Saturday November 15 2025 Forecast (7:52AM)

83 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 15-19)

Half-way through November and currently we’re in a fast-flow pattern that’s been bringing frequent disturbances from the west and northwest, but none of them very big precipitation producers. They have served to pull in a series of chilly air masses from Canada though, and this pattern rolls on through this weekend into the first half of next week. The next low pressure area will make a fast run through the region tonight, with a primary low passing just to our north, its warm front extending ahead of it to give us a fairly short-lived period of wet weather tonight, but a good punch of mid level instability spells the chance of embedded thunderstorms with the rain. The trailing cold front brings a chance of a final rain shower around sunrise on Sunday as the low begins to redevelop near the coast of Maine. This redevelopment will become a more intense storm as it pulls away into Atlantic Canada from Sunday into the early part of the week, bringing windy conditions back to our region and, after a relatively milder Sunday, below normal temperatures after that. By Wednesday, winds diminish and it becomes more tranquil with high pressure building in.

TODAY: Brightest uninterrupted sunshine this morning before clouds increase during the afternoon. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 5-15 MPH becoming variable and diminishing to under 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Becoming cloudy. A period of rain mid evening to overnight, may start as sleet in some locations. Chance of embedded thunderstorms. Lows 33-40 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind variable under 10 MPH becoming S 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Early-day clouds with a quick rain shower possible, then sunshine and passing clouds with a quick rain shower possible. Highs 50-57. Wind S shifting to W increasing to 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance of a brief snow flurry. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 21-28 except 28-35 immediate coast and urban centers. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 18-25 inland low elevations, 25-32 elsewhere. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 46-53. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 20-24)

Storm track shifts to send a low pressure into the Great Lakes with possible redevelopment closer to New England late next week – details still to be determined. Temperatures moderate to slightly above normal for a few days before cooling slightly at mid period. We may hear from the next low pressure area as early as the end of the period, but not sure on that timing yet.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 25-29)

This time period is now 2 days before Thanksgiving, the holiday itself, and the 2 days after, and is very important for travel, holiday activities, etc. As of now, the pattern still looks milder, but not completely dry. Timing and magnitude of systems and impact on our area is uncertain this far out, but the general storm track is still into the Great Lakes.

83 thoughts on “Saturday November 15 2025 Forecast (7:52AM)”

  1. After the next one, that’ll be 5 disturbances coming through our region in 7 days. Don’t have too many weeks more active than that. Also goes to show you that not all “active patterns” mean “big storms”. But, this week’s weather was exactly how I expected it to play out and I’ll take it!

  2. Thanks TK !

    Well, I’m sitting on my last guess, I have 3 letters in the right spot in the middle and with what little is left, and I’ve tried a lot of things, nothings taking.

    I will have to admit defeat soon and miss the train 🙂

    2. I am shocked I got it. My first two words Gabe me one letter. I fell asleep in my comfy chair, woke up thinking I’d just go to bed, word three popped into my head,,, was wrong, but ended up with 4

      https://ibb.co/RpvbwtyS

      I think Arod if out conductor with 3. Just hoping he knows where the brake is 😉

      https://ibb.co/RpvbwtyS

      2. Good job getting it in four!

        I thought I had it on the fourth guess, but the last letter was wrong. I did get it on the fifth guess.

  3. Thanks TK
    Get those lake cutters out of the way now. I am not disappointed with no snow in November. December through March different story.

        1. Yes. They should be about normal or slightly below soon. Some of this also depends on ocean currents, not just the ongoing weather pattern.

  6. Note to JimmyJames. Your username was different in the form when you submitted the last comment, which is why it went to moderation. I changed it to what you usually use. If you want to keep using JimmyJames as usual, just make sure that’s what’s in the username form. Email was fine. 🙂

  10. I did get a reminder lesson on wordle today.

    Sometimes, if I have some of the letters, I assign a
    phonic sound to what I think the word will sound like. And that blinded me this morning, cause once
    I finally saw the word, it didn’t pronounce/sound like what I was assigning the letters I could see.

  11. This is just a different way I look at the long, long stretch we are in without a 6” snowfall ….

    Ok, if your stranded on a deserted island and today is day 1,359, I’m pretty sure every one of those days, your dealing with the fact of the situation your in. Every day of the 1,359 days.

    But with the snow count …… like, from June 1 thru Sept 30, being that conservative, during those 120 days, is even the most enthusiastic snow lover having a thought of, gee, we didn’t get that 6” snowfall today?

    So, yes, it’s been 1,359 days, but it’s not like all those days there is the opportunity to break the streak, whereas, in the stranded on an island example, you can be rescued any and every day. I guess I watched gilligan’s island a lot growing up 🙂

      1. I think.

        I was just thinking sports, like saying a team has won or lost 12 in a row, well, during that run, each individual game has brought a chance to end that streak and each next game has brought a chance to end it.

        But, in this count, there’s a stretch in each year, where you just don’t have a chance to end it.

        So, I think Jan 22 of 2026, would be 4 years. And if we get there, we’ll be say 1,450 days or so and that is correct too that it hasn’t snowed 6+
        Inches in that long. But, I think the context is, that within that number, at least 500 of those days in Boston, you don’t have a chance to end that.

      1. I’m not too familiar with her music, but she was the headline act 2 or 3 summers ago at the levitate music festival held here in marshfield on the fairgrounds every early July and …..

        I distinctly remember camping in northern Maine recently and the town was having a town outdoor concert later im the summer and she was the artist performing.

  13. Thank you TK! One week away from the Plymouth Thanksgiving parade. Praying for better weather this year! But we did buy our volunteers new jackets that have hoods after last year’s soaker.

    Wordle: 4

  14. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2025111512&fh=21&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2025111512&fh=30&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    I didn’t realize, this is a pretty potent low crossing northern New England tonight, intensifying a little more as it passes by.

    I was curious, the mt Washington higher summit forecast is for 3-5 inches at the summits, followed by a little sleet and frz rain and then temps plunging again tomorrow.

    Here’s the southern New England rain projection:

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2025111512&fh=30&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    An ok drink of water if it verifies.

    1. No matter what happens here, I am just hoping that Northern areas hold onto their snow when all these cutters come through.
      I know they will pick up some front end snow/mix before any changeover and then pick up some snow on back end. How much of a net gain/loss will there be is the main question.

  15. Hopefully in the coming months a couple of these low pressure systems go south of Long Island and track to the benchmark to deliver some snow. Maybe one will slow down enough to give a moderate snowfall.

  16. Additional thought on Drake Maye.

    I am no football expert having never even played in any organized league, just some pick up games. But that aside, I have been watching for a long time and for what it is worth I have noticed
    that Drake Maye does NOT suffer from what I call
    “HAPPY FEET” in the pocket. His poise in the pocket is
    unbelievable for a player only in his second year. I have seen so many quarter backs dance around back there and get in BIG trouble, either with a sack or worse yet a fumble or interception.

    Way to go DRAKE!!!!!

    1. I had noticed also and I certainly am not an expert. He also has the long ball that Brady took a while to master.

  17. Brady was GREAT, but the long ball was NEVER his strength
    and he did NOT have the arm that Drake Maye has. His longest throws appear effortless, while it took some effort for Brady to throw the long ball.

    1. He didn’t need super long passes to still hold the record for the most passing yard in NFL history by nearly 9,000 yards. 🙂

      1. Of course. Just saying the long ball wasn’t his strength, but he was so great, he didn’t need the long ball.

      2. No. But he also missed many. Mac would yell….nooooo don’t throw from there.

        But again I’m not saying maye is better. Just different. He also runs more than I recall Brady.

        Brady had the absolute perfect throw hands down

        1. I need to add. The first really Long pass was after a mac passed. Either in the playoff of SB. I always felt he had an angel carrying it. I posted that on whw at the time

    2. The long ball was a strength in the days of Randy Moss and to a lesser extent in the days of Gronk. After that, Brady was more of a short and medium range passer who many times purposely threw the ball low or quite low.

      For a 2nd year QB, Drake Maye looks solid to date.

  18. Sue: Is Ch. 5 going to televise the parade next week? I haven’t heard of any notice.

    I always look forward to it and I end up watching it again on Thanksgiving itself even though it’s a rerun. 🙂

  20. Thanks TK.

    Jay Peak just picked up another 20” of snow in the last 48 hours, 44” now in the past 7 days, and 47” on this very young season.

    https://jaypeakresort.com/skiing-riding/snow-report-maps/snow-report

    And check out the NWS point and click forecast for the next couple days. If my math is right, that’s another 21-36”by Tuesday for the higher elevations? Ridiculous!

    https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-72.518&lat=44.928

    The mountain is planning on opening next weekend with two lifts. They could probably open the whole thing up if they wanted to but doubt they are staffed up yet to regular season levels.

  21. Also, only 2 winters on record have started with more snow depth on Mount Mansfield since 1950 and they are going to jump by at least another foot the next few days.

  25. Lightning happening right now where I am. I was not expecting any lightning with this system.

    1. Awsome. Enjoy Jimmy James. I see a bit of something to my west. My guess is it will fall apart but I can always hope

Comments are closed.