DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 12-16)
A summertime feel today with a warm, dry westerly wind blowing ahead of a cold front moving our way from the north, but it stays dry today – just a few clouds, and more hazy smoke above us from the Canadian wildfires. The front drops through tonight, and one tweak to the forecast I am making is the low chance of a shower or two bring triggered near the South Coast as it moves through that area. Friday, it heads south and we’ll enjoy another day of fair weather, some mid and high level clouds streaming in above us, a little reduction in the wildfire smoke aloft, and slightly cooler than today, but still pleasantly mild. Our weekend looks considerably cooler with a broad onshore flow between low pressure stretched out to our south and high pressure in southeastern Canada. The latter will be strong enough to limit how much rain falls, sending drier air intrusions in. Our greatest shot at more widespread rainfall appears to take place in the early hours of Saturday to a few hours after sunrise, with just spotty sprinkles and drizzle otherwise through Sunday. Enough dry air can get into our region for partial sun at times both Saturday afternoon and for a portion of Sunday. Monday’s weather currently looks similar with not much change to the overall set up of broad scale easterly flow at the surface, westerly flow aloft, high pressure to the north, and low pressure to the south, but not too close. This is kind of a “mostly cloudy” but not much else kind of look at this point, with continued below normal temperatures.
TODAY: Smoke-filtered sun along with a few passing fair weather clouds. Highs 78-85. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Brief showers possible near the South Coast. Lows 56-63. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: A sun / cloud mix. Less high altitude smoke. Highs 73-80, coolest at the coast. Wind N under 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes developing.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Showers arriving overnight. Lows 56-63. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers, favoring morning-midday. Some clearing possible later. Highs 64-71, coolest coastal areas. Wind NE to E 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Isolated showers / drizzle possible. Lows 53-60. Wind E up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Isolated to scattered showers possible. Highs 65-72, coolest coastal areas. Wind E up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 53-60. Wind E up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 62-69. Wind E up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 17-21)
Large scale pattern dominated by the evolution of a modest middle US ridge of high pressure in a west northwest more progressive air flow over our region. A couple of disturbances can bring some unsettled weather in this pattern – currently favoring June 17 and 19, but with low confidence on timing and no details possible. Temperatures trend warmer overall. Summer solstice: 10:54 p.m. June 20.
DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 22-26)
Indications continue for the general large scale pattern featuring a middle US high pressure ridge and more of a west northwesterly air flow in our region with a weak trough being the main feature. This allows a couple disturbances / fronts with shower / thunderstorm threats. In this pattern temperatures are generally variable but average somewhat close to normal overall.
Good morning and thank you TK.
After 3 nice days, 3 days with that damn East Wind!!!!!!!
Low overnight was 64 and now up to 71
Thanks Tk
Thank you, TK.
Thanks TK !
Tom, how are you doing?
Hi Jean.
Pretty good, thanks.
Off to LensCrafters for new glasses as my old glasses are somewhere in my car at some tow location.
Then, on the phone with insurance, fun fun.
Goal is back to work tomorrow.
Tomorrow?? No , No go back Monday
Here’s hoping your insurance co makes the process easy. And hoping you have proof of cause.
One thing (or three) at a time. 🙂
I knew it was beginners luck!!!!
I really bombed out at Wordle today!!!
After 5 guesses, I was down to 4 identified letters, 3 in position and one not. I still could not get it, although I should have!!!!!
I cheated and googled words with my identified letters, then and only then did I get. REALLY disappointed.
I’ll keep trying each day and see IF I get any better at this.
No matter what, it can’t hurt me.
Fun trying…..
I enjoy a somewhat similar geography challenge, “Worldle”.
https://worldle.teuteuf.fr/
Oh, I REALLY Like this one! More my speed. 🙂
MANY THANKS
🙂
Two days of 3/6 as a first try is more than luck. Great job, OS!
It took me four today. I use adieu for my first word and story for my second. My second word didn’t get me any letters today. Nothing in one of the first two words seems to be more common lately for more than just me.
I also start at midnight and line to time how long it takes.
I used to play nerdle. It’s a math alternative. I stopped mostly only because no one else played it and it’s fun to have others to play with.
🙂
Thanks, TK.
Terrible tragedy in India as a Boeing 787 (Dreamliner) crashed shortly after takeoff, apparently killing all 242 on board. The plane was en route to London. What’s baffling to me is how the plane couldn’t gain altitude beyond 625 feet, no lift, engines appear to stall in the video I saw, and the plane then crashed.
I agree. It’s almost like they lost an engine or both engines.
Just horrific!!
Oh no. I have not seen news yet today. Just tragic.
Thanks, TK!
I’ll bet you’re sore, Tom. Are you doing okay?
Hi Captain. At my very lower stomach and its light soreness.
The skin bruises look a lot worse than they feel.
Thanks, Captain.
Ugh. So sorry. Are you able to take a few days from school.
Take care of yourself, amigo.
I can correct and grade your Math final exams if you want.
On second thought.. (hahahahaha!) 🙂
🙂 🙂 🙂
Thank you, TK!
We are up to 81 / 62 dp Overnight low was 59
82, dp 61 here.
My dp has been very accurate, so I don’t get why I am reading 61 while the airport is 55 and even Norwood is 57??????????????????
Despite being 80F, it felt quite comfortable outside in downtown Boston. As I mentioned yesterday, if summer could be like this, say, between 70F and 80F (with dewpoints in the 50s), for 90 days in a row I’d be fine. Alas, that’s not what our climate does. It’s like asking for my preferred weather in winter, sunny and 20s during the day for 90 days, with 10 snowstorms mixed in (and NO mix or rain). Ain’t happening either.
It’s believed now that 1 person survived the Air India crash and is in hospital (amazingly not in critical condition).
Sky News in Britain has video that shows the plane taking off and trying to ascend. It never gains lift and so only marginal altitude (625 feet).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nrFTKHnH00Q
By the way, this is one of my greatest fears when I fly. I’m terrified of pretty much everything associated with airplanes (a completely irrational fear, I admit) but takeoffs are what I dread most because I know that if the plane can’t ascend, for whatever reason, that’s it. There is no escape route.
Too bad there wasn’t a field or something beyod the runway as it look liked it was descending fairly slowly. Couldn’t see in the video, but it hit something, I don’t know if it was a stand of trees or a building or what.
It’s very densely populated all around that airport. It hit a building housing medical students. There are many fatalities on the ground as well.
Ah.. that makes sense. Thank you.
I have the same fear Joshua. The pilot called in a mayday and reported engine failure from what I am reading. You can still operate a plane with one engine so could have been either a complete power failure on the plane or double bird strike.
I also saw speculation from analysis of the video that the wing flaps weren’t extended and landing gear remained down which would have been enough to prevent the plane from getting enough lift to take off, especially with a fully loaded and fueled plane for a 10 hour flight.
Hard to imagine pilot error here, especially with all the redundancy and automation on planes today. Seems to me like a complete power or engine failure at the worst time.
Thanks TK. Hope you’re feeling better.
Tom, sorry to hear about what happened to you. Hope you feel better soon.
Thanks North !
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfct-imp&rh=2025061212&fh=174&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sfct-imp&rh=2025061212&fh=174&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
GFS/Euro just about a week out. I know who I’m betting on to be closer. 🙂
Glad it’s the GFS showing those upper 90s and not the Euro!
Yes 🙂
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sfct-imp&rh=2025061212&fh=222&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
The Euro does offer a warmer day a couple of days later.
Door # 2 please or I’ll take the Euro for $400.
Thanks TK.
Tom, very sorry to hear about your accident yesterday and relieved to hear you came out mostly unscathed. Scary times.
Thanks Mark !!
My Weekend Outlook is up:
https://stormhq.blog/2025/06/12/weekend-outlook-june-13-16-2025/
Thanks! Love the song.
Jet Blue flight rolled off the runway onto the grass upon landing at Logan Airport this morning due to “steering” issues. No injuries, everyone ok.
What is going on with airlines lately?
cuts like everywhere else?????
Believe it or not, airline incidents remain DOWN this year over last, but reporting every single one of them is way up.
That said, there are still too many things that are preventable that are happening, and have been for a while.
Ok. Health update. Took a sudden tho not severe turn in the wrong direction today. Fever appeared and while not high, is “there”. Upper lungs are junk. I have not slept more than 2 1/2 to 3 hours in any night since last week.
Called out of work for tomorrow, only the 5th time in 20 years. Calling the doctor. No more playing games…
Haven’t looked at much weather to update yet, but I’ll do that in a bit. I feel OK to be up and about. In fact I cough less when I’m sitting up, so being at my laptop is nice, and a distraction.
I’m just going to do online stuff, listen to music, and watch hockey from here until I attempt to sleep (probably sitting up this time).
I’m glad your taking tomorrow off and hopefully the Dr can get you started on something that can start to show improvement !!
Tom, hope you’re doing okay!
Thanks Longshot, yes good ! A little sore from the lower crossing of the seatbelt across my lower belly, but quite bearable.
Good enough to go back to school tomorrow. 🙂
I hope you can get some sleep! Game at 8PM.
I won’t miss the game!
Oh, feel better soon. I’m no doctor, but it sounds like pneumonia to me. My wife has had it 4 times. See the doc for sure.
Impressive attendance record , I can’t say the same lol . Get better bud !!
Ugh. So sorry. I’m really glad you are seeing the doctor. Please don’t worry about whw. We are fine and I’ll behave. Promise
Feel better TK
I am sorry to hear about your virus, TK.
I think I had the same thing. It lasted long time. Sleeping was interrupted at best; often I didn’t get any.
I am feeling well now. But it took 13 days to fully recover.
Take care.
A reminder of how fragile life is. I’m devastated knowing this, even though I don’t know the family. https://x.com/theskindoctor13/status/1933194555350024374
Tragic.
Take care of yourself, TK, and feel better soon!
Panthers over Edmonton 2-0 ln 1st.
What a hockey game! A one goal game.
Be careful TK! Hope it’s not that new Covid strain. And now Israel bombing Iran. Good for Israel self defense but the world is slowly teetering
There is a new Covid strain???
Reading about it now. Does the existing Covid test detect it?
Nice weather start to the day !!
TK. take care of yourself today.
Your forecasts are so good, yesterday’s forecast will hold up beautifully today.
I am going to post an update close to 9…
No hurry. Take your time or even skip if need be.
Where is the sunshine?
are those clouds up there or smoke?
AND it is pretty COOL today. Without the sun it won’t warm up too much either.
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19§or=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
Both I’d say.
Obviously easy to see the clouds on the loop above, but I have to imagine with a WNW flow aloft. there also has to be some smoke too.
Thanks Tom.
Looks like most temperature forecasts will BUST today, unless something happens soon.
12z HRRR
Here’s the “worst” of the rain on this simulation
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2025061312&fh=24&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
TK is going to be correct though from days ago when he suspected most would get pushed to the south.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2025061312&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Total projected QPF
I am really upset at today’s weather!!!
NOT NOT NOT what I expected!
Might want to let today happen before you evaluate it. It’s doing exactly what I told you to expect. (Check yesterday’s blog). 🙂
New post is finally up!