Sunday November 16 2025 Forecast (7:57AM)

61 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 16-20)

Low pressure accelerates into Atlantic Canada today, intensifying and expanding its circulation. After a round of beneficial rain – that started as sleet in some areas and included thunder in some areas too – we’ll dry out today with increasing wind. It’ll be relatively mild at first, but a colder air mass arriving behind the departing storm system will cause the temperature to fall starting this afternoon, and while we remain in a brisk west to northwest air flow through Tuesday we’ll experience below normal temperatures, but with generally dry weather (only the risk of a brief passing rain shower this afternoon and snow flurry tonight and/or Monday). By Wednesday, high pressure builds in for more tranquil weather conditions. While this is occurring, what’s left of the Greenland Blocking pattern will send one more disturbance to our south and allow high pressure to remain in place through Thursday with continued fair weather.

TODAY: Lots of clouds / intervals of sun. Slight chance of a quick-passing rain shower. Highs 50-57. Wind shifting to W and increasing to 10-20 MPH with gusts 25-35 MPH, strongest over higher elevations.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a brief passing snow flurry. Lows 28-35. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance of a brief passing snow flurry. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 21-28 except 28-35 immediate coast and urban centers. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 18-25 inland low elevations, 25-32 elsewhere. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 46-53. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 25-32. Wind calm.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind variable to SW up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 21-25)

Greenland block is gone and the storm track shifts into one that takes low pressure areas into the Great Lakes, the first of which will do so at the beginning of the period bringing us unsettled weather late next week. Still have to work out timing for a rain threat on November 21 and if there will be any follow-up unsettled weather over the weekend of November 22-23, or if we see 2 more distinctive systems November 21 & 24. Either scenario is possible. I’ll watch trends on this and fine-tune this forecast. Temperatures for this period while typically variable should average slightly above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 26-30)

Thanksgiving is November 27. The weather pattern from midweek Thanksgiving week through the holiday weekend will be similar with a leaning to milder than average for the period overall, and 1 or 2 threats of unsettled weather depending on timing of weather systems. Much more to come soon!

61 thoughts on “Sunday November 16 2025 Forecast (7:57AM)”

  2. Thanks TK.

    Thanks Sue for yesterday’s parade info! Looking forward to watching this Saturday. 🙂

    1,360 ❄️

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.

    48 here

    Ocean temp: 51

    Wordle: caboose worthy 6
    Thought for sure I had it in 5.

    1. I got it in five.

      After four guesses, I had just two vowels, one in the wrong position and one in the right position. It took me ages to find a possible fifth guess.

    1. The elevated storms were quite potent in that area.

      This particular strike appears to have been on the utility pole on the left side of the video. It’s hard to tell if that was the main channel or a secondary one, but my guess is the former, and power to the area was uninterrupted, which means the pole’s grounding worked perfectly. You can see these on utility poles as insulated copper wires (usually encased in black) running down the side of the pole to a proper ground stake embedded at the pole’s base.

  8. Vicki – Good job on Wordle!

    It’s still early, but so far you’re alone at the controls today. 🙂

    1. Thank you but fingers crossed that I don’t remain alone. I am not at all familiar with ANY controls.

        1. Wow fun video and music. I can drive a car and also race a car and am excellent at power shifting.

          Are you still sure 😉

            1. I am pretty solidly certain that the display was not that high in the sky at Boston. And the timing of the movement of the aurora curtains vs. the people in the video is exceedingly unrealistic. I strongly suspect AI here.

  11. I mentioned a lot of uncertainty in the medium range. Today’s 12z operational GFS vs ECMWF is going to illustrate this vividly regarding late next week (Friday-Saturday). The solutions will be vastly different.

  12. Thank you TK!

    Hold onto your hats kids, Vicki and I are at the controls. At least we will stop and ask for directions if needed. 🙂

    1. Yay. I’m in great company. Chuckling at your directions.

      I suspect we are safest if I just pull the cord for the whistle and you man the controls.

  15. Bucs up against the Bills … for the moment. A real back and forth game. Would line to see the Bucs win. Not sure it’s going to happen!

    1. You’re calling the Bucs done at 6 wins, 3 losses with 7 games to be played? Not even close. The Bills literally have the exact same record. 6-3. So how are they not done and the Bucs done? 😉

  19. Denver now has the same record as the Patriots, which is perfectly ok with me since they just beat the Chiefs. 🙂

      1. I like both teams but the bills have always had a special place in my heart. I love seeing teams win…..not so much seeing teams lose

        1. I’ve never had a problem with the Bills or any team from Buffalo. I tend to root against them when they play my teams. But I love Buffalo. I need to go snow squall chasing out there. 😉

      2. I don’t hate Patrick, but the look was amusing. 🙂 Travis did something similar at some point that I caught on screen. He did have a good game today, but it wasn’t enough for the Chiefs.

        Tomorrow is the battle of the 2 teams my family dislikes the most – Cowboys / Raiders. But the Raiders are at the bottom of the list, so the Cowboys get the root nod from me. 😉

        1. KC is the only team I don’t like . A bunch of entitled little snobs !! Patrick & his wife phony !! Travis is all drama . Cincinnati could be loosing one of there #1 players next week after a spitting on field incident today .

          1. I am lucky enough to have a swiftie who is a grandson. Travis does a tremendous amount to support folks who need support.

            1. Yes he does. When I speak of “sports dislike” it’s about the team, not the person, unless the person is genuinely not a good person. 🙂

          2. One small example. Although I shouldn’t surprise anyone. I’ll always stand for those who step up

            “ Travis Kelce is widely recognized for his philanthropy and generosity, primarily through his Eighty-Seven & Running Foundation, which supports underserved youth in the Kansas City and Cleveland areas. He has been involved in numerous charitable initiatives, although some specific viral stories about large donations have been debunked as fake news or AI-generated content. ”

        2. Well I should be more clear. I also support teams friends support. I consider JJ a friend.

          We went through enough dislike as Pats fans.

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