Friday August 1 2025 Forecast (7:16AM)

75 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 1-5)

A wave of low pressure that brought significant rainfall to a good swath of southern New England yesterday and early today will depart early today. Wet weather will come to an end this morning and midday from northwest to southeast across the region. As the large cloud canopy associated with the departing low pressure wave starts to clear out from northwest to southeast, we’ll see other clouds pop up due to lingering atmospheric instability, and these can lead to a few spot showers mid afternoon to sunset, although most areas will not see any. It will be a cool day, and while it is technically humid to start, it will dry out with lowering dew points. After this, high pressure builds in for the weekend and sinks to the south and east early next week, providing several days of fair weather, starting out cooler than average Saturday, warming to seasonable Sunday and a little warmer than average early next week – very nice summer weather!

TODAY: Cloudy start with rain diminishing / ending northwest to southeast. Clearing trend starts mid morning also northwest to southeast, however pop-up clouds may produce isolated showers mid afternoon until sunset. Highs 67-74. Dew point falls into 50s. Wind E shifting to N up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Fog patches form over some lower elevation locations. Lows 55-62, mildest urban centers. Dew point in 50s. Wind N under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 76-83. Dew point sub-60. N up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes developing.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Fog patches interior lower elevations. Lows 55-62. Dew point sub-60. Wind calm.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 77-84. Dew point sub-60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point near 60. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 80-87. Dew point near 60. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point near 60. Wind W under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 81-88, except cooler South Coast. Dew point near 60. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 6-10)

High pressure shifts into the western Atlantic and a more southerly air flow gradually develops. Fair weather is likely the first few days of this period, before there is a slightly better opportunity for some showers to pop up. Humidity gradually increases, but no major heat is expected.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 11-15)

High pressure shifts off the Atlantic Coast into mid month, with a pattern that would feature higher humidity and a slightly better chance to see some shower and thunderstorm development at times.

75 thoughts on “Friday August 1 2025 Forecast (7:16AM)”

  2. Thanks TK. Hope you are hanging in there, thoughts are with you.

    Nice drink in the bucket today. Plants and yards are happy and the timing was perfect. Sunset to sunrise and then gone. That’s the way it should be 🙂

  3. Thanks TK! Not much rain on the South Coast. System seemed to split with heavy rain north and south of this area.

  5. Hey, Just realized….
    We’re into a new month. Welcome August!!!

    At the moment, the Atlantic Tropics currently remain quiet

    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

    Although there have been model rumblings of development down the road. We shall see.

  6. Thanks TK !

    Wordle : 6

    Checked in to Boston news and seeing a fire on ocean st, in marshfield. They don’t name the place, and I feel 60% confident (so not very) that it’s in Brant rock village and might be Haddad’s restaurant. 🙁

    2. re: Wordle

      Got it in 5 today. Another tricky one.
      Here is where SCLARKE says he got it in 2. 🙂 🙂 🙂

        1. Hugh, I was hoping that the second 2 would be a superscript.

          Anyway, I got it in 4.

    3. Four for me.

      And oh no for the fire. As I recall….and may be picturing the wrong area…buildings are very close to each other?

        1. Thank you. You as well. You began Wordle at what seems to me is the most difficult time and are doing really well.

    4. You are correct Tom after 5 am this morning 3 alarm . I don’t know if it’s a total loss , but it’s not good as it was a pretty big fire . I just drove by it recently. It was raining pretty good at that time so I don’t think it started outside .

  9. Thanks TK
    Looking forward to this stretch of summer weather on tap. Comfortable levels of humidity and finally could open the windows and save money on the electric bill.

    1. Me too. How is electricity in CT. I don’t know about the rest of MA but the cost here is horrific.

      1. On July 1st Eversource reduced the standard supply rate from 11.19 cents per KWH to 9.75 cents per KWH. For the typical residential customer using 700 kWh per month, that’s a decrease of approximately $10, or 5%, on their total bill.

        1. Yikes. That is great. I cannot remember our kWh cost is. But it isn’t $9. We have a base delivery charge of just under $400. I’m averaging about $600/month

  10. 60/59 with a low of 59. We had a lovely, gentle 1.87 in last 24 hours. I sure enjoyed the cool breeze yesterday.

  12. https://origin-east-01-www-ospo.woc.noaa.gov/data/sst/contour/natlanti.c.gif

    Quick peak at the models over the next couple weeks shows some opportunities for low pressure off the mid Atlantic coast.

    Definitely originating as mid latitude low pressure areas, but, if something can hang around and the wind flow aloft relaxes, I think there’s a chance something could over time slowly acquire some tropical characteristics and be a close to home developer.

    Ocean is plenty warm enough east of the mid Atlantic now.

      1. Something like a Henri some years ago, though I can’t remember if that was a tropical wave or an old front that dissolved out over the ocean or an upper low that transitioned.

        1. TS Henri joined us in North Adams for my son’s wedding. And miraculously, they moved the ceremony at the top of greylock from Sunday to Saturday. Then the rain stopped Sunday just minutes before the outdoor reception began and resumed right as it ended. I think Scott had an angel sitting on his shoulder in the form of his dad

    2. Environment looks better for development. Less Sahara dust and shear looks better overall. Definitely better set up in August.

      Big red flag is Joe B is all in on an eastern hurricane.

  14. Thanks, TK.

    Please find time for you today.

    Currently, 67. 1.30″ in the rain gauge.

  15. Sue:

    I have been meaning to ask: Did you see the nice write-up about the SL football team in the Enterprise last weekend? I cannot believe it’s August 1 today. The football season starts “next” month!!!!

    1. Hi CF!

      Yes I did see it and my son was happy to be mentioned. He was also just asked by the Athletic Director to give a speech at their fall sports kick off night on August 14th. Quite an honor!

  16. The month of August loses 1 hr/15 min of daylight. Our last 8:00 pm sunset will occur soon.

  17. Here in CT are sunset is 8:09 today and on the 31st of August 7:27. Sunrise 5:48 today and on the 31st 6:18. This is a sign to me when I see the daylight hours getting shorter were getting closer to fall.

  18. To Tom.

    I have seen that wave in the mid-Atlantic now for a few days. It seems to come and go and right now looks like just some rain. Pattern in the Atlantic seems to be changing just a little.

    Meanwhile in the eastern Pacific, we are all the way up to Gil.

    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac

  19. Tomorrow is the 50th anniversary of the hottest day ever recorded in Massachusetts recorded history. I am working on a small “tribute” from my research. TK and SAK, I believe you worked for the state climatologist at one time. Do you have any information from that day?

    1. I played golf that morning at Wareham in the hottest conditions I ever played in. Was staying in N. Easton on the Cape where it got to 98 degrees. Crazy hot on the CAPE!!!!!!!!

    2. The highest temp recorded in MA is in the books at 107F in Chester MA & New Bedford MA on August 2 1975. The validity of the latter has been called into question, however.

      It is Chester MA that also has the coldest temp recorded in MA, -40F (which is also -40C – the point where the scales meet), on January 22 1984.

  21. Social media already hyping “unprecedented heat” for August because the 8-14 shows above normal temps for the Northeast.

    So, has weather never occurred before, and that’s why everything is now unprecedented? At least the public is starting to get wise to this – as I am seeing more and more backlash against the hype of WEATHER THAT HAS ALWAYS OCCURRED. Duh!

    1. I hope that is a start. Social media hypes hype. I honestly think it becomes a personal responsibility to ignore nonsense. My grandkids know not to pay attention to anything on social media.

      The worst thing IMO is to respond in any way. Most who hype feed on responses. Doesn’t matter if it is positive or negative.

  22. Not a lot of rain threats to be had the first 10 days of this month…

    1: Overnight & early morning rain, isolated showers, drying trend.

    2: No threat.

    3: No threat.

    4: No threat.

    5: No threat.

    6: Remote risk of isolated shower or storm mostly north of the WHW forecast area.

    7: No threat.

    8: No threat.

    9: Isolated shower or t-storm possible.

    10: Isolated shower or t-storm possible and maybe a better chance of showers toward the South Coast.

    Take anything after day 4 or 5 with a grain of salt, due to typical lower confidence and more chance of forecast error going out in time.

      1. Well, some areas already are. And many others are on the edge. It won’t take much.

        When we broke our drought, it was from a wet May. June & July, with a few regional exceptions, were quite dry. August is looking fairly dry for it’s first third. So, we’ll see how things shake out heading through late summer, which is typically one of our driest times of the year unless we get into a tropical feed or have a tropical cyclone or remnants come up.

    2. I sure hope no rain on the 16th as I’m having an outdoor 60th for my wife

  23. I think media needs to look up the definition of unprecedented
    Meaning of unprecedented
    never having happened or existed in the past

    1. It’s just like the 1 in 1000 year events. VERY FEW people actually understand what that means, but the media freaking LOVES the term so they continue to keep using it instead of informing people what it actually means. SAK and I have done that here many times, so the folks on this blog pretty clearly know the definition and the meaning.

      There are about 250 “1-in-1000 year events” per year in the USA, on average. Fact. This is derived by the definition of a 1-in-1000 year event, which is that said event has a 0.1% chance of happening in a given year, not that said event happens only once in 1000 years. TBH, I don’t like the wording of what the event is labeled. It’s misleading, and media takes full advantage of that, knowingly, which is basically a slap in the public’s face. Harsh words? Maybe. But 100% HONEST.

      Also, AI or Chat GPS is not likely to give you accurate information on such things. I see a lot of arguments on social media these days that are just people quoting what they Google, which is set for most people to an AI response. Nope. Doesn’t work most of the time. Or at least a fair number of what is reported to you is inaccurate or incomplete.

  24. Great timing btw…

    I saw a post from a declared storm chaser on social media, one who has posts shared routinely by multiple people…

    The post was about about a report from Qeshm International Airport in Iran, which apparently reported a dew point of 97 and resultant heat index of 182 (a new world record). The problem: The dew point reading was off by about 11 degrees, and the heat index was nowhere near a “world record”, which isn’t even relevant given the heat index is an APPARENT temp, derived by a formula that is not known to be perfect. Statistics should only be from DIRECT measurements. There’s a good reason for that.

    Anyway, the post got shared and basically went viral BEFORE the person verified the information, which was incorrect. Too late. Now millions of people have been misinformed. Should not have happened.

    P.S. … Temps over 100 and dew points over 80 are at that location in Iran are actually common for summertime. Many areas in the Persian Gulf see this all the time in summer. It’s “normal”. But this is another example of something people like to grab and share because it sounds unheard of. It’s not.

  25. Use this article with caution…

    This is the result of a reanalysis project, finding that a lightning “mega-flash” from 2017 was of greater magnitude than the “record” flash, from 2020.

    It’s important to note that we’re literally less than a decade into being able to accurately measure these things. They are NOT NEW. And they are NOT UNCOMMON.

    Many versions of this article will not mention either of those facts.

    https://www.wcvb.com/article/megaflash-lightning-strike-world-record-oklahoma/65577325?fbclid=IwY2xjawL6IwhleHRuA2FlbQIxMABicmlkETFKbXdiM3J3OW0wQW5ZYWJnAR6enrJqe3PCYwGn294UwlGLDQHJWQ1Y4F9WiLCQQNtayIQzWhehCgtfQKY_Eg_aem_oQgOQklcR-DQLc3yXt1e3Q

  27. Today was a wonderful day to spend time outside!

    My son’s company had an event this afternoon at Kimball Farm in Westford. This was planned months in advance and they got this day.

    1. Kimball farm. My memories go back four generation. What a perfect venue on an ideal day. Did you attend too?

      1. No, this was for employees only.

        The Weather Niceness Index was unprecedented!
        🙂

        1. Darn. And you are right. The weather niceness Gods were definitely unprecedented

          Do you get to treat yourself to kimballs on occasion too

            1. I don’t either. My son, DIL and grandson go several times a season.

              Even my in-laws asked to go when retired and visited from SC

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