The Bad In The Good

1:01AM

COMMENTARY…
This weather pattern is good if you like nice weather. But this weather pattern is bad in the sense that we continue to be quite dry across southeastern New England, despite some areas of showers on Tuesday. Those showers were simply not enough to be of any significant benefit. So, what is coming up now? This forecast goes out into early next week and includes the entire Memorial Day Weekend. Let’s take a look.

SUMMARY…
Upper level low pressure passes across New England today while a brisk westerly flow transports dry air into the region. Sun will share the sky with clouds. The jet stream will be hanging out close by into late week and this will allow a couple disturbances passing south of the region to spread some cloudiness across the sky at times. This represents a change from the previous thinking that Thursday would be a sunny day. Everything will be shunted to the south by Friday as a cold front drops across New England, and this will set us up for a decent Memorial Day Weekend. But the weekend itself will feature some contrast, as some areas will be as cold as the 30s to start Saturday morning and may end up near 80 before Sunday is over. This will take place as the core of a chilly air mass arrives Friday night and exits later Saturday, with a more significant warm-up on Sunday. By Monday, a front may be nearby but may be moisture-starved, so optimistically the forecast will include clouds but leave rain out for now. By Tuesday, a shot of warm and somewhat humid air may battle with an approaching front for a shower and thunderstorm threat.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TODAY: Sunshine and passing clouds. Highs 62-67 except 67-72 interior southeastern MA. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 43-48 interior, 48-53 coast. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly to partly cloudy. Highs 65-70 coast, 70-75 interior. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers midday and afternoon. Lows around 50. Highs in the 60s.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 30s interior to lower 40s coast. Highs in the 60s.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows middle 40s to lower 50s. Highs in the 70s.
MONDAY – MEMORIAL DAY: Variably cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the 70s.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Scattered showers/thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs around 80.

Warm Front Cold Front

7:31AM

SUMMARY…
Low pressure passes north of New England today, first dragging a warm front across the region with areas of showers through midday, followed by a cold front with an additional shower or thunderstorm possible in some areas at the end of the day or this evening. High pressure approaches as low pressure moves away Wednesday and the air flow between them will generate a gusty breeze, and upper level low pressure still crossing the region will promote some diurnal cloud development, though overall it will be a nice day! Even nicer weather Thursday will result from high pressure moving in. A weak disturbance may bring a few showers as it swings through from west to east on Friday. High pressure returns for a good portion of the Memorial Day Weekend, however a front may be in the vicinity for part of Sunday night or Monday preventing perfection. Despite wishes of good weather as we head into the first long weekend of the warm season or the unofficial start of Summer, we are in need of rain as it has been quite dry. Other than what falls today in spotty areas, not much is expected any time soon.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TODAY: Cloudy with occasional showers through midday. Mostly cloudy to partly sunny mid to late afternoon. Mostly cloudy evening with showers and thunderstorms possible especially along and south of the Mass Pike in southern MA and RI. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s, coolest South Coast. Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy early, then partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH and gusty.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs in the 60s to near 70. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 47-54. Highs 67-74.
FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 50-57. Highs 64-72.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 38-47, coolest interior valleys. Highs 64-70.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Lows 42-52, coolest interior valleys. Highs 68-80, coolest South Coast.
MONDAY – MEMORIAL DAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 70s.

The Week Ahead Plus

10:00PM

SUMMARY…
This is one of those rare times were we go out 8 days and that must mean that next weekend is a “long weekend”. It is! The unofficial start of Summer, a.k.a. Memorial Day Weekend. I’ll do my best to give you an idea of what to expect through then. Let’s start with tonight as we get a weather change in the form of a deck of low clouds and areas of fog rolling in off the ocean via the Gulf of Maine, in response to a wind flowing in from the northeast. There may be some areas of drizzle as well. This persists into the day Monday but some drying from the east may promote at least partial clearing as the day goes on. Low clouds redevelop at night as a light southeast flow takes over. Tuesday will be a more humid day with a couple rounds of showers and possible thunderstorms as a disturbance and front traverse the region. By Wednesday, a shot of cooler/drier air will arrive from Canada with a sun/cloud mix. High pressure will bring fair weather Thursday. A disturbance may produce a few passing showers on Friday before high pressure builds in and brings fair weather for at least the first two thirds of the Memorial Day Weekend Saturday and Sunday. By the holiday itself on Monday we may be dealing with showers/thunderstorms from an approaching frontal system. It’s very difficult to get 3 straight fair weather days any time in Spring in New England, even in a dry pattern.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TONIGHT: Low clouds spreading across the region from northeast to southwest along with patchy fog and drizzle overnight. Lows 46-54. Wind E to NE 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Low overcast, areas of fog and drizzle to start. Partial clearing east to west during the afternoon. Highs 60-68, coolest coast. Wind NE to E 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 50-58. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Episodes of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s coast, 70s interior. Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows 47-55. Highs 64-72.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 50-58. Highs 66-74.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 52-60. Highs 63-70.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 50-58. High 67-75.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 52-60. High 72-80.
MONDAY – MEMORIAL DAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers/thunderstorms. Lows 56-64. Highs 68-75.

Weekend Update

7:50AM

SUMMARY…
Timing right on track today with the morning and late-day shower threat and breaks of sun in between. With most energy traveling through CT only brief showers will visit parts of eastern MA, southern NH, and RI this morning. In between energy pulses we’ll see some partial clearing which will boost inland areas to around 70 for high temperatures, maybe a little warmer than that in some spots, while the coast is cooler. One change from the previous forecast is that the warm front, which I thought would never make it through southeastern New England, will actually do so tonight into Sunday as low pressure parenting it tracks a little further north than I expected previously. This will introduce warmer and more humid air overnight into Sunday along with a threat of a few thunderstorms along with any shower activity. This will be followed by a quick change to a cooler air mass as the cold front sinks southward as the low departs to the northeast. A sharp temperature drop is likely later Sunday. This may be enhanced further as winds turn a little more to the northeast behind the cold front. We’ll have to watch for low clouds from the ocean by late Sunday into Monday, but they should break later Monday. Still looking for a shift to southerly flow and warming up Monday night into Tuesday as we get another quick warm front / cold front combo, bringing a threat of showers on Tuesday. A gusty breezy and drier weather should return Wednesday, then nice weather by Thursday and Friday as high pressure moves in.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy through mid morning with brief showers west to east across the region but fading and missing some areas. Partly sunny later morning into afternoon then mostly cloudy again with showers possible later in the day. Highs 60s coast to lower 70s interior. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Isolated thunderstorms.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers and a possible thunderstorm through mid afternoon. Low clouds may arrive in eastern coastal areas late day or evening. Highs upper 60s immediate shore to 75-82 interior areas, but may fall sharply late day or evening. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH shifting to N or NE late day from north to south.
MONDAY: Cloudy to partly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs 60 coast to 70 interior.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.
WEDNESDAY: Sun and clouds with a gusty wind. Lows 45-55. Highs in the 60s.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 40s, coolest interior. Highs 65-75, coolest East Coast.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs 68-78, coolest South Coast.

Not All Bad

7:00PM

SUMMARY…
High pressure provided 100% sunshine Thursday with light wind, but this allowed for the typical cooling Spring sea breezes near the coast. High pressure moves offshore tonight and Friday and then a warm front moves into southern New England Friday night and Saturday but fails to make it through the entire region. A couple disturbances moving along this front will bring lots of clouds and a couple threats of wet weather. Timing such threats in this set-up is always tough, but it appears they will take place in the pre-dawn to the mid morning hours of Saturday and again late Saturday afternoon to early Saturday night. During Sunday, the main disturbance will move offshore and enough dry air should work in from the north for at least partial clearing, though some cooling will take place from the north and northeast due to the air flow on the back side of the disturbance, so don’t look for a return to Summer-like temperatures this weekend. If the wind turns enough northeasterly, we may have to watch for some low clouds off the ocean later Sunday or even Monday. By later Monday, the wind should turn more to the south ahead of an approaching frontal system, and this front is likely to bring showers at some point on Tuesday of next week, followed by a return to dry weather during the middle of next week, lead in by a cooler, gusty breeze behind the front Wednesday and a more tranquil day as high pressure moves in on Thursday.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 35-40 interior valleys, 40s elsewhere. Wind light W.
FRIDAY: Sunshine, dimmed at times by variable high cloudiness. Highs from near 60 coast to near 70 interior. Wind W up to 10 MPH shifting to SE.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Showers likely after 3AM from west to east. Lows in the 50s. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Cloudy through mid morning with showers ending west to east. Mostly cloudy to partly sunny later morning into afternoon then cloudy again with showers possible later in the day. Highs 60-65 coast, 65-70 inland, may reach lower 70s inland with any sun.
SUNDAY: Clouds break for sun but low clouds may return to the coast late. Lows in the 50s. Highs from near 60 immediate coast to near 70 interior.
MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Highs 60 coast to 70 interior.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.
WEDNESDAY: Sun and clouds with a gusty wind. Lows 45-55. Highs in the 60s.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 40s, coolest interior. Highs 65-75, coolest coast.

Wednesday PM Update

3:09PM

Apologies for the abbreviated update again as I try to fit 2 days’ worth of errands into 1 day. 😉

SUMMARY…
High pressure builds overhead tonight and ends the breezy weather but allows it to be quite cool. Temperatures rebound nicely Thursday with lots of sun. Clouds arrive by later Friday as a warm front approaches. This front will be in the vicinity from Friday night through the weekend and be the avenue for a few disturbances which bring the threat of showers. It’ll be hard to time these threats but this forecast will give it my best shot for now and then adjustments will be made, if needed. A small high pressure area is expected to bring fair weather Monday followed by a frontal system with showers Tuesday.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
LATE AFTERNOON: Sun and passing clouds. Temperatures in the 60s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows in the 40s, a few upper 30s interior valleys. Diminishing NW wind.
THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 65-73, coolest coast. Wind light NW morning, light variable with sea breezes afternoon.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows in the 50s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs in the 60s. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY & SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. A few episodes of showers. Lows 52-60. Highs 63-72.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 70s except cooler South Coast.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 60. Highs 65-75.

Quick Update

7:30AM

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy with areas of fog and drizzle with isolated showers in the morning. Variably cloudy with scattered showers/thunderstorms this afternoon. Any thunderstorms may be strong, especially interior areas. Highs ranging from 65-70 Cape Cod to 80-85 interior areas. Wind light SE to S early, then SW 10-20 MPH and gusty.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy with scattered showers early. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows in the 50s. Wind W 10-20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs in the 60s. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 45-50. Highs in the 60s.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Highs 60s coast, 70-75 inland.
SATURDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of showers at night. Lows in the 50s. Highs 65-75, coolest coast.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain or showers. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs 65-75.

The Week Ahead

10:02PM

SUMMARY…
The Summer preview dials itself back a bit this coming week. There will be several weather changes. The first is the replacement of the warm air Monday with cooler maritime air behind an advancing back-door cold front from northeast to southwest across southern NH and eastern MA. The leading edge of this may not make it all the way through RI and deeper into MA but the exact limit is not known and won’t be known until it takes place, so understand there may be a sharp temperature contrast in parts of the region Monday. The warm air makes another push back into the region from the southwest as the remains of Subtropical Storm Ana pass southeast of New England and a cold front moves in from the west. This day will hold a shower and thunderstorm threat. By Wednesday, the front will be moving offshore with drier and cooler air moving in, but enough cold air aloft will trigger the development of some diurnal cloudiness and perhaps a few showers. High pressure closer into the region should bring more dominant sun Thursday and Friday. The weekend is uncertain at this time and the weather will depend on the development and movement of some disturbances, so that part of the forecast comes with low confidence and is very subject to change.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 60-68. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Highs 65-75 from northeast to southwest across the region in the morning but falling to 55-65 during the day, possibly cooler some coastal areas north of Boston. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH early then shifting to NE from northeast to southwest across the region from late morning on.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Isolated showers. Lows in the 50s. Wind light NE becoming variable.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Isolated showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 65-70 South Coast, 70s East Coast, 80-85 elsewhere. Wind becoming SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Lows 50-55. Highs in the 60s.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 60s.
FRIDAY: Sunny. Lows 45-55. Highs in the 70s except cooler some coastal areas.
SATURDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain at night. Lows 50-55. Highs in the 60s.
SUNDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.

Weekend Update

6:39PM

SUMMARY…
The previous discussion holds generally true. There is one change to make, however, and that is to forecast a frontal boundary north of the region on Sunday to slip far enough south to position itself to become a back-door cold front that may invade southeastern NH and eastern MA sometime during Monday. Also, a little more detail can be added for Tuesday, regarding the track of Subtropical Storm Ana, or whatever remains of it, as it may be close enough to bring a period of rain to parts of southeastern MA and RI. The rest of the forecast is generally unchanged and will be updated with a full discussion on Sunday.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
THIS EVENING: Lots of high clouds region-wide with patchy low clouds in southern coastal locations. Temperatures ranging from 55-60 immediate shore to lower 70s interior. SE to SW 5-15 MPH and gusty.
OVERNIGHT: Low clouds form along with patchy fog. Lows in the 50s to near 60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY – MOTHER’S DAY: Low clouds and areas of fog to start, then partly to mostly sunny with most low cloudiness lingering across Cape Cod. More humid. Highs 60s Cape Cod and South Coast, 70s immediate East Coast, 80s elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers especially northern MA and southern NH with fog and drizzle possible in coastal areas late. Lows around 60. Highs around 70 but may turn much cooler in eastern coastal areas during the day.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain Cape Cod. Scattered showers/thunderstorms possible elsewhere. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 70s except some 60s eastern coastal areas.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55, coolest interior valleys. Highs in the 60s.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 45-53, coolest interior valleys. Highs 65-73, coolest coastal areas.
FRIDAY: Sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs 60s coast, 70s interior.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 70s, cooler some coastal areas.

Aft Draft

5:37PM

SUMMARY…
In came the back-door cold front Friday morning and the cool ocean air along with it over southeastern NH and eastern MA. It has taken longer for the front and somewhat cooler air to push further west away from the coast. In fact, as of mid afternoon Friday, the temperature ranged from near 50 along the eastern coast of MA to near 90 in Hartford CT. Though a difference of nearly 40 degrees over about 200 miles, this is not all that unusual an occurrence for this part of the country at this time of year. Now as we get into evening area of low clouds and fog are coming in from the ocean and this will become more widespread during the later evening and tonight as the marine layer becomes established. This low overcast and areas of fog will burn off in most areas Saturday as the wind turns more to the south, but this southerly wind off the water just south of New England means that the low clouds will be much slower to break along the South Coast and it may never completely clear there. Temperatures respond and warm up inland but less quickly along the coast. By Sunday, a southwesterly wind flow means warmer for most areas except still somewhat cooler along the South Coast and especially across Cape Cod. A frontal system to the north and west of the region is expected to cause showers/thunderstorms in northern New England but none of those will reach southern areas as it looks now, meaning that Mother’s Day will be rain-free across southeastern New England. By Monday, this front pushes a little closer with a slight risk of a spot shower or storm but overall most of the activity should still remain to the west and north. By Tuesday, finally the front swings through as it is kicked along by a disturbance from the west. At the same time, remnant moisture from the first named tropical system of the year, Ana, will be making a close pass though most of its moisture should remain offshore just to the southeast. By the middle of next week look for a return to somewhat cooler and drier weather, with a slow warm-up commencing by the end of the week as high pressure dominates.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TONIGHT: Low clouds and patchy fog take over. Lows 47-55. Wind NE to SE 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Low clouds and areas of fog give way to sun by afternoon in most locations except low clouds persisting southern RI and south coastal MA including Cape Cod. Highs 58-65 coast, 66-74 interior areas. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 52-60. Wind light S to SW.
SUNDAY – MOTHER’S DAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny South Coast including Cape Cod, partly cloudy to mostly sunny elsewhere. Highs in the 80s interior areas ranging down to the 60s South Coast. More humid. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers/thunderstorms possible mainly interior MA and southern NH late. Lows 58-66. Highs 67-75 South Coast, 75-83 elsewhere.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers/thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 70s.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 45-50 interior, 50s coast. Highs 60s coast, 70-75 interior.
FRIDAY: Sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs 60s coast, 70s interior.

If You Are Surprised Then You Are New Here

7:29AM

SUMMARY…
Nothing about the weather in the next 7 days will be atypical of past Spring seasons in New England. High pressure brings sun and warmth today with some cooler conditions along the coastal areas, but this will become a much more pronounced cooling especially in eastern coastal areas and even inland somewhat during Friday afternoon when a back-door cold front arrives. The sunshine expected on Friday may be replaced by a low overcast at least in eastern coastal areas by late day or evening. That cool air may remain in place into Saturday before getting pushed away again by a returning west to southwest wind flow, which will strengthen through Sunday, Mother’s Day, bringing another preview of Summer. This continues Monday then comes to an end due to a cold front Tuesday and Wednesday. Some showers and thunderstorms are expected with this front, as early as later Monday, but more likely Tuesday. Any rain will be welcomed as top soils are dry and we also have elevated risk of brush fires across much of southern New England.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 60s South Coast, 70s immediate East Coast, 80-85 inland. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows in the 50s, around 60 urban areas. Wind light W.
FRIDAY: Sunshine, may be replaced by late-day with low clouds especially southeastern NH and eastern MA. Highs 60s coast, 70s interior, falling into the 50s eastern coastal areas and 60s interior during the afternoon. Wind light W to NW shifting to NE and increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts from northeast to southwest, especially southeastern NH and eastern MA.
SATURDAY: Low clouds dissipate, sun returns. Low 50-55. Highs 60s coast, 70s inland.
SUNDAY – MOTHER’S DAY: Mostly sunny. Highs in the 80s except cooler South Coast.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated thunderstorms late. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 80s.
TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers/thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 70s.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.

The Warmer Side Of Spring

7:34PM

SUMMARY…
Your long awaited above normal temperature pattern has arrived and will last through the weekend. As is always the case in the Spring, there will be modifications based on locations. A weak cold front settled through southeastern New England Tuesday and a second weak boundary will try to sneak down the coast through Wednesday. At the same time a narrow area of high pressure will sink southward over the region and push a disturbance south of the region overnight and early Wednesday. Cloudiness with this disturbance will be over the region tonight but exit Wednesday morning, and the day turns out quite bright. Coolest air will be along the coast with some onshore wind while it is somewhat milder inland. By Thursday expect high pressure to be centered to the south with warmer air for most areas, the exception being the South Coast and Cape Cod. On Friday another area of high pressure will nose down over the water to the east, and allow for an onshore wind and somewhat cooler air. This cooler influence may linger into early Saturday before the wind flow turns more to the southwest and transports Summery air into the region later in the weekend and very early next week, until low pressure and a front approaches by Tuesday with the threat of showers/thunderstorms.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows in the 50s with a few upper 40s interior valleys. Wind light SE shifting to N.
WEDNESDAY: Clouds linger southern areas early otherwise mostly sunny. Highs upper 50s to lower 60s coastal areas, middle 60s to lower 70s interior areas. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows upper 40s to middle 50s. Wind light W.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60s immediate coast ranging up to 75-80 inland. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 70s, possibly much cooler coast.
SATURDAY: Early low clouds then sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs 70 coast to 80 interior.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the 80s, cooler South Coast.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 80s, cooler South Coast.
TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers/thunderstorms. Lows in he 60s. Highs in the 70s, cooler South Coast.

The Week Ahead

3:24AM

SUMMARY…
A strong southwesterly flow will transport the warmest air of the Spring so far into southeastern New England today. Again, as usual, a modifying effect off the cooler water will impact the South Coast. A cold front settles southward across the region early Tuesday and sits just south of the region as a disturbance moves along it. This will bring more cloudiness and the chance of showers. A second boundary will push down from the north Wednesday. This one will not have any moisture with it but may turn the wind a little more onshore on eastern coastal areas before the boundary weakens and lifts back to the north on Thursday. This will allow it to warm back up a little though not to the levels of today. I’m a little uncertain about how the Friday-Sunday period works out at this time, but for now I’ll lean toward the warmer scenario with a southwest flow to start then a shift to a more southeasterly flow later in the weekend with some cooling, and more cloudiness as a disturbance moves in from the west. The end of week and weekend are low confidence and very subject to change.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50s Cape Cod and Islands, 60s remainder of South Coast of MA/RI and Cape Ann MA, 70s to lower 80s elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s South Coast, 60s to lower 70s elsewhere. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Highs 58-68, coolest East Coast.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Lows 50-58. Highs 60-72, coolest South Coast.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Lows 52-60. Highs 62-72, coolest South Coast.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows 52-60. Highs 65-75, coolest South Coast.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.

Quick Update

This is only a quick forecast update. Full discussion and forecast posted this evening.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
THIS AFTERNOON: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Isolated showers interior MA and southern NH. Highs range from the 50s coast to 70s well inland. Wind light variable with sea breezes.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. Wind light SW.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs from near 60 Cape Cod to near 80 northern RI, interior MA, and interior NH. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s. Highs 65-70.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Highs upper 50s coast, 60s inland.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Highs lower 60s coast to around 70 inland.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs middle 50s coast to middle 60s inland.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs upper 50s coast to around 70 inland.

Yeah, Not Quite Perfect, But Better

8:29PM
 
SUMMARY…
Basically what was said in the last blog applies still  here in this update. Low pressure east of New England continues to send lobes of moisture, mainly in the form of cloudiness, southwestward and southward into southern New England. This continues through Friday which will be the day with the most extensive cloudiness at least through midday. Some drier air working on from the northeast may break up the clouds later in the day. We’re still looking at improvement during the weekend but there will be some lingering cloudiness around on Saturday due to chilly air aloft, and additional development of clouds on Sunday from a small disturbance coming in from the west. But overall, the weekend will be favorable with a trend toward warmer weather. It still looks like a more widespread southwest flow will warm most areas Monday with the exception of the South Coast where the wind is still off the water even from the southwest. With cool air not that far away in Canada we’ll likely see a boundary sink southward into the region during Tuesday and push a little further south on Wednesday of next week. If all goes well, a warmer push of air returns Thursday as we  make an attempt to get into a pattern that features milder to warmer weather more often than the cool stuff. Time will tell…
 
SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Cloudy through midday with patchy drizzle possible. Mostly cloudy to partly sunny mid afternoon on. Highs in the 50s coastal areas, around 60 interior. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Wind NE to N 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 50s coast, 60-65 interior. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 55-60 coast, 60s interior. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Sunny morning. Increasing clouds afternoon. Lows around 50. Highs 70-75, 60s coast except 55-60 South Coast.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Episodes of showers. Lows 50-55. Highs in the 60s except 55-60 East Coast.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs 50-55 East Coast, 55-60 South Coast, 60s elsewhere.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Lows around 50. Highs around 70, cooler coastal areas.

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