Thursday May 14 2026 Forecast (7:15AM)

51 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 14-18)

An upper low will bring us unsettled weather including some beneficial rainfall today into Friday before it shifts eastward and departs in time for a fair and warmer weekend. Will it last into early next week? No (and yes). Stay with me here and I’ll explain it. First the upper low will be helping a surface low passing to our north to redevelop to our south, which then gets caught under its upper level support and does a loop just to our east and south tonight and early Friday. This helps prolong the rainfall, but the heaviest may be confined to a fairly narrow area somewhere northeast of Boston with another heavier band over the higher elevations of southwestern NH and central MA. We’ll have to radar-watch today / tonight to see how this plays out. An east to northeast flow on Friday will make that a cooler day than today as rain tapers to drizzle, with a clearing trend beginning at night as the low pulls away to the east. An area of high pressure building across the Mid Atlantic then sliding off the coast south to southeast of New England will promote drier, warmer weather with a west to southwest air flow over the weekend. After a cool start Saturday, we’ll undergo a notable warm-up. Sunday ends up the warmest of the two days with a higher temperature launching pad in the morning and continued warm advection. You knew this next part was coming, I bet. If not, it’s time to learn about it. Monday’s weather would probably be similar, but a high pressure area in eastern Canada is destined to send a back-door cold front into at least northeastern and eastern portions of the WHW forecast area, and perhaps a strong enough push to move it all the way through the region. This makes Monday a decidedly cooler day, especially in eastern coastal locations, although it does look like it will continue to be fair with plenty of sunshine as the high to the north will supply enough dry air.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered to numerous showers. Highs 56-63. Wind S shifting to E 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Widespread showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 47-54. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Showers gradually diminish and drizzle lingers. Highs 55-62. Wind E shifting to N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Gradual clearing. Lows 45-52. Wind N shifting to W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 65-72 South Coast, 72-79 elsewhere. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Highs 68-75 South Coast, 75-82 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 62-69 coast, 70-77 inland. Wind shifting to NE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 19-23)

Warmer weather is back May 19 & 20 but watching for a possible disturbance to trigger a late-day thunderstorm chance on May 19 and a cold front to sweep through with a shower or thunderstorm possible on May 20. Fair, slightly cooler weather follows into later next week. May be watching low pressure to the south by the very end of the period for a potential rain threat, but not sure just yet.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 24-28)

Watching the potential for low pressure passing to our south around the middle of the Memorial Day Weekend (May 24). Whether or not it’s close enough for a wet weather interruption remains to be seen and will be monitored. Fair weather much of this period otherwise with variable temperatures.

51 thoughts on “Thursday May 14 2026 Forecast (7:15AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK

    57 here up from 55

    Ocean; 50

    WORDLE: FAIL
    Too many possibilities. .kept closing the wrong word.

      1. You are now sixth fail I’ve seen. I’m not sure how nyt is doing it, but the game seems to be taking a difficult turn.

  2. Thank you TK!

    Wordle was a fail for me also. Like JPD said, too many choice and didn’t choose the right one. Onto tomorrow.

  4. Another doozy Wordle day. I was lucky with a PHEW…..again.

    Wordle 6

    Come aboard the caboose JPD and Sue please

    1. I’m right there with you in the caboose. So far we are also in the engine as co-engineers. I’m sure someone will take the controls from us with a better score.

      As others said, this was tough. On the second guess I had three letters in the right position. From there on it was just guessing. There are 107 possibilities given those three letters. Some are really weird and some were eliminated by earlier guesses, but still…

      1. Welcome. I have seen the majority of fails so far. I hesitated to enter the word because I thought it was spelled differently. But I couldn’t think of another word with the letters I had.

  7. Thanks TK !

    Made the train with a 6, whew !!!!

    Hoping we can get as big a drink as possible today, in as much area as possible.

  9. Thanks, TK.

    So far, no rain at all in Boston, with lots evidently about 40 plus miles west of here.

      1. Actually, it seems to be moving south to north almost literally just to the west of Sutton

  11. Thanks TK.

    Boy, tricky QPF event indeed. Once again, good thing it’s not snow. Obviously delivering well west of Worcester in the Pioneer Valley and thereabouts. Still ~might~ salvage a quick redevelopment and wrap-around band with decent totals for metro Boston and especially the North Shore later today. Major screw job likely for much of the South Shore and RI though…

  12. Weary of comparisons between El Nino this year versus 1877. I think the 1877 situation was different in several respects including preceding years when the Pacific was cooler than normal; the north Atlantic maybe being warmer than normal; and I remember reading that there was a dipole situation in the Indian Ocean. (I fully admit to not understanding the Indian Ocean effect in 1877.)

    Also weary of the word “super” being used ad nauseum. I am not naive about the news media’s need for ratings but still don’t like every meteorological event being announced as super, massive, unprecedented, etc.

    Rant over!

  13. We moved from very light rain (0.07) to moderate rain mixed with some heavier bands

      1. At the state level, the drought area remained pretty steady at 98.11%, The D2 level in northeastern MA is concerning.

  18. Thanks, TK!

    We’re reading only 0.11″ here. The heaviest of the rains have been, to quote the great Bob Uecker, “juuuust a bit outside.” 🙂

  21. Fairly meager amount of rain where I am. A couple of bursts and that’s about it.

    TK, congrats on 6,391 blog posts. Tremendous.

    SAK, also congrats. Tomorrow will be number 1,000. That’s impressive.

  22. Thanks for the post tk.

    Wordle in 4.

    There were many possibilities when I had the last four letters. But my third guess I used a word that maximized what letters could be the first word to figure it out. I’ve seen some people waste guesses… like let’s say in the wordle the answer is “later” and you have just the “ater”. I never understood why people would then guess “dater” then “hater” then “rater” etc. and fail out — smarter to guess a word like “shard” which would eliminate h, r an d as the plausible first letters and you knock em out in one guess.

    1. Awesome. I have a friend who also uses that approach. Occasionally, I’ll remember to do the same. You are the only above 5 Wordle I’ve seen….remembering I don’t see a ton

    2. Perhaps those people play in hard mode as I do. In that mode, you can’t “fish” for a letter.

  24. Thanks TK.

    Nice steady and productive rainfall earlier today here with 0.91” in the rain gauge. 2.17” so far on the month of May.

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