Monday January 19 2026 Forecast (7:10AM)

117 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 19-23)

Low pressure passing southeast of the region moves away to the northeast today, but a trough behind it creates some lingering snow showers with minor accumulation in our region to start out the day, so if you do have an early morning commute today, that can be a factor in some locations. After that, it’s a dry day. This evening, however, an arctic front will cross the region from west to east, and can be accompanied by a snow shower or snow squall, so be on the look-out for a possible brief drop in visibility with snow and gusty wind. Regardless of whether or not you see one of those, the arctic air will invade the region for Tuesday, a day with well below normal temperatures, and just the chance of a passing snow flurry while a gusty wind makes it feel even colder than it is. This relatively short-lived cold blast eases at midweek as milder air moves in. This takes place as low pressure travels to our north. Its warm front may bring a touch of light snow or sleet mainly to areas north of I-90 Wednesday evening before its cold front brings the chance of a rain or snow shower during the day on Thursday. A secondary front crossing the region brings a threat of a snow shower Thursday night, and another very cold air mass arrives at week’s end, with Friday being somewhat similar to Tuesday – a gusty wind, maybe a passing snow flurry, otherwise just dry and cold.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy early with lingering snow showers eastern MA and southeastern NH, otherwise a sun / cloud mix. Highs 30-37. Wind NW 5-15 MPH shifting to SW.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a chance of snow showers or snow squalls evening, then clearing overnight. Lows 10-17. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 0-8. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun followed by increasing clouds. Highs 25-32. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light snow. Temperatures steady or rising slightly. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of snow and / or rain showers. Highs 36-43. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 11-18. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Chance of a brief snow flurry. Highs 20-27. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 24-28)

Very cold weekend January 24-25 is a certainty. Snow potential exists at some point depending on how far north a low pressure area passing to our south comes to this area. Another snow chance at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 29 – FEBRUARY 2)

Pattern supports colder than normal temps with additional opportunities for winter weather events.

117 thoughts on “Monday January 19 2026 Forecast (7:10AM)”

    1. Are we sure it didn’t end?

      I only ask because Logan shows 3.4 on a map and that was many, many hours ago and it’s been snowing for a while since.

  3. Boy it looks cold this weekend coming up. Looks like another AI vs traditional again for this weekend.

    Thanks TK

  4. Thanks TK
    NY recorded one inch of snow from this system.
    Snowfall standings
    NY 9.7
    BOS 5.4

  5. Thank you TK. Still snowing here. Don’t see a melt off happening all that quickly. upcoming Sunday temps look to be somewhere around “brutal.”

  6. Thanks TK. Not a bad commute into Boston at 5am this morning for work . My best guess is a good solid 4 inches or tad more at home . When I got into work there was not much at all in the longwood medical area .

  8. Good morning andcthank you TK

    30 here and looks like about 4 inches or so. Will check soon
    Still Snowing here. Very, very picturesque out there. Our street needed to be plowed.

    Ocean: 42

    Wordle: salvaged a 6 after being hopelessly lost.

    Still in awe of the 2 circus catches yesterday by Boutte and Diggs! Those 2 are special, for sure!!

  9. Interesting scenario….
    For discussion purposes, let’s say New England and the Rams win next week. Maye and Stafford would play head to head in the Super Bowl.

    I believe the mvp will awarded on 2/5 ahead of the SB. Depending on who wins and how they play in the SB, it could tarnish the award. I just find that possible scenario most fascinating. I almost hope Staffordx wins the award and Maye wipes his ass in the SB. That would be awesome as we all know Stafford will win mvp. It’s a lock, IMHO. There may be differing opinion. Yes I want maye to win ir, but it’s not going to happen.

    1. If the Pats win next weekend, either fan base, the Rams or the Seahawks will want utter and complete revenge. Rams for 2001 and 2018 and Seahawks for 2014

    2. I don’t think it would tarnish the award one bit. Only fervent fanbases would feel that way. The general public at large knows they both had great seasons and both deserve to win it. If either had gone out in the wildcard round after playing poorly, then there’d be some murmurs but they’re both playing in the respective conference championships which everyone acknowledges is hard to get to.

  10. Thank you, TK.

    Our total so far appears to be about 4 inches, and they were plowing here at 3am.

  11. Thanks TK !

    Guessing around 5”, the first 4 of which were extremely wet snow and the topping a little bit drier.

    Wordle: 6 I’m on a whew streak 🙂 🙂 🙂

    1. Probably right as it was definitely looking like 4 where I was & it was still snowing

    2. Tom you were mentioning the Seahawks. In that Super Bowl Pete Carroll made the worst play call you could ever make calling for a pass. He should have given the ball to Marshawn Lynch at the two yard line.

      1. Yes

        There’s even a clip out there of the refs on field talking after the pick, saying, can you believe they didn’t give the ball to Lynch.

  12. I saw BOS has 3.4 inches of snow with this system.
    Updated snowfall standings. Please feel to correct me if I am wrong with the BOS total for the season
    NY 9.7
    BOS 8.8

    1. I see that 3.4 too, but that was hours and hours ago. Since, they’ve been snowing, many hrs with multi mile visibilities and then lately about 1.5 mile.

      Something tells me they end up btwn 4-5 when the amount is updated once the snow ends.

  14. Just took a snow measurement.

    4.75 inches here in JP. Let’s see what Hadi has. Should be about the same.

    1. Thanks Longshot. I can never find these.

      My 5” is listed. I went out in my PJs to get it then went back to sleep.

  16. The Texans D did a lot of trash talking about the Pats D prior to the game. Wonder what they are thinking and saying this morning?!

    2. Yikes. I definitely don’t follow closely enough to know why. But he took the team to the playoffs ??

      1. He did the last 7 yrs in a row without making it to the big game. I think the fans will welcome it according to my buddy who grew up there & is a huge Bills fan .

  23. I had 4.75 inches as well. Very uniform numbers.

    Let’s how cold it gets and what impact that has on next weeks storm. The trend has clearly been west and north so let’s see how it shakes out.

    4. Further sabotaging the profession.

      Whomever thinks that’s good information today simply does NOT get it.

  27. well the bills needed a scape goat it was their coach despite it not being his fault, I believe it to be the GM

  28. To my knowledge – iphone and other weather apps just “rip and read” from singular sources. It’s the worst.

        1. At least until next Sunday. We shall see then. Likely storm to pass South, but IF it got up here, you can kiss the count good-bye!!!!

  30. Updated Snowfall Standings
    BOS 10.7
    NY 9.7

    Will BOS remain in the lead for the rest of the season?

  31. Thanks TK! Cold and wintry out there indeed. We’d like a turn across the West before winter’s out…

    Lots of eyes in the met community on this weekend. In what’s really been a prolonged (many months long really) stretch of relatively benign weather across the CONUS, this is the first setup in awhile that’s had “blockbuster” potential. If it is going to be an extreme impact/potentially crippling event, it would likely be as a major snow/ice/cold event across the lower mid-Atlantic and/or Deep South if the storm track ends up along a more southern route.

    A major snow event for the mid-Atlantic and SNE is also on the table with a more northern track, which would be high impact of course but not as much so as the former scenario in areas further south.

    1. Thanks WxWatcher! Do the odds favor a southern or northern event? Or could it possibly be something in the middle? I read the AI models are leaning north

      1. See below and you make the call. 🙂

        Let’s see 5 models, 3 South, and 2 a decent hit.

        So odds favor South (60%), but North (40%) NOT out of the question. (Going just by the models alone, not sure how scientific that is).

        Wait let’s take a peek at the 2 AI models (I always forget those)

        GFS AI – SOUTH

        https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=aigfs&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2026011912&fh=144&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=

        EURO AI, not nearly as South

        https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_aifs&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2026011912&fh=156&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=

        10:1 snow

        https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_aifs&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2026011912&fh=168&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

        So add those in and we have 7 models, 3 decent hits (43%), 4 South (57%)

        Not really scientific, but a fun excercise. 🙂 🙂 🙂

    1. 12Z Euro keeps it SOUTH of us.

      https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2026011912&fh=162&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=

      12Z GFS a bit more South

      https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2026011912&fh=144&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=

      ICON South

      https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2026011912&fh=144&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=

      UKMET gets the snow up here, but not the brunt of it.

      https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmo_global&p=prateptype_ukmo-imp&rh=2026011912&fh=150&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=

      UKMET total 10:1 snow

      https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmo_global&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2026011912&fh=162&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

      1. Give me the GDPS and the UKMET, but likely solution is the others. Still 6 days to watch and see. I’ve certainly seen these systems creep up the coast with time.

        1. Gonna be an exciting week of model watching and analysis! Question is not whether there will be a major storm but where.

          1. See my percentage exercise above, I hope you enjoy. Remember, just a fun exercise. 🙂 🙂 🙂

          2. Indeed it will be, especially when the RRFSA, RDPS and the 2 NAMS come within range. 🙂 We’ll be looking at 11 models, then closer in 3 more, HRRR,RAP, and HRDPS.

            🙂 🙂 🙂

              1. I’d rather it start south and see it creep north like the last one. Much less likely happens the other way around.

                1. I’ve seen it go both ways. I am more concerned
                  about the projected 500 mb flow. Need that to dig some, else it will stay South. I hope as we get closer and the upper atmosphere is better sampled, we might see a bit of a shift. Time will tell.

              2. I think it comes up, but not all the way up here. Look at upper level on AI vs non AI. Massive difference in position.

  34. Eric’s take

    Late this week through early February is going to feature some “memorable” winter weather in the Lower 48

    Devil is in the details but some big cold and snow is a given

    1. Now, that is a big time TEASE!!!!

      Sure it may be memorable some where, but the question is will it be memorable here?

      2 days near zero at night isn’t exactly memorable in my book.
      Gotta give me more than that. Now two 2 foot snow storms I would deem memorable or 5 days of Below Zero at night or a combo of the 2.

      2. I think he might mean, that if it doesn’t snow up here, the potential is there for snow and frozen in a lot of the south.

  35. Whatever falls is going to be high high ratios. We don’t need massive amounts of QPF which such a. Cold air mass.

  37. Good advice from meteorologist Steve DiMartino
    Yes, there is a significant storm threat for this weekend. In fact, as I have been warning for several weeks, late January through early February has optimal potential for winter storms. However, I wouldn’t bother focusing on model snow maps at this point. Prepare, but don’t buy into the fear-baiting.

  38. Ryan Hanrahan chiming in on the weekend potential
    Cold air vs. storm this weekend.

    The coldest air of the season drops in from Canada with temps near 0°

    A strong storm develops to our south. Right now, the cold may keep it away — but a small north shift could change the forecast fast.

    Watching it closely. Updates coming.

  39. that storm that the gfs and others are showing around the 23 to 26, is the precurser, the pattern change marker. Like Eric mentioned and others. watch that first week of February. I feel like its going to be the real deal and possibly the beginning of a very active woodshill weather blog as we get out of this small storm to no storm pattern. I am heading to Stowe Thursday to ski Friday and Saturday with family, the last weekend I have before going back to Australia on the 27th. So because I leave the 27th I feel even better about you all experiencing a good size nor-easter that we all miss and love.

    1. The pattern actually changes before that. The storm threats that immediately follow are the result of that change.

  40. Admittedly I haven’t done a major deep dive, but the strength of high pressure and associated magnitude of the extreme cold coming into the northern tier of the US this weekend makes me lean on a southern type track with the storminess… nonetheless, that’s far from a certainty. Also, on the snowy (northern) side of the storm, this may be an event where you want to go above 10:1 on the ratios at least in the main snow shield where the better banding would be. There will definitely be areas “too far north”, the classic “too cold to snow”, which is a misnomer but at least a somewhat apt descriptor for the layman. But whether that’s across NNE, SNE, or even further south, still at least a couple days too early to say…

    1. Well above 10:1 and a little further north on the storm track are my early thoughts.

      Too early for specifics obviously, but I don’t think we’re looking at a clean miss on that thing.

        1. I’ll get into it more, but it has to do with the “split-high” set-up. This configuration has been present with some notable winter storms before, and quite a few significant ones that are not as remembered.

  41. In case it wasn’t mentioned earlier, or it was and anybody missed it, 5.3 inches for Logan.

  42. They have now had three snowfalls of 5 inches or greater in the past 12 months. Literally a few tenths away from 6 inches.

  43. The wind is picking up a little for me. Attempted to walk the shore but really not wearing enough layers.

  46. From Bernie Rayno about weekend potential

    I keep getting responses about high suppressing the precip.The arctic high is DEPARTING Sat/Sat night, which All Guidance shows.Northern extent of precip will be determined by the location of shortwave coming across SK.Also the speed of the southern branch shotwave plays a role.

  47. While plows may have been out plowing in other parts of Boston, like JP, they did not plow here in the downtown area (though they did salt). No need to plow. Even the side streets were clear of snow as it never accumulated on the asphalt. This has been a very curious stretch of non-plowable snow events in the heart of the city. And while some of the side streets got plowed last February, the last time Beacon Street in Back Bay and Beacon Hill was plowed was in February 2022.

    Of course, all could change soon. But I’m not counting on it and in fact don’t think it’ll happen. Cold air seems to be a lock as we head towards the weekend and next week. (Plowable) snow not so much.

  48. Anyone catching a glimpse of the aurora right now?? Still too cloudy here but seeing reports out of western and central MA and CT that it’s very vivid

    1. I just stepped out onto the deck and took a couple of photos with my phone. It is 100% clear now. I got some pretty shots of the sky, stars and snow, but no aurora yet here.

  50. Phillips streak continuing after Sunday is about the same chances the Broncos have of Beating Pats.

  52. TK – About how many consecutive snow events are in the pipeline ahead? It would be interesting if the straight west-east flow could maintain itself for days on end…scary thought if I’m still counting next year this time. 😉

    Let’s hope the jet stream can “bend it like Beckham” northward at least just once soon.

    1. I don’t know. I can really only see a couple potential ones before it’s just a “pattern that supports additional ones”.

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