Wednesday Forecast

29 Comments

2:59AM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 16-20)
Low pressure departs today leaving some cloudiness behind but the arrival of drier air from the west will allow for some sun as well. High pressure will dominate with fair weather through Saturday, along with generally pleasant temperatures for this time of year. A strong trough will arrive from the west on Sunday with a period of rain showers and a switch to gusty, cooler weather.
TODAY: Clouds and patchy fog dominate early, then clouds break for sun at times. Highs 52-60. Wind W increasing to 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear. Lows 36-43. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50-58. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind light W.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-60. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Sunshine gives way to clouds. Lows 32-40. Highs 54-62.
SUNDAY: Mainly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Windy. Lows 40-48. Highs 50-58 but may turn colder late.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 21-25)
Thanksgiving Week looks colder with mainly dry weather at least through Wednesday November 23. There is uncertainty for the holiday itself and Black Friday with the next storm threat likely around that time. Far too soon for details on this.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 26-30)
Pattern will be somewhat more active but may not end up as cold as some medium range guidance has indicated. With lower than average confidence I say that a storm threat exists around November 27-28 with fair weather to start and end the period.

29 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

  3. Thanks TK. Ended up with .66 in North Attleboro. Areas west, southwest and northeast of me picked up much more.

  4. Thanks, TK…

    In the words of Chicago, we hope you’re “Feelin’ Stronger Every Day!”

    Sunset times are starting to “slow down”. Only about nine more minutes to go to reach the earliest sunset of the year in about three weeks!

    Enjoy a nice day, everyone!

    1. I hope you have a nice day as well, Captain. I like your song choice for TK. I is also a very nice song to have in my head for the day.

  5. Thanks TK !

    Its noticeable how little very cold air exists in Canada.

    Perhaps, just perhaps, a slight indication of a longer term change, as on days 9 and 10 of the EURO, it shows the arctic air beginning to cross the pole from Siberia into the northern coast of Alaska and the northwesternmost coast of Canada ………..

    1. This intrusion of Siberian cold has been advertised several times at the end of the ECWMF runs only to modify as the days progress.

      I think we are still several weeks away from any prolonged pattern change.

      FYI: My winter thoughts are a bit iconoclastic, when compared to the masses this year. Late December / Early January the pattern may change to a below to much below temperature regime for a while, accompanied by drier to much drier than normal conditions. Later in the winter we may trend to a normal temperature regime with a more zonal flow with the potential for more precipitation events, but prevailing ridge / trough dynamics may allow these storms to travel a beaten path and be more of a mix to rain in the areas where most people live in SNE.

  6. And last, because I reply to comments as I scroll down, but never least, thank you, TK. Hope you are feeling better!

  7. Good morning and thank you TK.

    I ended up with 1.64 inches in ye ole rain gauge. Lest you think that is not accurate,
    I had to put the trash barrels away late last evening and of course the trash guys
    left the covers off. Easily 1 1/2 inches in the bottoms of those trash barrels as I had to empty all three (3) of them. 😀

    Of course the big GFS snow storm went Poof, but what else did we expect? 😀 😀 😀

  8. Beautiful puffy white clouds floating by surrounded by bright blue sky. Lovely.

    And on a nonweather note. I saw that Brady had a commercial with a focus on deflategate. I was expecting with Brady for it to be well done. I didn’t like it one bit. It as supposed to be him joking around but it was just angry and I’ve seen enough angry in the past week to last a lifetime.

    http://boston.cbslocal.com/2016/11/16/tom-brady-jokes-about-deflategate-in-new-foot-locker-commercial-video/#comment-675624

  12. Despite the GFS showing a storm that travels over NY state, the ensembles move the system to the south of the region it also has support though weak by the EURO.

    1. John, there is going to be a cold front moving through Sat night/Sunday with a period of showers, transitioning to snow showers later Sunday as the cold air works in. The Euro has a secondary low pressure forming along the front over us on Sunday which could enhance the precipitation for awhile. GFS is drier and more progressive with just scattered rain/snow showers but GFS appears to be an outlier here. More model and ensemble support for the Euro solution.

      In short, I don’t think Sunday is a complete washout but it is not going to be a pleasant day. Damp, windy and chilly too with falling temps. I’d take advantage of every hour of daylight you have on Saturday which looks dry and mild.

      1. lady bugs are good. Have a large population of those means they eating them pests, as well as them being bird food.

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