Friday August 8 2025 Forecast (7:14AM)

94 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 8-12)

High pressure continues its dominance through the next several days. Pleasant air will continue to dominate today and Saturday before heat and humidity build gradually Sunday and early next week.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-84, cooler some coastal areas. Dew point 60+. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 79-86, cooler Cape Cod / South Coast. Dew point 60+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 62-69. Dew point 60+. Wind S to SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 85-92, except cooler at the coast. Dew point 65+. Wind SW up to 10 MPH but coastal sea breezes likely.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows 65-72. Dew point 65+. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 87-94, except cooler at the coast. Dew point near 70. Wind SW up to 10 MPH but coastal sea breezes likely.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows 66-73. Dew point 65+. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 87-94, except cooler at the coast. Dew point near 70. Wind SW up to 10 MPH but coastal sea breeze likely.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 13-17)

Heat and humidity dominate early period. A frontal boundary may bring a shower or thunderstorm around August 14 before fair, warm, less humid weather arrives later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 18-22)

Subtle changes may take place with a little more tropical moisture for a few shower and thunderstorm chances, but likely limited. Temperature near to above normal.

94 thoughts on “Friday August 8 2025 Forecast (7:14AM)”

  2. And no, it doesn’t matter that the operational run of the 00z ECMWF has a major hurricane east of Hatteras. As SAK and I have said numerous times, those runs mean virtually nothing if there’s no defined low pressure area to initialize.

    The guidance can show you hints of a pattern that is favorable for activity moving into a region, if it’s there, but if it’s not “there” to be a legit player in the simulation, then it is void.

  4. A * about next week’s forecast. If you read it, you’ll notice that I mention the opportunity for sea breezes every day. Yes, there will be, and some of them may be quite significant.

    A heatwave is NOT a lock for Boston in the upcoming pattern.

    Ever since the one super hot day we had in June, many media have turned up the hype knob on the heat this summer, yet at Boston, the summer is actually averaging cooler than normal by about a degree. Not “cool”, more like “average” aka kind of what I prognosticated early on, but most definitely not “hot”either. And I am talking about overall – not saying we haven’t had hot days. We have. But we’ve also had cool days, and the balance is slightly to the negative in much of the region. Numbers don’t lie. Media, on the other hand, does, because they want people to click their stories and share them, or tune into their 30 minute drama-fests. They may as well just start airing these exclusively during soap opera hours and calling them what they are. 🙂

    I am off to Ogunquit, or somewhere like that, for a nice solo get-away today. Have a fab day all!

  6. P.S. a little more scrutiny on the sky forecast for the Perseid meteor shower in tomorrow’s update and for a few days, but right now it looks decent, other than some late-night lunar interference.

    1. Interesting. Doesn’t seem to be a problem with WIndows Desktops.

      I just checked my Android phone and it looks EXACTLY like
      your IPHONE. Something isn’t right!!!!!!!! It was NEVER like that before on my ANDROID.

        1. This sounds like a WORD PRESS issue, I think.
          I can’t imagine it would be simultaneously an ipad and android issue.

  10. re: Wordle
    4 today on an IMPOSSIBLE word. I NEVER even heard of the word. NEVER!! I had to look it up. After 2 guesses, I had one letter in the correct position and one not in the correct position. After racking my brain for 15 minutes, I said screw it and placed another one of my first word guesses in and got 2 more letters (of position of course). Now I had 4 letters and I had the 1st letter correct. So I assumed some letters and started substituting until the correct solution was reached. When I typed in those letters I said to myself, NOPE this can’t be a word. BUT it was!! INSANE GAME!!!

    1. Awesome to get 4. I am headed for a loss. I have 1,4,5 letters in the right place and absolutely no clue.

      1. Whe you get it or fail (hope not) see IF you ever heard of the word. IF I did hear it before, NEVER in a million years would I dredge it up from my memory banks for a guess.

        1. I have added so many options that I had a feeling it was a word I’d never heard.

        2. Got it in 5. I walked away….literally… and the word popped into my head. I know the word ….barely. But am not even sure of the definition

      2. Excellent Vicki !

        Didn’t get it.

        Had 3 in the right places and a 4th in the wrong spot after 5 and was dazed and confused at that point. 🙂

        1. Thanks Tom. This one was a real stretch. I think more than other times that first words made a big difference

    2. I got this one in 3. I was pretty sure I knew the meaning, but I had to check to verify.

  11. TK there are CSS fixes in WP. I’m looking for something to set on my end. iPhone has had several updates lately and those can mess up things that always worked. But if JPDs android has the same problem, my guess is it may be a WP issue.

    2. Both the GFS and EURO keep spinning up hurricanes.
      Different track and intensity with each run, but it has been consistently there for several days now.

      I am NOT saying any of this is a certainty, but the tropics deserves our attention during the next several weeks.

      remember, we are LONG OVERDUE…..

      1. Absolutely.

        Ben Noll on twitter has a pinned post on how warm the western Atlantic is.

        The subtropical Atlantic has larger SST anomolies than the deep tropical Atlantic does.

        So, with correct conditions aloft, if anything develops, avoids being sent north in the central Atlantic and gets down off the southeast US coast, then it’s got a lot of ocean heat content to work with.

        1. I don’t want to sound alarming, but frankly I am
          somewhat concerned. Keeping a close eye on things.

  17. Congratulations to the Braintree Little League team winning the New England Region and going to the Little League World Series in Williamsport, PA next week.
    Here in CT rooting for Fairfield tonight to win the Metro Region and advance to the Little League World Series. We have not had a Little League World Series Champion from CT since Trumbull CT in 1989.

  19. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=850th_nb&rh=2025080800&fh=114&r=na&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=850th_nb&rh=2025080812&fh=102&r=na&dpdt=&mc=

    At least through early next week, the hottest temps may be in northern New England, New Brunswick and the Maritimes.

    Big drought developing in Nova Scotia and cape Breton. All kinds of restrictions in place to help prevent fires.

    The Bermuda high also is well displaced to the east northeast, with a subtle southwest extension towards the south of Bermuda.

  21. And here I always thought you needed a cut off low in the eastern Ohio Valley …….

    2. Nope, a deep trough in the Appalachians will do it.

      8/18/1991 500mb map: https://vortex.plymouth.edu/wxp/cgi-bin/upa/gen-reanal.cgi?pd=us&le=500&va=hght&ci=60&pl=lcf&yy=1991&mm=08&dd=18&hh=12&pg=web&overlay=no&le=&va=&ci=&pl=ln&yy=&mm=&dd=&hh=

      9/27/1985: https://vortex.plymouth.edu/wxp/cgi-bin/upa/gen-reanal.cgi?pd=us&le=500&va=hght&ci=60&pl=lcf&yy=1985&mm=09&dd=27&hh=12&pg=web&overlay=no&le=&va=&ci=&pl=ln&yy=&mm=&dd=&hh=

      8/31/1954: https://vortex.plymouth.edu/wxp/cgi-bin/upa/gen-reanal.cgi?pd=us&le=500&va=hght&ci=60&pl=lcf&yy=1954&mm=08&dd=31&hh=12&pg=web&overlay=no&le=&va=&ci=&pl=ln&yy=&mm=&dd=&hh=

  22. This may well have been mentioned. Tampa FL hit 100 for first time in recorded history on July 28

    The report said there are three other US cities that have not reached 100. I didn’t fact ck

    Any guesses

            2. All have Nws reporting stations and I just confirmed that the they are the three that have never hit 100

                1. No. I didn’t want you to look them up. Sorry to not be clear. I hadn’t checked to be sure the places I heard are accurate. I just looked and they are. And all three have nws reporting stations.

  24. When I did googled fairbanks and Key West both had record
    highs of 96. So how were they not on the list????

    1. I lived in Potsdam, NY for four years, during which there were seven winters. 🙂

      The record high there is 96, in 2010, long after I escaped.

  25. Hey all! I made it back from my Maine getaway. Even those several hours were just great!

    I am going to pass along the issue with the format to my tech dude. I highly suspect this is outside of his influence though, but it’s worth a shot. I think we’re looking at a WP issue. There is a possibility we may be able to upgrade the version I have (I honestly don’t know). I’ll check with him after he finishes to deal with some family related stuff, so hopefully sometime this weekend!

    I haven’t had a chance to look at any weather stuff after this morning, but I suspect nothing has changed for now…

    1. Thank you, TK. It is definitely a new issue. That’s why I wondered if it was a result of recent iPhone upgrades. But JPD said he has the Same problem with his android. Maybe it has to do with the smaller screens. My iPad and JPDs computer is fine I know there are defaults for page parameters. But I’ve been away from WP long enough to forget most.

  26. In terms of the Atlantic and hurricane activity, the steering patterns would look to be a concern for the east coast but we need the waves to get over water and have a model run to have all the players over it the water to get a solid idea. Unlike all the others, both the EPS and GEFS has something developing. Difference in development time, strength, and initial position and steering winds all impact where the system is going to go, but if it makes it to around the NE Caribbean/southwest Atlantic, it will meet the best conditions of the Atlantic

  27. Pats ran ball back for a touchdown on opening kick off. Yes , I know it’s the opening pre-season game!

    1. Just went to 9. They sure are playing an amazing game. I feel badly for N.Y.

      Oops. Now 11-0

  30. So if CT is up by ten or more runs after NY bats in the bottom of the fourth CT goes to the Little League World Series!

      1. First time since 2021 a team from CT has advanced to the Little League World Series

  31. One change I will be making is reducing the humidity in my forecast for next week. And probably keeping the heat tempered as well.

    It’s going to be no biggie.

    Also, ZERO tornadoes in New England so far in 2025.

  32. Northern Hemisphere ACE to date is only 52% of normal. Way below.

    Another thing you’ll never hear from media.

  34. Awesome unveiling of Tom Brady’s statue. Such a well deserved honor for a true great. Wonderful words by Brady.

    1. A very nice statue indeed that should be enjoyed and admired for many generations to come. 🙂

    1. Accumulated Cyclone Energy, which is calculated very specifically. This Wiki is actually quite comprehensive and accurate, but don’t worry about the technical details. It’ll give you the general idea though… https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accumulated_cyclone_energy

      ACE is not a good way to look at long-term climate trends, because we’ve only been measuring it since 1988, and that’s not long through to determine anything regarding long-term. But we can watch it season-to-season to get an idea of the overall global level, and then also break it down by basin.

      Last year, for example, ACE was above the current average in the Atlantic and below normal in every other basin in the world.

      This year, it’s running well below average. It’s been one of the slowest starts to the Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season we’ve observed – all basins included.

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