Thursday July 2 2026 Forecast (7:24AM)

142 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 2-6)

While we are in a hot stretch, despite some media claims it is not the “hottest in years”. We’ll start by making that clear. Avoid the hype and sensationalism and just stick to the facts. The fact is, high pressure ridging has us in a hot stretch of weather which will be lasting into the Independence Day holiday on Saturday, but shut down when a cold front drops through the region that morning and midday. Before that, hot and mainly rain-free weather is the story, though we have to watch for isolated pop-up t-storms as well as incoming “ridge rider” storm complexes or their remnants from the west and north. One such complex came through our region in morphing form (trying to regenerate as it had initially weakened), giving some areas downpours, some areas little or no rain, some wind, and a generally decent lightning show, even if just in the distance. Those systems are not well forecast by short range guidance, so always keep an close eye on what’s going on if you have outdoor plans. I’m still leaning toward an earlier frontal passage (by midday) across much of the region Saturday, of course reaching the South Coast later on. By evening I suspect that a good portion of the region will be quiet with the intense heat having been pushed out of the region. Sunday and Monday look more comfortable and while there may be some varying cloud cover from low pressure on the frontal boundary to our south, I suspect that is going to be kept mostly to the south by high pressure in eastern Canada and we will miss out here on any additional rain during that period of time.

TODAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Only a remote chance of an isolated thunderstorm. Highs 93-100 except 85-92 South Coast. Dew point 65+ but may drop to 55-62 in the coastal plain. Wind W 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows 71-78. Dew point 65+ but may start out below that in some areas. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Plenty of sun. A few clouds. A remote chance of a thunderstorm. Highs 92-99 except 84-91 Cape Cod. Dew most mostly 65+ but can fall again in coastal plain. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH, a few higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 71-78. Dew point 65+. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY (INDEPENDENCE DAY): Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms especially morning-midday, may linger until later in the day South Coast region. Highs 85-92. Dew point 65+ then lowering. Wind SW shifting to N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible near any storms.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear. Lows 65-72. Dew point falls below 60 late. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 81-88, coolest coastal areas. Dew point sub-60. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 61-68. Dew point sub-60. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Highs 75-82. Dew point near 60. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 7-11)

Greatest chance of unsettled weather July 7-8 and again July 10. Overall pattern is less hot with high pressure to our north and a frontal boundary to our south..

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 12-16)

Overall pattern features west to east flow with a few passing disturbances bringing shower and t-storm opportunities, but no prolonged unsettled weather. Temperatures near to above normal with the return of some hotter weather possible.

142 thoughts on “Thursday July 2 2026 Forecast (7:24AM)”

  1. Saw a social media post from a local source saying is the 2nd time in 2 years Boston hits 100. Except it hasn’t happened yet. It’s very dangerous to verify something before it occurs.

    If you “pre-verify”, most people take it as having already happened or be a certain-to-occur event. As of this moment, neither of those are true, so such a statement should not be made.

    This is of course my opinion, but it’s a very strong one.

  3. Good morning and thank you TK

    82 up from 78.

    Ocean; 65

    Wordle: 3

    I bet anything my low here tomorrow morning stays 80 or above. Pretty high launching point for tomorrow. Starting at 78 today. When will it reach 90, certainly by 10 AM and maybe even sooner. Does it reach 100? I say yes. We shall see. IF it doesn’t 97-99 is plenty hot enough!!!!

    1. BTW dew point is 71 here. It came down from 74 to 69 when the remnant storm cluster came through, but now it is back up some. Yuck yuck and double yuck!!!

  6. 78/74 low of 71

    Really benign but fun storm just after midnight. Oldest grandson watched with me which made it doubly fun.

    Wordle 5

  8. Iā€™m working on continuing my guess losing streak so will go with OU of 101 here today

  12. I join JPD with a 3 for Wordle and Vicki with 80/72.

    There was some good lightning and thunder overnight. We got 0.05″ of rain.

    2. Very nice 3

      We sure enjoyed the lightning show too. Thunder was on quieter side. 0.05 here also

  13. 90 at Logan and it is 9:41 AM. That qualifies as before 10 AM.

    Ok now we have 6-7 hours for it to go up 10 degrees. I think that might be arranged. We shall see.

  14. I’m showing 92 here with DP 72, howver, I still may have a bit of a reflection problem. ANother 1/2 to hour before I can trust that my readings are accurate.

    1. Nearby trusted stations are 87 or 88, so I am guessing that my termperature here is similar and NOT 92.

  15. Iā€™m goin to hide under the bed to get away from the heat dome. Yes media hype!

  18. Logan still at 90. I am showing 90 now so I think my sensor is back to normal. Dew point 72 here.

  20. Logan has been stuck at 90 for almost an hour now.
    I find that very strange with the blazing sun and a West wind.
    I wonded WHY it stopped rising????????

    I’m at 91 with dp 72

    1. The’s a big fat seagull on the sensor keeping it in the shade. šŸ˜‰

  22. Media… “This could be the hottest stretch since WWII in Boston.”

    Sure…

    And this is why people don’t want to believe us anymore, especially the ones who actually do it right.

    But the boss knows that sensationalism sells…

    Might as well sell a box of bull manure. At least you can use that in the garden.

  25. As of 11 a.m., in the WHW region, your cool spot is Nantucket at 74, your hot spot is Providence with 94. Dew points sit between 66 and 74. Falmouth reports a 77 dew point but I will bet anything on that being a false reading. That station throws a lot of errors.

  26. The summit of Mt Washington is ā€œonlyā€ 59.8F and Logan, ā€œonlyā€, 93F.

    I feel like last year on June 23rd, when it hit 102F, it was about 97-98F at this time already.

    Now, perhaps we have more warm air advection coming this afternoon and it looks clear to the west, so maybe many areas are still destined for near 100F, but given where most OBā€™s are at 11:30am, itā€™s probably going to need to occur around 4pm.

    2. What was are seeing today is NOT unusual for a hot spell in early July. If records were being shattered all over the place, that would be unusual. This isn’t. It’s a summer hot spell. šŸ™‚

      Classic ring of fire pattern too, which is what helped prompt the overnight lightning show a lot of people saw.

      Media has been fairly quiet about the end-of-June mountain snow event out West though.

  27. Looking back at June, the final numbers showed

    Worcester: +3.2F
    Providence: +3.3F
    Logan: +3.8F
    Hartford: +1.5F

    Kind of interesting that the positive anomalies this time were contributed to much more by warmer daytime highs. Whereas, nighttime lows contributed less. Probably a lot of the sunny days we had with not yet high humidity and the drier conditions contributing to warm to occasionally hot afternoons, but nights, that relatively speaking, could cool off.

    Recent positive temp anomalies, I feel, many of them have occurred because of warmer nights and to a lesser extent, warmer days, so this seemed not as common as what weā€™ve seen when temps have averaged above average.

    1. Worcester: day +3.6F, night +2.8F
      Providence: day +4.8F, night +1.6F
      Logan: day +4.8F, night +2.8F
      Hartford: day +3.2F, night 0.0F

      I do suppose I used the terms day and night, in place of high and low.

      Data from Norton national weather service climate section.

  28. Organizers of the July 4th event at the Esplanade have made the decision to delay public access to the oval and island areas until 4 p.m. instead of noon, citing dangerous heat as the reason.

    The noon access is something also fairly new, but that was more prompted by security needs after 9/11.

    This changes my plan, but actually makes it “easier” overall.

    I can now visit the North End of my annual Regina trip before I haul the stuff to the river’s edge, and 2 rather lengthy walks are eliminated – not that I mind them, because I don’t. šŸ™‚

      1. Typically I’m in line by 11 or so (last year we were 7th in line). After wet get in we set up and by about 12:30 head back out to make the walk back to Back Bay T station and ride the Orange Line to Haymarket, and walk into the North End for pizza, then reverse the trip after that returning to the Esplanade by 3:30 or 4:00, where we then hang out for the duration.

        This change just means the “stuff” (tarp, blanket, etc.) stay in the car at Wellington, we take the O-line down to Haymarket, do the North End, hop back on the O-line back to Wellington to grab the stuff, and then bring it to Back Bay, and make one long walk down to the river and stay for the duration. The event now ends earlier than it used to, so coming back at night doesn’t end after midnight as it used to. šŸ˜‰

        1. 7th in line, impressive šŸ™‚

          Enjoy the whole day, I really like the north end part.

    1. 95F at the Marshfield airport and mid to upper 90s from the OBā€™s on the south shore.

      Definitely some of the warmest 850 mb temps overlap at or just south of the mass pike and the wind is more westerly today than yesterdayā€™s southwest breeze.

      https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=850th&rh=2026070212&fh=9&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

      That southwest wind yesterday really helped the Cape. I think I was watching Ericā€™s 5:30 pm newscast, it was in the low 90s inland, 90F at Logan, 88F at Marshfield, but all of cape cod was in the 75-80F range with that healthy southwest wind.

  30. 95 right now at BDL in CT. Last time a 100 degree or higher temperature happened July 2019.

  33. Thanks TK.

    As of noon, 97 with a dewpoint of 74 and heat index of 109 out on the softball field just north of Philly. So much for my theory that the humidity would be a bit lower today.

    The tournament directors decided to truncate all the games from 80 to 60 min. They won their 930 game 4-0 and it was tolerable watching in the shade as there was a bit of a breeze. Second game is at 1230 and it is now officially putrid out.

  35. There has been chatter on X after this week the ridge will go back out west and troughing will happen in the east. Jury still out on that one.

    1. Yes, the ridge slides back to the west. We’re not going to be in a hot pattern after Saturday for quite a while.

  38. Dew point has gone down from 73 to 66 at Boston. This is the down-slope effect that you have heard me describe. This is when Boston has their shot at their hottest temperatures.

    The ONLY way Logan has a shot at reaching 100 is with a W to NW wind and dew point 65 or lower.

  39. Apparently now WBZ radio has been instructed to say “checking the radar” before they report a set of current temperatures a few times per hour. Good grief. How did I never know I could get current temperatures by checking the radar!? šŸ˜‰

    1. WBZ TV anchor at noon: “Not only is it over 100 degrees, it feels even hotter.” Problem with this? Temperature at the time was 95. That is NOT “over 100”. More misinformation.

      I often wonder what folks like Don Kent and Jack Chase would think of the literal incompetence we are now watching from our media. Thankfully, the weather forecaster subtly corrected the anchor. šŸ˜‰

      I learned back in math class that 95 is indeed NOT greater than 100.

  46. Thanks Tk . Got on the job at 7am & finished just after 10am . Spreading a quick 12 yds of mulch in the morning & off till Tuesday . Stay cool folks !!

  48. I heard back re Logan sensors.

    ā€œCalibration checks of the temperature sensor are part of routine mainteance actions that are performed quarterly. The last visit was in the early spring, and it indicated the ASOS was within just a few tenths of degree F away from the calibration thermometer we use. The next calibration visit will be over the next month or so. For your awareness, if the ASOS is reporting temperatures outside of our calibration thresholds, the entire temperature/humidity sensor unit is removed and a new one is put in. The old one is then sent back to a NWS central warehouse where technicians repair and recalibrate and make it available to all NWS offices as spare parts.

    Similarly, the rain gauge also receives a calibration check. The ASOS at Logan has a weighing bucket — in other words, it determines the amount of rain based on the change of the weight of the water in the bucket, so to check it’s accuracy, the techs will put in a precise amount of water to make sure it registers correctly. If it fails, then the whole rain gauge sensor unit is replaced and the bad one goes back for repair and recalibration.

    Overall the rain gauge records accurately. However all rain gauges suffer from undercatch when the wind is blowing strongly. The precipitation just blows across the top of the gauge and doesn’t fall in. There is a wind screen around the gauge at Logan to disrupt the wind flow some to increase the amount of precipitation that falls in the gauge. But even that is not enough, especially if the precipitation is snow. A perfect example was the blizzard back in February. There was roughly 17″ of snow that fell, so at a very basic first estimate of the typical snow to rain ratio of 11:1 (11 inches of snow = 1 inch of rain) there was probably about 1.5″ of liquid equivalent. The ASOS only measured 0.47″. It is what it is. We are not allowed to estimate a rainfall total, so the options are to keep the undercatch value or just mark it as missing.

    Hope that all makes sense. ā€œ

  50. Thanks TK.

    This probably wonā€™t/shouldnā€™t come as a surprise, but the climate program is a very low priority in the NWS right now. Egregious errors (which I would argue the KBOS rain gauge is) may be addressed, but by and large there is both a lack of resources and a lack of leadership intent to prioritize climate data over day-to-day decision support.

    Vicki, that response you got is a lot of words to say a whole lot of nothing. As if KBOS is the only ASOS that suffers from wind-related under-catch. Lol.

    And I would argue that the day-to-day operational and public safety aspects *should* take priority over the climate stuff, but only because of the current state of affairs in the agency where itā€™s not possible to fully support both. The climate side is every bit as important from a scientific standpoint. If the agency, and related NOAA agencies, were supported at proper staffing and funding levels, that wouldnā€™t be an issueā€¦

    I also donā€™t leave the agency blameless though. There is certainly a degree of ā€œhands being tiedā€ from above, but other aspects (among others, the clear worsening performance on convective warnings, and ceding essentially all forecasting capability to the NBM) are unforced errorsā€¦

  54. 99 at Logan is likely really 98 (not that they care haha). šŸ™‚

    No 100 degree readings as of 2:30 p.m. anywhere in SNE.

    1. They care. Itā€™s management and out current administration that doesnā€™t care.

  58. Central Park in NYC is where the official weather records are kept. If it did get to 100 it would be the first time since 2012 that happened.

  60. I apologize for wasting everyoneā€™s time. I didnā€™t just reach out to National weather Service. I also asked a few others who hadnā€™t seen a problem but thatā€™s a moot point.

    I learned at a young age that itā€™s better to go to the source or sources than it is to criticize without at least trying. Thatā€™s too ingrained in me to me to change now.

    I have enough crap going on in my life right now. I donā€™t need anything extra. Iā€™m gonna take a break

    Doesnā€™t mean I wonā€™t be back. Iā€™m way too fond of too many people here. I will miss chatting every day, but this is something I gotta do for myself.

    I wish you cooler temps and happy Wordling

    2. ??? I donā€™t understand either. I was very interested to see the NWS response to your sensor inquiry above. You certainly arenā€™t wasting anyoneā€™s time!

    3. Vicki, I am not sure what is going on but I hope all goes well. And you have never wasted anyone’s time!

  61. Definitely impressive heat today, and the back-to-back aspect with tomorrow is probably the more noteworthy part. But yeah, not unheard of. The mid-level heights just arenā€™t there for all time records. Still a solid ~1 in 5 to 1 in 10 year type event in a lot of places, and a very good chance that these will (hopefully) be the hottest days of the year.

    Iā€™m a little cautious on July 4 in terms of giving an ā€œall clearā€ for SNE towards fireworks time, not that anyone has done that. I definitely lean towards what TK is thinking though in terms of showers and storms, if there are any, largely clearing the SNE region by evening. Iā€™d be more pessimistic further south towards Philly/DC. Storms may throw a real wrench in things down there.

    1. Pretty hot. How are you still alive? I’d be dead doing what you’re doing. šŸ™‚

  70. According to Ch. 7, Boston reaches 100F once every 5 years.

    That ridge can stay WEST for the rest of the summer AFAIC!

    1. That’s an average. It’s very irregular. And I don’t think anything will beat the FOUR times it happened in 1911.

      Also, Boston’s real high today is 99. That sensor is incorrect.

  71. High here today was 102 and the low last night was 80. We had at least 6 consecutive hours of 109-110 heat index this PM.

    NWS projected low here tonight is 82 and high tomorrow 104.

    Temp at one point on the car thermometer hit 106.

    Just heard they cancelled the Queen Latifah concert here in Philly tonight due to heat.

  73. Still 92 here at this hour. If ever we had a low temp 80 or above, it would be tonight. We shall see. AS it was, it only got tob78 here last night.

  74. Thank you for the birthday wishes!!
    I am still getting use to it being chilly on my birthday in July, I don’t think I will ever find it normal lol

    1. Hope you had a Happy Birthday! Would love to feel that chilly air mass right about now.

      1. see I miss the warmth, so moderate here that it in the 40s and 50s in the winter and in the 60s in the summer with the occasional 70 and 80 and 90 degree day. I don’t think we saw 90 degrees last year here in warrnambool but might be mistaken.

  75. Still 92F with a heat index of 102F here as of the 11PM report. Feels like a night in the Middle East outside. Unreal.

    Not sure what the record maximum low temp is for the day tomorrow in Philly but might end up making a run for it.

    1. Record warmest low for July 3 here is 77. That record will be shattered.

      All time record warmest low in Philly is 83 set twice in 2010 and 2011. That is definitely in play.

      Record high in Philly tomorrow is 104 and thatā€™s the NWS current forecasted high. I think their all time record of 106 is safe.

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