Friday February 21 2025 Forecast (7:21AM)

61 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 21-25)

Time for a breather – a break from the active pattern and persistent cold. While today itself will be a breezy and chilly day, the pattern during the next 5 days will be fairly quiet in comparison to recently experienced weather. This weekend, high pressure dominates with more tranquil conditions and a temperature moderation. The milder interlude lasts into early next week, although we’ll have a couple disturbance to pass through between later Monday and sometime Tuesday that can produce a few snow and rain showers, but no major issues. And that’s about it! Enjoy the break!

TODAY: Cloud / sun intervals. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 13-20. Wind NW to W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 15-22. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 21-28. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of a rain or snow shower late-day. Highs 37-44. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of a snow shower, mainly north. Lows 25-32. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of a rain shower. Highs 39-46. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 26 – MARCH 2)

Colder trend. Watching two potential low pressure impacts for snow/mix/rain chances February 27-28, and March 1-2.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 3-7)

Highest potential for unsettled weather March 5-6. Temperatures below normal.

61 thoughts on “Friday February 21 2025 Forecast (7:21AM)”

  1. It looks like people were calling winter “over” too soon even in the early 1800s…

    https://scontent-bos5-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t39.30808-6/474625793_933440752294255_7869653470977792123_n.jpg?stp=dst-jpg_s720x720_tt6&_nc_cat=100&ccb=1-7&_nc_sid=127cfc&_nc_ohc=M3N2J26ZWAIQ7kNvgGBZZF3&_nc_oc=AdhBMD3DC6yZZFVQOZV-Qq4GibBO-ZkINxZMONmq9FSVIprpCbpAQp34kJn_ycAc0jc&_nc_zt=23&_nc_ht=scontent-bos5-1.xx&_nc_gid=A9Dq9eFHrg4ry8dNahQagcX&oh=00_AYBRMFeBNgLGSgjJ5sENCeCCrDrge3BYsa0xtgea1wU2rA&oe=67BE5DBB

  7. Thanks TK
    Eric mentioned on Wednesday it has been 50 days Boston has not had a high temperature of 50 or greater. The record is 99 straight days where BOS had no high temperature 50 or greater. BOS will be up to 52 straight days today. How long will this streak continue?

    1. “Til Tuesday” could also be an answer to JJ’s question, as I think we’ll get a temperature overshoot – often happens in late February with a southwesterly or southerly and some sun – early next week.

      1. Joshua, I surprised at you.

        THAT WAS the answer to JJ’s question. It was my sick way of answering it. 🙂 🙂 🙂

  14. Will there be another super storm in the first weeks ofMarch? Is there any deep diving troughs down to the the Gulf of Mexico? Is there any pattern recognition that something of that magnitude could happen again? Probably not.

    1. It is not safe to say that.

      As stated in my discussion today, we are not finished with chances this month.

      See “DAYS 6-10”.

  20. Thanks TK – this sub 50 degree steak is something to watch. If it does not materialize by Tuesday we could go make a run at 70 straight days once this next cold wave comes in.

    1. Yes, and temps don’t really over-achieve projections when there’s an ice-covered snow pack. Most of this area has one.

  21. Jeez NBC advertising a chance of snow storm next weekend. That’s a long way off the EURO AI is sniffing something for sure.

  22. The Red Sox trail the Northeastern Huskies by two runs in the second inning.

    The 2025 season is a failure!! 🙂

  23. Experiencing a blow out tide today on the Gulf today.

    The widespread NE wind has the tide running 1-1.5 ft below expected height, but the tidal range is only about 2.5 ft, so, there’s some exposed beach we are sitting on that is really sandy smooth.

    High tide is scheduled for 5pm and I can see the tide making slight inroads, but not too much.

    Now, if the wind ever relaxes, we might get a sudden 2 ft rise, which I would like to see happen.

  24. Best “snow” phases for MJO late winter are 8, 1, 2.

    These 3 phases are exactly where MJO will be spending the next 3 weeks. This is ONE factor, but it’s been an important one in determining how things go. This WILL be taken into account in my forecasting of the pattern / weather in the days ahead.

  25. The entire 12z model suite has a decent sized storm next weekend ~2/28-3/2 though the evolution is a bit different on each.

    GFS and Euro feature a northern stream wave diving just south of us and featuring a snow event.

    ICON/UKMET/CMC have a storm riding up the coast, each of which are warm enough to cause p-type issues.

    Definitely a watch period.

    Euro is continued active right through the first week plus of March.

  26. There are for sure some signals for ~3/1 and then again ~3/5. Some more significant than others and some warmer than others.

    Maybe both could be moderate events?

    Also by today we should have 40″ of snow on the ground from the last 2 weeks of winter weather events.

    1. I agree with keeping it in the 40s. 1) Guidance misfires when there’s snow cover. 2) We have, in much of the region, 1 to 3 inches of ice on top of the snow cover. That’s not easy to get to start melting. 3) We’re not in the right pattern to promote major melting with just a handful of days in the 40s. Yes, the sun angle will help, but it’s not a magic solution.

  28. 18z GFS is more or less a frontal passage now on 3/2. For 3/5 it delivers a snow to ice storm (as if we havent had enough of those by now…)

    Still plenty more iterations to come I’m sure.

  29. 1 more full day tomorrow then the trip back.

    The sun sets at 6:25, it’s bright til 6:45pm.

    I’m not ready to come back to nothing green and a snow potential next weekend. 🙂 🙂 🙂

    I am thankful for this week !!

    1. Save travels Tom and for all those returning from much warmer climates during mid winter break. Excuse some of us who remained if we look a bit worn and pale from the cold week. LOL

    2. Interestingly, NWS says the guidance is “too cold” and therefore bumped temps up. I don’t agree with them.

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