DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 25-29)
The spring of 2025 rolls on and is starting to gain a bit of a reputation for being “not that nice”. Now this is only partially true, as it’s a matter of perspective and what amount of time you’re looking at. March was a rather dry and mild month, but with many people still in “winter mode” they don’t partake in the springtime activities outside, which explode in popularity in the month of April, especially around here when we approach and reach the weekend that includes Patriots Day (just this past week). But even before that, the “hibernating” folks come out for their first walks, yard work, etc., and like to be greeted with some good weather. And don’t get me wrong, we’ve had some nice days, but the timing of the unsettled days has been including at least parts of weekends much of this month, and the final weekend of April 2025 is going to be no different. Ouch! It’s not a total wash-out, but the weekend is not going to get high marks from the average person. How will it unfold? First, we have a warm front pushing through the region now, and abundant clouds are in the sky. This will be the case much of today, but there will be some intervals of sunshine as well. I can’t rule out a few rain showers migrating across the region, particularly over northern MA and southern NH. The frontal boundary also comes to a halt and may slip back to the south as a “temporary” back-door cold front, shutting the NH Seacoast and northeastern MA out of the warmer air with a light northeasterly air flow. Meanwhile, the south to southwest wind that overtakes the remainder of the region is naturally a cooler one for the South Coast and Cape Cod at this time of year, so they’ll be in much the same boat, temperature-wise, as southeastern NH and northeastern MA is today. During the weekend, we start with a fairly mild but unsettled Saturday as a trough and cold front have to move through, and won’t be in a grand hurry. Timing-wise, it looks like the most widespread rain showers will take place during the morning, with more “off” than “on” during the afternoon and evening, but we still have to watch for a couple batches of showers until the front passes through, and that doesn’t likely happen until the evening hours. So that means we’re in the clear for Sunday, right? Not so fast. Yup, we’ll be behind the cold front, and Sunday will certainly be a cool day regionwide, but many would take that in trade-off for sunshine. However, upper level low pressure has to move across the area. And those contain plenty of cold air aloft. If you get any sun, you pop abundant diurnal clouds, in addition to any existing cloud cover with the upper low to begin with, so I’m looking for very limited sunshine on Sunday, and also cannot rule out a passing rain shower. At least the rainfall threat will be rather isolated, and any that do occur would be rather brief, in comparison to Saturday’s showers. So if you have to pick a day for the better of the 2 for outside activity, it’s Sunday, that is if you can handle the gusty breeze we’ll have, making the 50s feel more like 40s at times. Sorry! 😉 But hey guess what? High pressure builds in just as the weekend wraps up, and fair weather and a warming trend will be with us as many head back to work (and back to school after vacation). Yep. Timing is everything! 😉
TODAY: Lots of clouds / limited sun. Maybe a rain shower, favoring areas north of I-90 and particularly northern MA and southern NH. Highs 55-62 South Coast as well as NH Seacoast to Cape Ann MA, 63-70 elsewhere (can break 70 inland areas with enough sun). Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH except NE up to 10 MPH southeastern NH and northeastern MA.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. An isolated rain shower evening. more widespread rain showers arrive west to east toward dawn. Lows 50-57. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Cloudy with widespread rain showers and patchy fog morning. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers afternoon. Highs 61-68, except 53-60 South Coast (coolest Cape Cod). Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with additional rain showers possible early. Lows 45-52. Wind shifting to NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny early, then mostly cloudy. A passing rain shower possible. Highs 53-60. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 50-57. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 70-77 except cooler South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 30 – MAY 4)
Warm April 30 but chance of a shower as a cold front approaches / passes. Fair, cooler May 1. Unsettled weather threat returns late May 2 into the first weekend of May – details TBD.
DAYS 11-15 (MAY 5-9)
Spring blocking pattern. Additional unsettled weather. Variable temperatures – no extremes indicated.
Good morning and thank you TK.
55 overnight, 58 now.
Thanks TK
Ocean temp; 45 (Boston bouy)
It was frigid feeling last night when we were just northeast of Nantucket.
I think I now appreciate a 60F seabreeze because the air offshore is so cold 🙂
Thanks TK !
Docked in Boston, headed off ship soon.
Welcome home. So happy you had a wonderful time.
Thanks TK.
1,155 ❄️
This will be the 7th unsettled weekend in a row.
Actually, last weekend (all 3 days) were good.
Saturday was warm (80+ many areas).
Sunday (Easter) was breezy and mild with lots of sun.
Monday (Patriots Day) had a cool sea breeze but dry all day.
Thanks TK.
Yeah boys are supposed to ump little league tomorrow and clearly that’s not happening.
Having a light rain shower now.
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
How to RUIN a FRIDAY!!!
Thank you, TK. It seems we have had a run of lovely weather
We have, actually. 🙂
Good call TK:
” I can’t rule out a few rain showers migrating across the region, particularly over northern MA and southern NH. ”
We have light rain now.
It has been RAINING here virtually ALL MORNING LONG!!!
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Hey Tom, Hope you had a great time in Bermuda!
Hope you will post at least a few pics and also let us know
some of the sites you visited etc.
60 here, It looks to me as if Boston will now be included in the
“cooler” NH and NE MA area. Hope I am WRONG!!!
Rain has finally lifted NE of my area. YAY!!!! Took long enough.
Now maybe it can warm up a tad???
Well is 2 degrees a tad? up to 62 here.
Don’t expect a major spike. The wind is west at Logan. It’s was clouds and precipitation that held it back.
That’s right TK! 63-70.
HAHA I enjoy doing that more than I should. 😉
Well, the temperature is responding now. Up to 67 here
and ALL the windows are open once again. 🙂
We have some sunshine!!
In the warm sector.
The front is only expected to hang up to the north.
Sunshine here has been filtered but it’s there. 76 up from a low of 55
Now up to 73 here with dp 51, I was just outside and it feels
rather warm out there. 🙂
Just felt a cool breeze come through my window and I see that the temperature has DROPPED 6 degrees from 73 a few minutes ago down to 67!!!!
EAST WIND GO AWAY!!!!!!
Down to 61 at the airport with EAST wind at 12 mph.
66 now. HOW LOW will it go!!!
65 now. It was WARMER here yesterday with the East Wind.
FICKELED EAST WIND!!!!
Thanks, TK!
78 was the high today! It has been a super school vacation week! 🙂
So so happy you had a well deserved special vacation
BRRRR!!!! LOGAN is down to 55!!!!! DAMN EAST WIND!!!!
Still 65 here, luckily and for how long?
Very shallow cool air (frontal boundary) made it further southwest. Didn’t forecast it to go that far, but I am also not surprised that it did. In the spring, in eastern New England, the COOL is nearly always going to win out over the warm in this set-up.
This is where experience comes in. A forecaster like SAK or myself will know this tendency, and adjust for it (even if not adjusting enough, in my case today). An inexperienced forecaster may very well be swayed by guidance that does not indicate enough progress of the boundary. And in the medium range, you’re in even more trouble if you just look at the upper pattern and don’t scrutinize the surface pattern. At the start of the week, when today was in the medium range, I remember seeing an amateur page calling for widespread 80s on Friday. That was never in the cards. Since Monday, even though initially I did not talk about the temporary back-door front, my forecast range for the WHW region was always between 55 & 75, depending on location, for today’s high temps (most consistent cool forecast was for South Coast & Cape Cod and most consistent warmer forecast was for interior locations – climatology is a big helper there). Had today been a day where we had a nice clean warm frontal passage and a stronger offshore high and/or low to the west, we’d have had a shot at inland 80+, but that set-up was never really on the table as a possibility.
Absolutely. Although I was pissed it happened and somewhat surprised. I put nothing past the weather in Eastern SNE in the Spring. I’ve seen this Many times before. 🙂
You handled the forecast very well and even though you thought the boundary would be a bit more to the North, you had it.
No worries. 🙂
Spring is often known to frustrate local forecasters. It’s actually my favorite season to forecast. I love the challenge. 🙂
Today’s CPC 6-10 day which basically covers period that they previously (and as I noted, likely erroneously) forecast a pretty high percentage of above normal temps for New England, now has “normal” for our region. I figured they’d adjust it eventually. This is NOT a warm pattern for New England. There are warm days, yes, but that’s not the same thing as a warm pattern. Glad they fixed it. 🙂
Makes me laugh.
Social media fair weather fans saying how terrible the Red Sox are, and yeah they’re only a bit about .500 so far, but there are also only 5 teams in the entire MLB that have a greater win percentage than they do through games-played. 6th overall. Not too bad for a team that “sucks”. 😉
They’re in second place and 2 games behind the Yankees. If they’re going to “suck” like this for the rest of the season, then I would say that the postseason is all set. 🙂
Welcome home Tom
High of 82 here
Well, we had a beautiful 3-day weekend last week, breaking a string of unsettled weekends, but we’ll pay for that a bit this weekend. 😉
Thanks TK.
Cloudy and 70F here now in Coventry. Made it to 77F for a high earlier while it was sunny.
Liam Starnes “Sheldon Cooper” is now a 6x Jeopardy champion. 😉
I’m surprised that Jim Parsons himself hasn’t noticed.
It was not as nerve wracking a game.
Did you watch young Sheldon?
Absolutely. I now watch the sequel “Georgie and Mandy’s First Marriage”. 🙂
I do also. The boy who played young Sheldon was phenomenal
Yes. 🙂
Watching the funeral of Pope Francis. He did buck the church when it came to issues like the reception of Communion by divorced and remarried Catholics. He believed in other issues like inclusion and climate change. He was both praised and criticized for all of this.
And the weather there is perfect!
I was not brought up in the catholic religion so was not aware of a lot of this. My older half brother told me recently how he and his mom had to sit in a separate section of the church after our dad and his mom were divorced.
This pope caught my attention way back when he said he did not believe in hell because God would not create such a place. I’ve believed the same since I was a very young child
Update will be a little closer to 9:00 a.m. today!
no hurry, no worries. take your time.
Nice, mild overnight and morning.
New post…