Friday July 4 2025 Forecast (7:30AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (JULY 4-8)

High pressure will provide fair weather for Independence Day today and throughout the weekend, as it builds into the region today with mild and dry conditions, moves overhead Saturday with a warm-up beginning, and slides offshore Sunday when hot weather and higher humidity return. Sunshine will be dominant all 3 days. This evening if you plan to be out at a fireworks display or other celebration, very low dew point and fairly light wind will allow the temperature to cool fairly quickly so keep that in mind! Early next week will feature high humidity, with the continuation of heat on Monday as we’re between tropical moisture to our south and a slowly-approaching cold front from the northwest. Clouds will start to increase. Tuesday will be an unsettled day with showers and thunderstorms likely as the front moves into the region and also interacts with the moisture from the south.

TODAY (INDEPENDENCE DAY): Sunshine with a few fair-weather clouds. Highs 77-84. Dew point around 50 except lowering into 50s South Coast. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 58-65. Dew point lower to middle 50s. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 81–88 but cooling back to 70s at the coast. Dew point stays sub-60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 63-70. Dew point near 60. Wind WSW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 88-95 except cooler South Coast / Cape Cod. Dew point rises through 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 67-74. Dew point around 70. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 88-95 except 80-87 South Coast, 70s Cape Cod. Dew point near 70. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 70-77. Dew point near 70. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 78-85. Dew point 70+. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 9-13)

A weak area of high pressure provides fair weather and slightly lower humidity July 9 before another disturbance brings back high humidity and shower/thunderstorm chances for July 10. Unsettled weather may linger July 11 with a wave of low pressure passing by to our south, before high pressure builds in with fair weather and moderate humidity for the July 12-13 weekend.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 14-18)

Not much change from the uncertain / low confidence mid July outlook. Strongest leaning is for high pressure dominant to the north, low pressure dominant to the south, with some opportunities for unsettled weather, while the main jet stream stays to the north in southern Canada. Currently no strong indication of the stronger west northwest flow materializing.

83 thoughts on “Friday July 4 2025 Forecast (7:30AM)”

  2. Boston’s June #’s show a slightly warmer than average and quite dry month.

    The just-after-solstice heat burst skewed the average to +1.6, which in itself is not particularly noteworthy. Anything from -2 to +2 is pretty much “near normal”.

    Only 1.32 inch of precipitation fell, well short of the nearly 4 inches that is the month’s long term average.

  3. On this date in 1911, one of the worst heatwaves of all observed weather time began. This is a good Wiki article about it…

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1911_Eastern_North_America_heat_wave?fbclid=IwY2xjawLJOT5leHRuA2FlbQIxMQBicmlkETFUTlBUTVBUc1dSUFprMUVCAR4s_f8zMvN0FRw327cyI5tC85-BCDQIFEkQyqphWuBDmlYXzhetkqesKJw46A_aem_OZECBKz0mNpa7_xm9llCew

    This heatwave resulted in the all time high temperature records in the states of Maine (105F), NH (106F), VT (105F), and Massachusetts (106F), all of which STILL STAND!

    1. Yes. Yes indeed. A very important event in weather history from way back there in 1911. We’ll talk about the 1896 event on its anniversary in August.

      1. It’ll click. I just went through a dry spell. And I admit to my mind being focused on other worries which may be influencing your train of thought also.

    2. Good one! I took five.

      I suggest you try Connections today. It’s an interesting idea and a fun aha-moment when you see it.

      1. I almost tried it yesterday. I have a FB friend who is terrific at connections. My plan is to do nothing today so I should easily have time. Thanks.

  7. Prescient is the word that always comes to mind.

    John Adams in a letter to Abigail on July 3, 1776. What an amazing man.

    I am apt to believe that it will be celebrated, by succeeding Generations, as the great anniversary Festival. It ought to be commemorated, as the Day of Deliverance by solemn Acts of Devotion to God Almighty. It ought to be solemnized with Pomp and Parade, with Shews, Games, Sports, Guns, Bells, Bonfires and Illuminations from one End of this Continent to the other from this Time forward forever more.

    You will think me transported with Enthusiasm but I am not. — I am well aware of the Toil and Blood and Treasure, that it will cost Us to maintain this Declaration, and support and defend these States. — Yet through all the Gloom I can see the Rays of ravishing Light and Glory. I can see that the End is more than worth all the Means. And that Posterity will tryumph in that Days Transaction, even altho We should rue it, which I trust in God We shall not.

    Happy Birthday, America

      1. You’re very welcome. I cannot read it often enough. This man and his wife are easily my favorite founders .

  8. Mark Rosenthal is a reader / lurker on this blog, so hoping he sees this HAPPY BIRTHDAY wish!

    1. Mark was one of my all time favorites. Really miss him on air.
      Occasionally view him on WeatherBlast. 🙂

  11. Thanks TK
    Happy 4th of July!
    This could end up being one of it not the best day of summer 2025 weatherwise.

  12. Thanks, TK.

    Don’t ever drop your phone in a puddle of water. I did so two days ago. It wasn’t even from precipitation, or at least I don’t think so. I think it was t was mostly from water runoff from a garden that had been irrigated. Submerged for all of 30 seconds perhaps. At first, I couldn’t find it as the puddle had black water and soil and my phone is black. I took it to a diagnostician/repairperson wh declared it a total loss after doing work on it for an hour. For someone like me who doesn’t like phones and is not smartphone-savvy at all, purchasing a new phone and doing the set-up along with app downloads, including retaining my account and number, took me many hours. I’m still not completely done. But at least I can use the new phone. If it were up to me, I would not own a smartphone or any cellphone. I can’t stand them and feel liberated when I don’t have one on me. Alas, there are certain things I can no longer do without it. And when my children are overseas, Whatsapp is a much better alternative than long distance calling.

    1. Sorry to hear. i didn’t drop mine in a puddle, but my phone of 8 years just up and died on me and I had to get a new one.
      Since my old phone died, I had to start from scratch with the new one. Oh well. I am back to normal now. 🙂

      btw, I felt naked without the phone. 🙂

    2. Darn. I dropped mine in water years ago. I put it in a bag of rice. It was supposed to stay there for a period of time. I’m not good at waiting ….Im pretty sure no one here is surprised. So after a while, I called it while still in the rice to see if it worked. It finally did.

      Starting from scratch is a pain. Do you have the ability to back up your phone to the cloud? And maybe a waterproof case?

    3. Whatsapp has been great for us also the last few years when our daughters have travelled.

  13. Red Sox will play a second 11am start this season today. The first on Patriots Day and today playing in Washington as Washington always is home on 4th of July with the game starting at 11am.

  16. July 4, 2022 was very similar to today: – Boston had a high of 85 and a low of 66, dewpoints in the upper 40s all day and plenty of sunshine.

    July 4, 2014 on the other hand had temperatures in the 60s and 1.88″ of rain in Boston as Hurricane Arthur passed about 50 miles south and east of Nantucket.

    1. That was the year that they moved the concert and fireworks to July 3, and we got hammered by an intense thunderstorm, right at the end of the event.

  17. Thanks TK and Happy 4th! Glad to hear there is some slow improvement with your mom and she is getting the additional care she needs.

    Gorgeous day here in eastern PA. Low humidity, sun and nice breeze which is good because my daughters games today are in the afternoon. Contemplating going into Philadelphia for the fireworks display tonight but we’ll see. We have the dog with us and would have to drive in so could be a challenge.

  19. Vicki, unfortunately I did not do any backup with my old phone. This said, I didn’t use it that much, except for Whatsapp. But I did lose my photos (good news is that I had sent the good ones to people who have them). Alas, I’m such a technical neanderthal that I don’t understand the “cloud.” I’ll try and learn it. But with technical things, I usually have to relearn it every time. Even the simplest things like adding a contact to my phone is a big chore for me. I couldn’t tell you right now how to do it, though I can figure it out. It’s this way with TV remotes, too. Really basic stuff, which everyone can do, I have trouble with. It’s a technological handicap. My biggest fear with webinars – as in sweaty palms, anxiety through the roof – has NOTHING to do with the content (I know the material like the back of my hand). It’s the technical stuff, which often goes wrong, especially when changes or updates are introduced to programs. My son told me once when Jobs was alive, “Dad, you’re Steve Jobs’ worst nightmare.” That’s true. I’m frightened by and incompetent with a lot of modern technology.

    2. I understand. Mac had strength that were brilliant but technology was not a strength. I’d say you are much the same. I have always been
      Fascinated by tech. But I could never be able to wire the fantastic articles you share. We sure cannot be good at everything

  23. https://ibb.co/k2F22kkb

    Above, TK spoke of the July 1911 heatwave.

    Here’s the Boston data, courtesy of Taunton NWS climate data.

    I imagine on modern day models, a 597-600 dm ridge was centered in the eastern US for a 7-10 day period.

    A closer look shows at least eastern Mass got either a shallow back door front or light gradient that allowed a seabreeze, then the heat came right back to the coast for days a 2nd time.

    1. July 11th and 12th had lows of 80F and 78F, tough without AC.

      I was on this site to count 90F days at Logan so far this year after yesterday’s 90F, which is 7 days.

  24. Understanding high heights doesn’t translate necessarily to warm to hot at the surface, especially near the coast, with 7 days already, possibly tacking on 2 more Sunday and Monday and signals for above avg 500 mb heights, I don’t think we can rule out 20+ (90F) days at Logan this summer.

    With that said, Logan could well end up with 10 or less. But, we’ve had summers in the last 10-15 years where Logan had maybe 1 (90F) day at this point.

    1. Based on the recon, it likely gets named at 5pm It clearly has a circulation, and winds of 30-35 knots.

  26. I have 77 in pembroke but it feels warmer , a tad humid . Going to be a hot Sunday & already got a heat alert on my phone .

  27. 35 kt flight level winds in the potential southwest quadrant of a potential closed circulation that may not be fully tropical. 🙂

    Anyway, I think with more flight data, something subtropical or tropical will be named by 5pm or before on a special advisory.

  29. Got my fingers crossed that heat for Sunday and Monday find a way to backtrack a bit. Doesn’t look as bad or as long as last week’s stretch but the high heat takes the starch out of me.

    Any chance that things cool a bit ? Also encouraging (for what it’s worth), only 2 of the next 10 days are in the 90s per WCVB.

    1. Boston was 3.7 degrees below normal
      Blue Hill was 4.8 degrees below normal
      Providence was 3.5 degrees below normal

      1. Thanks SAK. Those folks certainly deserved it following that brutal July! 🙂

  31. Just back from my daughters in Uxbridge. It is 82 / 60. They have a huge tree in the back yard. With the breeze and temps/dp, it is a lovely day to sit out.

  32. NHC will initiate advisories on Tropical Depression Three, located in the Atlantic Ocean offshore of the southeastern United States, at 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC).

        2. SAK I’m not sure if it’s accurate as it’s from weather bug , it has got cooler from earlier

    1. Develop? Yes. It’ll likely be a Tropical Storm before landfall.

      Come up the coast? Not likely. It’ll move inland into the Carolinas Saturday night or early Sunday then dissipate. Some of the leftover moisture could get pulled northward to interact with the front coming in on Tuesday, but that isn’t a sure thing either.

    1. 20+ girls missing from girls’ camp. Authorities still believe they could be ok and are just waiting out the flood.

  37. I was watching the concert on tv and I noticed that the fireworks didn’t start until AFTER the “1812 Overture.” I seem to recall the fireworks always coinciding with it when Arthur Fiedler conducted. Kinda disappointing. Otherwise good concert and display as usual.

    I wonder if an email to Ch. 7 would make a difference?

    1. The main fireworks display never coincided with the 1812 Overture other than briefly in the mid 1970s.

      For many years they would do a burst of fireworks at the end of that piece, but the main display would take place after the concert ended (the display being set and synchronized to music eventually).

      A few years ago, after Mugar was no longer directly involved, some of the $ available for the pyrotechnics was less, so they did away with the burst during the 1812 overture (maybe just before the pandemic). The main fireworks display would then still take place with music at about 10:30PM, but was shortened from 30 to 23 minutes.

      This year and last year, the national broadcast chose not to include the 1812 Overture, so it was moved to earlier in the concert and was seen by the local broadcast audience.

      There was also a major difference this year over last, with everything running earlier (concert start at 7:00PM, not 8:00PM, and national broadcast joining 9:00PM to 10:00PM, not 10:00PM to 11:00PM). The fireworks display itself was shortened a bit more to 19 minutes and started at 9:45PM (5 minutes later than the planned start time of 9:40PM).

      But again it has been nearing a decade of time that any fireworks have accompanied the 1812 Overture, except a couple of times when they had some small-scale pyrotechnics near the Hatch Shell Stage (but they can’t even afford that now).

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