10:33PM

7:28AM

SUMMARY…

Low pressure offshore nudges just far enough eastward for some clearing today but throws another batch of clouds back at southeastern New England Wednesday. Another system takes its place late in the week with more cloudiness but for now leaning toward the bulk of any rainfall staying offshore. We’ll see how fast this second system departs as it is the key to the weekend forecast, in terms of the level of improvement. Will lean optimistic for now but keep in mind that if that low doesn’t get out of here fast enough, it will impact the weather at least for the start of the weekend. If high pressure sets up just right we could have a legitimately warm day Monday with the exception of the South Coast, but that is many days away.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

TODAY: Clouds dominate the morning. More sun afternoon. Highs 50s coast, around 60 inland. Wind N 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly clear. Lows upper 30s inland, lower 40s coast. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Highs 55-60 coast, 60-65 inland. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs 50s coast, 60-65 inland.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Risk of rain especially eastern areas. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Lows around 50. Highs around 60.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows around 45. Highs around 65 but cooler coast.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows around 50. Highs around 70 but much cooler South Coast.

5:47PM

SUMMARY…

The cool pool of air over the northeastern US will sink slowly to the southeast and allow a surface low to move southwest then south in the waters east of New England, keeping the weather unsettled through Tuesday. Some improvement is expected by the middle of the week as this feature moves away to the east and a very weak ridge of high pressure tries to move in, but is replaced by low pressure to the south by late in the week with a threat of more unsettled weather. The uncertainty of Spring means it is not clear how quickly the weather will improve heading into next weekend, but for now will go for steady improvement.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 38-43. Wind light NW to N.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Areas of light rain and drizzle. Highs 43-48 coast, 48-54 inland. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain and drizzle. Lows 38-43. Wind NE to N 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered to isolated rain showers. Highs 45-50 immediate coast, 50s elsewhere. Wind N to NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs 50s coast, 60s inland.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs 50s coast, 60s inland.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the 40s. Highs 50 coast, 60 inland.

SATURDAY: Sun and clouds. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows around 50. Highs 60 coast, 70 inland.

11:18AM

SUMMARY…

No changes to the previous discussion at this time.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

THIS AFTERNOON: Sun and passing clouds. Clouds more dominant in areas north of Boston especially northeastern MA and southern NH with a slight risk of a light rain shower. Highs in the 50s. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny morning. Mostly cloudy afternoon with a chance of rain showers. Highs in the 50s. Wind N 5-15 MPH shifting to NE.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Episodes of drizzle and a chance of rain. Lows 40-45. Highs 45-50.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 35-40. Highs 50-55.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 40s. Highs around 60 but cooler coastal areas.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the 40s. Highs around 60, cooler coast.

7:09PM

SUMMARY…

Yes, it can snow in April. Yes, Boston saw a few flakes early Friday morning. Nothing highly unusual. That was the result of some energy moving through the region underneath an upper level low pressure area, which will remain parked across New England and southeastern Canada into the weekend before drifting southeast and capturing a surface low offshore and driving it westward late in the weekend and early next week. This will turn the current pattern of clouds and sun with pop up showers into a more general overcast with a better chance of some wet weather by later Sunday and Monday before partial improvement takes place heading toward the middle of next week. But another low pressure area may be nearby or just to the south by the end of next week with the threat of additional unsettled weather.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

EVENING: Mostly cloudy. Temperatures in the 40s. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

OVERNIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Wind W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Clouds more dominant afternoon and favoring areas north of Boston especially northeastern MA and southern NH with a slight risk of a light rain shower. Highs in the 50s. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny morning. Mostly cloudy afternoon with a chance of rain showers. Highs in the 50s. Wind N 5-15 MPH shifting to NE.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Episodes of drizzle and a chance of rain. Lows 40-45. Highs 45-50.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 35-40. Highs 50-55.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 40s. Highs around 60 but cooler coastal areas.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the 40s. Highs around 60, cooler coast.

4:28PM

SUMMARY…

A cool pool of air aloft associated with upper level low pressure will create daily clouds and a risk of a few rain and even mix/snow showers in a few locations through the weekend. Though most showers will be in the form of rain, the mix/snow would be possible with some of the activity lingering into the nighttime hours and occurring in higher elevations north and west of Boston. By the start of next week, the orientation of upper level low pressure may be such that a surface low can back up and bring a more solid overcast and risk of some wet weather into the region. By the middle of next week, the cool pool should shift further east but with southeastern New England still under its influence.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

THROUGH EVENING: Variably cloudy. Isolated rain showers. Temperatures cooling into the 40s. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly to partly cloudy. A shower of rain or mix possible north central MA and southern NH. Lows in the 30s. Wind W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Isolated rain showers. Highs upper 40s hills, 50-55 elsewhere. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers of rain/mix/snow mainly hilly areas west and north of Boston early. Lows in the 30s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH and gusty.

SATURDAY & SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated rain showers. Highs in the 50s both days. Lows Saturday night 35-45.

MONDAY & TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain/drizzle. Lows around 40. Highs 45-55, coolest eastern coastal areas.

WEDNESDAY & THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 35-45. Highs 50-60.

12:41PM

SUMMARY…

One more mild afternoon ahead of a cold front. This front crosses southeastern New England this evening with showers and possible thunderstorms, then a cool air mass arrives as we return to a pattern of below normal temperatures during the coming days. Upper level low pressure will provide some instability with a few showers possible each day through the weekend. A surface low offshore may back up enough to bring more general overcast and possible wet weather early next week.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

THIS AFTERNOON: Increasing clouds. Highs in the 60s except 50s South Coast. Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a couple rounds of showers west to east through 2AM, then breaking clouds. Lows in the 40s. Wind SW 10-20 MPH and gusty, shifting to W.

THURSDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Isolated afternoon showers. Highs in the 50s. Wind W 10-20 MPH and gusty.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 40-45. Highs in the 50s.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Lows 40-45. Highs in the 50s.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 40-45. Highs in the 50s.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain/drizzle. Lows 40-45. Highs 45-50 coast, 50s inland.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 40-45. Highs in the 50s.

11:20AM

I’ve started my journey home to New England but while I wait at the gate here’s an update. Full blog tonight!

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

THIS AFTERNOON: Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Highs in the 60s except 50s South Coast. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows from 40 rural areas to 50 Cape Cod. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers mainly in the afternoon. Highs in the 50s South Coast,  60-65 elsewhere. Wind SW to S 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Low 40. High 55.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny.  Low 40. High 55.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 40. High 55.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 45. High 60.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Low 45. High 50.

5:38PM

Quick update from far away!

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows in the 40s. Wind W around 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun and clouds. Isolated showers. Highs in the 60s but only 50s coast. Wind light variable then SE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy.  Lows in the 40s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs around 60, cooler coast. Wind light N shifting to E.

MONDAY: Clouding up. Rain late. Low 45. High 55.

TUESDAY: Cloudy. Rain to showers. Low 50.  High 60.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny.  Scattered showers. Low 40. High 55.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy.  Isolated showers. Low 40. High 55.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny.  Low 35. High 55.

9:45PM

SUMMARY…
Again no significant changes. High pressure brings great weather for midweek, a front from the west and moisture from the south brings some unsettled weather Friday and Saturday before dry weather returns Sunday. A low pressure area is expected to bring wet weather early next week. The question remains timing of wet weather regarding the Boston Marathon on Monday. At this early stage I continue to believe that the wet weather will hold off til later Monday, but this is still far enough away for this to change.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
OVERNIGHT: Decreasing clouds. Lows 35-40 inland valleys, 40-45 elsewhere. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty, may shift to the N at times.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 32-38 interior valleys, 38-43 elsewhere. Wind light variable.
THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 45-50 Cape Cod and Islands, 50s other coastal areas, lower 60s inland. Wind light variable with sea breezes.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Low 50. High 60, cooler coast.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Low 50. High 65, cooler coast.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy and windy. Low 45. High 55.
MONDAY: Increasing clouds. Rain late. Low 40. High 55, cooler coast.
TUESDAY: Early rain. Partial clearing. Low 45. High 60, cooler coast.

6:17PM

SUMMARY…
There is not a whole lot of change from the previous update. After the anticipated warmth came to fruition today, with of course the exception of the South Coast and Cape Cod, we’ll have a cold front cross the region early Tuesday with a band of showers. The cooler air on the other side of the front will not be all that much cooler than what we saw today. High pressure will bring another round of very nice weather for the middle of the week, though not as warm as today. By Thursday, some cooling sea breezes are likely in areas that did not see them the last couple of days. At the end of the week we see more cloudiness Friday ahead of a cold front. I’m still expecting the interaction of this front with some moisture from the south as it passes on Saturday, so that will be the day most likely to see showers. Fair and cooler weather returns Sunday into Monday, which is the Patriots Day Holiday and also the Boston Marathon. By then we’ll be watching low pressure to the southwest of the region for its timing, but for now will keep the forecast dry as it should hold off.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 50-55. Wind SW 10-15 MPH with higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy morning to midday with rain showers likely from west to east, lastly Cape Cod. Partly cloudy afternoon. Highs 58-65. Wind SW 10-20 MPH and gusty shifting to W.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Clearing overnight. Lows in the 40s. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 40s. Highs 55-63, coolest coast.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows around 50. Highs around 60.
SATURDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows around 50. Highs around 60.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy and windy. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s.
MONDAY: Sunny start, cloudy finish. Lows in the 40s. Highs around 60 but cooler coast.

8:52PM

COMMENTARY…
Forgive me if I brag a little. I’ll only be here in southeastern New England for 2.5 of the next 9 days. Taking off for Disney World on the 15th (Wednesday) and returning on the 21st (a week from Tuesday). I have not traveled that far since 1999, when I went to…Disney World. During my time there I’ll be (hopefully) entering short blog updates at the end of each day or first thing each morning. There will be down time in the resort room and I’ll be checking up on the weather both here and down there.

SUMMARY…
Time to focus on southeastern New England’s weather for the next 7 days. The pick of the week comes early, and that will be Monday, a generally sunny day as high pressure moves offshore and pumps warm air into the region. Of course the South Coast doesn’t get the full benefit of this warm wind since it blow from the south and southwest and comes across the cooler ocean water to the south. That’s Spring in the Northeast. A cold front will slice across the region from west to east Monday night and Tuesday morning bringing lots of clouds and some rain showers. It clears later Tuesday, which will not be quite as warm as Monday, but still fairly mild. High pressure dominates mid week with fair and mild weather. Unsettled weather returns Friday and Saturday as energy from the south meets a cold front from the west. The result will be a storm forming on the front after it goes by, so we probably miss the direct impact from it, just receiving showers late in the week. But by Sunday as the system intensifies while moving away, it will likely be a dry, breezy, cool day.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows upper 30s inland valleys, 40s elsewhere. Wind NW up to 10 MPH shifting to SW.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50s South Coast & Cape Cod, 60s to around 70 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Rain showers overnight. Lows in the 50s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH and gusty.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy with showers through midday then decreasing clouds & increasing sun west to east. Highs in the 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts at times.
WEDNESDAY & THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 40-45. Highs 60-65, cooler coast.
FRIDAY & SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Episodes of rain showers. Lows 45-50. Highs 55-60, cooler coast.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy and windy. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s.

8:24AM

SUMMARY…
High pressure overhead and south of New England today, moving offshore by tonight and Monday and this brings fair and milder weather though coastal areas where wind is onshore will be cooler both days. Cold front approaches and passes from west to east Monday night and Tuesday morning with clouds and showers. Another high pressure area moves in later Tuesday through Thursday with another episode of fair and mild weather. Again watch for cooler conditions along the coast. By the end of the week a large low pressure area will approach from the south and set up an onshore flow as well as bringing moisture from the south. The inevitable result is a turn to unsettled weather.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 60-65 most areas except upper 60s inland valleys and 50s South Coast. Wind light variable with coastal seabreezes possible, becoming S to SW 5-15 MPH late in the day.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows in the 40s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny day. Clouds and a chance of rain showers at night. Highs in the 50s South Coast, 60s to 70 inland. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy with showers morning. Clearing afternoon. Lows around 50. Highs around 60.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows around 45. Highs around 60.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs around 65.
FRIDAY: Clouding up. Chance of rain late. Lows around 50. Highs around 60.
SATURDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows around 45. Highs around 55.

10:42AM

SUMMARY…
No changes at this time to the previous discussion. Adding a chance of rain at the end of the week as a large low pressure area is expected to arrive in the eastern US. A forecast update follows.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
THIS AFTERNOON: Sun and passing clouds. Highs in the 50s, may reach 60 inland valleys. Wind W 10-20 MPH gusting to around 30 MPH.
TONIGHT: A few clouds then clear. Lows in the 30s. Diminishing W wind.
SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 60-65 most areas except upper 60s inland valleys and 50s South Coast. Wind light variable with coastal seabreezes possible, becoming S to SW 5-15 MPH late in the day.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny day. Clouds and a chance of rain showers at night. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s South Coast, 60s to 70 inland.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy with showers morning. Clearing afternoon. Lows around 50. Highs around 60.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows around 45. Highs around 60.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs around 65.
FRIDAY: Clouding up. Chance of rain late. Lows around 50. Highs around 60.

7:32AM

SUMMARY…
This is a short update making only a few adjustments. Warm front struggles to get across the region today, typical of Spring in this area. Temperatures starting out in the middle to upper 30s this morning with areas of rain and fog. It will struggle to reach the 50s by late in the day. Southeastern New England spends a few hours in the warm sector this evening but rain showers announce the arriving cold front. Fear not, this front brings good news and that is a drier weekend. You’ll have to endure a gusty breeze and less than 100% sun on Saturday as cold air aloft allows for some clouds to form. By Sunday, high pressure overhead means nothing but sun, but the light wind may allow for coastal seabreezes, spoiling the “60s party” that some inland areas may finally make it to. By Monday, going to be optimistic and go for a southwest wind and a warmer scenario for all but the South Coast and Cape Cod. A cold front swings through Monday night with rain showers then offshore Tuesday which will be another mild day with sun returning. A chance for the end of the forecast period is to call for dry and slightly cooler weather Wednesday and warmer again Thursday as another bubble of high pressure comes across the region. As always, the details of the end of the forecast period are lower confidence.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TODAY: Overcast. Areas of fog. Periods of rain with embedded heavier showers. Slight risk of thunder. Highs upper 40s to middle 50s not until late in the day. Wind light N to E through mid morning, E to SE late morning into early afternoon, eventually S increasing to 5-15 MPH later in the day.
TONIGHT: Cloudy with rain showers and a slight chance of a thunderstorm evening. Partly cloudy late. Lows in the 40s. Wind S 5-15 MPH shifting to W 10-20 MPH overnight.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 53-59. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy early, then clear. Lows in the 30s. Diminishing W wind.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60-65 inland but 50s coast and may cool back below 50 immediate shore. Wind light variable with coastal seabreezes.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Rain showers at night. Low 45. High 65.
TUESDAY: Early rain showers then clearing. Low 50. High 60.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 40. High 55.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 40. High 60.