DAYS 1-5 (JULY 5-9)
High pressure sits over our region today with fair, warm weather, but still fairly low humidity. Some high cloudiness will dim the early day sunshine, otherwise the sun will dominate. The high pressure area shifts offshore and opens the door to hotter and more humid conditions Sunday, but continued fair weather. The heat and humidity will continue (and peak) on Monday. While this is happening, we’ll start to see some clouds increase as moisture approaches from the south and a cold front approaches from the northwest. These systems quasi-converge on us Monday night and Tuesday, leading to shower and thunderstorm activity with less heat but high humidity. Wednesday, a weak ridge of high pressure builds in with a much-reduced shower / t-storm chance, somewhat reduced humidity, and lack of heat.
TODAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 81-88 but cooler back to 70s coast. Dew point sub-60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 63-70. Dew point near 60. Wind WSW up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 88-95 except cooler South Coast / Cape Cod. Dew point rises through 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 67-74. Dew point around 70. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 88-95 except 80-87 South Coast, 70s Cape Cod. Dew point near 70. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. A shower or thunderstorm possible, mainly south of I-90 and in southwestern NH. Patchy fog. Lows 70-77. Dew point near 70. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 78-85. Dew point 70+. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. A lingering shower or thunderstorm early. Patchy fog. Lows 66-73. Dew point 60s to near 70. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a shower. Highs 76-83, coolest coast. Dew point 60+. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JULY 10-14)
A trough of low pressure and broad scale onshore flow will bring unsettled and cooler weather to the region during July 10-11. Weak high pressure builds in thereafter with a return to mostly fair and slightly warmer weather, but no major heat indicated heading toward the mid point of July.
DAYS 11-15 (JULY 15-19)
Still not much change from the lower-than-average outlook this period General pattern features weak west to southwest upper level flow with surface high pressure dominant to the north and low pressure to the south. This pattern can be unsettled at times, but also has periods of fair weather, and lacks sustained major heat.
Good morning and thank you TK.
Thanks TK !
Thank you, TK.
Thanks TK
Yesterday was a gem weatherwise. Today doesn’t look too shabby either.
Thanks TK
Thank you, TK.
62 / 57. Lovely sleeping night.
Four for Wordle. I had all 5 letters with my two new first words. First and last in right spot. It left me with two possibilities. Of course I chose the wrong one for my third guess. I think I’ll keep these words for a bit though
I failed yet again. This is NOT my game. I won’t give up though. 🙂 🙂
Good for you not to give up. I change my first two words occasionally but I have always wanted then to include all vowels . I don’t know if it’s a good strategy or has just either for me. The two I’m using now break rule a bit. One vowel is not included to give me more consonants
My first guess today gave me four of the letters with the second one in the right place. On the second guess, everything was right except for the first letter. “Missed it by THAT much!” 🙂
I got it on the third try.
Darn. So close. But awesome three.
I enjoyed the concert last night TK thank you for your explanation of the shortened fire works. It seems in addition to starting late that were cut off for tv viewers.
How is your mom? How are you?
Heat advisory is up for tomorrow and Monday
https://www.weather.gov/box/
https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=BOX&wwa=heat%20advisory
Thanks Tk . What great weather for this Holiday weekend .
Thanks TK! A wonderful 4th here in Rockaway Beach, NY. A stiff sea breeze from 4-6 had it a bit chilly but by 8 at sunset it was nothing and was an excellent night for fireworks here. Can not believe the money private citizen spend on fireworks. Had to be near a million in this area. Incredible displays. The countdown to America’s 250th begins
I was watching the fireworks in Boston on tv but could hear lots of bangs to my south. I was not aware of any displays near me so thought someone was having a very elaborate private display. I muted my tv to listen and it stopped. I’d forgotten I’d set up surround sound for the tv pops and one of the side speakers was under my window facing south. 🙄
Thank you TK!
We have Chantal.
It looks like the shear has lessened but the circulation remains a little left of the best convection.
any Chantilly lace?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lGXFVOc5I8Q&list=RDlGXFVOc5I8Q&start_radio=1
🙂
Love that song. It just replaced Edelweiss (been humming it all morning) in my head.
Just got back from picking strawberries at Ward Berry Farm in Sharon. What a production that place is. I had to walk about 400 miles to the strawberry fields opting NOT to wait for a tractor ride. Picking is tough on this old back as most of the remaining strawberries were virtually on the ground. I think I was the oldest person on the property! 🙂 🙂 Came home with a very nice pint of strawberries. My wife will love them.
Never done that before, I have picked wild blue berries and black berries, but never have I picked berries at a berry farm. 🙂
Fun. We used to go to Hanson’s Farm in Framingham. Mrs OS will be thrilled.
Wanted to go to Look Out Farm in S. Natick, but they had no Strawberry picking at this time.
We went there every fall for apples many many many years ago when kids were little. It got a bit too commercial for us so we switched to Honey Pot in Stowe. I don’t know what it’s like now as it’s been a while
The Heat Advisory posted by JpDave excludes Berkshires, Cape, and Islands.
https://www.goes.noaa.gov/sector_band.php?sat=G19§or=eus&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
While still not vertical on its west side, the ventilation aloft on its east and southeast quadrant looks very very healthy, so, this thing needs to get ashore.
Can see that fuzzy cirrus evacuating aloft cyclonically, so this thing is likely to keep firing deep convection not too far from its center.
Seeing some hints on 12z runs that the cool front approaching Tuesday may slow a bit and let southern New England take a run at 90F Tuesday.
This might make some sense with Chantal’s remains slowing the approach of the cool front ever so slightly.
The 00z Euro suggested this too.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sfct-imp&rh=2025070500&fh=90&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
I think some of the other models 12z runs are following suit.
Of course! What else should we expect????
Example 00z GDPS vs 12z GDPS
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=sfct-imp&rh=2025070500&fh=90&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=sfct-imp&rh=2025070512&fh=78&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Yup.
Most model has temperatures for Monday ONLY in the mid to upper 80s, and the few that have 90s. it is very low 90s, like 90 or 91. A Far Cry from the 97s and 98s that were previously posted
for that day.
Sample, the NAM
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=sfct_b-imp&rh=2025070512&fh=57&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Yes. SW wind big difference from downsloping WNW wind.
But the dps are humbling, though the NAM dps are overcooked, as always, keeping its projected temps 1-3F too low.
Not sure a heat advisory is warranted???
We shall see if we meet the criteria.
While I don’t understand reading the models, I noticed the dip on Monday high temps back to 89. Thought it was a temporary glitch but will happily trade mid nineties for high 80s.
80 here.
79 / 60
Thanks TK.
What a horrific situation in TX yesterday. Blame being tossed all around. All I can say is clearly the forecast called for flooding rains but ended up being far worse l. I think I saw somewhere 15 inches of rain vs 4-8 that was forecasted. I also read the bc of the cuts rhe American computer models are struggling even more, very few ballon launches etc…
Not to get political but these cuts are literally killing people just like the USAID cuts that will end up killing 15 million for it in the next 5 years.
I was wondering if cuts entered into this.
I am reading that some of the young girls camping have been found. Reporting is spotty which is understandable but it seems many are alive. I’m praying all are
My stepdaughter lives about 30 miles north of San Antonio. She said they are safe but flooding not far away. The scary thing was a report of 12 inches in one hour. Unimaginable!!!
Oh no. So glad your step daughter is safe. But a foot in an hour is unimaginable to me.
Former Bruin and radio host Lyndon Byers passed away from cancer last night at 61. Met him once at a bar before a Bruins game. Really nice guy. He’ll be missed.
Guy from the FBI show died as well ( he was young ) from cancer
Sad loss. I “kind of” met him before a game once outside the Garden. He was wearing one of his classic Bruins suits and walking around out there, greeting people. We exchanged brief pleasantries before I headed into the game.
12Z Euro has 93/64, heat index 95 for tomorrow and 93/68, heat index 97 and climbing from there during the afternoon to heat index 100 + for Monday.
82 / 62
Sitting at an upscale bar in Nashua watching the Sox who are up 9-0.
Nice win yesterday! Still puzzles me how many people think this team is the worst and they literally are just out of the w.c. and are about even. Yes they go back and forth, but that tends to be what .500-ish teams do.
Whatever happened to just enjoying the games for what they are, rooting for the team and hoping for the best, and accepting what the outcome is? Well, I still do it, along with a few that I know. The genera fan base though? Not so sure. 😉
Agree Sir!
They’re a 500 team Would like to see 520-540. Not impossible at all.
I think after A-star break, they have a tough 10-day schedule. I’ll be watching!!
I seldom watch a full game. I sometimes listen to one. Most nights I just play the highlights of the game, but I always follow and root!
They MUST have a “winning” record the 2nd half after the All-Star break. Winning series (i.e., 2 of 3) will help tremendously imo. They don’t need to win them all but they must be +.500 for the rest of the season.
Start by beating up on the bad teams at home and away! 🙂
Well, assuming they hang on and win today (up 9-2 in the 6th), they land at 45-45 aka .500 … and there is still just over a week until the All Star Break. I’d say they’re in OK shape at this point, given the issues we know they had / have.
Right after the A-Star break, they are in for some serious competition.
I’ll watch every game!
Woo! Go Sox!
10-3 final today. They are now 45-45… 2.5 out of a WC spot but a long way to go obviously.
And a few sweeps won’t hurt either! They can start by winning again tomorrow. 🙂
Though things are obviously focused on what is going on in Texas, tropical storm Chantel making landfall as a strengthening 60mph tropical storm. Went right over that extremely warm waters off the southeast coast and did very good despite the shear. If it was given a another 6 hours it could have made a run to a hurricane. I don’t think this is the last system that will be impacting the southeast east coast this year.
Her remnants are expected to pass over SE MA/Cape Tuesday afternoon.
New post…