Wednesday August 6 2025 Forecast (7:18AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 6-10)

Again not a lot to do for adjustments in this outlook as we have a continuation of wildfire smoke and lots of high clouds dimming the sun today, but there will be a gradual decrease in the thickness of the smoke plume from the north and east later today into Thursday, and a loss of the high cloudiness with increasing sunshine during the day Thursday too. Both days will feature comfortable air with low to borderline moderate humidity but temperatures slightly below normal for early August. A warming trend takes place Friday and over the weekend with a slight increase in humidity by late weekend. Other than the previously-mentioned chance of a pop up shower or thunderstorm over the hills of southwestern NH and/or central MA later today, we’re looking at dry weather across the region through the weekend as high pressure remains in control, sinking gradually southward for the slow warming trend.

TODAY: Limited sun with high clouds and smoke aloft. Developing convective clouds afternoon with isolated showers and thunderstorms possible in the hills of southwestern NH and central MA. Highs 76-83, cooler coastal areas. Dew point middle 50s to near 60. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Smoke aloft thins gradually but lots of high clouds remain. Any clouds in the hills dissipate but patchy fog and low clouds form overnight. Lows 61-68. Dew point middle 50s to near 60. Wind E to variable under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Decreasing high clouds and smoke aloft with increasing sun. Highs 78-85, cooler some coastal areas. Dew point near 60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with light coastal sea breezes.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 80-87, cooler some coastal areas. Dew point 60+. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 81-88, cooler Cape Cod / South Coast. Dew point near 60+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 62-69. Dew point 60+. Wind S to SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 86-93. Dew point 65+. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 11-15)

Heat and humidity dominate early to mid next week as high pressure sits to the south, and there is a present but limited chance of pop up afternoon showers and thunderstorms, but with low coverage. A frontal crossing the region from the west may enhance shower and thunderstorm chances after that briefly before fair weather returns at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 16-20)

“Typical August” pattern with high pressure in the western Atlantic providing warmth and higher humidity. A daily opportunity for pop-up showers and storms which could be enhanced by any disturbances moving in from the west. The overall pattern looks fairly tranquil though.

60 thoughts on “Wednesday August 6 2025 Forecast (7:18AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Laugh of day…check out 18z GFS as it slams a tropical into sne. Cat 1 or 2???

    Checking to see how it vanishes on the 0z and or 6z

    1. Yup, gone on 0z and 6z as expected.
      Very powerful hurricane in sw gulf at end of 0z, but gone on 6z.

      Fun looking at these, but as it has been mentioned here many times, don’t even bother until at least a storm develops.

      Even so, I think down the road we really will need to be watching the tropics.

      1. Thank you.

        I got 1 letter in the correct position (3) and another letter out of position with opening word. I kept trying to arrange words around that. I finally figured what the last 3 letters would be and began substituting the 1st 2. Then it lit up like a giant NEON sign
        flashing the correct word to use. When I saw that I KNEW it was the correct word and it was.

        Getting in on the 1st guess is quite rare, although possible.
        There are 2,315 possible five-letter words in Wordle

        1 in 2315 chance of getting it on the 1st guess or
        PROB: 0.0000432

        I want to solve it by 3 guesses, but will settle for 4.
        Anything more than 4 is a bitter disappointment to me
        and a fail is, well, a FAIL!!!!

        Interesting game.

  7. What will the Euro and GFS show for tropicals with the
    12Z run???? A real crap shoot for sure.

  8. Thanks, TK.

    Warmer today, though mostly cloudy after a sunny start. About 72F. Looks like a warming trend ahead with low 80s possible early next week. I do think parts of continental Western Europe will get into some real heat (85F and above) as a ridge of high pressure builds. This said, the UK will be on the boundary, which could shift. I do think fairly warm conditions (~80F) could remain in place most of next week in the London area. But there’s also a chance that areas of low pressure from the west could move through Western England and Wales by next Wednesday and cool things down where I am.

    Storm Floris produced some ferocious winds of 90mph. This was recorded in Scotland. Here, it was only breezy with occasional wind gusts.

    Speaking of speed, a man was caught driving 200mph on the German Autobahn (highway). Even though technically there are no speed limits, apparently going that fast is against the law (it’s considered “reckless”). It’s a one strike you’re out system: Suspended license for 3 months plus a 500 euro ($600) fine.

    There’s also no mercy for people running red lights. Cameras at every intersection really limit the number of violators. If you do go through a red light, you’ll get a 150-pound ($225) ticket mailed to your home. Police rarely pull people over. They rely on cameras to do the enforcement. Same in Germany and The Netherlands. There is of course no “right on red.” I will say that as a pedestrian and even cyclist I feel safer here. When the vast majority of people follow the rules, you know exactly what to expect. Not so in America where it’s always been kind of a chaotic, free for all. In Boston, crossing intersections is like Russian roulette. So many folks go through red lights or blast through going right on red (no stopping; not even much slowing down).

    1. The red light cameras are becoming more prevalent here as well. Just got a ticket in the mail yesterday from East Providence, RI for apparently running a red light there when we were down in that area for my daughter’s tournament in Swansea a few weeks ago. I remember seeing a camera flash go off when I went through the intersection as the light was turning yellow to red. It was late at night and no one was on the road. $85 ticket.

  11. JpDave:
    The probability of getting the Wordle solution on the first guess is less than your calculation because there are many more possible guesses than there are solutions:

    Wordle has two sets of five-letter words: a list of solution words (your 2,315) and a larger list of words that are accepted as valid guesses but will never be solutions. The total is something like13.000 words that could be used as a guess.

    1. Notice that today was the 1509th game. Only 806 to go before the list of solutions is used. It’ll interesting to see what the NY Times does in 806 days!

      2. Wow cool. I have to look at my FB feed to see when I started to play. It was before nyt

    2. SClarke, I didn’t stop to think about that.

      Even more remarkable if anyone gets it on the first guess.

      It truly is a fascinating little game.

  12. Hopefully no tropical storms or hurricane strikes up here for the next few months. Being blue states and what is going on with fema we are screwed! Also don’t get the flu with the mnrna vaccines research going away.

  14. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sfct-imp&rh=2025080612&fh=102&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sfct-imp&rh=2025080612&fh=126&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sfct-imp&rh=2025080612&fh=150&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sfct-imp&rh=2025080612&fh=270&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    12z euro projected temps this coming Sunday-Monday-Tuesday and then way out the following Sunday.

    1. Good grief. If that verified, it would be a 4 day heat wave!!!!

      I SAY NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  15. Tropical Thoughts…

    Dexter: Fish storm. Cya. Starts to dissipate soon.

    Disturbance #1 off US East Coast: Per NHC only a 30% chance of development through 7 days, and even if it does develop, it’s also a fish system. Ciao!

    Disturbance #2 closer to MDR: Conditions are not great out there, but if this manages to make its way up the ladder to an actual tropical cyclone, the pattern supports an open-water recurve over anything else. Again, ANY model forecast before we have defined low pressure is useless. I did not factor those in whatsoever, because they mean nothing at this point.

    Closer-To-Home Updated Weather Thoughts…

    Currently, a few isolated showers/storms exist in extreme southwestern NH and western MA. There’s only a very slight chance of an additional pop-up in southwestern NH and central MA until sunset, but most activity should basically be winding down in the next couple hours. That worked out as expected.

    Beyond this evening, no changes to my forecast. That was easy. 😉

  16. Remember all that talk from media about a wet and hot summer?

    How about, dry and variable / seasonable? That’s how it’s turning out. We’ve had bouts of heat (which is normal), and bouts of cool (which is also normal). The June/July combo at Boston was to th warm side of average by about 1.5 degrees F. Hardly a notable anomaly. Nearly 1 week in with a long way to go, August is running -5.5F, but larger anomalies are not unusual with the month is only a handful of days old. The media’s sensationalism of the CPC extended forecast that gets issued / update every month, is turning out to make them look pretty silly. Not that we haven’t seen this before. 🙂

      1. The news directors can’t bring themselves to stop. Nobody wants to be the first to go back to actually talking about straight up news / information. Although I think if somebody did that, they might be surprised at how successful the move is.

        1. Sadly fear of retribution seems to be dictating the norms or non norms. You are right. In all instances, all they have to do is stand together

    1. Link below. He said next weeks looks downright hot….highest chance of of seeing above average temps right here in New England…. could see a four to five day heatwave starting in Sunday.

      Not a direct quote but close. But that’s over three days away.

      https://www.cbsnews.com/boston/weather/

  19. Sox down 3-2. Bottom of the 6th. Two errors tonight.

    Just cutting the errors in half would be a boost. They have been winning despite it.

    1. Sox pitchers have hit five Royal batters, a Boston franchise record for HBP in one game.

  20. I know its early and I know its August but
    Descending QBO Check
    Negative EPO developing
    Neutral to weak La-Nina. Check.
    After a near complete tearing my ATFL im in the middle of rehab, ( so darn slow) goal is to be hitting the slopes. I just need there to be snow on them before the 20th of January and all these are early signals of a good winter if some other things align correctly.

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