DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 22-26)
Our “visual” of Hurricane Erin, which is nearly non-tropical, is a shield of high clouds in the southeastern sky (overhead of you’re on Outer Cape Cod), early today, but will depart seaward during the day. The indirect impact in the form of larger ocean swells and rough surf has about peaked out now, and will gradually diminish today into the weekend. Our weather will be dry today, Saturday, and through the daylight hours of Sunday into evening. Today will still be on the cooler side with a northeasterly air flow between Erin and a high pressure area to our west, but not quite as cool as yesterday. The weekend will feature a warm-up, with increasing humidity by Sunday, as high pressure shifts overhead then offshore. An approaching cold front will be slow enough to hold back its offering of showery weather until late Sunday night (early hours of Monday) through the daytime hours Monday. Additional low pressure that may have added moisture for more beneficial rainfall appears that it will stay offshore and not add to our rain potential. Tuesday, that system is gone and high pressure builds our way from the Great Lakes, but upper level low pressure will result in a sun/cloud mix while a few pop-up showers likely stay across the mountains to our north and west. That day will feature the return of cooler air and low humidity.
TODAY: High clouds over Outer Cape Cod early, otherwise dominant sun. Highs 75-82, coolest coast. Wind NE 15-25 MPH, strongest coastal areas, except 25-35 MPH Cape Cod, including higher gusts during the morning, shifting to N and gradually diminishing during the afternoon.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 53-60. Wind N to NW under 10 MPH.,
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85, a bit cooler at the coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with light coastal sea breezes.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 60-67. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 81-88 except 73-80 South Coast. Dew point climbs into the 60s. Wind S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT / MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers and possible thunderstorms. Lows 63-70. Highs 75-82. Dew point 60s. Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 55-62. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Sun / cloud mix. Highs 72-79. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 27-31)
Timing is a little slower in this range that previously indicated. The only unsettled weather potential is a shower threat with a front on August 29. Otherwise, fair weather dominates. Temperatures near to below normal.
DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 1-5)
Eyeing an unsettled threat about September 2 otherwise mainly dry weather with mostly seasonable temperatures expected to start September.
Heading to OOB Maine on the Downeaster today. 🙂
Looking forward to some pics. My son and family head to Chebeague Island, Maine, tomorrow for a week.
Enjoy !
Good morning and thank you TK.
Thank you, TK. Have fun and safe travels!!
Thanks TK
re: Wordle
I tired again and this time it was a 4 for me.
3.
well done Tom!!!
Thanks 🙂
Feels good after yesterday’s disaster 🙂
Indeed. I had 2 days in a row of FAIL! that doesn’t feel good.
Great job to you both. Glad you tried again, JPD.
Another 5 for me.
Thanks Tk . You like next Thursday 8/28 for quick 24 hour trip to Nantucket
Yep!
Thanks TK !
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sfctd-imp&rh=2025082200&fh=186
00z euro
Quite impressive to scour out the humidity all the way through the FL panhandle in late August.
I’ll take it!!!!
It’s been great !
And an economic savior.
The electric bill that arrived in late July, yeeeeesh !
My electric bill was about $4 more. 🙂
Agree. My average this year Is $715/month
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=850t_anom&rh=2025082200&fh=120&r=na&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=850t_anom&rh=2025082200&fh=216&r=na&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=850t_anom&rh=2025082200&fh=312&r=na&dpdt=&mc=
Canada has seen help with its forest fires the last 10 days.
The area northwest of lake Winnipeg has seemed some decent rains.
Literally, the upcoming 15 days has western Canada hot and dry, so I believe that area will erupt and let’s see how much smoke is around by Labor Day weekend.
Jimmy, had Braintree continued to win their games, would they have faced Fairfield tomorrow in the LLWS Championship game?
I’ll be rooting for your Fairfield CT team tomorrow! 🙂
Philip I am not sure.
It was going to be tough for Braintree to get to the U.S. Championship game after losing the first game they played. This is a double elimination tournament. Only one team lost the first game they played and won the whole thing and that was the 2019 team from Louisiana.
If Fairfield beats Nevada like they did on Wednesday they play for the whole thing Sunday against either Aruba or Chinese Taipei.
TK – Where is OOB Maine?
Old orchard beach.
Thanks Tom.
Sun back today and temps mild to warm this afternoon, today’s the day to worry about poor choices and the surf at the beaches.
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=TXKF&hours=72
Bermuda ob. Max gust to 56 mph, if I read correctly the last 3 days.
The dew point was btwn 78F and 81F the last 3 days.
I dont think that’s too far from avg in later summer when the ocean is so warm around them.
But I think they may have gotten a little bump from Erin as they were on the east side of its track.
This morning, now with a west wind, the DP has dropped to 75F and hopefully will go briefly lower if some less humid air can be pushed in behind Erin.
Thanks, TK!
Happy 86th Birthday, Yaz!
Happy birthday, Yaz !
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/weekly/images/wk1.wk2_20250821.z500.png
Upper Low pressure to the west next week and then still to the north week 2.
Then look at weeks 3 and 4
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/weekly/images/wk3.wk4_20250821.z500.png
CFS weeklies
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/weekly/images/wk3.wk4_20250821.png
Above avg precip SE US …..
Potential for something to happen close to high with 500 mb high pressure to the north and northeast.
Week 4, so …… 500 changes for these big picture features.
I’m a little late. I got Wordle in 3 today.
I figured that. 🙂 Nice job.
Awesome.
Well done !
Masterful pitching (including the close) by the Sox. Win, 1-0. :)’
They are now 7-1 against the Yankees this season…
How was old orchard and the Downeaster. What a fun day.
They were both awesome. 🙂
More to come…
Yay. And that’s great.
New post…