how wrong was I. First, I declared over and over again that we wouldn’t get much snow. Then, to make things worse I asserted that we would get a lot of wind. Looks like I went 0 for 2. Thus far, this storm is more about over-performing snow totals than wind. I did hear a clap of thunder. I also observed the heaviest band of snow since April 1997.

    1. Funny as a history guy I thought that too. The puritans would have thought for sure they offended God somehow in this case.

    2. That SNOW was UNREAL!!!

      We March towards the season Snowfall Record.

      We’ll be very near 90 inches when this one is done, with 17-18 to go.

  209. Just realized as I was looking out my window that it was not just snow pasted on the window but that the depth of the snow (not snow banks) was halfway up the windows on the first floor. When I finally get out shovel today I’m really not sure where this snow is going to go…I hate to say it but some of it will end up back on the street. I hate doing that but I may have no choice….ughhhhh.

  211. BREAKING NEWS!

    Another 1 to 2 feet of snow Tuesday!!!!

    ………………………………………………..
    ………………………………………………..
    ………………………………………………………..

    …………………………………………….
    ……………………..

    …………………………………………

    Over the ocean. 😛

    Hah got you. Didn’t I?

    New blog in the works, very short update to be posted by 9:08AM and 33 seconds. Make sure you let me know if I’m a tenth of a second too late, ok? Thanks! 😀

      1. That’s because you are going for 2 to 3 feet. 1 to 2 would be DISAPPOINTING after what we’ve already seen. 😉

        1. No it’s just that have been continually advertising
          OFF SHORE, so I KNEW that wasn’t changing any time
          soon. Perhaps after the 12Z runs you will change your tune.

          It’s coming. What did you guys say? The Atmosphere
          WANTS TO SNOW! 😀

  212. WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA- SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF.LAWRENCE.GLOUCESTER.CAMBRIDGE.
    BOSTON.QUINCY.PLYMOUTH 810 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

    …SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.12 TO 18 INCHES BUT LOCALIZED 18 TO 24 INCHES.

      1. Eric gets a STAR!!!!

        He did NOT back down. He kept his totals at 12-18 and even
        that “may” be a tad low for some areas, but for a general
        forecast, it was really good. Perhaps needed to move it inland some as well. But still, he was TUNED into the SNOW, while
        others backed off.

        1. We should never back off, even when the best meteorological analysis we can perform at the time leads us that way.

          From now on it should be ALL ABOUT THE HYPE! I mean that’s what people want, right?

          Even Kevin L. went up against me on his FB page about posting models days in advance with snow #’s down to the tenth. But he told me that’s what people want. And those very people were still confused. But that’s what they want, so hey! Feed the puppies right? 😛

          1. So it sounds as if you think Eric was hyping when
            (at the time) he “should” have backed off???

            Clarification? tx

            1. No. He shouldn’t have backed off at all. He did a great job. The hype line was sarcasm. 🙂

        2. I agree, a gold star at that! I’m sure it’s not easy to be the lone media-met out. I respect him even more for staying with what he believed to be, and for not letting media and viewer pressure hinder his predictions.

  213. Good morning all. I haven’t even looked out the window yet as I am still not feeling well and haven’t got out of bed. Just praying that the power stays on.

      1. It’s amazing isn’t it? Storm is exploding pretty much at the benchmark as we speak and the snow will be shutting off within the hour

  218. I never said “no storm” for Tuesday/Wednesday. I said we’ve been monitoring and will continue to do so. I’m just not going to put out an accumulation forecast 132 hours in advance. It’s not responsible. 🙂

  220. New blog posted. A little late and nobody said anything? You people are slipping. Get with the program! 😉

Comments are closed.