40 thoughts on “Monday Forecast”

1. TK thanks once again.

2. Thanks TK.

3. Thanks TK.

   I have a question. With a developing high pressure off the east coast does that give us an increase potential of a tropical storm riding up the coast if one was to develop?

   1. it depends if its a more eastern centered high pressure. Allowing storm formation west of Bermuda. If its more west centered (west of Bermuda) it blocks storms and moves them down into the gulf and southeast states. It also depends on the size of it. I believe there is a more scientific word for this but i’m blanking on it. This of course is only one piece of the complex puzzle.

4. Thanks, TK.

5. Thank you TK!

6. Good morning and thank you TK.
   Pretty sticky out there this morning.

7. Thoughts on Sox.

   They got 4 well pitched games which is a really good sign, however,
   they can’t hit worth shit. A good pitcher makes mince meat out of the
   Sox hitters. Translation: They’ll make the playoffs, but they’ll have a brutal struggle
   progressing in them (Unless they learn to hit better off of good pitching, which I highly doubt).

   I was hoping for 3 out 4 from the Yanks, but a spit is a lot better than 1 out of 4. 😀

   Just my 2 cents du jour fwiw.

   Have a great day all.

   1. still do not understand why they had someone who has only one 4 times playing in a game thats important

      1. Matt,

         I didn’t watch all of the games but did follow them.
         Who is it that you mean? They were certainly short of pitchers, so
         that had to use Workman.

8. re: SPC

   For today, they extended the marginal risk farther East, but shrunk the slight area a bit.
   New update in a few minutes, so we shall see if there are any changes.

   Chances of storms here is very low imoh. 😀

9. Latest from the SPC regarding today’s severe weather threats. Not much change

   http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

10. Thanks TK.
    I think Upstate NY has the best shot at any strong to locally severe storms today.
    I will repost the trivia question I saw on one of local television stations. Answer coming this afternoon.
    In what year was the heat index developed?
    A. 1958
    B. 1978
    C. 1998

    1. WILD guess on my part.

       I’ll go with B.

       Sounds “about” the time I first starting hearing it.
       But I’ll be wrong.

       Thanks for this one JJ.

11. JPDave I guessed and I was surprised I got it right when I saw the question.

12. DP 68 at Logan, 70 at Norwood.

    SE SEA BREEZE at Logan. Probably won’t help much today.
    79 at the airport.

    1. A more humid summer for sure compared to the last few, if I’m recalling correctly.

13. Thanks TK ! A look at the pattern through the water vapor loop.

    http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv.html

14. Thank you TK. Headed inland to grocery shop and it is indeed more humid. I sure appreciate your coastal temp discussion.

    To whoever borrowed the breeze, I am offering a reward for its return. 🙂

    1. Thank you to whoever returned it

15. There are no NWS observations available as of 1:00 p.m,

16. 1:50 PM, temp 82, dp 68, wind SE at 12 mph. 😀

17. From the SPC, a case where a 40% chance of a watch, yielded a watch:

    mesoscale discussion

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1329.html

    Watch

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0417.html

18. A couple of Atlantic lows.

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

    1. The global models don’t do much of anything with these and the
       hurricane models have them temporarily develop only to basically go poof.
       We shall see. Always worth watching when they are out there.

19. The answer to the trivia question when was the heat index developed is 1978.
    It was developed by George Winterling as the humiture in 1978 and was adopted by USA’s National Weather Service a year later.

    1. Thank you, JJ. Fun quiz. 1978 was a very good year indeed!!!

       1. It certainly was. Our son was born in 1978. 😀

          1. Ahhhh. Just saw this after posting below. It was indeed a special year

20. I give the credit to WTKR the CBS affiliate down in Virginia for asking that question during one of the weather segments. I happened to be in the room after I came in from playing golf and saw it. I guessed 1978 only because 1958 seemed to early and 1998 to me was too late.

    1. Thanks JJ. I got it correct basically using the same logic you did. 😀

       1. I used Vicki logic. It was year we were married. Best logic I can think of 😉

          1. 😀

21. Our fourth tropical storm of the Atlantic season, Don, has formed east of the Caribbean. Likely to remain weak and dissipate in a couple days.

    1. Sort of a weak path.

       http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?cone#contents

22. Taunton NWS indicate most convection today NE Mass. This after they said mainly South of the pike. Go figure.

    While much of the region will be at risk, biggest focus is south of the Pike as
    well as along the east coast of MA where K values will be
    greater.

    Locations across NE MA may have the best potential
    for a strong/severe storm as shear values get to near 30 kts.

    So which is it????????????????????????????????????

    HRRR says Northern to Northeastern MA

    HRRR radar reflectivity for later today:

    http://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/HRRR/2017071808/NE/HRRRNE_prec_radar_003.png

23. BTW, the Red Sox continue their Anemic hitting. I don’t think they could hit
    a beach ball with a door. PATHETIC performance. They are NOT going win hitting
    like this. Their lead will erode most certainly. They MUST pick it up.

24. Slight delay on the update..

    Will have a short version out as soon as I can.

25. Some convection firing out West of Springfield:

    https://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php?rid=box&product=N0R&loop=yes

26. New post. Again no huge change. Did up the rain risk Sunday-Monday.

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