DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 18-22)

We’re right at the end of our rain and wind event as I type this update just after 8:00 a.m. on Friday. If you are northwest of Boston (basically outside of I-95) and were outside or looking outside you saw a brief “car-wash” burst of rain and wind. There are actually a couple of these “line segments” moving through the area early this morning, and they represent the cold front. Even if you don’t see the heaviest rain with these, that front is coming through, and soon the rain threat will shut off from west to east, replaced by dry air, a sun/cloud mix, and a shifted but still gusty wind during today. Temperatures were at their maximum for the day in the upper 50s to lower 60s during the overnight hours and will be falling throughout the day today, but not drastically. However, by tonight we’ll end up well below freezing and any standing water that is not dried by today’s wind will freeze up. Keep that in mind if you have to venture out tonight and early Saturday. As for Saturday’s weather, a vigorous disturbance will be moving across the Northeast, and with colder air in place, that means the chance of snow showers here, except possibly rain shower activity closer to the South Coast. Right now I expect that we’ll see two batches of this activity, one in the midday to early afternoon hours, and another one later in the day. The second of these will likely be narrower but more potent, and may contain heavy snow squalls that white-out the visibility and drop a small snow accumulation in a short time, quickly making roads and walkways slick. Tomorrow night, we’ll have a genuine blast of cold and windy weather, setting up a cold start to Sunday. Although high pressure slipping to our south quickly on Sunday will allow the wind to shift to west and southwest and that combined with a good deal of higher angle sun will make it feel nicer by afternoon. This trend will continue with a legitimate warm-up for Presidents Day Monday, when many areas make a run at or exceed 50. However, our theme of quick changes continues, and the next low pressure area should be upon us with the threat of unsettled weather by Tuesday – with the early ideas on this being more of a rain threat than a frozen precipitation one. More fine tuning for that as we get closer to it.

TODAY: Clouds, rain showers, and rain squalls into mid morning west to east, then a sun/cloud mix. Temperatures fall to the 40s. Wind SW shifting to NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, diminishing, shifting to W.

SATURDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Passing snow showers/squalls possible except rain or snow showers South Coast. Highs 30-37. Wind W10-20 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to NW.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 8-15. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, diminishing overnight. Wind chill below 0 at times.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 22-29. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY (PRESIDENTS DAY): Partly sunny. Highs 46-53. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clouding over. Lows 32-39. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs 40-47. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 23-27)

A boundary will sit in our region for most of next week. One low pressure system departs early in the period with any rain/mix ending, then a second system around February 25 may have colder air to work with with a better chance of wintry precipitation or a variety. Temperatures trending colder.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 28 – MARCH 4)

Pattern looks colder with additional wintry weather precipitation threats.

C-19 Chat Post – February 18 2022

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 17-21)

A lot of activity in the weather department for us in the coming days, both in the short range, and beyond, but first we tackle the next five days, starting with a warm one today! We’re immersed in a strong southwesterly air flow now, with some areas having enjoyed some nice sunshine this morning, but eventually clouds becoming dominant as we remain in a warm, windy air mass with temperatures climbing right into this evening. A strong cold front will be moving toward us from the northwest, and a ripple of low pressure moving up along it, passing to our northwest, will finally accelerate this boundary through our region Friday morning. Tonight and early Friday we’ll see widespread rain showers along with gusty winds, so a wet and windy ending to our brief warm spell is a certainty. Once the front goes by, the winds shift, stay gusty, and the temperature goes down Friday. It does look like the wind and dry air will be able to take care of drying most of the ground before the temperature goes well below freezing at night, so icy patches will be limited. Saturday, a vigorous disturbance will cross the region with a chance of snow showers and snow squalls, except rain or snow showers closer to the South Coast. This briefly reinforces the cold air for late Saturday to early Sunday, but quick moving features means high pressure will already be sliding south of the region during Sunday and we’ll have a temperature recovery from a cold morning to a tolerable afternoon, with even further moderation for Presidents Day on Monday as high pressure slides off the Atlantic Coast to our south.

TODAY: Areas of sun until midday otherwise becoming mostly cloudy. Highs 46-53 South Coast, 53-60 elsewhere late day. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Cloudy with numerous to widespread rain showers arriving from west to east overnight. Thunderstorms possible. Temperatures rise slightly to 50-57 South Coast, 58-65 elsewhere. Wind SW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts of 35-45 MPH inland and 45-55 MPH coastal areas.

FRIDAY: Cloudy start with numerous rain showers, ending west to east. Sun/cloud mix midday-afternoon. Temperatures steady 50-57 South Coast and 58-65 elsewhere early, then falling steadily to the 40s during the day. Wind SW 15-25 MPH with gusts above 30 MPH, shifting to NW.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, diminishing, shifting to W.

SATURDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Passing snow showers/squalls possible except rain or snow showers South Coast. Highs 30-37. Wind W10-20 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to NW.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 8-15. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, diminishing overnight. Wind chill below 0 at times.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 22-29. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY (PRESIDENTS DAY): Partly sunny. Highs 46-53. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 22-26)

A boundary will sit in our region for most of next week. Two low pressure systems should impact the area, the first early in this period, favoring a track to the north with rain favored, the second later in the period with an uncertain track and more possibility of a variety of precipitation. Variable temperatures, mildest early in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 27 – MARCH 3)

Active pattern expected with a couple unsettled weather threats and variable temperatures as a boundary separating warmth to the south and cold air to the north sits nearby or over our region.

C-19 Chat Post – February 17 2022

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 16-20)

At dawn today we observed another wide temperature range after a clear and calm night, with lows in the single digits above zero over most inland locations except lower teens in urban centers and ranging up to the upper teens to lower twenties at the coastline. Today, we head up to a higher level than yesterday as we see a sun/cloud mix ahead of an approaching warm front. This front will pass by tonight and prevent the temperature from falling. In fact, it will hold steady in the evening then rise later at night. By Thursday, we’ll be immersed in a southwesterly air flow that will continue to drive the temperature up. While this is going on, low pressure will be traveling northeastward along a sharp frontal boundary that will be drifting southeastward toward our area. The low center will travel from Ohio through northwestern PA, northwestern NY, and across northwestern New England Thursday night and early Friday, eventually accelerating the frontal boundary across our region during the morning hours on Friday. Widespread rain showers and gusty winds will occur during this process. Strongest wind gusts will be in the coastal plain, and additional strong gusts may occur right with the frontal passage. As we get to midday and afternoon Friday, look for dry weather to return but continued windy conditions, with falling temperatures. So an upside down temperature day where the highs occur before the sun comes up, and it goes down after. Colder air becomes established Friday night, and a low pressure area will come rapidly along from the west on Saturday, its center to pass to our north, but its energy spread out along a trailing trough that brings the chance of snow showers to our region, reinforcing colder air for Saturday night and Sunday, which will be dry as high pressure slips by just to the south.

TODAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 37-44. Wind SE-S increasing to 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42 evening, slowly rising overnight. Wind S-SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially South Coast.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 46-53 South Coast, 53-60 elsewhere late day. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with numerous to widespread rain showers. Thunderstorms possible. Temperatures rise slightly to 50-57 South Coast, 58-65 elsewhere. Wind SW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts of 35-45 MPH inland and 45-55 MPH coastal areas.

FRIDAY: Cloudy start with numerous rain showers, ending west to east. Sun/cloud mix midday-afternoon. Temperatures steady 50-57 South Coast and 58-65 elsewhere early, then falling steadily to the 40s during the day. Wind SW 15-25 MPH with gusts above 30 MPH, shifting to NW.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, diminishing.

SATURDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Passing snow showers possible. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 8-15. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, but diminishing overnight. Wind chill below 0 at times.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 27-34. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 21-25)

A disturbance will pass by to the north on February 21 but it will be dry. Frontal boundary sits just to the south then moves into the region as we move through next week with a couple low pressure areas impacting the region with unsettled weather, but too early to determine details of timing and possible precipitation type(s).

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 26 – MARCH 2)

Active pattern expected with a couple unsettled weather threats and variable temperatures as a boundary separating warmth to the south and cold air to the north sits nearby or over our region.

C-19 Chat Post – February 16 2022

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 15-19)

If you were up and out early, you got to experience some pretty cold air to start your day, as low temperatures ranged from -5 to +15, which is a fairly typical range for a set-up like this in winter. We’ll still be cold today but most areas will recover to make a push for 30F. Sun will become mixed with clouds as an upper level disturbance approaches, and a few of these clouds may produce insignificant snow flurries today. We clear out tonight, and another cold night results as winds will be light as high pressure moves overhead. Then the high slides offshore and we see a stronger temperature recovery Wednesday. Clouds move in later Wednesday and especially Wednesday night as a warm front goes by. Thursday and early Friday, strengthening low pressure will cross the Great Lakes and travel down the St. Lawrence Valley. Its cold front will get closer to the region later Thursday and it will take until early Friday for the front to pass through and finally move offshore as a second developing low pressure wave moves along it and then finally helps pull it through. This process will result in us seeing our warmest air in the evening and at night, but also a widespread area of wind-driven rain showers, and possibly even a few damaging wind gusts. The entire thing pulls offshore during Friday and the wind switches and it dries out and gets colder. I do think the precipitation will be long gone before we’re cold enough to see any mixing or snow, so it should be a less messy ending to this event than we saw from a couple other ones recently, but look for the wind to be quite active for a good part of Friday as well before diminishing at night. A disturbance will cross the region Saturday kicking the wind back up and possibly bringing a few snow showers too.

TODAY: Sunny morning. Partly sunny with isolated snow flurries afternoon. Highs 24-31. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 6-13 except -2 to +5 normal cold spots. Wind diminishing to calm.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 37-44. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42 evening then slowly warming. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Numerous rain showers arriving west to east afternoon. Highs 53-60 except 46-53 South Coast, occurring late-day. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with numerous to widespread rain showers. Thunderstorms possible. Temperatures rise slightly to 50-57 South Coast, 58-65 elsewhere. Wind SW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Cloudy start with numerous rain showers, ending west to east. Sun/cloud mix midday-afternoon. Temperatures steady 50-57 South Coast and 58-65 elsewhere early, then falling steadily to the 40s during the day. Wind SW 15-25 MPH with gusts above 30 MPH, shifting to NW.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, diminishing.

SATURDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Passing snow showers possible. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 20-24)

Moderating temperatures as we head through this period, dry weather to start out then an increase in the unsettled weather chances.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 25 – MARCH 1)

Active pattern expected with a couple unsettled weather threats heading and variable temperatures as a boundary separating warmth to the south and cold air to the north sits in the region.

C-19 Chat Post – February 15 2022

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 14-18)

We’ll say goodbye to our snow event this morning, then get ready for some notable weather changes again during the next 5 days. As the final flakes depart, eventually, in eastern areas, the cold takes hold and lasts through Wednesday morning. Both tonight and Tuesday night will see radiational cooling when some very cold low temperatures will likely be observed. Today, we stay in the 20s for most areas, while after the cold start, Tuesday recovers a tiny bit more, averaging around 30 for highs. Look for a few isolated snow showers Tuesday as an upper disturbance crosses the area. High pressure moves overhead early Wednesday, providing the cold morning, then shifts offshore by afternoon, allowing a stronger temperature recovery with fair weather. Wednesday night, clouds move in rapidly with the approach and passage of a warm front. This will set us up for an unseasonably mild day Thursday when we make another run at 60, though the warmest temperatures may not occur until the evening when we see numerous rain showers ahead of an approaching cold front. Like we’ve seen a couple times recently, the sharp warm up will not last long, as a strong cold front moves through early Friday. The question to be answered will be if any of the rain will flip to snow before the precipitation moves out. I’m leaning toward the dry air winning the battle, but something to keep an eye on. We will see temperatures drop during the day Friday after highs during the early morning hours.

TODAY: Overcast with periods of snow eastern coastal areas into late morning, otherwise a clearing trend with increasing sun west to east. Additional snow accumulation of under 1 inch for far eastern locations. Highs 20-27. Wind N-NW 5-15 MPH with gusts around 20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows -3 to +2 in normal cold spots, 3-8 most locations, 8-13 urban areas. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated snow showers possible. Highs 24-31. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 6-13 except -2 to +5 normal cold spots. Wind diminishing to calm.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 37-44. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42 evening then slowly warming. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Numerous rain showers arriving west to east afternoon. Highs 55-62 except 48-55 South Coast, occurring late in the day. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with numerous to widespread rain showers. Thunderstorms possible. Temperatures rise slightly to 50-57 South Coast, 58-65 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with rain showers likely early, may end as mix/snow showers especially northwest of Boston, then a sun/cloud mix. Temperatures falling to the 30s.Wind shifting to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 19-23)

A disturbance may bring a few snow showers to the area February 19, otherwise expect it to be windy and cold with mostly dry conditions. High pressure brings fair weather and a gradual moderation in temperature after this, then a boundary nearby increases the chance of unsettled weather toward the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 24-28)

Active pattern expected with a couple unsettled weather threats heading through the final days of February as we sit near a boundary between cold to the north and mild to the south, making the temperature outlook more uncertain.

C-19 Chat Post – February 14 2022

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 13-17)

First, a warning: Yesterday’s melt-water, where it did not dry, has frozen back over, and is covered with new snow, so use extreme caution if walking or driving today! A two-part snow event is underway that will not be completely done until Monday morning. First, moisture moving over the boundary of a front that went by last night, putting an end to our brief warm spell, is bumping into much colder air, enhanced by a developing wave of low pressure, and creating daytime snow for the WHW forecast area. Initially this band of snow is sparing Cape Cod but it will move in there soon as well. This will be a fluffy snow for most except a little wetter for Cape Cod where the temperatures are a little less cold than they are elsewhere. As the low pressure wave passes by and its snow starts to depart, the combination of upper level energy and lower level air flow off the ocean will crank up the ocean-effect snow machine this evening and tonight especially south of Boston, focusing on the South Shore of MA, before this shifts offshore Monday morning. A light to moderate snowfall for the region will be the result, with a few heavier amounts when you add it all up for the South Shore. The ocean-effect portion of the snow event will be fluffy for all areas. Dry/cold weather will overtake the region for the remainder of Monday through early Wednesday, except for a few light snow showers possible on Tuesday as an upper level disturbances crosses the region. A significant temperature moderation is due by the middle of the week and we will be quite mild, comparable to yesterday, by the time we get to Thursday, as a strong low pressure area moves through the Great Lakes and drags its cold front toward us, increasing the chance of rainfall by later Thursday as well.

TODAY: Overcast with periods of snow. Temperatures 25-30 northwest of Boston and 30-35 elsewhere to start out, falling slowly during the day. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Overcast with periods of snow, especially east of I-95 and heaviest MA South Shore. Snow accumulation for the event 1-3 inches southern NH and north central MA, 3-6 inches elsewhere except 6-8 inches tip of Cape Ann and MA South Shore with 8-12 inch localized amounts possible. Lows 18-25. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Early clouds and snow showers MA South Shore to Cape Cod, then clearing. Sunny elsewhere. Highs 23-30. Wind N-NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated snow showers possible. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 6-13. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 37-44. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42 evening then slowly warming. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny morning. Mostly cloudy with rain showers afternoon. Highs 55-62, cooler South Coast. Wind SW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 18-22)

Cold air returns February 18, rain showers may end as snow showers then dry. Dry, chilly February 19. Moderating temperatures thereafter with additional unsettled weather possible.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 23-27)

Active pattern expected with a couple unsettled weather threats heading through late month with more up-and-down temperatures.

C-19 Chat Post – February 13 2022

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 12-16)

We all know that our weather can display significant variety or big change over short periods of time, and this weekend will be such an example, as we eye record warmth today and talk about cold and snow for parts of the region tomorrow into early Monday. First, the warmth. High pressure sits offshore and a healthy southwesterly air flow will be blowing very mild air into the region today, and despite a fair amount of cloud cover and lingering icy snow cover on the ground, we’ll challenge our record highs for the day, set in 1999. But two cold fronts are set to pass through the region tonight, one this evening, one a little later at night. The first one may trigger a rain shower, the second one brings the coldest air in and sets up a lane for some moisture to move northeastward into the region as a wave of low pressure develops on the boundaries to our south and moves rapidly northeastward off the coast. This will be a generally minor snow event from about the I-495 belt southeastward, but as the low goes by our region the wind will be from the northeast for a good number of hours Sunday evening to Monday morning, resulting in ocean-effect snow along the South Shore of MA through Cape Cod, where additional accumulation is expected. Finally, the wind shifts to the northwest and ends the ocean effect snow and we’re just left with a very cold and dry Valentine’s Day on Monday. Look for another cold day Tuesday, maybe a tiny moderation, as the core of the cold will have departed but we’ll still be getting a polar feed from Canada. A weak disturbance moving through on Tuesday may create a few snow showers. High pressure will follow and sit overhead with a cold morning Wednesday before shifting offshore with a noticeable moderation developing during the day, along with continued dry weather.

TODAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 48-53 South Coast, 54-59 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy evening with a slight chance of a rain shower. Mostly cloudy overnight with a chance of light snow pre-dawn. Lows 20-27. Wind shifting to NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts evening, diminishing and shifting to N under 10 MPH overnight.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with periods of snow, favoring areas east of I-495 / I-84. Temperatures steady 20-27. Wind N-NE 5-15 MPH, strongest Cape Cod.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with periods of snow, favoring eastern coastal areas and Cape Cod. A few moderate ocean-effect snow bands possible MA South Shore through Cape Cod. Snow accumulation for the evening, dusting / coating west of I-95 belt, coating to 1 inch I-95 belt, 1-3 inches southeastern MA including Cape Cod with local bands of 3-5 inches possible. Lows 18-25. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Early clouds and snow showers MA South Shore to Cape Cod, then clearing Sunny elsewhere. Highs 23-30. Wind N-NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated snow showers possible. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 6-13. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 17-21)

Another up / down pattern with a strong warm up February 17, a cold front bringing rain that may end as snow showers, and a return of colder air February 18. Fair, chilly weather mid period. Moderating temperatures and some unsettled weather possible later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 22-26)

Active pattern expected with a couple unsettled weather threats heading through late February with more up-and-down temperatures.

C-19 Chat Post – February 12 2022

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 11-15)

A bubble of high pressure that brought us a clear and cold night has again resulted in the re-freezing of yesterday’s melt-water, so watch for patches of ice if traveling about, especially on foot, during this morning until it warms up enough to melt it again. And it will warm up enough as high pressure shifts offshore and we have a milder southwest wind developing today. A warm front going by tonight ahead of low pressure exiting the Great Lakes will bring clouds and even milder air, preventing any melt-water re-freeze. This also sets us up for an unseasonably mild day Saturday, likely the warmest day regionwide since mid December, with a few record high temperatures possibly being challenged. But don’t get use to that, because a strong cold front trailing the aforementioned low pressure area moves across far northern New England will pass through the WHW forecast area from northwest to southeast, during Saturday evening, possibly with a rain shower, but most areas staying dry. A secondary front will follow right behind that in the early hours of Sunday, helping to deliver much colder air to the region, possibly with a period of snow in the pre-dawn hours. Then, as a wave of low pressure forms along the boundary as it moves offshore, look for a couple periods of snow for the region during Sunday, greatest chance the further southeast you are. This won’t be a big storm, but may result in enough accumulation to require the need for a snow removal effort for some areas. In fact, a northeast wind behind the departing low pressure wave may trigger some ocean-effect snowfall over the MA South Shore into Cape Cod which may add to the accumulations somewhat through early Monday. Otherwise, Monday’s main feature will be the cold. Much of the region will fail to make the middle 20s on Valentine’s Day, and we’ll have quite the cold Monday night and lingering cold Tuesday as high pressure remains west to southwest of the region. An upper level disturbance passing by on Tuesday may trigger a few snow showers.

TODAY: Sunny morning. Patchy clouds afternoon. Highs 46-53. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 47-52 South Coast, 52-57 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy evening with a slight chance of a rain shower. Mostly cloudy overnight with a chance of light snow pre-dawn. Lows 20-27. Wind shifting to NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts evening, diminishing and shifting to N under 10 MPH overnight.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with periods of snow, favoring areas along and east of I-95. Temperatures steady 20-27. Wind N-NE 5-15 MPH, strongest Cape Cod.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with periods of snow, favoring eastern coastal areas and Cape Cod. A few moderate ocean-effect snow bands possible MA South Shore through Cape Cod. Snow accumulation for the evening, dusting / coating west of I-95 belt, coating to 1 inch I-95 belt, 1-3 inches southeastern MA including Cape Cod with local bands of 3-5 inches possible. Lows 18-25. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Early clouds and snow showers MA South Shore to Cape Cod, then clearing Sunny elsewhere. Highs 23-30. Wind N-NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated snow showers possible. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 16-20)

High pressure overhead shifting offshore February 16 with dry weather and a cold start but milder finish. A significant but brief warm-up may occur about February 17 before a strong cold front brings rain to possible snow showers and a return to cold weather on February 18. High pressure brings fair weather, starting cold then moderating by late in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 21-25)

Active pattern expected with a couple unsettled weather threats heading into late February with more up-and-down temperatures.